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Mon Jan 12 10:15 pm

Hockey East - Week 16 of 23

Providence Friars Standings

Where are the Providence Friars going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The Providence standings table presents the probabilities of the Friars winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Hockey East Standings
Record Regular Season Finish
Team WRi
Schedule Content
Wins in Regulation
-----
Hover/Touch Content
Recent Games
WOSi
Wins in OT and SO
LOSi
Loses in OT and SO
LRi
Loses in Regulation
GPi
Games Played
24 game season
Ptsi
Pts = 3*WR + 2*WOS + 1*LOS + 0*LR
1*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantange
2*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantange
3*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantange
4*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantange
5**
First Round Bye
6***
First Round Home Field
Advantange
7***
First Round Home Field
Advantange
8***
First Round Home Field
Advantange
9 10 11
ConnecticutUConn 7i
Connecticut Recent Games

Lost Fri, Jan 09 vs Mass.-Lowell      3-5

Won  Sat, Jan 10 @  Mass.-Lowell      5-1

     Fri, Jan 16 vs Vermont           
     Sat, Jan 17 vs Vermont           

2 0 4 13 25 23% 24% 18% 12% 9% 6% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1%
Boston College 7
Boston College Recent Games

Lost Sun, Dec 28 @  Western Michigan  3-5

Won  Mon, Dec 29 @  Lake S.           4-3

     Fri, Jan 16 vs Provid.           

0 0 3 10 21 31% 20% 15% 11% 8% 6% 4% 3% 1% 1% <1%
Providence 6
Providence Recent Games

Won  Fri, Jan 02 vs Alaska            5-2
Lost Sat, Jan 03 vs Alaska            1-5

Won  Fri, Jan 09 vs Maine             6-1
Won  Sat, Jan 10 vs Maine             3-0

     Fri, Jan 16 @  Boston College    

0 2 2 10 20 24% 20% 15% 12% 9% 7% 5% 4% 2% 1% <1%
Boston University 5
Boston University Recent Games

Lost Sat, Jan 10 vs Massachusetts     0-2

Won  Mon, Jan 12 @  Harvard           4-1

     Fri, Jan 16 vs Mass.-Lowell      

2 1 5 13 20 4% 9% 12% 14% 14% 13% 12% 10% 7% 4% 1%
NortheasternN. Eastern 4
Northeastern Recent Games

Lost Fri, Jan 02 @  Army              2-5

Lost Fri, Jan 09 @  Vermont           2-3
Lost Sat, Jan 10 @  Vermont           3-5

     Fri, Jan 16 @  New Hampshire     

1 2 4 11 16 1% 4% 6% 8% 10% 11% 12% 13% 14% 13% 9%
Maine 4
Maine Recent Games

Won  Fri, Jan 02 @  Denver            5-2
Tie  Sat, Jan 03 @  Denver            3-3

Lost Fri, Jan 09 @  Provid.           1-6
Lost Sat, Jan 10 @  Provid.           0-3

     Fri, Jan 23 @  Mass.-Lowell      
     Sat, Jan 24 @  Mass.-Lowell      

2 0 7 13 16 1% 4% 8% 11% 12% 13% 13% 12% 11% 9% 4%
New Hampshire 5
New Hampshire Recent Games

Won  Sun, Dec 14 vs Dartmouth         3-2

Lost Sat, Jan 03 vs Colgate           2-3
Won  Sun, Jan 04 vs Colgate           3-2

     Fri, Jan 16 vs N. Eastern        

0 0 4 9 15 14% 14% 13% 12% 11% 9% 8% 7% 6% 4% 2%
Vermont 5
Vermont Recent Games

Won  Sat, Jan 03 vs Rensselaer        3-0

Won  Fri, Jan 09 vs N. Eastern        3-2
Won  Sat, Jan 10 vs N. Eastern        5-3

     Fri, Jan 16 @  UConn             
     Sat, Jan 17 @  UConn             

0 0 6 11 15 <1% 1% 3% 4% 6% 8% 10% 13% 16% 18% 19%
Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell 4
Mass.-Lowell Recent Games

Won  Fri, Jan 09 @  UConn             5-3

Lost Sat, Jan 10 vs UConn             1-5

     Fri, Jan 16 @  Boston University 

0 1 6 11 13 <1% 1% 3% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% 18% 23%
Merrimack 4
Merrimack Recent Games

Won  Sat, Jan 03 @  Brown             3-2

Won  Sat, Jan 10 @  Holy Cross        5-2

     Fri, Jan 16 vs Massachusetts     

0 1 6 11 13 1% 2% 5% 7% 9% 11% 12% 13% 14% 14% 12%
MassachusettsMass. 2
Massachusetts Recent Games

Lost Fri, Jan 09 vs Boston University 0-1

Won  Sat, Jan 10 @  Boston University 2-0

     Fri, Jan 16 @  Merrimack         

1 1 6 10 9 <1% 1% 2% 4% 5% 7% 9% 11% 14% 18% 29%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • * denotes first round bye and second round home field advantage in the post season conference tournament
  • ** denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament
  • *** denotes first round home field advantage in the post season conference tournament


