The Most Important Games for the Niagara Purple Eagles are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Purple Eagles final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Niagara Purple Eagles fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Niagara Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | NT | |||
| Niagara (5‑13) vs Fairfield (11‑9) |
19 | Niagara Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 15% | 65% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 11% | 77% | ||
| Fairfield Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 10% | 82% | ||
| Quinnipiac (13‑7) vs Mount St. Mary's (8‑12) |
1 | Quinnipiac Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 7% | 12% | 76% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 11% | 77% | ||
| Mount St. Mary's Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 11% | 77% | ||
| Marist (12‑6) vs Siena (13‑7) |
1 | Marist Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 11% | 76% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 11% | 77% | ||
| Siena Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 12% | 77% | ||
| Sacred Heart (7‑13) vs Canisius (8‑11) |
1 | Sacred Heart Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 11% | 76% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 11% | 77% | ||
| Canisius Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 11% | 77% | ||
| Merrimack (12‑8) vs Iona (12‑8) |
0 | Merrimack Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 11% | 76% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 11% | 77% | ||
| Iona Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 11% | 77% | ||