The Most Important Games for Real Madrid are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's table probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Real Madrid fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Real Madrid Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season Finish | RelegationRel | |||||||||||||||||||
| 1* La Liga Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | ||||
| Real Madrid (11‑2‑3) vs Alavés (5‑7‑3) |
22 | Real Madrid Wins | 20% | 33% | 28% | 15% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 32% | 28% | 17% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Alavés Wins | 12% | 29% | 30% | 20% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Osasuna (3‑8‑3) vs Barcelona (13‑2‑1) |
10 | Osasuna Wins | 22% | 30% | 26% | 16% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 32% | 28% | 17% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Barcelona Wins | 17% | 32% | 29% | 17% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Levante (2‑9‑3) vs Villarreal (11‑2‑2) |
4 | Levante Wins | 19% | 35% | 25% | 15% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 32% | 28% | 17% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Villarreal Wins | 17% | 31% | 29% | 17% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Valencia (3‑6‑6) vs Atletico Madrid (9‑3‑4) |
2 | Valencia Wins | 18% | 35% | 28% | 14% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 32% | 28% | 17% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Atletico Madrid Wins | 18% | 32% | 27% | 17% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Real Sociedad (4‑7‑4) vs Girona (2‑7‑6) |
1 | Real Sociedad Wins | 18% | 32% | 28% | 16% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 32% | 28% | 17% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Girona Wins | 17% | 32% | 28% | 16% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Getafe (6‑7‑2) vs Espanyol (8‑4‑3) |
1 | Getafe Wins | 18% | 32% | 28% | 17% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 32% | 28% | 17% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Espanyol Wins | 18% | 32% | 28% | 17% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Athletic Bilbao (7‑7‑2) vs Celta Vigo (4‑4‑7) |
1 | Athletic Bilbao Wins | 18% | 32% | 28% | 17% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 32% | 28% | 17% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Celta Vigo Wins | 17% | 32% | 28% | 17% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Elche (4‑4‑7) vs Mallorca (3‑7‑5) |
0 | Elche Wins | 18% | 32% | 28% | 17% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 32% | 28% | 17% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Mallorca Wins | 17% | 32% | 28% | 17% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Sevilla FC (5‑8‑2) vs Real Oviedo (2‑9‑4) |
0 | Sevilla FC Wins | 18% | 32% | 28% | 17% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 32% | 28% | 17% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Real Oviedo Wins | 18% | 32% | 28% | 17% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Osasuna (3‑8‑3) vs Levante (2‑9‑3) |
0 | Osasuna Wins | 18% | 31% | 28% | 17% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 32% | 28% | 17% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Levante Wins | 18% | 32% | 28% | 17% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||