The Most Important Games for the Virginia Cavaliers are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Cavaliers final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Virginia Cavaliers fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Virginia Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | NT | |||
| Virginia (22‑3) vs Georgia Tech (11‑15) |
18 | Virginia Wins | 17% | 52% | 16% | 9% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 17% | 51% | 16% | 10% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Georgia Tech Wins | 7% | 44% | 19% | 15% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Florida St. (13‑13) vs Clemson (20‑7) |
5 | Florida St. Wins | 17% | 53% | 19% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 17% | 51% | 16% | 10% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Clemson Wins | 16% | 51% | 16% | 10% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Syracuse (15‑12) vs North Carolina (20‑6) |
3 | Syracuse Wins | 17% | 52% | 17% | 9% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 17% | 51% | 16% | 10% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| North Carolina Wins | 16% | 51% | 17% | 10% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Stanford (16‑10) vs California (18‑8) |
2 | Stanford Wins | 17% | 51% | 16% | 10% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 17% | 51% | 16% | 10% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| California Wins | 17% | 51% | 17% | 9% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Wake Forest (14‑12) vs Virginia Tech (17‑10) |
0 | Wake Forest Wins | 17% | 51% | 16% | 10% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 17% | 51% | 16% | 10% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Virginia Tech Wins | 17% | 51% | 16% | 10% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| SMU (18‑8) vs Boston College (9‑17) |
0 | SMU Wins | 17% | 51% | 17% | 9% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 17% | 51% | 16% | 10% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Boston College Wins | 17% | 51% | 16% | 10% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Pittsburgh (9‑17) vs Notre Dame (12‑14) |
0 | Pittsburgh Wins | 17% | 51% | 16% | 10% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 17% | 51% | 16% | 10% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Notre Dame Wins | 17% | 51% | 16% | 10% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||