The Most Important Games for the Virginia Cavaliers are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Cavaliers final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Virginia Cavaliers fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Virginia Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | NT | |||
| Virginia (2‑0) vs Clemson (2‑0) |
28 | Virginia Wins | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 14% | ||
| Clemson Wins | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 16% | ||
| Virginia Tech (2‑0) vs Louisville (1‑0) |
3 | Virginia Tech Wins | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 14% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 14% | ||
| Louisville Wins | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 15% | ||
| Syracuse (2‑0) vs Florida St. (2‑0) |
2 | Syracuse Wins | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 15% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 14% | ||
| Florida St. Wins | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 15% | ||
| Stanford (2‑0) vs Notre Dame (2‑0) |
2 | Stanford Wins | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 15% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 14% | ||
| Notre Dame Wins | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 15% | ||
| N.C. State (2‑0) vs Miami (1‑1) |
1 | N.C. State Wins | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 14% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 14% | ||
| Miami Wins | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 15% | ||
| Duke (2‑0) vs Georgia Tech (2‑0) |
1 | Duke Wins | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 15% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 14% | ||
| Georgia Tech Wins | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 15% | ||
| California (2‑0) vs North Carolina (2‑0) |
1 | California Wins | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 15% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 14% | ||
| North Carolina Wins | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 15% | ||