The Most Important Games for the Virginia Tech Hokies are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Hokies final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Virginia Tech Hokies fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Virginia Tech Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | NT | |||
| Virginia Tech (4‑0) vs Louisville (2‑0) |
32 | Virginia Tech Wins | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 6% | ||
| Louisville Wins | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 8% | ||
| California (2‑2) vs North Carolina (3‑1) |
3 | California Wins | 10% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 6% | ||
| North Carolina Wins | 10% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 7% | ||
| Miami (3‑1) vs N.C. State (4‑0) |
2 | Miami Wins | 10% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 6% | ||
| N.C. State Wins | 10% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 7% | ||
| Stanford (3‑1) vs Notre Dame (4‑0) |
1 | Stanford Wins | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 6% | ||
| Notre Dame Wins | 10% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 7% | ||
| Florida St. (3‑1) vs Syracuse (2‑1) |
1 | Florida St. Wins | 10% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 6% | ||
| Syracuse Wins | 10% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 7% | ||
| Clemson (3‑1) vs Virginia (5‑0) |
0 | Clemson Wins | 10% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 6% | ||
| Virginia Wins | 10% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 7% | ||
| Duke (3‑1) vs Georgia Tech (3‑0) |
0 | Duke Wins | 10% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 6% | ||
| Georgia Tech Wins | 10% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 7% | ||