The Most Important Games for Real Madrid are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's table probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Real Madrid fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Real Madrid Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season Finish | RelegationRel | |||||||||||||||||||
| 1* La Liga Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | ||||
| Real Madrid (3‑0) vs Real Betis (2‑1) |
51 | Real Madrid Wins | 18% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 5% | ||
| Real Betis Wins | 9% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 6% | ||
| Málaga (0‑2‑1) vs Levante (1‑1‑1) |
3 | Málaga Wins | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 5% | ||
| Levante Wins | 12% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 5% | ||
| Valencia (0‑2‑1) vs Barcelona (3‑0) |
2 | Valencia Wins | 12% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 5% | ||
| Barcelona Wins | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 5% | ||
| Rayo Vallecano (0‑2‑1) vs Santander (1‑1‑1) |
2 | Rayo Vallecano Wins | 13% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 5% | ||
| Santander Wins | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 4% | ||
| Atletico Madrid (2‑0‑1) vs Athletic Bilbao (1‑2) |
2 | Atletico Madrid Wins | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 5% | ||
| Athletic Bilbao Wins | 12% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 5% | ||
| Espanyol (1‑2) vs Sevilla FC (2‑1) |
2 | Espanyol Wins | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 5% | ||
| Sevilla FC Wins | 12% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 4% | ||
| Real Sociedad (1‑2) vs Celta Vigo (0‑2‑1) |
0 | Real Sociedad Wins | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 5% | ||
| Celta Vigo Wins | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 5% | ||
| Osasuna (2‑0‑1) vs Alavés (2‑0‑1) |
0 | Osasuna Wins | 13% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 5% | ||
| Alavés Wins | 13% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 5% | ||
| Villarreal (0‑1‑2) vs Deportivo (1‑0‑2) |
0 | Villarreal Wins | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 5% | ||
| Deportivo Wins | 12% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 4% | ||