The Most Important Games for the Niagara Purple Eagles are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Purple Eagles final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Niagara Purple Eagles fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Niagara Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | NT | |||
| Niagara (1‑4) vs Siena (3‑2) |
15 | Niagara Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 36% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 43% | ||
| Siena Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 44% | ||
| Mount St. Mary's (3‑3) vs Marist (3‑1) |
2 | Mount St. Mary's Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 11% | 42% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 43% | ||
| Marist Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 43% | ||
| Manhattan (2‑2) vs St. Peter's (2‑3) |
2 | Manhattan Wins | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 42% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 43% | ||
| St. Peter's Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 11% | 43% | ||
| Rider (3‑2) vs Fairfield (2‑3) |
1 | Rider Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 43% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 43% | ||
| Fairfield Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 43% | ||
| Canisius (0‑6) vs Merrimack (1‑3) |
1 | Canisius Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 43% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 43% | ||
| Merrimack Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 43% | ||
| Iona (1‑4) vs Sacred Heart (1‑5) |
0 | Iona Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 43% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 43% | ||
| Sacred Heart Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 43% | ||