The Most Important Games for the Maine Black Bears are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Black Bears final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Maine Black Bears fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Maine Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
7*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
9 | 10 | 11 | |||
| Maine (15‑4‑2) vs ConnecticutUConn (12‑8‑1) 2 Games Remaining |
6 | Maine Sweeps 2 Games | 60% | 25% | 11% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 50% | 26% | 14% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| ConnecticutUConn Sweeps 2 Games | 25% | 29% | 23% | 12% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Merrimack (8‑11‑1) vs MassachusettsMass. (10‑10‑2) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Merrimack Sweeps 1 Game | 50% | 27% | 14% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 50% | 26% | 14% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| MassachusettsMass. Sweeps 1 Game | 49% | 26% | 14% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| New Hampshire (10‑6‑3) vs Boston University (11‑7‑1) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | New Hampshire Sweeps 1 Game | 51% | 26% | 14% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 50% | 26% | 14% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Boston University Sweeps 1 Game | 49% | 26% | 14% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Vermont (8‑10‑3) vs NortheasternN. Eastern (7‑10‑4) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Vermont Sweeps 2 Games | 49% | 27% | 14% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 50% | 26% | 14% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| NortheasternN. Eastern Sweeps 2 Games | 50% | 27% | 14% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Providence (15‑3‑2) vs Boston College (13‑4‑1) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Providence Sweeps 1 Game | 52% | 25% | 14% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 50% | 26% | 14% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Boston College Sweeps 1 Game | 50% | 27% | 14% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Maine Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
7*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
9 | 10 | 11 | |||
| Maine (15‑4‑2) vs ConnecticutUConn (12‑8‑1) |
2 | Maine Wins | 56% | 26% | 12% | 4% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 50% | 26% | 14% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| ConnecticutUConn Wins | 39% | 28% | 18% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Merrimack (8‑11‑1) vs MassachusettsMass. (10‑10‑2) |
0 | Merrimack Wins | 50% | 27% | 14% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 50% | 26% | 14% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| MassachusettsMass. Wins | 49% | 26% | 14% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| New Hampshire (10‑6‑3) vs Boston University (11‑7‑1) |
0 | New Hampshire Wins | 51% | 26% | 14% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 50% | 26% | 14% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Boston University Wins | 49% | 26% | 14% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Vermont (8‑10‑3) vs NortheasternN. Eastern (7‑10‑4) |
0 | Vermont Wins | 51% | 26% | 14% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 50% | 26% | 14% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| NortheasternN. Eastern Wins | 49% | 26% | 15% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Providence (15‑3‑2) vs Boston College (13‑4‑1) |
0 | Providence Wins | 52% | 25% | 14% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 50% | 26% | 14% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Boston College Wins | 50% | 27% | 14% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||