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Mon Feb 17 11:30 am

Metro Atlantic Basketball - Week 16 of 18

Niagara Purple Eagles Standings

Where are the Niagara Purple Eagles going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The Niagara standings table presents the probabilities of the Purple Eagles winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Metro Atlantic Basketball Standings
Record Rcrd Regular Season Finish
Team Wi
Schedule Content
Number of Wins
-----
Hover/Touch Content
Recent Games
L GPi
Games Played
20 game season
1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3*
First Round Bye
4*
First Round Bye
5*
First Round Bye
6*
First Round Bye
7 8 9 10 NT
Quinnipiac 12i
Quinnipiac Recent Games

Won  Thu, Feb 06 vs Canisius          89-71 
Lost Sat, Feb 08 vs Niagara           75-76 
Won  Fri, Feb 14 @  Sacred Heart      99-90 
Won  Sun, Feb 16 vs Iona              79-74 
     Sun, Feb 23 @  Manhattan        
     Fri, Feb 28 vs St. Peter's      
     Sun, Mar 02 @  Merrimack        
     Thu, Mar 06 vs Mount St. Mary's 

3 15 20% 53% 19% 6% 2% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
Marist 11
Marist Recent Games

Lost Thu, Feb 06 @  Fairfield         56-59 
Lost Sat, Feb 08 vs Iona              71-75 
Won  Fri, Feb 14 @  Siena             65-64 
Won  Sun, Feb 16 @  Merrimack         61-60 
     Fri, Feb 21 vs Canisius         
     Sun, Feb 23 vs Niagara          
     Fri, Feb 28 @  Sacred Heart     
     Sun, Mar 02 vs St. Peter's      

3 14 72% 22% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Merrimack 11
Merrimack Recent Games

Won  Thu, Feb 06 vs Niagara           64-59 
Won  Sat, Feb 08 vs Canisius          69-51 
Lost Fri, Feb 14 @  Manhattan         75-79 
Lost Sun, Feb 16 vs Marist            60-61 
     Fri, Feb 21 vs Sacred Heart     
     Sun, Feb 23 @  Iona             
     Fri, Feb 28 vs Rider            
     Sun, Mar 02 vs Quinnip.         

4 15 7% 20% 48% 16% 7% 2% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Mount St. Mary's 8
Mount St. Mary's Recent Games

Won  Sun, Feb 02 @  St. Peter's       79-64 
Lost Thu, Feb 06 vs Iona              67-70 
Won  Fri, Feb 14 @  Niagara           84-83 
Won  Sun, Feb 16 @  Canisius          73-66 
     Fri, Feb 21 vs St. Peter's      
     Sun, Feb 23 vs Rider            
     Fri, Feb 28 @  Fairfield        
     Sun, Mar 02 vs Siena            

6 14 <1% 2% 11% 25% 23% 18% 12% 6% 3% <1% <1%
Manhattan 8
Manhattan Recent Games

Lost Sun, Feb 02 @  Sacred Heart      72-74 
Won  Sat, Feb 08 vs St. Peter's       84-83 
Won  Fri, Feb 14 vs Merrimack         79-75 
Won  Sun, Feb 16 @  Fairfield         80-67 
     Fri, Feb 21 @  Iona             
     Sun, Feb 23 vs Quinnip.         
     Fri, Feb 28 @  Canisius         
     Sun, Mar 02 @  Niagara          

6 14 <1% 3% 12% 27% 24% 15% 11% 6% 2% <1% <1%
Iona 8
Iona Recent Games

Won  Thu, Feb 06 @  Mount St. Mary's  70-67 
Won  Sat, Feb 08 @  Marist            75-71 
Lost Fri, Feb 14 vs Rider             71-74 
Lost Sun, Feb 16 @  Quinnip.          74-79 
     Fri, Feb 21 vs Manhattan        
     Sun, Feb 23 vs Merrimack        
     Fri, Feb 28 @  Niagara          
     Sun, Mar 02 @  Canisius         

7 15 <1% <1% 5% 15% 21% 25% 15% 11% 6% 2% <1%
Sacred Heart 7
Sacred Heart Recent Games

