The Most Important Games for the Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Mountaineers final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Mount St. Mary's Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | NT | |||
| Mount St. Mary's (10‑15) vs Iona (14‑10) |
24 | Mount St. Mary's Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 23% | 27% | 24% | 19% | 5% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 10% | 18% | 27% | 30% | 11% | 2% | ||
| Iona Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 15% | 30% | 34% | 14% | 3% | ||
| Marist (16‑7) vs Fairfield (15‑10) |
2 | Marist Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 12% | 19% | 27% | 28% | 11% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 10% | 18% | 27% | 30% | 11% | 2% | ||
| Fairfield Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 9% | 16% | 28% | 32% | 12% | 2% | ||
| Merrimack (15‑9) vs Rider (3‑19) |
1 | Merrimack Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 10% | 18% | 27% | 30% | 11% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 10% | 18% | 27% | 30% | 11% | 2% | ||
| Rider Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 10% | 18% | 27% | 30% | 11% | 3% | ||
| Quinnipiac (16‑9) vs Niagara (6‑17) |
0 | Quinnipiac Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 10% | 18% | 27% | 31% | 11% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 10% | 18% | 27% | 30% | 11% | 2% | ||
| Niagara Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 10% | 18% | 26% | 30% | 11% | 3% | ||
| Manhattan (9‑16) vs Sacred Heart (10‑15) |
0 | Manhattan Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 11% | 20% | 29% | 21% | 15% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 10% | 18% | 27% | 30% | 11% | 2% | ||
| Sacred Heart Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 9% | 17% | 25% | 39% | 7% | 2% | ||
| St. Peter's (13‑8) vs Siena (17‑7) |
0 | St. Peter's Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 10% | 19% | 27% | 30% | 11% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 10% | 18% | 27% | 30% | 11% | 2% | ||
| Siena Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 10% | 18% | 26% | 31% | 11% | 2% | ||