The Most Important Games for the Maine Black Bears are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Black Bears final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Maine Black Bears fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Maine Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
7*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
9 | 10 | 11 | |||
| Maine (5‑5) vs Vermont (5‑3‑1) 2 Games Remaining |
29 | Maine Sweeps 2 Games | 3% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 12% | 8% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 14% | 16% | 13% | 5% | ||
| Vermont Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 16% | 17% | 16% | 6% | ||
| Boston College (2‑5‑2) vs MassachusettsMass. (5‑5‑1) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Boston College Sweeps 1 Game | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 14% | 16% | 13% | 5% | ||
| MassachusettsMass. Sweeps 1 Game | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 14% | 16% | 13% | 5% | ||
| ConnecticutUConn (4‑5‑1) vs NortheasternN. Eastern (4‑2) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | ConnecticutUConn Sweeps 2 Games | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 14% | 16% | 13% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 14% | 16% | 13% | 5% | ||
| NortheasternN. Eastern Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 16% | 14% | 6% | ||
| Providence (6‑2) vs Merrimack (6‑1‑2) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Providence Sweeps 1 Game | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 14% | 16% | 13% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 14% | 16% | 13% | 5% | ||
| Merrimack Sweeps 1 Game | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 14% | 16% | 14% | 6% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Maine Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
7*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
9 | 10 | 11 | |||
| Maine (5‑5) vs Vermont (5‑3‑1) |
13 | Maine Wins | 2% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 11% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 14% | 16% | 13% | 5% | ||
| Vermont Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 15% | 17% | 14% | 6% | ||
| Boston College (2‑5‑2) vs MassachusettsMass. (5‑5‑1) |
1 | Boston College Wins | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 14% | 16% | 13% | 5% | ||
| MassachusettsMass. Wins | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 14% | 16% | 13% | 5% | ||
| ConnecticutUConn (4‑5‑1) vs NortheasternN. Eastern (4‑2) |
0 | ConnecticutUConn Wins | 1% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 14% | 16% | 13% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 14% | 16% | 13% | 5% | ||
| NortheasternN. Eastern Wins | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 14% | 16% | 13% | 6% | ||
| Providence (6‑2) vs Merrimack (6‑1‑2) |
0 | Providence Wins | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 14% | 16% | 13% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 14% | 16% | 13% | 5% | ||
| Merrimack Wins | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 14% | 16% | 14% | 6% | ||