Where are the Merrimack Warriors going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The Merrimack standings table presents the probabilities of the Warriors winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Record Rcrd | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | GPi Games Played 20 game season |
1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | NT |
Quinnipiac | 11i Quinnipiac Recent Games Lost Sun, Feb 02 @ Siena 75-84 Won Thu, Feb 06 vs Canisius 89-71 Lost Sat, Feb 08 vs Niagara 75-76 Won Fri, Feb 14 @ Sacred Heart 99-90 Sun, Feb 16 vs Iona Sun, Feb 23 @ Manhattan Fri, Feb 28 vs St. Peter's Sun, Mar 02 @ Merrimack |
3 | 14 | 22% | 41% | 25% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
Merrimack | 11 Merrimack Recent Games Won Sun, Feb 02 @ Rider 66-64 Won Thu, Feb 06 vs Niagara 64-59 Won Sat, Feb 08 vs Canisius 69-51 Lost Fri, Feb 14 @ Manhattan 75-79 Sun, Feb 16 vs Marist Fri, Feb 21 vs Sacred Heart Sun, Feb 23 @ Iona Fri, Feb 28 vs Rider |
3 | 14 | 22% | 27% | 34% | 11% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
Marist | 10 Marist Recent Games Won Fri, Jan 31 vs Siena 72-67 Lost Thu, Feb 06 @ Fairfield 56-59 Lost Sat, Feb 08 vs Iona 71-75 Won Fri, Feb 14 @ Siena 65-64 Sun, Feb 16 @ Merrimack Fri, Feb 21 vs Canisius Sun, Feb 23 vs Niagara Fri, Feb 28 @ Sacred Heart |
3 | 13 | 56% | 26% | 14% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Iona | 8 Iona Recent Games Won Sun, Feb 02 vs Fairfield 87-64 Won Thu, Feb 06 @ Mount St. Mary's 70-67 Won Sat, Feb 08 @ Marist 75-71 Lost Fri, Feb 14 vs Rider 71-74 Sun, Feb 16 @ Quinnip. Fri, Feb 21 vs Manhattan Sun, Feb 23 vs Merrimack Fri, Feb 28 @ Niagara |
6 | 14 | <1% | 2% | 7% | 20% | 21% | 20% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 1% | <1% |
Mount St. Mary's | 7 Mount St. Mary's Recent Games Won Fri, Jan 31 @ Merrimack 66-58 Won Sun, Feb 02 @ St. Peter's 79-64 Lost Thu, Feb 06 vs Iona 67-70 Won Fri, Feb 14 @ Niagara 84-83 Sun, Feb 16 @ Canisius Fri, Feb 21 vs St. Peter's Sun, Feb 23 vs Rider Fri, Feb 28 @ Fairfield |
6 | 13 | <1% | 3% | 9% | 23% | 22% | 18% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 1% | <1% |
Sacred Heart | 7 Sacred Heart Recent Games Won Sun, Feb 02 vs Manhattan 74-72 Won Thu, Feb 06 vs Rider 89-77 Won Sat, Feb 08 @ Fairfield 77-71 Lost Fri, Feb 14 vs Quinnip. 90-99 Sun, Feb 16 vs Siena Fri, Feb 21 @ Merrimack Sun, Feb 23 @ St. Peter's Fri, Feb 28 vs Marist |
6 | 13 | <1% | <1% | 2% | 8% | 13% | 17% | 20% | 18% | 13% | 5% | 3% |
Manhattan | 7 Manhattan Recent Games Won Fri, Jan 31 vs Iona 76-55 Lost Sun, Feb 02 @ Sacred Heart 72-74 Won Sat, Feb 08 vs St. Peter's 84-83 Won Fri, Feb 14 vs Merrimack 79-75 Sun, Feb 16 @ Fairfield Fri, Feb 21 @ Iona Sun, Feb 23 vs Quinnip. Fri, Feb 28 @ Canisius |
6 | 13 | <1% | 2% | 8% | 22% | 22% | 17% | 13% | 8% | 5% | 2% | 1% |
Rider | 6 Rider Recent Games Lost Sun, Feb 02 vs Merrimack 64-66 Lost Thu, Feb 06 @ Sacred Heart 77-89 Won Sat, Feb 08 vs Siena 61-59 Won Fri, Feb 14 @ Iona 74-71 Sun, Feb 16 @ St. Peter's Fri, Feb 21 vs Fairfield Sun, Feb 23 @ Mount St. Mary's Fri, Feb 28 @ Merrimack |
8 | 14 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 15% | 24% | 24% | 14% | 10% |
Siena | 6 Siena Recent Games Won Sun, Feb 02 vs Quinnip. 84-75 Won Thu, Feb 06 vs St. Peter's 77-63 Lost Sat, Feb 08 @ Rider 59-61 Lost Fri, Feb 14 vs Marist 64-65 Sun, Feb 16 @ Sacred Heart Fri, Feb 21 vs Niagara Sun, Feb 23 vs Canisius Sun, Mar 02 @ Mount St. Mary's |
8 | 14 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 9% | 14% | 18% | 18% | 19% | 12% | 7% |
Fairfield | 5 Fairfield Recent Games Lost Sun, Feb 02 @ Iona 64-87 Won Thu, Feb 06 vs Marist 59-56 Lost Sat, Feb 08 vs Sacred Heart 71-77 Lost Fri, Feb 14 @ St. Peter's 52-65 Sun, Feb 16 vs Manhattan Fri, Feb 21 @ Rider Fri, Feb 28 vs Mount St. Mary's Sun, Mar 02 @ Sacred Heart |
