The Most Important Games for the Virginia Tech Hokies are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Hokies final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Virginia Tech Hokies fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Virginia Tech Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | NT | |||
| Virginia Tech (15‑5) vs Louisville (13‑5) |
46 | Virginia Tech Wins | 1% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Louisville Wins | <1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Syracuse (12‑7) vs Miami (15‑4) |
5 | Syracuse Wins | 1% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Miami Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Georgia Tech (11‑8) vs Clemson (16‑4) |
5 | Georgia Tech Wins | 1% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Clemson Wins | 1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Florida St. (8‑11) vs SMU (14‑5) |
4 | Florida St. Wins | 1% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||
| SMU Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| California (14‑5) vs Stanford (14‑5) |
4 | California Wins | 1% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Stanford Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Pittsburgh (8‑11) vs N.C. State (13‑6) |
3 | Pittsburgh Wins | 1% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||
| N.C. State Wins | 1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Duke (17‑1) vs Wake Forest (11‑8) |
2 | Duke Wins | 1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Wake Forest Wins | 1% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Notre Dame (10‑9) vs Boston College (9‑10) |
1 | Notre Dame Wins | 1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Boston College Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||
| North Carolina (15‑4) vs Virginia (16‑2) |
0 | North Carolina Wins | 1% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Virginia Wins | 1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||