The Most Important Games for the SMU Mustangs are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Mustangs final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. SMU Mustangs fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
SMU Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | NT | |||
| SMU (12‑2) vs Clemson (12‑3) |
44 | SMU Wins | 25% | 19% | 14% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 19% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Clemson Wins | 12% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Boston College (7‑8) vs Louisville (11‑4) |
2 | Boston College Wins | 20% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 19% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Louisville Wins | 20% | 17% | 14% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Virginia (12‑2) vs California (13‑2) |
2 | Virginia Wins | 19% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 19% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| California Wins | 19% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Pittsburgh (7‑8) vs Syracuse (10‑5) |
1 | Pittsburgh Wins | 20% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 19% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Syracuse Wins | 20% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Florida St. (7‑8) vs N.C. State (11‑5) |
1 | Florida St. Wins | 19% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 19% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| N.C. State Wins | 19% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Stanford (12‑3) vs Virginia Tech (12‑3) |
0 | Stanford Wins | 20% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 19% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Virginia Tech Wins | 20% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Wake Forest (10‑5) vs Miami (12‑2) |
0 | Wake Forest Wins | 20% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 19% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Miami Wins | 20% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||