The Most Important Games for the Merrimack Warriors are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Warriors final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Merrimack Warriors fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Merrimack Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | NT | |||
| Merrimack (15‑9) vs Rider (3‑19) |
0 | Merrimack Wins | 64% | 23% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 61% | 23% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Rider Wins | 46% | 26% | 14% | 8% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Mount St. Mary's (10‑15) vs Iona (14‑10) |
0 | Mount St. Mary's Wins | 61% | 23% | 10% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 61% | 23% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Iona Wins | 61% | 23% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Marist (16‑7) vs Fairfield (15‑10) |
0 | Marist Wins | 60% | 22% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 61% | 23% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Fairfield Wins | 63% | 24% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Siena (17‑7) vs St. Peter's (13‑8) |
0 | Siena Wins | 63% | 22% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 61% | 23% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| St. Peter's Wins | 62% | 22% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Manhattan (9‑16) vs Sacred Heart (10‑15) |
0 | Manhattan Wins | 61% | 23% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 61% | 23% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Sacred Heart Wins | 60% | 24% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Niagara (6‑17) vs Quinnipiac (16‑9) |
0 | Niagara Wins | 62% | 24% | 9% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 61% | 23% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Quinnipiac Wins | 61% | 23% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||