The Most Important Games for the Blue Jays are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Blue Jays final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Blue Jays fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Blue Jays Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Blue Jays (32‑35) vs Phillies (36‑30) 2 Games Remaining |
10 | Blue Jays Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 1% | 1% | 8% | 14% | 12% | 63% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 1% | 7% | 13% | 11% | 66% | ||
| Phillies Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 1% | <1% | 6% | 11% | 11% | 71% | ||
| Braves (45‑21) vs White Sox (34‑31) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Braves Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 1% | 1% | 7% | 13% | 11% | 66% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 1% | 7% | 13% | 11% | 66% | ||
| White Sox Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 1% | 1% | 7% | 12% | 11% | 67% | ||
| Red Sox (27‑37) vs Rays (38‑25) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Red Sox Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 1% | 1% | 8% | 12% | 11% | 66% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 1% | 7% | 13% | 11% | 66% | ||
| Rays Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 1% | <1% | 7% | 13% | 11% | 66% | ||
| Angels (25‑42) vs Astros (31‑37) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Angels Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 1% | 1% | 7% | 13% | 11% | 66% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 1% | 7% | 13% | 11% | 66% | ||
| Astros Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 1% | 1% | 7% | 12% | 11% | 67% | ||
| Athletics (31‑35) vs Brewers (41‑23) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Athletics Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 1% | 1% | 7% | 12% | 11% | 66% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 1% | 7% | 13% | 11% | 66% | ||
| Brewers Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 1% | <1% | 7% | 13% | 11% | 66% | ||
| Tigers (27‑39) vs Twins (30‑37) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Tigers Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 1% | 1% | 7% | 13% | 11% | 66% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 1% | 7% | 13% | 11% | 66% | ||
| Twins Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 1% | 1% | 7% | 12% | 11% | 67% | ||
| Orioles (31‑36) vs Mariners (35‑32) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Orioles Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 1% | <1% | 8% | 12% | 11% | 66% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 1% | 7% | 13% | 11% | 66% | ||
| Mariners Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 1% | 1% | 7% | 13% | 11% | 66% | ||
| Guardians (37‑31) vs Yankees (39‑26) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Guardians Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 1% | 1% | 7% | 13% | 11% | 67% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 1% | 7% | 13% | 11% | 66% | ||
| Yankees Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 1% | <1% | 7% | 13% | 11% | 66% | ||
| Royals (27‑39) vs Rangers (32‑33) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Royals Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 1% | <1% | 7% | 13% | 11% | 66% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 1% | 7% | 13% | 11% | 66% | ||
| Rangers Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 1% | 1% | 7% | 13% | 11% | 66% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Blue Jays Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Blue Jays (32‑35) vs Phillies (36‑30) |
5 | Blue Jays Wins | 1% | 1% | 1% | 8% | 13% | 12% | 64% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 1% | 7% | 13% | 11% | 66% | ||
| Phillies Wins | 1% | 1% | 1% | 7% | 12% | 11% | 68% | ||
| Royals (27‑39) vs Rangers (32‑33) |
2 | Royals Wins | 1% | 1% | <1% | 7% | 13% | 11% | 66% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 1% | 7% | 13% | 11% | 66% | ||
| Rangers Wins | 1% | 1% | <1% | 7% | 13% | 10% | 67% | ||
| Brewers (41‑23) vs Athletics (31‑35) |
1 | Brewers Wins | 1% | 1% | 1% | 8% | 13% | 11% | 66% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 1% | 7% | 13% | 11% | 66% | ||
| Athletics Wins | 1% | 1% | 1% | 7% | 13% | 11% | 67% | ||
| Guardians (37‑31) vs Yankees (39‑26) |
1 | Guardians Wins | 1% | 1% | 1% | 7% | 13% | 11% | 66% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 1% | 7% | 13% | 11% | 66% | ||
| Yankees Wins | 1% | 1% | <1% | 7% | 13% | 11% | 67% | ||
| Angels (25‑42) vs Astros (31‑37) |
1 | Angels Wins | 1% | 1% | 1% | 7% | 13% | 11% | 66% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 1% | 7% | 13% | 11% | 66% | ||
| Astros Wins | 1% | 1% | 1% | 7% | 13% | 10% | 67% | ||
| Tigers (27‑39) vs Twins (30‑37) |
0 | Tigers Wins | 1% | 1% | 1% | 7% | 13% | 11% | 66% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 1% | 7% | 13% | 11% | 66% | ||
| Twins Wins | 1% | 1% | 1% | 7% | 13% | 11% | 67% | ||
| Rays (38‑25) vs Red Sox (27‑37) |
0 | Rays Wins | 1% | 1% | 1% | 7% | 13% | 11% | 66% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 1% | 7% | 13% | 11% | 66% | ||
| Red Sox Wins | 1% | 1% | 1% | 8% | 12% | 11% | 67% | ||
| White Sox (34‑31) vs Braves (45‑21) |
0 | White Sox Wins | 1% | 1% | <1% | 7% | 13% | 11% | 66% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 1% | 7% | 13% | 11% | 66% | ||
| Braves Wins | 1% | 1% | <1% | 7% | 13% | 11% | 66% | ||
| Orioles (31‑36) vs Mariners (35‑32) |
0 | Orioles Wins | 1% | 1% | <1% | 7% | 13% | 11% | 66% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 1% | 7% | 13% | 11% | 66% | ||
| Mariners Wins | 1% | 1% | 1% | 7% | 12% | 11% | 66% | ||