Where are the Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The Mount St. Mary's standings table presents the probabilities of the Mountaineers winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record Rcrd | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | GPi Games Played 20 game season |
1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | NT |
| St. Peter's | 6i St. Peter's Recent Games Won Fri, Jan 02 vs Marist 69-59 Lost Fri, Jan 09 @ Mount St. Mary's 65-70 Won Sun, Jan 11 vs Merrimack 76-63 Won Wed, Jan 14 @ Quinnip. 74-70 Sat, Jan 17 vs Rider Mon, Jan 19 vs Iona Sat, Jan 24 @ Merrimack Fri, Jan 30 vs Mount St. Mary's |
1 | 7 | 30% | 21% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Merrimack | 6 Merrimack Recent Games Won Fri, Jan 02 vs Mount St. Mary's 75-65 Won Sun, Jan 04 vs Manhattan 73-66 Won Fri, Jan 09 @ Siena 63-59 Lost Sun, Jan 11 @ St. Peter's 63-76 Sat, Jan 17 vs Quinnip. Mon, Jan 19 @ Marist Thu, Jan 22 @ Iona Sat, Jan 24 vs St. Peter's |
1 | 7 | 19% | 17% | 16% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Quinnipiac | 5 Quinnipiac Recent Games Lost Fri, Jan 02 @ Manhattan 79-80 Won Sun, Jan 04 vs Mount St. Mary's 80-69 Won Sun, Jan 11 @ Sacred Heart 70-60 Lost Wed, Jan 14 vs St. Peter's 70-74 Sat, Jan 17 @ Merrimack Mon, Jan 19 vs Manhattan Thu, Jan 22 @ Mount St. Mary's Sat, Jan 24 @ Marist |
2 | 7 | 25% | 23% | 18% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| Marist | 5 Marist Recent Games Lost Fri, Jan 02 @ St. Peter's 59-69 Won Sun, Jan 04 vs Iona 83-38 Won Fri, Jan 09 @ Sacred Heart 76-72 Won Sun, Jan 11 @ Rider 71-49 Sat, Jan 17 vs Fairfield Mon, Jan 19 vs Merrimack Thu, Jan 22 @ Siena Sat, Jan 24 vs Quinnip. |
2 | 7 | 17% | 18% | 18% | 15% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Siena | 4 Siena Recent Games Won Sun, Jan 04 @ Rider 74-65 Lost Fri, Jan 09 vs Merrimack 59-63 Won Sun, Jan 11 @ Mount St. Mary's 67-50 Lost Wed, Jan 14 vs Sacred Heart 80-86 Sat, Jan 17 @ Manhattan Mon, Jan 19 vs Fairfield Thu, Jan 22 vs Marist Fri, Jan 30 @ Niagara |
3 | 7 | 4% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 5% | 4% |
| Manhattan | 4 Manhattan Recent Games Lost Sun, Jan 04 @ Merrimack 66-73 Lost Fri, Jan 09 vs Canisius 64-70 Won Sun, Jan 11 vs Niagara 79-70 Lost Wed, Jan 14 @ Fairfield 62-98 Sat, Jan 17 vs Siena Mon, Jan 19 @ Quinnip. Sat, Jan 24 @ Iona Fri, Jan 30 vs Rider |
4 | 8 | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 11% | 14% | 15% | 16% | 13% | 15% |
| Iona | 4 Iona Recent Games Lost Sun, Jan 04 @ Marist 38-83 Won Fri, Jan 09 vs Niagara 71-53 Won Sun, Jan 11 vs Canisius 74-48 Lost Wed, Jan 14 @ Rider 68-72 Mon, Jan 19 @ St. Peter's Thu, Jan 22 vs Merrimack Sat, Jan 24 vs Manhattan Fri, Jan 30 vs Fairfield |
4 | 8 | 4% | 9% | 13% | 16% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% |
| Canisius | 3 Canisius Recent Games Won Sun, Jan 04 vs Sacred Heart 82-78 Won Fri, Jan 09 @ Manhattan 70-64 Lost Sun, Jan 11 @ Iona 48-74 Lost Wed, Jan 14 vs Niagara 54-59 Sat, Jan 17 vs Mount St. Mary's Thu, Jan 22 @ Sacred Heart Sat, Jan 24 @ Fairfield Fri, Jan 30 vs Marist |
4 | 7 | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 21% |
| Fairfield | 3 Fairfield Recent Games Lost Fri, Jan 02 @ Canisius 81-85 Won Sun, Jan 04 @ Niagara 83-75 Won Fri, Jan 09 vs Rider 68-62 Won Wed, Jan 14 vs Manhattan 98-62 Sat, Jan 17 @ Marist Mon, Jan 19 @ Siena Thu, Jan 22 vs Niagara Sat, Jan 24 vs Canisius |
4 | 7 | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 10% |
| Mount St. Mary's | 2 Mount St. Mary's Recent Games Lost Fri, Jan 02 @ Merrimack 65-75 Lost Sun, Jan 04 @ Quinnip. 69-80 Won Fri, Jan 09 vs St. Peter's 70-65 Lost Sun, Jan 11 vs Siena 50-67 Sat, Jan 17 @ Canisius Mon, Jan 19 @ Niagara Thu, Jan 22 vs Quinnip. Sat, Jan 24 vs Rider |
