The Most Important Games for the Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Mountaineers final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Mount St. Mary's Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | NT | |||
| Mount St. Mary's (4‑9) vs Iona (9‑4) |
18 | Mount St. Mary's Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 13% | 15% | 40% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 50% | ||
| Iona Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 14% | 52% | ||
| Merrimack (6‑7) vs Sacred Heart (5‑8) |
1 | Merrimack Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 49% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 50% | ||
| Sacred Heart Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 50% | ||
| Rider (1‑10) vs Manhattan (5‑8) |
1 | Rider Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 49% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 50% | ||
| Manhattan Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 49% | ||
| Fairfield (8‑5) vs St. Peter's (5‑5) |
0 | Fairfield Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 50% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 50% | ||
| St. Peter's Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 50% | ||
| Quinnipiac (9‑4) vs Marist (8‑3) |
0 | Quinnipiac Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 50% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 50% | ||
| Marist Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 50% | ||