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Wed Nov 19 10:15 pm

ECAC Hockey - Week 8 of 22

Brown Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the Brown Bears are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Bears final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Brown Bears fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.

Brown Most Important Series
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)		 Remaining
Games Winner		 Brown Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3*
First Round Bye
 4*
First Round Bye
 5**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 6**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 7**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 8**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 9 10 11 12
Brown
(2‑5)
vs
Yale
(2‑3)
1 Game Remaining		 8 Brown Sweeps 1 Game <1% <1% 2% 4% 6% 9% 11% 14% 15% 15% 14% 9%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% 1% 3% 5% 8% 10% 12% 14% 16% 16% 14%
Yale Sweeps 1 Game <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 7% 10% 12% 14% 17% 18% 16%
Rensselaer
(3‑9)
vs
Colgate
(4‑7‑1)
1 Game Remaining		 1 Rensselaer Sweeps 1 Game <1% <1% 1% 3% 5% 8% 10% 12% 14% 15% 17% 15%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% 1% 3% 5% 8% 10% 12% 14% 16% 16% 14%
Colgate Sweeps 1 Game <1% <1% 1% 3% 5% 8% 10% 12% 14% 16% 16% 14%
St. Lawrence
(2‑9‑1)
vs
Princeton
(3‑2)
1 Game Remaining		 1 St. Lawrence Sweeps 1 Game <1% <1% 1% 3% 5% 8% 10% 12% 14% 15% 15% 16%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% 1% 3% 5% 8% 10% 12% 14% 16% 16% 14%
Princeton Sweeps 1 Game <1% <1% 1% 3% 5% 8% 10% 12% 14% 16% 16% 14%
Cornell
(4‑2)
vs
Union
(8‑2‑1)
1 Game Remaining		 0 Cornell Sweeps 1 Game <1% <1% 1% 3% 5% 8% 10% 12% 14% 16% 16% 14%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% 1% 3% 5% 8% 10% 12% 14% 16% 16% 14%
Union Sweeps 1 Game <1% <1% 1% 3% 5% 7% 10% 12% 14% 16% 17% 14%
Quinnipiac
(7‑3‑2)
vs
Clarkson
(4‑8)
1 Game Remaining		 0 Quinnipiac Sweeps 1 Game <1% <1% 1% 3% 5% 7% 10% 12% 14% 16% 16% 14%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% 1% 3% 5% 8% 10% 12% 14% 16% 16% 14%
Clarkson Sweeps 1 Game <1% <1% 1% 3% 5% 7% 10% 12% 14% 16% 16% 15%


Brown Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)		 Game
Winner		 Brown Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3*
First Round Bye
 4*
First Round Bye
 5**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 6**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 7**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 8**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 9 10 11 12
Brown
(2‑5)
vs
Yale
(2‑3)		 8 Brown Wins <1% <1% 2% 4% 6% 9% 11% 14% 15% 15% 14% 9%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% 1% 3% 5% 8% 10% 12% 14% 16% 16% 14%
Yale Wins <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 7% 10% 12% 14% 17% 18% 16%
Rensselaer
(3‑9)
vs
Colgate
(4‑7‑1)		 1 Rensselaer Wins <1% <1% 1% 3% 5% 8% 10% 12% 14% 15% 17% 15%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% 1% 3% 5% 8% 10% 12% 14% 16% 16% 14%
Colgate Wins <1% <1% 1% 3% 5% 8% 10% 12% 14% 16% 16% 14%
St. Lawrence
(2‑9‑1)
vs
Princeton
(3‑2)		 1 St. Lawrence Wins <1% <1% 1% 3% 5% 8% 10% 12% 14% 15% 15% 16%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% 1% 3% 5% 8% 10% 12% 14% 16% 16% 14%
Princeton Wins <1% <1% 1% 3% 5% 8% 10% 12% 14% 16% 16% 14%
Cornell
(4‑2)
vs
Union
(8‑2‑1)		 0 Cornell Wins <1% <1% 1% 3% 5% 8% 10% 12% 14% 16% 16% 14%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% 1% 3% 5% 8% 10% 12% 14% 16% 16% 14%
Union Wins <1% <1% 1% 3% 5% 7% 10% 12% 14% 16% 17% 14%
Quinnipiac
(7‑3‑2)
vs
Clarkson
(4‑8)		 0 Quinnipiac Wins <1% <1% 1% 3% 5% 7% 10% 12% 14% 16% 16% 14%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% 1% 3% 5% 8% 10% 12% 14% 16% 16% 14%
Clarkson Wins <1% <1% 1% 3% 5% 7% 10% 12% 14% 16% 16% 15%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • * denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the post season conference tournament