Where are the Merrimack Warriors going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The Merrimack standings table presents the probabilities of the Warriors winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record Rcrd | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | GPi Games Played 20 game season |
1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | NT |
| Marist | 9i Marist Recent Games Lost Sat, Jan 18 vs Rider 57-64 Won Thu, Jan 23 @ Niagara 67-65 Won Sat, Jan 25 @ Canisius 70-47 Won Fri, Jan 31 vs Siena 72-67 Thu, Feb 06 @ Fairfield Sat, Feb 08 vs Iona Fri, Feb 14 @ Siena Sun, Feb 16 @ Merrimack |
1 | 10 | 71% | 19% | 8% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Quinnipiac | 9 Quinnipiac Recent Games Won Sat, Jan 18 @ Mount St. Mary's 91-57 Won Sat, Jan 25 vs Rider 75-64 Won Fri, Jan 31 vs Fairfield 81-69 Lost Sun, Feb 02 @ Siena 75-84 Thu, Feb 06 vs Canisius Sat, Feb 08 vs Niagara Fri, Feb 14 @ Sacred Heart Sun, Feb 16 vs Iona |
2 | 11 | 14% | 47% | 29% | 8% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Merrimack | 9 Merrimack Recent Games Won Thu, Jan 23 @ St. Peter's 48-37 Won Sat, Jan 25 @ Fairfield 75-54 Lost Fri, Jan 31 vs Mount St. Mary's 58-66 Won Sun, Feb 02 @ Rider 66-64 Thu, Feb 06 vs Niagara Sat, Feb 08 vs Canisius Fri, Feb 14 @ Manhattan Sun, Feb 16 vs Marist |
2 | 11 | 15% | 29% | 40% | 11% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Mount St. Mary's | 6 Mount St. Mary's Recent Games Lost Thu, Jan 23 @ Siena 68-82 Lost Sat, Jan 25 vs Manhattan 64-74 Won Fri, Jan 31 @ Merrimack 66-58 Won Sun, Feb 02 @ St. Peter's 79-64 Thu, Feb 06 vs Iona Fri, Feb 14 @ Niagara Sun, Feb 16 @ Canisius Fri, Feb 21 vs St. Peter's |
5 | 11 | <1% | 3% | 14% | 32% | 20% | 13% | 8% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Iona | 6 Iona Recent Games Won Thu, Jan 23 @ Rider 73-67 Won Sat, Jan 25 vs Siena 72-68 Lost Fri, Jan 31 @ Manhattan 55-76 Won Sun, Feb 02 vs Fairfield 87-64 Thu, Feb 06 @ Mount St. Mary's Sat, Feb 08 @ Marist Fri, Feb 14 vs Rider Sun, Feb 16 @ Quinnip. |
5 | 11 | <1% | 1% | 3% | 11% | 16% | 17% | 17% | 15% | 10% | 6% | 3% |
| Sacred Heart | 5 Sacred Heart Recent Games Lost Sat, Jan 18 vs St. Peter's 61-66 Won Thu, Jan 23 @ Canisius 93-84 Won Sat, Jan 25 @ Niagara 86-77 Won Sun, Feb 02 vs Manhattan 74-72 Thu, Feb 06 vs Rider Sat, Feb 08 @ Fairfield Fri, Feb 14 vs Quinnip. Sun, Feb 16 vs Siena |
5 | 10 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 12% | 15% | 16% | 15% | 14% | 11% | 10% |
