The Most Important Games for the SMU Mustangs are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Mustangs final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. SMU Mustangs fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
SMU Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | NT | |||
| Virginia Tech (5‑7) vs Duke (10‑2) |
3 | Virginia Tech Wins | 18% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 16% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Duke Wins | 16% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Boston College (7‑5) vs Miami (4‑8) |
2 | Boston College Wins | 16% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 16% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Miami Wins | 16% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Syracuse (5‑6) vs Wake Forest (9‑4) |
1 | Syracuse Wins | 16% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 16% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Wake Forest Wins | 16% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Louisville (7‑5) vs North Carolina (7‑5) |
1 | Louisville Wins | 16% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 16% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| North Carolina Wins | 16% | 15% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Georgia Tech (5‑7) vs Notre Dame (7‑5) |
1 | Georgia Tech Wins | 15% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 16% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Notre Dame Wins | 15% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Pittsburgh (10‑2) vs California (7‑5) |
1 | Pittsburgh Wins | 16% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 16% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| California Wins | 17% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||
| N.C. State (8‑4) vs Virginia (7‑5) |
0 | N.C. State Wins | 16% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 16% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Virginia Wins | 16% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Clemson (10‑3) vs Stanford (9‑3) |
0 | Clemson Wins | 16% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 16% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Stanford Wins | 16% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||