The Most Important Games for the Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Mountaineers final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Mount St. Mary's Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | NT | |||
| Mount St. Mary's (11‑6) vs Rider (5‑11) |
5 | Mount St. Mary's Wins | 13% | 29% | 24% | 16% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 12% | 27% | 24% | 16% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Rider Wins | 8% | 22% | 24% | 18% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Canisius (1‑15) vs Iona (5‑12) |
1 | Canisius Wins | 13% | 27% | 23% | 16% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 12% | 27% | 24% | 16% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Iona Wins | 13% | 27% | 23% | 16% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Marist (12‑2) vs St. Peter's (6‑7) |
0 | Marist Wins | 12% | 27% | 24% | 16% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 12% | 27% | 24% | 16% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| St. Peter's Wins | 16% | 25% | 22% | 16% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Merrimack (8‑8) vs Quinnipiac (9‑8) |
0 | Merrimack Wins | 13% | 28% | 23% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 12% | 27% | 24% | 16% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Quinnipiac Wins | 13% | 27% | 22% | 16% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Fairfield (6‑10) vs Niagara (7‑9) |
0 | Fairfield Wins | 12% | 27% | 24% | 17% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 12% | 27% | 24% | 16% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Niagara Wins | 12% | 27% | 24% | 16% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Siena (7‑9) vs Sacred Heart (6‑10) |
0 | Siena Wins | 13% | 27% | 23% | 16% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 12% | 27% | 24% | 16% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Sacred Heart Wins | 12% | 27% | 24% | 16% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||