The Most Important Games for the Merrimack Warriors are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Warriors final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Merrimack Warriors fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Merrimack Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | NT | |||
| Merrimack (12‑10) vs Niagara (8‑13) |
1 | Merrimack Wins | 16% | 31% | 41% | 9% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 29% | 40% | 11% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Niagara Wins | 9% | 24% | 41% | 17% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| St. Peter's (7‑11) vs Siena (10‑12) |
0 | St. Peter's Wins | 15% | 29% | 40% | 11% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 29% | 40% | 11% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Siena Wins | 14% | 29% | 40% | 11% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Rider (8‑14) vs Sacred Heart (9‑12) |
0 | Rider Wins | 15% | 30% | 40% | 11% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 29% | 40% | 11% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Sacred Heart Wins | 15% | 29% | 40% | 11% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Mount St. Mary's (13‑10) vs Iona (9‑13) |
0 | Mount St. Mary's Wins | 15% | 30% | 40% | 12% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 29% | 40% | 11% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Iona Wins | 14% | 31% | 42% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Marist (16‑3) vs Fairfield (8‑14) |
0 | Marist Wins | 13% | 30% | 40% | 12% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 29% | 40% | 11% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Fairfield Wins | 19% | 27% | 38% | 11% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Canisius (2‑19) vs Quinnipiac (13‑9) |
0 | Canisius Wins | 17% | 36% | 33% | 10% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 29% | 40% | 11% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Quinnipiac Wins | 15% | 28% | 41% | 12% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||