The Most Important Games for the Notre Dame Fighting Irish are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Fighting Irish final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Notre Dame Fighting Irish fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Notre Dame Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | NT | |||
| Notre Dame (9‑4) vs Stanford (10‑2) |
34 | Notre Dame Wins | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 9% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 13% | ||
| Stanford Wins | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 15% | ||
| N.C. State (9‑4) vs Wake Forest (9‑4) |
2 | N.C. State Wins | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 14% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 13% | ||
| Wake Forest Wins | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 14% | ||
| Virginia Tech (11‑2) vs Virginia (11‑1) |
2 | Virginia Tech Wins | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 14% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 13% | ||
| Virginia Wins | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 14% | ||
| North Carolina (12‑1) vs Florida St. (7‑6) |
1 | North Carolina Wins | 3% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 13% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 13% | ||
| Florida St. Wins | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 14% | ||
| Clemson (10‑3) vs Syracuse (9‑4) |
1 | Clemson Wins | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 14% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 13% | ||
| Syracuse Wins | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 14% | ||
| Louisville (10‑2) vs California (12‑1) |
1 | Louisville Wins | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 14% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 13% | ||
| California Wins | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 14% | ||
| Duke (11‑1) vs Georgia Tech (8‑4) |
0 | Duke Wins | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 14% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 13% | ||
| Georgia Tech Wins | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 14% | ||
| Pittsburgh (7‑6) vs Miami (11‑2) |
0 | Pittsburgh Wins | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 14% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 13% | ||
| Miami Wins | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 14% | ||