The Most Important Games for the SMU Mustangs are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Mustangs final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. SMU Mustangs fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
SMU Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | NT | |||
| SMU (18‑8) vs Boston College (9‑17) |
21 | SMU Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 16% | 26% | 24% | 14% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 15% | 25% | 23% | 15% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Boston College Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 17% | 25% | 20% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| California (18‑8) vs Stanford (16‑10) |
2 | California Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 14% | 24% | 23% | 17% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 15% | 25% | 23% | 15% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Stanford Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 15% | 26% | 23% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| North Carolina (20‑6) vs Syracuse (15‑12) |
2 | North Carolina Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 13% | 23% | 26% | 17% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 15% | 25% | 23% | 15% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Syracuse Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 18% | 28% | 19% | 12% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Pittsburgh (9‑17) vs Notre Dame (12‑14) |
1 | Pittsburgh Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 15% | 25% | 23% | 15% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 15% | 25% | 23% | 15% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Notre Dame Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 15% | 25% | 23% | 15% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Georgia Tech (11‑15) vs Virginia (22‑3) |
0 | Georgia Tech Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 14% | 25% | 23% | 16% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 15% | 25% | 23% | 15% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Virginia Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 15% | 25% | 23% | 15% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Virginia Tech (17‑10) vs Wake Forest (14‑12) |
0 | Virginia Tech Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 14% | 25% | 23% | 15% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 15% | 25% | 23% | 15% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Wake Forest Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 14% | 25% | 23% | 15% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Clemson (20‑7) vs Florida St. (13‑13) |
0 | Clemson Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 15% | 25% | 24% | 15% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 15% | 25% | 23% | 15% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Florida St. Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 14% | 23% | 23% | 15% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||