Won  Thu, Feb 06 vs Rider             89-77 
Won  Sat, Feb 08 @  Fairfield         77-71 
Lost Fri, Feb 14 vs Quinnip.          90-99 
Lost Sun, Feb 16 vs Siena             73-80 
     Fri, Feb 21 @  Merrimack        
     Sun, Feb 23 @  St. Peter's      
     Fri, Feb 28 vs Marist           
     Sun, Mar 02 vs Fairfield        

7 14 <1% <1% 1% 3% 7% 13% 18% 29% 17% 8% 5%
Siena 7
Siena Recent Games

Won  Thu, Feb 06 vs St. Peter's       77-63 
Lost Sat, Feb 08 @  Rider             59-61 
Lost Fri, Feb 14 vs Marist            64-65 
Won  Sun, Feb 16 @  Sacred Heart      80-73 
     Fri, Feb 21 vs Niagara          
     Sun, Feb 23 vs Canisius         
     Sun, Mar 02 @  Mount St. Mary's 
     Thu, Mar 06 vs Fairfield        

8 15 X <1% <1% 8% 14% 20% 28% 15% 10% 4% 2%
Rider 6
Rider Recent Games

Lost Thu, Feb 06 @  Sacred Heart      77-89 
Won  Sat, Feb 08 vs Siena             61-59 
Won  Fri, Feb 14 @  Iona              74-71 
Lost Sun, Feb 16 @  St. Peter's       65-66 
     Fri, Feb 21 vs Fairfield        
     Sun, Feb 23 @  Mount St. Mary's 
     Fri, Feb 28 @  Merrimack        
     Thu, Mar 06 vs Canisius         

9 15 X X <1% <1% 2% 4% 10% 18% 32% 18% 15%
Niagara 5
Niagara Recent Games

Lost Thu, Feb 06 @  Merrimack         59-64 
Won  Sat, Feb 08 @  Quinnip.          76-75 
Won  Wed, Feb 12 vs Canisius          71-60 
Lost Fri, Feb 14 vs Mount St. Mary's  83-84 
     Fri, Feb 21 @  Siena            
     Sun, Feb 23 @  Marist           
     Fri, Feb 28 vs Iona             
     Sun, Mar 02 vs Manhattan        

9 14 X X <1% <1% <1% 2% 4% 6% 12% 28% 49%
 
Fairfield 5
Fairfield Recent Games

Won  Thu, Feb 06 vs Marist            59-56 
Lost Sat, Feb 08 vs Sacred Heart      71-77 
Lost Fri, Feb 14 @  St. Peter's       52-65 
Lost Sun, Feb 16 vs Manhattan         67-80 
     Fri, Feb 21 @  Rider            
     Fri, Feb 28 vs Mount St. Mary's 
     Sun, Mar 02 @  Sacred Heart     
     Thu, Mar 06 @  Siena            

10 15 X X X <1% <1% 1% 2% 5% 11% 18% 62%
St. Peter's 4
St. Peter's Recent Games

Lost Thu, Feb 06 @  Siena             63-77 
Lost Sat, Feb 08 @  Manhattan         83-84 
Won  Fri, Feb 14 vs Fairfield         65-52 
Won  Sun, Feb 16 vs Rider             66-65 
     Fri, Feb 21 @  Mount St. Mary's 
     Sun, Feb 23 vs Sacred Heart     
     Fri, Feb 28 @  Quinnip.         
     Sun, Mar 02 @  Marist           

10 14 X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 7% 21% 68%
Canisius 2
Canisius Recent Games

Lost Thu, Feb 06 @  Quinnip.          71-89 
Lost Sat, Feb 08 @  Merrimack         51-69 
Lost Wed, Feb 12 @  Niagara           60-71 
Lost Sun, Feb 16 vs Mount St. Mary's  66-73 
     Fri, Feb 21 @  Marist           
     Sun, Feb 23 @  Siena            
     Fri, Feb 28 vs Manhattan        
     Sun, Mar 02 vs Iona             

12 14 X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • * denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament


