The Most Important Games for the Virginia Tech Hokies are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Hokies final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Virginia Tech Hokies fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Virginia Tech Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | NT | |||
| Virginia Tech (11‑15) vs Miami (6‑20) |
8 | Virginia Tech Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 20% | 28% | 22% | 14% | 7% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 16% | 25% | 22% | 15% | 11% | 4% | 1% | ||
| Miami Wins | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 8% | 21% | 24% | 18% | 17% | 8% | 1% | ||
| Boston College (11‑15) vs Georgia Tech (13‑13) |
4 | Boston College Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 15% | 24% | 21% | 15% | 11% | 5% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 16% | 25% | 22% | 15% | 11% | 4% | 1% | ||
| Georgia Tech Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 16% | 26% | 22% | 16% | 11% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Louisville (20‑6) vs Florida St. (16‑10) |
2 | Louisville Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 18% | 25% | 20% | 15% | 11% | 4% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 16% | 25% | 22% | 15% | 11% | 4% | 1% | ||
| Florida St. Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 25% | 26% | 18% | 12% | 4% | 1% | ||
| Notre Dame (11‑15) vs Pittsburgh (16‑10) |
1 | Notre Dame Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 15% | 24% | 20% | 15% | 12% | 6% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 16% | 25% | 22% | 15% | 11% | 4% | 1% | ||
| Pittsburgh Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 16% | 26% | 22% | 15% | 11% | 3% | <1% | ||
| North Carolina (16‑11) vs Virginia (13‑13) |
1 | North Carolina Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 17% | 25% | 21% | 15% | 11% | 4% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 16% | 25% | 22% | 15% | 11% | 4% | 1% | ||
| Virginia Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 11% | 23% | 24% | 18% | 13% | 4% | 1% | ||
| Stanford (16‑10) vs California (12‑14) |
0 | Stanford Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 16% | 26% | 23% | 15% | 10% | 3% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 16% | 25% | 22% | 15% | 11% | 4% | 1% | ||
| California Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 15% | 22% | 20% | 16% | 13% | 6% | 1% | ||
| Wake Forest (19‑7) vs N.C. State (10‑16) |
0 | Wake Forest Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 16% | 24% | 22% | 16% | 12% | 4% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 16% | 25% | 22% | 15% | 11% | 4% | 1% | ||
| N.C. State Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 16% | 25% | 21% | 16% | 11% | 4% | 1% | ||
| Clemson (21‑5) vs SMU (20‑6) |
0 | Clemson Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 16% | 25% | 22% | 15% | 11% | 4% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 16% | 25% | 22% | 15% | 11% | 4% | 1% | ||
| SMU Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 16% | 26% | 22% | 15% | 11% | 4% | 1% | ||