| Siena | 5 Siena Recent Games Won Thu, Jan 23 vs Mount St. Mary's 82-68 Lost Sat, Jan 25 @ Iona 68-72 Lost Fri, Jan 31 @ Marist 67-72 Won Sun, Feb 02 vs Quinnip. 84-75 Thu, Feb 06 vs St. Peter's Sat, Feb 08 @ Rider Fri, Feb 14 vs Marist Sun, Feb 16 @ Sacred Heart |
6 | 11 | <1% | <1% | 2% | 17% | 20% | 18% | 15% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 4% |
| Manhattan | 5 Manhattan Recent Games Lost Thu, Jan 23 vs Fairfield 84-87 Won Sat, Jan 25 @ Mount St. Mary's 74-64 Won Fri, Jan 31 vs Iona 76-55 Lost Sun, Feb 02 @ Sacred Heart 72-74 Sat, Feb 08 vs St. Peter's Fri, Feb 14 vs Merrimack Sun, Feb 16 @ Fairfield Fri, Feb 21 @ Iona |
6 | 11 | <1% | <1% | 3% | 11% | 18% | 18% | 17% | 14% | 9% | 6% | 4% |
| Fairfield | 4 Fairfield Recent Games Won Thu, Jan 23 @ Manhattan 87-84 Lost Sat, Jan 25 vs Merrimack 54-75 Lost Fri, Jan 31 @ Quinnip. 69-81 Lost Sun, Feb 02 @ Iona 64-87 Thu, Feb 06 vs Marist Sat, Feb 08 vs Sacred Heart Fri, Feb 14 @ St. Peter's Sun, Feb 16 vs Manhattan |
7 | 11 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 16% | 19% | 34% |
| Rider | 4 Rider Recent Games Lost Thu, Jan 23 vs Iona 67-73 Lost Sat, Jan 25 @ Quinnip. 64-75 Won Fri, Jan 31 vs St. Peter's 67-64 Lost Sun, Feb 02 vs Merrimack 64-66 Thu, Feb 06 @ Sacred Heart Sat, Feb 08 vs Siena Fri, Feb 14 @ Iona Sun, Feb 16 @ St. Peter's |
7 | 11 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 11% | 15% | 20% | 18% | 24% |
| Niagara | 3 Niagara Recent Games Lost Sat, Jan 18 @ Manhattan 65-72 Lost Thu, Jan 23 vs Marist 65-67 Lost Sat, Jan 25 vs Sacred Heart 77-86 Won Fri, Jan 31 @ Canisius 64-63 Thu, Feb 06 @ Merrimack Sat, Feb 08 @ Quinnip. Wed, Feb 12 vs Canisius Fri, Feb 14 vs Mount St. Mary's |
7 | 10 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 17% | 58% |
| St. Peter's | 2 St. Peter's Recent Games Won Sat, Jan 18 @ Sacred Heart 66-61 Lost Thu, Jan 23 vs Merrimack 37-48 Lost Fri, Jan 31 @ Rider 64-67 Lost Sun, Feb 02 vs Mount St. Mary's 64-79 Thu, Feb 06 @ Siena Sat, Feb 08 @ Manhattan Fri, Feb 14 vs Fairfield Sun, Feb 16 vs Rider |
8 | 10 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 15% | 64% |
| Canisius | 2 Canisius Recent Games Won Sat, Jan 18 @ Fairfield 78-67 Lost Thu, Jan 23 vs Sacred Heart 84-93 Lost Sat, Jan 25 vs Marist 47-70 Lost Fri, Jan 31 vs Niagara 63-64 Thu, Feb 06 @ Quinnip. Sat, Feb 08 @ Merrimack Wed, Feb 12 @ Niagara Sun, Feb 16 vs Mount St. Mary's |
8 | 10 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% |
| Record | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | |
| Bye | >99% | ||
| (9)Fairfield | 4 | 7 | <1% |