(3) Friars 1st Round Playoff Matchup Probabilities
Record Total Home
(16%)
Away
(4%)
Opponent WRi
Wins in Regulation
WOSi
Wins in OT and SO
LOSi
Losses in OT and SO
LRi
Losses in Regulation
Ptsi
Pts = 3*WR + 2*WOS + 1*LOS + 0*LR
Bye 80%
(11)MassachusettsMass. 2 1 1 6 9 4% 4% 1%
(9)Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell 4 0 1 6 13 4% 4% <1%
(10)Merrimack 4 0 1 6 13 3% 3% <1%
(8)Vermont 5 0 0 6 15 3% 2% 1%
(5)NortheasternN. Eastern 4 1 2 4 16 2% 2% <1%
(6)Maine 4 2 0 7 16 2% 1% <1%
(4)Boston University 5 2 1 5 20 1% <1% <1%
(7)New Hampshire 5 0 0 4 15 1% <1% <1%
(2)Boston College 7 0 0 3 21 <1% <1% <1%
(1)ConnecticutUConn 7 2 0 4 25 <1% <1% <1%
Elimination X



Friars Conference Schedule
Current Week 16
Week Wk Opponent Score Home / Away Date / Time (ET)
5 Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell
(8‑13)
5‑2 Home Fri Oct 31, 7:00 pm
5 Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell
(8‑13)
1‑5 Away Sat Nov 1, 6:05 pm
6 ConnecticutUConn
(12‑6‑3)
4‑1 Away Fri Nov 7, 7:00 pm
6 ConnecticutUConn
(12‑6‑3)
2‑2 (SO) Home Sat Nov 8, 7:00 pm
7 Merrimack
(10‑10)
4‑2 Home Fri Nov 14, 7:00 pm
7 Merrimack
(10‑10)
2‑3 Away Sat Nov 15, 6:00 pm
8 MassachusettsMass.
(10‑10)
1‑2 (OT) Home Thu Nov 20, 7:00 pm
8 MassachusettsMass.
(10‑10)
5‑1 Away Sat Nov 22, 7:00 pm
15 Maine
(12‑9‑2)
6‑1 Home Fri Jan 9, 7:00 pm
15 Maine
(12‑9‑2)
3‑0 Home Sat Jan 10, 6:00 pm
16 Boston College
(11‑6‑1)
  Away Fri Jan 16, 7:00 pm
16 Boston College
(11‑6‑1)
  Home Sat Jan 17, 7:00 pm
17 Boston University
(11‑9‑1)
  Home Fri Jan 23, 7:00 pm
17 Boston University
(11‑9‑1)
  Away Sat Jan 24, 7:00 pm
18 Maine
(12‑9‑2)
  Away Sat Jan 31, 7:00 pm
19 New Hampshire
(11‑8)
  Away Fri Feb 6, 7:00 pm
19 Vermont
(8‑11)
  Home Sat Feb 7, 7:00 pm
20 NortheasternN. Eastern
(10‑9)
  Home Fri Feb 13, 7:00 pm
20 NortheasternN. Eastern
(10‑9)
  Away Sun Feb 15, 4:00 pm
21 Vermont
(8‑11)
  Away Fri Feb 20, 7:00 pm
21 Vermont
(8‑11)
  Away Sat Feb 21, TBD
22 New Hampshire
(11‑8)
  Home Fri Feb 27, 7:00 pm
22 New Hampshire
(11‑8)
  Away Sat Feb 28, 7:00 pm
23 ConnecticutUConn
(12‑6‑3)
  Home Sat Mar 7, 4:00 pm


Friars Nonconference Schedule
Week Wk Opponent Conference Score Home / Away Date / Time (ET)
2 Michigan
(18‑4)
Big 10Big 10 1‑5 Home Fri Oct 10
2 Michigan
(18‑4)
Big 10Big 10 1‑3 Home Sat Oct 11
3 Rensselaer
(5‑16)
ECACECAC 5‑1 Away Sat Oct 18
4 St. Thomas
(12‑7‑3)
CCHACCHA 2‑2 (OT) Away Fri Oct 24, 8:07 pm
4 St. Thomas
(12‑7‑3)
CCHACCHA 7‑4 Away Sat Oct 25, 8:07 pm
9 Colorado College
(9‑10‑3)
NCHCNCHC 2‑3 Away Fri Nov 28, 9:00 pm
9 Colorado College
(9‑10‑3)
NCHCNCHC 2‑1 Away Sat Nov 29, 8:00 pm
11 Brown
(4‑13)
ECACECAC 4‑2 Away Tue Dec 9, 7:00 pm
14 Alaska
(5‑13‑1)
NCAA IndependentsInd. 5‑2 Home Fri Jan 2, 7:00 pm
14 Alaska
(5‑13‑1)
NCAA IndependentsInd. 1‑5 Home Sat Jan 3, 5:00 pm