The Most Important Games for the Rider Broncs are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Broncs final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Rider Broncs fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Rider Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | NT | |||
| Rider (10‑16) vs Fairfield (9‑17) |
34 | Rider Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 14% | 24% | 37% | 14% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 10% | 18% | 32% | 18% | 15% | ||
| Fairfield Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 30% | 24% | 30% | ||
| Marist (18‑5) vs Canisius (2‑23) |
2 | Marist Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 11% | 18% | 32% | 18% | 15% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 10% | 18% | 32% | 18% | 15% | ||
| Canisius Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 10% | 18% | 31% | 19% | 17% | ||
| Manhattan (13‑10) vs Iona (11‑15) |
2 | Manhattan Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 11% | 18% | 31% | 18% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 10% | 18% | 32% | 18% | 15% | ||
| Iona Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 18% | 34% | 19% | 16% | ||
| Merrimack (14‑12) vs Sacred Heart (11‑14) |
1 | Merrimack Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 11% | 18% | 31% | 19% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 10% | 18% | 32% | 18% | 15% | ||
| Sacred Heart Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 17% | 36% | 19% | 15% | ||
| Mount St. Mary's (15‑11) vs St. Peter's (9‑13) |
1 | Mount St. Mary's Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 10% | 19% | 34% | 18% | 14% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 10% | 18% | 32% | 18% | 15% | ||
| St. Peter's Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 10% | 17% | 28% | 18% | 18% | ||
| Siena (12‑14) vs Niagara (10‑15) |
1 | Siena Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 9% | 18% | 36% | 18% | 15% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 10% | 18% | 32% | 18% | 15% | ||
| Niagara Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 13% | 19% | 25% | 19% | 18% | ||