The Most Important Games for the Merrimack Warriors are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Warriors final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Merrimack Warriors fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Merrimack Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | NT | |||
| Merrimack (10‑8) vs Quinnipiac (12‑6) |
8 | Merrimack Wins | 25% | 20% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 19% | 17% | 16% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Quinnipiac Wins | 12% | 14% | 17% | 17% | 15% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Marist (11‑5) vs Fairfield (11‑7) |
1 | Marist Wins | 18% | 16% | 16% | 16% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 19% | 17% | 16% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Fairfield Wins | 20% | 17% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Rider (2‑14) vs St. Peter's (9‑6) |
1 | Rider Wins | 21% | 17% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 19% | 17% | 16% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| St. Peter's Wins | 18% | 17% | 16% | 14% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Manhattan (8‑11) vs Siena (11‑7) |
1 | Manhattan Wins | 19% | 17% | 17% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 19% | 17% | 16% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Siena Wins | 18% | 17% | 16% | 15% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Canisius (8‑10) vs Mount St. Mary's (6‑12) |
0 | Canisius Wins | 18% | 17% | 16% | 15% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 19% | 17% | 16% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Mount St. Mary's Wins | 19% | 17% | 16% | 15% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||