The Most Important Games for the Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Mountaineers final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Mount St. Mary's Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | NT | |||
| Iona (16‑13) vs Rider (4‑23) |
1 | Iona Wins | X | X | X | X | 1% | 33% | 66% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | 1% | 33% | 66% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Rider Wins | X | X | X | X | 1% | 33% | 66% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Quinnipiac (18‑11) vs Niagara (7‑21) |
0 | Quinnipiac Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 34% | 66% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | 1% | 33% | 66% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Niagara Wins | X | X | X | X | 4% | 29% | 66% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Siena (19‑10) vs Fairfield (18‑11) |
0 | Siena Wins | X | X | X | X | 1% | 33% | 66% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | 1% | 33% | 66% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Fairfield Wins | X | X | X | X | 1% | 33% | 66% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| St. Peter's (15‑11) vs Manhattan (12‑17) |
0 | St. Peter's Wins | X | X | X | X | 1% | 33% | 67% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | 1% | 33% | 66% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Manhattan Wins | X | X | X | X | 1% | 32% | 67% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Merrimack (20‑9) vs Canisius (9‑20) |
0 | Merrimack Wins | X | X | X | X | 1% | 33% | 66% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | 1% | 33% | 66% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Canisius Wins | X | X | X | X | 1% | 33% | 66% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Mount St. Mary's (14‑15) vs Sacred Heart (12‑18) |
0 | Mount St. Mary's Wins | X | X | X | X | 2% | 31% | 67% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | 1% | 33% | 66% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Sacred Heart Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 33% | 67% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||