The Most Important Games for the Rider Broncs are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Broncs final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Rider Broncs fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Rider Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | NT | |||
| Rider (3‑19) vs Merrimack (15‑9) |
4 | Rider Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 95% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| Merrimack Wins | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Iona (14‑10) vs Mount St. Mary's (10‑15) |
0 | Iona Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 98% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| Mount St. Mary's Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Quinnipiac (16‑9) vs Niagara (6‑17) |
0 | Quinnipiac Wins | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 98% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| Niagara Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| Marist (16‑7) vs Fairfield (15‑10) |
0 | Marist Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 98% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| Fairfield Wins | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| Manhattan (9‑16) vs Sacred Heart (10‑15) |
0 | Manhattan Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| Sacred Heart Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| St. Peter's (13‑8) vs Siena (17‑7) |
0 | St. Peter's Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 98% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| Siena Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 98% | ||