The Most Important Games for Real Madrid are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's table probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Real Madrid fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Real Madrid Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season Finish | RelegationRel | |||||||||||||||||||
| 1* La Liga Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | ||||
| Real Madrid (6‑1) vs Villarreal (5‑1‑1) |
26 | Real Madrid Wins | 18% | 27% | 18% | 12% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 16% | 25% | 17% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Villarreal Wins | 12% | 23% | 18% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Sevilla FC (3‑3‑1) vs Barcelona (6‑0‑1) |
7 | Sevilla FC Wins | 18% | 24% | 16% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 16% | 25% | 17% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Barcelona Wins | 15% | 26% | 17% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Celta Vigo (0‑2‑5) vs Atletico Madrid (3‑1‑3) |
2 | Celta Vigo Wins | 16% | 27% | 17% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 16% | 25% | 17% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Atletico Madrid Wins | 16% | 25% | 17% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Real Betis (3‑1‑3) vs Espanyol (3‑1‑3) |
2 | Real Betis Wins | 16% | 25% | 18% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 16% | 25% | 17% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Espanyol Wins | 16% | 25% | 17% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Rayo Vallecano (1‑4‑2) vs Real Sociedad (1‑4‑2) |
2 | Rayo Vallecano Wins | 16% | 26% | 17% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 16% | 25% | 17% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Real Sociedad Wins | 15% | 26% | 17% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Girona (0‑4‑3) vs Valencia (2‑3‑2) |
1 | Girona Wins | 16% | 26% | 18% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 16% | 25% | 17% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Valencia Wins | 15% | 26% | 17% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Mallorca (1‑4‑2) vs Athletic Bilbao (3‑3‑1) |
1 | Mallorca Wins | 16% | 25% | 17% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 16% | 25% | 17% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Athletic Bilbao Wins | 16% | 26% | 17% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Levante (1‑4‑2) vs Real Oviedo (2‑5) |
1 | Levante Wins | 16% | 26% | 17% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 16% | 25% | 17% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Real Oviedo Wins | 16% | 26% | 17% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Getafe (3‑2‑2) vs Osasuna (2‑4‑1) |
0 | Getafe Wins | 16% | 25% | 17% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 16% | 25% | 17% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Osasuna Wins | 16% | 25% | 17% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Alavés (2‑3‑2) vs Elche (3‑0‑4) |
0 | Alavés Wins | 16% | 26% | 17% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 16% | 25% | 17% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Elche Wins | 16% | 25% | 17% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||