9 | 14 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 14% | 25% | 46% |
Niagara | 5 Niagara Recent Games Lost Thu, Feb 06 @ Merrimack 59-64 Won Sat, Feb 08 @ Quinnip. 76-75 Won Wed, Feb 12 vs Canisius 71-60 Lost Fri, Feb 14 vs Mount St. Mary's 83-84 Fri, Feb 21 @ Siena Sun, Feb 23 @ Marist Fri, Feb 28 vs Iona Sun, Mar 02 vs Manhattan |
9 | 14 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 12% | 26% | 52% |
St. Peter's | 3 St. Peter's Recent Games Lost Sun, Feb 02 vs Mount St. Mary's 64-79 Lost Thu, Feb 06 @ Siena 63-77 Lost Sat, Feb 08 @ Manhattan 83-84 Won Fri, Feb 14 vs Fairfield 65-52 Sun, Feb 16 vs Rider Fri, Feb 21 @ Mount St. Mary's Sun, Feb 23 vs Sacred Heart Fri, Feb 28 @ Quinnip. |
10 | 13 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 14% | 81% |
Canisius | 2 Canisius Recent Games Lost Fri, Jan 31 vs Niagara 63-64 Lost Thu, Feb 06 @ Quinnip. 71-89 Lost Sat, Feb 08 @ Merrimack 51-69 Lost Wed, Feb 12 @ Niagara 60-71 Sun, Feb 16 vs Mount St. Mary's Fri, Feb 21 @ Marist Sun, Feb 23 @ Siena Fri, Feb 28 vs Manhattan |
11 | 13 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
Record | Probability | ||
---|---|---|---|
Opponent | W | L | |
Bye | >99% | ||
(11)Niagara | 5 | 9 | <1% |
(10)Fairfield | 5 | 9 | <1% |
(9)Siena | 6 | 8 | <1% |
(12)St. Peter's | 3 | 10 | <1% |
(8)Rider | 6 | 8 | <1% |
(6)Sacred Heart | 7 | 6 | <1% |
(5)Mount St. Mary's | 7 | 6 | <1% |
(7)Manhattan | 7 | 6 | <1% |
(13)Canisius | 2 | 11 | <1% |
(4)Iona | 8 | 6 | <1% |
(1)Quinnipiac | 11 | 3 | <1% |
(3)Marist | 10 | 3 | <1% |
Elimination | X |
Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Canisius (2‑22) |
60‑52 | Away | Fri Dec 6, 7:00 pm |
5 | Niagara (10‑15) |
80‑62 | Away | Sun Dec 8, 1:00 pm |
9 | Fairfield (9‑16) |
67‑54 | Home | Fri Jan 3, 3:00 pm |
10 | Sacred Heart (11‑13) |
66‑65 | Away | Fri Jan 10, 11:00 am |
10 | Manhattan (12‑10) |
69‑62 | Home | Sun Jan 12, 2:00 pm |
11 | Quinnipiac (15‑10) |
76‑81 | Away | Thu Jan 16, 7:00 pm |
11 | Siena (11‑14) |
64‑58 | Home | Sat Jan 18, 3:00 pm |
12 | St. Peter's (8‑13) |
48‑37 | Away | Thu Jan 23, 7:00 pm |
12 | Fairfield (9‑16) |
75‑54 | Away | Sat Jan 25, 7:00 pm |
13 | Mount St. Mary's (14‑11) |
58‑66 | Home | Fri Jan 31, 7:00 pm |
13 | Rider (10‑15) |
66‑64 | Away | Sun Feb 2, 4:00 pm |
14 | Niagara (10‑15) |
64‑59 | Home | Thu Feb 6, 7:00 pm |
14 | Canisius (2‑22) |
69‑51 | Home | Sat Feb 8, 3:00 pm |
15 | Manhattan (12‑10) |
75‑79 | Away | Fri Feb 14, 7:00 pm |
15 | Marist (17‑5) |
Home | Sun Feb 16, 2:00 pm | |
16 | Sacred Heart (11‑13) |
Home | Fri Feb 21, 7:00 pm | |
16 | Iona (11‑14) |
Away | Sun Feb 23, 1:00 pm | |
17 | Rider (10‑15) |
Home | Fri Feb 28, TBD | |
17 | Quinnipiac (15‑10) |
Home | Sun Mar 2, 12:01 am | |
18 | Marist (17‑5) |
Away | Thu Mar 6, 7:00 pm |
Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Vermont (14‑11) |
America EastAmerica East | 65‑51 | Home | Sat Nov 9, 7:00 pm |
2 | VCU (20‑5) |
Atlantic 10Atl. 10 | 42‑63 | Away | Wed Nov 13, 7:00 pm |
2 | Princeton (15‑7) |
Ivy LeagueIvy League | 57‑68 | Home | Sun Nov 17, 2:00 pm |
3 | Rutgers (12‑13) |
Big 10Big 10 | 63‑74 | Away | Wed Nov 20, 8:00 pm |
3 | Butler (11‑13) |
Big EastBig East | 39‑78 | Away | Fri Nov 22, 7:00 pm |
4 | UMass-LowellUMA-Lowell (15‑10) |
America EastAmerica East | 74‑81 | Away | Mon Nov 25, 6:00 pm |
4 | Texas-San Antonio (10‑14) |
American AthleticAm. Athletic | 74‑76 | Home | Wed Nov 27, 1:00 pm |
4 | Troy (15‑9) |
SunbeltSunbelt | 72‑68 | Away | Fri Nov 29, 2:00 pm |
6 | Boston U. (12‑14) |
Patriot LeaguePatriot League | 64‑61 | Home | Fri Dec 13, 12:01 am |
7 | Stanford (16‑9) |
ACCACC | 68‑74 | Away | Tue Dec 17, 10:00 pm |
7 | St. Mary's (22‑4) |
West CoastWest Coast | 68‑73 | Away | Thu Dec 19, 10:00 pm |