The Most Important Games for the Niagara Purple Eagles are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Purple Eagles final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Niagara Purple Eagles fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Niagara Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | NT | |||
| Niagara (10‑16) vs Marist (19‑5) |
25 | Niagara Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 23% | 26% | 42% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 12% | 22% | 63% | ||
| Marist Wins | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 10% | 21% | 67% | ||
| Mount St. Mary's (16‑11) vs Rider (10‑17) |
6 | Mount St. Mary's Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 13% | 22% | 62% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 12% | 22% | 63% | ||
| Rider Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 8% | 22% | 68% | ||
| Sacred Heart (12‑14) vs St. Peter's (9‑14) |
2 | Sacred Heart Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 12% | 23% | 62% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 12% | 22% | 63% | ||
| St. Peter's Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 11% | 21% | 64% | ||
| Canisius (2‑24) vs Siena (13‑14) |
1 | Canisius Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 12% | 21% | 62% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 12% | 22% | 63% | ||
| Siena Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 13% | 21% | 63% | ||
| Quinnipiac (16‑10) vs Manhattan (13‑11) |
1 | Quinnipiac Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 12% | 22% | 63% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 12% | 22% | 63% | ||
| Manhattan Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 13% | 22% | 63% | ||
| Iona (12‑15) vs Merrimack (14‑13) |
0 | Iona Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 13% | 22% | 63% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 12% | 22% | 63% | ||
| Merrimack Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 12% | 21% | 63% | ||