The Most Important Games for the Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Mountaineers final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Mount St. Mary's Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | NT | |||
| Mount St. Mary's (4‑3) vs Marist (4‑1) |
12 | Mount St. Mary's Wins | 13% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 11% | ||
| Marist Wins | 7% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 12% | ||
| Sacred Heart (2‑5) vs Iona (1‑4) |
1 | Sacred Heart Wins | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 11% | ||
| Iona Wins | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 11% | ||
| Canisius (0‑7) vs Merrimack (1‑4) |
1 | Canisius Wins | 10% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 11% | ||
| Merrimack Wins | 10% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 10% | ||
| Manhattan (3‑2) vs St. Peter's (2‑3) |
1 | Manhattan Wins | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 11% | ||
| St. Peter's Wins | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 11% | ||
| Niagara (1‑4) vs Siena (3‑2) |
0 | Niagara Wins | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 11% | ||
| Siena Wins | 10% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 11% | ||
| Rider (4‑2) vs Fairfield (3‑4) |
0 | Rider Wins | 10% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 11% | ||
| Fairfield Wins | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 11% | ||