(10) Purple Eagles 1st Round Playoff Matchup Probabilities
Record Probability
Opponent W L
Bye 2%
(8)Siena 7 8 12%
(7)Sacred Heart 7 7 11%
(9)Rider 6 9 8%
(6)Iona 8 7 7%
(5)Manhattan 8 6 5%
(4)Mount St. Mary's 8 6 4%
(11)Fairfield 5 10 2%
(12)St. Peter's 4 10 1%
(3)Merrimack 11 4 <1%
(13)Canisius 2 12 <1%
(2)Marist 11 3 <1%
(1)Quinnipiac 12 3 <1%
Elimination 49%



Purple Eagles Conference Schedule
Current Week 16
Week Wk Opponent Score Home / Away Date / Time (ET)
5 Siena
(12‑14)
69‑68 Home Fri Dec 6, 6:30 pm
5 Merrimack
(14‑12)
62‑80 Home Sun Dec 8, 1:00 pm
9 Mount St. Mary's
(15‑11)
62‑68 Away Sun Jan 5, 2:00 pm
10 St. Peter's
(9‑13)
70‑60 Home Fri Jan 10, 6:30 pm
10 Rider
(10‑16)
65‑68 Home Sun Jan 12, 12:00 pm
11 Fairfield
(9‑17)
66‑70 Away Thu Jan 16, 7:00 pm
11 Manhattan
(13‑10)
65‑72 Away Sat Jan 18, 2:00 pm
12 Marist
(18‑5)
65‑67 (OT) Home Thu Jan 23, 6:30 pm
12 Sacred Heart
(11‑14)
77‑86 Home Sat Jan 25, 2:00 pm
13 Canisius
(2‑23)
64‑63 Away Fri Jan 31, 7:00 pm
14 Merrimack
(14‑12)
59‑64 Away Thu Feb 6, 7:00 pm
14 Quinnipiac
(16‑10)
76‑75 Away Sat Feb 8, 2:00 pm
15 Canisius
(2‑23)
71‑60 Home Wed Feb 12, 6:30 pm
15 Mount St. Mary's
(15‑11)
83‑84 Home Fri Feb 14, 6:30 pm
16 Siena
(12‑14)
  Away Fri Feb 21, 7:00 pm
16 Marist
(18‑5)
  Away Sun Feb 23, 2:00 pm
17 Iona
(11‑15)
  Home Fri Feb 28, 6:30 pm
17 Manhattan
(13‑10)
  Home Sun Mar 2, 2:00 pm
18 St. Peter's
(9‑13)
  Away Thu Mar 6, TBD
18 Rider
(10‑16)
  Away Sat Mar 8, 2:00 pm


Purple Eagles Nonconference Schedule
Week Wk Opponent Conference Score Home / Away Date / Time (ET)
1 Houghton ‑‑ 100‑65 Home Mon Nov 4, 6:30 pm
1 Michigan St.
(20‑5)
Big 10Big 10 60‑96 Away Thu Nov 7, 8:00 pm
1 Detroit
(8‑19)
HorizonHorizon 78‑84 (OT) Away Sun Nov 10, 1:00 pm
3 Bowling Green
(10‑15)
MACMAC 68‑76 Away Tue Nov 19, 7:00 pm
3 Kent State
(17‑8)
MACMAC 73‑76 Away Thu Nov 21, 7:00 pm
4 Binghamton
(13‑14)
America EastAmerica East 65‑62 Away Fri Nov 29, 2:00 pm
4 Lafayette
(10‑17)
Patriot LeaguePatriot League 47‑59 Away Sat Nov 30, 4:30 pm
4 Long Island U.
(12‑15)
NortheastNorth East 60‑52 Home Sun Dec 1, 12:00 pm
6 St. Francis
(8‑17)
NortheastNorth East 69‑66 Home Sat Dec 14, 6:00 pm
7 St. BonaventureSt. Bonavnt
(18‑9)
Atlantic 10Atl. 10 52‑71 Away Sat Dec 21, 1:00 pm
8 Le Moyne
(9‑18)
NortheastNorth East 88‑69 Home Sun Dec 29, 2:00 pm