The Most Important Games for the Merrimack Warriors are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Warriors final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Merrimack Warriors fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Merrimack Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | NT | |||
| Merrimack (1‑3) vs Canisius (0‑6) |
16 | Merrimack Wins | 6% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 20% | ||
| Canisius Wins | 4% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 25% | ||
| Iona (1‑4) vs Sacred Heart (1‑5) |
3 | Iona Wins | 6% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 19% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 20% | ||
| Sacred Heart Wins | 5% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 21% | ||
| Manhattan (2‑2) vs St. Peter's (2‑3) |
1 | Manhattan Wins | 6% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 20% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 20% | ||
| St. Peter's Wins | 6% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 21% | ||
| Fairfield (2‑3) vs Rider (3‑2) |
1 | Fairfield Wins | 6% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 20% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 20% | ||
| Rider Wins | 6% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 20% | ||
| Mount St. Mary's (3‑3) vs Marist (3‑1) |
1 | Mount St. Mary's Wins | 6% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 21% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 20% | ||
| Marist Wins | 5% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 21% | ||
| Niagara (1‑4) vs Siena (3‑2) |
0 | Niagara Wins | 6% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 20% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 20% | ||
| Siena Wins | 6% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 20% | ||