| (11)Niagara | 3 | 7 | <1% |
| (12)St. Peter's | 2 | 8 | <1% |
| (10)Rider | 4 | 7 | <1% |
| (7)Siena | 5 | 6 | <1% |
| (6)Sacred Heart | 5 | 5 | <1% |
| (8)Manhattan | 5 | 6 | <1% |
| (5)Iona | 6 | 5 | <1% |
| (13)Canisius | 2 | 8 | <1% |
| (4)Mount St. Mary's | 6 | 5 | <1% |
| (1)Marist | 9 | 1 | <1% |
| (2)Quinnipiac | 9 | 2 | <1% |
| Elimination | <1% | ||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Canisius (2‑19) |
60‑52 | Away | Fri Dec 6, 7:00 pm |
| 5 | Niagara (8‑13) |
80‑62 | Away | Sun Dec 8, 1:00 pm |
| 9 | Fairfield (8‑14) |
67‑54 | Home | Fri Jan 3, 3:00 pm |
| 10 | Sacred Heart (9‑12) |
66‑65 | Away | Fri Jan 10, 11:00 am |
| 10 | Manhattan (10‑10) |
69‑62 | Home | Sun Jan 12, 2:00 pm |
| 11 | Quinnipiac (13‑9) |
76‑81 | Away | Thu Jan 16, 7:00 pm |
| 11 | Siena (10‑12) |
64‑58 | Home | Sat Jan 18, 3:00 pm |
| 12 | St. Peter's (7‑11) |
48‑37 | Away | Thu Jan 23, 7:00 pm |
| 12 | Fairfield (8‑14) |
75‑54 | Away | Sat Jan 25, 7:00 pm |
| 13 | Mount St. Mary's (13‑10) |
58‑66 | Home | Fri Jan 31, 7:00 pm |
| 13 | Rider (8‑14) |
66‑64 | Away | Sun Feb 2, 4:00 pm |
| 14 | Niagara (8‑13) |
Home | Thu Feb 6, 7:00 pm | |
| 14 | Canisius (2‑19) |
Home | Sat Feb 8, TBD | |
| 15 | Manhattan (10‑10) |
Away | Fri Feb 14, 7:00 pm | |
| 15 | Marist (16‑3) |
Home | Sun Feb 16, TBD | |
| 16 | Sacred Heart (9‑12) |
Home | Fri Feb 21, TBD | |
| 16 | Iona (9‑13) |
Away | Sun Feb 23, 1:00 pm | |
| 17 | Rider (8‑14) |
Home | Fri Feb 28, TBD | |
| 17 | Quinnipiac (13‑9) |
Home | Sun Mar 2, 12:01 am | |
| 18 | Marist (16‑3) |
Away | Thu Mar 6, 7:00 pm |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vermont (12‑11) |
America EastAmerica East | 65‑51 | Home | Sat Nov 9, 7:00 pm |
| 2 | VCU (17‑5) |
Atlantic 10Atl. 10 | 42‑63 | Away | Wed Nov 13, 7:00 pm |
| 2 | Princeton (14‑6) |
Ivy LeagueIvy League | 57‑68 | Home | Sun Nov 17, 2:00 pm |
| 3 | Rutgers (11‑11) |
Big 10Big 10 | 63‑74 | Away | Wed Nov 20, 8:00 pm |
| 3 | Butler (9‑13) |
Big EastBig East | 39‑78 | Away | Fri Nov 22, 7:00 pm |
| 4 | UMass-LowellUMA-Lowell (15‑8) |
America EastAmerica East | 74‑81 | Away | Mon Nov 25, 6:00 pm |
| 4 | Texas-San Antonio (10‑11) |
American AthleticAm. Athletic | 74‑76 | Home | Wed Nov 27, 1:00 pm |
| 4 | Troy (14‑7) |
SunbeltSunbelt | 72‑68 | Away | Fri Nov 29, 2:00 pm |
| 6 | Boston U. (11‑12) |
Patriot LeaguePatriot League | 64‑61 | Home | Fri Dec 13, 12:01 am |
| 7 | Stanford (15‑7) |
ACCACC | 68‑74 | Away | Tue Dec 17, 10:00 pm |
| 7 | St. Mary's (20‑3) |
West CoastWest Coast | 68‑73 | Away | Thu Dec 19, 10:00 pm |