The Most Important Games for the Providence Friars are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Friars final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Providence Friars fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Providence Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
7*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
9 | 10 | 11 | |||
| Providence (4‑3‑2) vs Merrimack (3‑5) 1 Game Remaining |
16 | Providence Sweeps 1 Game | 8% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | ||
| Merrimack Sweeps 1 Game | 5% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | ||
| NortheasternN. Eastern (7‑1) vs ConnecticutUConn (4‑4‑2) 1 Game Remaining |
2 | NortheasternN. Eastern Sweeps 1 Game | 7% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | ||
| ConnecticutUConn Sweeps 1 Game | 8% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 5% | 3% | ||
| Vermont (3‑5) vs Maine (6‑3‑1) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Vermont Sweeps 2 Games | 8% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | ||
| Maine Sweeps 2 Games | 7% | 13% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | ||
| Boston College (4‑4‑1) vs MassachusettsMass. (7‑4) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Boston College Sweeps 1 Game | 7% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | ||
| MassachusettsMass. Sweeps 1 Game | 8% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Providence Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
7*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
9 | 10 | 11 | |||
| Providence (4‑3‑2) vs Merrimack (3‑5) |
16 | Providence Wins | 8% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | ||
| Merrimack Wins | 5% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | ||
| NortheasternN. Eastern (7‑1) vs ConnecticutUConn (4‑4‑2) |
2 | NortheasternN. Eastern Wins | 7% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | ||
| ConnecticutUConn Wins | 8% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 5% | 3% | ||
| Vermont (3‑5) vs Maine (6‑3‑1) |
0 | Vermont Wins | 8% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | ||
| Maine Wins | 7% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% | ||
| Boston College (4‑4‑1) vs MassachusettsMass. (7‑4) |
0 | Boston College Wins | 7% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | ||
| MassachusettsMass. Wins | 8% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | ||