The Most Important Games for the Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Mountaineers final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Mount St. Mary's Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | NT | |||
| Mount St. Mary's (6‑12) vs Canisius (8‑10) |
24 | Mount St. Mary's Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 10% | 14% | 16% | 16% | 32% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 14% | 16% | 42% | ||
| Canisius Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 13% | 17% | 48% | ||
| Marist (11‑5) vs Fairfield (11‑7) |
3 | Marist Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 14% | 16% | 43% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 14% | 16% | 42% | ||
| Fairfield Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 17% | 45% | ||
| Siena (11‑7) vs Manhattan (8‑11) |
2 | Siena Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 15% | 16% | 42% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 14% | 16% | 42% | ||
| Manhattan Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 14% | 17% | 44% | ||
| St. Peter's (9‑6) vs Rider (2‑14) |
1 | St. Peter's Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 14% | 17% | 42% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 14% | 16% | 42% | ||
| Rider Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 15% | 44% | ||
| Merrimack (10‑8) vs Quinnipiac (12‑6) |
1 | Merrimack Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 14% | 17% | 42% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 14% | 16% | 42% | ||
| Quinnipiac Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 14% | 16% | 43% | ||