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Mon Feb 17 7:15 pm

Hockey East - Week 21 of 23

Providence Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the Providence Friars are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Friars final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Providence Friars fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.

Providence Most Important Series
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Remaining
Games Winner
Providence Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantange
2*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantange
3*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantange
4*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantange
5**
First Round Bye
6***
First Round Home Field
Advantange
7***
First Round Home Field
Advantange
8***
First Round Home Field
Advantange
9 10 11
Providence
(17‑8‑5)

vs
Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell
(15‑11‑3)

1 Game Remaining
43 Providence Sweeps 1 Game <1% <1% 11% 36% 27% 15% 8% 3% 1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% 7% 27% 25% 21% 11% 6% 2% <1% <1%
Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell Sweeps 1 Game X X 1% 10% 24% 31% 18% 11% 4% 1% <1%
Maine
(19‑5‑5)

vs
ConnecticutUConn
(16‑10‑3)

1 Game Remaining
9 Maine Sweeps 1 Game X <1% 9% 31% 23% 18% 11% 6% 2% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% 7% 27% 25% 21% 11% 6% 2% <1% <1%
ConnecticutUConn Sweeps 1 Game <1% <1% 6% 22% 27% 25% 12% 6% 2% <1% <1%
New Hampshire
(11‑13‑4)

vs
MassachusettsMass.
(16‑12‑2)

1 Game Remaining
3 New Hampshire Sweeps 1 Game <1% <1% 8% 28% 26% 22% 12% 4% 1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% 7% 27% 25% 21% 11% 6% 2% <1% <1%
MassachusettsMass. Sweeps 1 Game <1% <1% 8% 26% 25% 21% 11% 7% 2% <1% <1%
NortheasternN. Eastern
(10‑15‑3)

vs
Boston University
(17‑11‑1)

1 Game Remaining
1 NortheasternN. Eastern Sweeps 1 Game <1% <1% 13% 24% 23% 20% 12% 6% 2% 1% <1%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% 7% 27% 25% 21% 11% 6% 2% <1% <1%
Boston University Sweeps 1 Game <1% <1% 5% 29% 26% 21% 11% 6% 1% <1% <1%
Boston College
(22‑6‑1)

vs
Vermont
(11‑14‑3)

2 Games Remaining
1 Boston College Sweeps 2 Games X <1% 7% 27% 25% 21% 12% 6% 1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% 7% 27% 25% 21% 11% 6% 2% <1% <1%
Vermont Sweeps 2 Games <1% <1% 7% 27% 25% 20% 11% 7% 3% 1% <1%


Providence Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
Providence Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantange
2*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantange
3*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantange
4*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantange
5**
First Round Bye
6***
First Round Home Field
Advantange
7***
First Round Home Field
Advantange
8***
First Round Home Field
Advantange
9 10 11
Providence
(17‑8‑5)

vs
Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell
(15‑11‑3)
43 Providence Wins <1% <1% 11% 36% 27% 15% 8% 3% 1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% 7% 27% 25% 21% 11% 6% 2% <1% <1%
Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell Wins X X 1% 10% 24% 31% 18% 11% 4% 1% <1%
Maine
(19‑5‑5)

vs
ConnecticutUConn
(16‑10‑3)
9 Maine Wins X <1% 9% 31% 23% 18% 11% 6% 2% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% 7% 27% 25% 21% 11% 6% 2% <1% <1%
ConnecticutUConn Wins <1% <1% 6% 22% 27% 25% 12% 6% 2% <1% <1%
New Hampshire
(11‑13‑4)

vs
MassachusettsMass.
(16‑12‑2)
3 New Hampshire Wins <1% <1% 8% 28% 26% 22% 12% 4% 1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% 7% 27% 25% 21% 11% 6% 2% <1% <1%
MassachusettsMass. Wins <1% <1% 8% 26% 25% 21% 11% 7% 2% <1% <1%
NortheasternN. Eastern
(10‑15‑3)

vs
Boston University
(17‑11‑1)
1 NortheasternN. Eastern Wins <1% <1% 13% 24% 23% 20% 12% 6% 2% 1% <1%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% 7% 27% 25% 21% 11% 6% 2% <1% <1%
Boston University Wins <1% <1% 5% 29% 26% 21% 11% 6% 1% <1% <1%
Boston College
(22‑6‑1)

vs
Vermont
(11‑14‑3)
1 Boston College Wins X <1% 8% 27% 25% 21% 12% 6% 2% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% 7% 27% 25% 21% 11% 6% 2% <1% <1%
Vermont Wins <1% <1% 8% 27% 25% 20% 12% 6% 2% 1% <1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • * denotes first round bye and second round home field advantage in the post season conference tournament
  • ** denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament
  • *** denotes first round home field advantage in the post season conference tournament