The Most Important Games for the Merrimack Warriors are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Warriors final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Merrimack Warriors fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Merrimack Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | NT | |||
| Merrimack (5‑6) vs Sacred Heart (3‑6) |
18 | Merrimack Wins | 6% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 11% | ||
| Sacred Heart Wins | 3% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 13% | ||
| Quinnipiac (7‑3) vs Marist (6‑2) |
1 | Quinnipiac Wins | 5% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 11% | ||
| Marist Wins | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 11% | ||
| Fairfield (5‑5) vs St. Peter's (4‑4) |
1 | Fairfield Wins | 5% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 11% | ||
| St. Peter's Wins | 5% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 11% | ||
| Manhattan (4‑6) vs Rider (1‑7) |
1 | Manhattan Wins | 5% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 11% | ||
| Rider Wins | 5% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 11% | ||
| Iona (7‑3) vs Mount St. Mary's (2‑8) |
0 | Iona Wins | 4% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 11% | ||
| Mount St. Mary's Wins | 5% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 11% | ||