The Most Important Games for the Brown Bears are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Bears final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Brown Bears fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Brown Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5** First Round Home Field Advantage |
6** First Round Home Field Advantage |
7** First Round Home Field Advantage |
8** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |||
| Brown (4‑16) vs Colgate (9‑13‑2) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Brown Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 34% | 38% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 27% | 39% | 27% | ||
| Colgate Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 23% | 40% | 33% | ||
| Cornell (14‑5) vs Yale (7‑13) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Cornell Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 25% | 39% | 28% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 27% | 39% | 27% | ||
| Yale Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 28% | 40% | 27% | ||
| Dartmouth (14‑6‑1) vs Union (15‑8‑2) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Dartmouth Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 26% | 40% | 27% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 27% | 39% | 27% | ||
| Union Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 27% | 39% | 27% | ||
| St. Lawrence (3‑20‑3) vs Quinnipiac (19‑5‑2) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | St. Lawrence Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 22% | 32% | 39% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 27% | 39% | 27% | ||
| Quinnipiac Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 27% | 40% | 26% | ||
| Harvard (11‑8‑1) vs Rensselaer (6‑18) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Harvard Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 27% | 39% | 28% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 27% | 39% | 27% | ||
| Rensselaer Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 4% | 18% | 46% | 31% | ||
| Princeton (11‑8‑1) vs Clarkson (11‑13‑2) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Princeton Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 26% | 39% | 27% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 27% | 39% | 27% | ||
| Clarkson Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 27% | 40% | 28% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Brown Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5** First Round Home Field Advantage |
6** First Round Home Field Advantage |
7** First Round Home Field Advantage |
8** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |||
| Brown (4‑16) vs Colgate (9‑13‑2) |
1 | Brown Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 34% | 38% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 27% | 39% | 27% | ||
| Colgate Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 23% | 40% | 33% | ||
| Cornell (14‑5) vs Yale (7‑13) |
0 | Cornell Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 25% | 39% | 28% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 27% | 39% | 27% | ||
| Yale Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 28% | 40% | 27% | ||
| Dartmouth (14‑6‑1) vs Union (15‑8‑2) |
0 | Dartmouth Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 26% | 40% | 27% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 27% | 39% | 27% | ||
| Union Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 27% | 39% | 27% | ||
| St. Lawrence (3‑20‑3) vs Quinnipiac (19‑5‑2) |
0 | St. Lawrence Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 22% | 32% | 39% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 27% | 39% | 27% | ||
| Quinnipiac Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 27% | 40% | 26% | ||
| Harvard (11‑8‑1) vs Rensselaer (6‑18) |
0 | Harvard Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 27% | 39% | 28% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 27% | 39% | 27% | ||
| Rensselaer Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 4% | 18% | 46% | 31% | ||
| Princeton (11‑8‑1) vs Clarkson (11‑13‑2) |
0 | Princeton Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 26% | 39% | 27% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 27% | 39% | 27% | ||
| Clarkson Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 27% | 40% | 28% | ||