The Most Important Games for the Maine Black Bears are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Black Bears final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Maine Black Bears fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Maine Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
7*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
9 | 10 | 11 | |||
| Vermont (8‑12) vs ConnecticutUConn (13‑6‑3) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Vermont Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 4% | 8% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 8% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 5% | ||
| ConnecticutUConn Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 4% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 5% | ||
| Merrimack (10‑11) vs MassachusettsMass. (11‑10) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Merrimack Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 4% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 8% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 5% | ||
| MassachusettsMass. Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 4% | 8% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 5% | ||
| New Hampshire (11‑9) vs NortheasternN. Eastern (11‑9) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | New Hampshire Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 4% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 8% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 5% | ||
| NortheasternN. Eastern Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 4% | 8% | 11% | 12% | 14% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 5% | ||
| Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell (9‑13) vs Boston University (11‑10‑1) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 4% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 8% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 5% | ||
| Boston University Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 4% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 5% | ||
| Providence (12‑7‑2) vs Boston College (11‑7‑1) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Providence Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 3% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 8% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 5% | ||
| Boston College Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 3% | 7% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 5% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Maine Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
7*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
9 | 10 | 11 | |||
| Vermont (8‑12) vs ConnecticutUConn (13‑6‑3) |
1 | Vermont Wins | 1% | 4% | 8% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 8% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 5% | ||
| ConnecticutUConn Wins | 1% | 4% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 5% | ||
| Merrimack (10‑11) vs MassachusettsMass. (11‑10) |
1 | Merrimack Wins | 1% | 4% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 8% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 5% | ||
| MassachusettsMass. Wins | 1% | 4% | 8% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 5% | ||
| New Hampshire (11‑9) vs NortheasternN. Eastern (11‑9) |
1 | New Hampshire Wins | 1% | 4% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 8% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 5% | ||
| NortheasternN. Eastern Wins | 1% | 4% | 8% | 11% | 12% | 14% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 5% | ||
| Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell (9‑13) vs Boston University (11‑10‑1) |
0 | Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell Wins | 1% | 4% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 8% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 5% | ||
| Boston University Wins | 1% | 4% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 5% | ||
| Providence (12‑7‑2) vs Boston College (11‑7‑1) |
0 | Providence Wins | 1% | 3% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 8% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 5% | ||
| Boston College Wins | 1% | 3% | 7% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 5% | ||