The Most Important Games for Real Madrid are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's table probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Real Madrid fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Real Madrid Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season Finish | RelegationRel | |||||||||||||||||||
| 1* La Liga Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | ||||
| Real Madrid (8‑1) vs Barcelona (7‑1‑1) |
36 | Real Madrid Wins | 49% | 23% | 12% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 43% | 24% | 13% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Barcelona Wins | 35% | 27% | 15% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Valencia (2‑4‑3) vs Villarreal (5‑2‑2) |
3 | Valencia Wins | 43% | 25% | 13% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 43% | 24% | 13% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Villarreal Wins | 42% | 25% | 13% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Girona (1‑5‑3) vs Real Oviedo (2‑6) |
2 | Girona Wins | 43% | 24% | 13% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 43% | 24% | 13% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Real Oviedo Wins | 43% | 24% | 13% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Getafe (3‑4‑2) vs Athletic Bilbao (4‑3‑2) |
1 | Getafe Wins | 43% | 24% | 13% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 43% | 24% | 13% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Athletic Bilbao Wins | 43% | 25% | 13% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Espanyol (3‑2‑3) vs Elche (3‑1‑5) |
1 | Espanyol Wins | 43% | 24% | 13% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 43% | 24% | 13% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Elche Wins | 43% | 25% | 13% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Rayo Vallecano (3‑4‑2) vs Alavés (3‑3‑3) |
1 | Rayo Vallecano Wins | 43% | 24% | 13% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 43% | 24% | 13% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Alavés Wins | 43% | 25% | 12% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Mallorca (2‑5‑2) vs Levante (2‑5‑2) |
0 | Mallorca Wins | 43% | 24% | 13% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 43% | 24% | 13% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Levante Wins | 43% | 24% | 13% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Celta Vigo (0‑2‑7) vs Osasuna (3‑5‑1) |
0 | Celta Vigo Wins | 43% | 25% | 13% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 43% | 24% | 13% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Osasuna Wins | 43% | 24% | 13% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Real Sociedad (1‑5‑3) vs Sevilla FC (4‑4‑1) |
0 | Real Sociedad Wins | 43% | 25% | 13% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 43% | 24% | 13% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Sevilla FC Wins | 43% | 24% | 13% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||