The Most Important Games for the Merrimack Warriors are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Warriors final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Merrimack Warriors fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Merrimack Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | NT | |||
| Merrimack (5‑8) vs Fairfield (5‑7) |
16 | Merrimack Wins | 11% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 7% | ||
| Fairfield Wins | 6% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 9% | ||
| Marist (8‑2) vs Iona (4‑8) |
2 | Marist Wins | 9% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 7% | ||
| Iona Wins | 11% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 7% | ||
| Mount St. Mary's (8‑5) vs Niagara (5‑7) |
1 | Mount St. Mary's Wins | 9% | 12% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 7% | ||
| Niagara Wins | 10% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 7% | ||
| Quinnipiac (5‑7) vs St. Peter's (5‑5) |
0 | Quinnipiac Wins | 10% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 7% | ||
| St. Peter's Wins | 10% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 7% | ||
| Canisius (0‑13) vs Sacred Heart (4‑8) |
0 | Canisius Wins | 9% | 13% | 12% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 7% | ||
| Sacred Heart Wins | 9% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 7% | ||
| Siena (5‑7) vs Manhattan (6‑5) |
0 | Siena Wins | 10% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 7% | ||
| Manhattan Wins | 10% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 7% | ||