5 | 7 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 14% | 16% | 42% |
| Niagara | 2 Niagara Recent Games Lost Sun, Jan 04 vs Fairfield 75-83 Lost Fri, Jan 09 @ Iona 53-71 Lost Sun, Jan 11 @ Manhattan 70-79 Won Wed, Jan 14 @ Canisius 59-54 Mon, Jan 19 vs Mount St. Mary's Thu, Jan 22 @ Fairfield Sat, Jan 24 @ Sacred Heart Fri, Jan 30 vs Siena |
5 | 7 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 14% | 64% |
| Sacred Heart | 2 Sacred Heart Recent Games Lost Sun, Jan 04 @ Canisius 78-82 Lost Fri, Jan 09 vs Marist 72-76 Lost Sun, Jan 11 vs Quinnip. 60-70 Won Wed, Jan 14 @ Siena 86-80 Mon, Jan 19 @ Rider Thu, Jan 22 vs Canisius Sat, Jan 24 vs Niagara Fri, Jan 30 @ Quinnip. |
6 | 8 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 9% | 12% | 17% | 53% |
| Rider | 1 Rider Recent Games Lost Sun, Jan 04 vs Siena 65-74 Lost Fri, Jan 09 @ Fairfield 62-68 Lost Sun, Jan 11 vs Marist 49-71 Won Wed, Jan 14 vs Iona 72-68 Sat, Jan 17 @ St. Peter's Mon, Jan 19 vs Sacred Heart Sat, Jan 24 @ Mount St. Mary's Fri, Jan 30 @ Manhattan |
6 | 7 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 88% |
| Record | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | |
| Bye | 9% | ||
| (6)Manhattan | 4 | 4 | 9% |
| (8)Canisius | 3 | 4 | 8% |
| (9)Fairfield | 3 | 4 | 7% |
| (5)Siena | 4 | 3 | 6% |
| (12)Sacred Heart | 2 | 6 | 5% |
| (7)Iona | 4 | 4 | 4% |
| (11)Niagara | 2 | 5 | 3% |
| (4)Marist | 5 | 2 | 2% |
| (2)Merrimack | 6 | 1 | 2% |
| (13)Rider | 1 | 6 | 1% |
| (1)St. Peter's | 6 | 1 | 1% |
| (3)Quinnipiac | 5 | 2 | 1% |
| Elimination | 42% | ||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Sacred Heart (6‑13) |
80‑87 | Home | Wed Dec 3, 7:00 pm |
| 5 | Marist (11‑5) |
56‑64 | Away | Fri Dec 5, 7:00 pm |
| 9 | Iona (12‑7) |
66‑59 | Home | Mon Dec 29, 7:00 pm |
| 9 | Merrimack (10‑8) |
65‑75 | Away | Fri Jan 2, 3:00 pm |
| 9 | Quinnipiac (12‑6) |
69‑80 | Away | Sun Jan 4, 2:00 pm |
| 10 | St. Peter's (9‑6) |
70‑65 | Home | Fri Jan 9, 7:00 pm |
| 10 | Siena (11‑7) |
50‑67 | Home | Sun Jan 11, 2:00 pm |
| 11 | Canisius (8‑10) |
Away | Sat Jan 17, 12:00 pm | |
| 12 | Niagara (5‑12) |
Away | Mon Jan 19, 2:00 pm | |
| 12 | Quinnipiac (12‑6) |
Home | Thu Jan 22, 7:00 pm | |
| 12 | Rider (2‑14) |
Home | Sat Jan 24, 5:00 pm | |
| 13 | St. Peter's (9‑6) |
Away | Fri Jan 30, 7:00 pm | |
| 13 | Manhattan (8‑11) |
Home | Sun Feb 1, 2:00 pm | |
| 14 | Merrimack (10‑8) |
Home | Thu Feb 5, 7:00 pm | |
| 14 | Iona (12‑7) |
Away | Sat Feb 7, 7:00 pm | |
| 15 | Rider (2‑14) |
Away | Fri Feb 13, 7:00 pm | |
| 16 | Niagara (5‑12) |
Home | Fri Feb 20, 7:00 pm | |
| 16 | Canisius (8‑10) |
Home | Sun Feb 22, 2:00 pm | |
| 17 | Sacred Heart (6‑13) |
Away | Fri Feb 27, 7:00 pm | |
| 17 | Fairfield (11‑7) |
Away | Sun Mar 1, 2:00 pm |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | West Virginia (11‑6) |
Big 12Big 12 | 54‑70 | Away | Tue Nov 4 |
| 1 | Bucknell (6‑12) |
Patriot LeaguePatriot League | 62‑73 | Home | Fri Nov 7 |
| 2 | St. Francis (4‑13) |
NortheastNorth East | 74‑66 | Away | Tue Nov 11 |
| 2 | Cincinnati (9‑8) |
Big 12Big 12 | 55‑72 | Away | Sun Nov 16, 6:00 pm |
| 3 | Maryland (7‑9) |
Big 10Big 10 | 90‑95 (OT) | Away | Wed Nov 19, 7:00 pm |
| 3 | Western Michigan (7‑10) |
MACMAC | 60‑83 | Away | Sun Nov 23, 3:00 pm |
| 4 | Ohio St. (11‑5) |
Big 10Big 10 | 60‑113 | Away | Tue Nov 25, 6:30 pm |
| 4 | Howard (10‑8) |
MideasternMid-Eastern | 79‑75 | Home | Sat Nov 29, 4:00 pm |
| 6 | Loyola-MD (5‑13) |
Patriot LeaguePatriot League | 81‑73 | Away | Sat Dec 13, 6:00 pm |
| 7 | Drexel (8‑10) |
CoastalCoastal | 67‑75 | Away | Fri Dec 19, 7:00 pm |
| 7 | Penn State (Brandywine) | ‑‑ | 73‑42 | Home | Sun Dec 21, 12:00 pm |