The Real Madrid What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Season Finish | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* La Liga Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | ||
Win Next Game | 7 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 18% | 27% | 18% | 12% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Current Standings | 6 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 16% | 25% | 17% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Lose Next Game | 6 | 2 | 0 | 18 | 12% | 23% | 18% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | |||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* La Liga Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | ||
Best Case Scenario | 20% | 26% | 17% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Current Standings | 16% | 25% | 17% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Worst Case Scenario | 12% | 24% | 18% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Best Case Scenario Real Madrid beats Villarreal Sevilla FC beats Barcelona |
Worst Case Scenario Villarreal beats Real Madrid Barcelona beats Sevilla FC |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | |||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* La Liga Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | |||
31 of 31 | 100% | 37 | 1 | 0 | 111 | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
30 of 31 | 97% | 36 | 2 | 0 | 108 | >99% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
27 of 31 | 87% | 33 | 5 | 0 | 99 | 88% | 12% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
26 of 31 | 84% | 32 | 6 | 0 | 96 | 76% | 24% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
25 of 31 | 81% | 31 | 7 | 0 | 93 | 61% | 38% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
24 of 31 | 77% | 30 | 8 | 0 | 90 | 45% | 51% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
23 of 31 | 74% | 29 | 9 | 0 | 87 | 29% | 59% | 11% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
22 of 31 | 71% | 28 | 10 | 0 | 84 | 17% | 59% | 22% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
21 of 31 | 68% | 27 | 11 | 0 | 81 | 8% | 49% | 35% | 7% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
20 of 31 | 65% | 26 | 12 | 0 | 78 | 3% | 34% | 43% | 17% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
19 of 31 | 61% | 25 | 13 | 0 | 75 | 1% | 19% | 42% | 30% | 8% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
18 of 31 | 58% | 24 | 14 | 0 | 72 | <1% | 7% | 30% | 38% | 20% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
17 of 31 | 55% | 23 | 15 | 0 | 69 | <1% | 2% | 14% | 34% | 32% | 14% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
16 of 31 | 52% | 22 | 16 | 0 | 66 | <1% | <1% | 4% | 19% | 34% | 29% | 11% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
15 of 31 | 48% | 21 | 17 | 0 | 63 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 21% | 34% | 26% | 10% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
14 of 31 | 45% | 20 | 18 | 0 | 60 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 21% | 32% | 26% | 11% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
13 of 31 | 42% | 19 | 19 | 0 | 57 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 19% | 31% | 27% | 12% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
12 of 31 | 39% | 18 | 20 | 0 | 54 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 16% | 29% | 29% | 15% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
11 of 31 | 35% | 17 | 21 | 0 | 51 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 13% | 27% | 30% | 19% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
10 of 31 | 32% | 16 | 22 | 0 | 48 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 9% | 23% | 31% | 23% | 9% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
9 of 31 | 29% | 15 | 23 | 0 | 45 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 20% | 31% | 27% | 11% | 3% | <1% | <1% |
8 of 31 | 26% | 14 | 24 | 0 | 42 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 16% | 31% | 30% | 14% | 3% | <1% |
7 of 31 | 23% | 13 | 25 | 0 | 39 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 14% | 30% | 32% | 16% | 4% |
6 of 31 | 19% | 12 | 26 | 0 | 36 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 13% | 32% | 34% | 17% |
5 of 31 | 16% | 11 | 27 | 0 | 33 | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 16% | 36% | 45% |
4 of 31 | 13% | 10 | 28 | 0 | 30 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 22% | 74% |
3 of 31 | 10% | 9 | 29 | 0 | 27 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 7% | 92% |
0 of 31 | 0% | 6 | 32 | 0 | 18 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |