The Most Important Games for the SMU Mustangs are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Mustangs final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. SMU Mustangs fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
SMU Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | NT | |||
| SMU (17‑5) vs Virginia Tech (10‑12) |
36 | SMU Wins | <1% | 4% | 13% | 32% | 25% | 14% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 11% | 30% | 24% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Virginia Tech Wins | <1% | 1% | 6% | 25% | 25% | 18% | 13% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Stanford (15‑7) vs Wake Forest (16‑6) |
9 | Stanford Wins | <1% | 3% | 12% | 32% | 21% | 14% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 11% | 30% | 24% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Wake Forest Wins | <1% | 3% | 11% | 28% | 27% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Georgia Tech (10‑12) vs Clemson (18‑4) |
5 | Georgia Tech Wins | <1% | 5% | 15% | 26% | 23% | 14% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 11% | 30% | 24% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Clemson Wins | <1% | 3% | 11% | 29% | 25% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Boston College (10‑11) vs Louisville (16‑6) |
3 | Boston College Wins | <1% | 5% | 13% | 28% | 23% | 14% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 11% | 30% | 24% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Louisville Wins | <1% | 3% | 11% | 30% | 24% | 14% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Pittsburgh (14‑8) vs North Carolina (13‑10) |
2 | Pittsburgh Wins | <1% | 3% | 12% | 31% | 25% | 14% | 8% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 11% | 30% | 24% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| North Carolina Wins | <1% | 3% | 12% | 29% | 24% | 15% | 10% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Syracuse (10‑12) vs Duke (19‑2) |
0 | Syracuse Wins | <1% | 3% | 12% | 30% | 24% | 14% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 11% | 30% | 24% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Duke Wins | <1% | 4% | 11% | 29% | 24% | 15% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| N.C. State (9‑12) vs California (11‑11) |
0 | N.C. State Wins | <1% | 3% | 12% | 29% | 24% | 14% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 11% | 30% | 24% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| California Wins | <1% | 3% | 11% | 30% | 24% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||