The Most Important Games for the Blue Jays are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Blue Jays final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Blue Jays fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Blue Jays Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Blue Jays (13‑11) vs Royals (14‑10) 2 Games Remaining |
7 | Blue Jays Sweeps 2 Games | 6% | 6% | 3% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 54% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 6% | 3% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 57% | ||
| Royals Sweeps 2 Games | 4% | 6% | 3% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 58% | ||
| Cubs (14‑9) vs Astros (7‑17) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Cubs Sweeps 2 Games | 5% | 6% | 3% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 57% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 6% | 3% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 57% | ||
| Astros Sweeps 2 Games | 5% | 6% | 3% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 58% | ||
| Guardians (17‑6) vs Red Sox (13‑11) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Guardians Sweeps 2 Games | 5% | 6% | 3% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 57% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 6% | 3% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 57% | ||
| Red Sox Sweeps 2 Games | 5% | 6% | 3% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 57% | ||
| Mariners (12‑11) vs Rangers (12‑12) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Mariners Sweeps 2 Games | 5% | 6% | 3% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 56% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 6% | 3% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 57% | ||
| Rangers Sweeps 2 Games | 5% | 6% | 3% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 57% | ||
| Rays (12‑13) vs Tigers (14‑10) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Rays Sweeps 1 Game | 5% | 6% | 3% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 57% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 6% | 3% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 57% | ||
| Tigers Sweeps 1 Game | 5% | 6% | 3% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 57% | ||
| Athletics (9‑15) vs Yankees (16‑8) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Athletics Sweeps 2 Games | 5% | 6% | 3% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 57% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 6% | 3% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 57% | ||
| Yankees Sweeps 2 Games | 5% | 6% | 3% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 57% | ||
| White Sox (3‑20) vs Twins (9‑13) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | White Sox Sweeps 2 Games | 5% | 6% | 3% | 11% | 11% | 8% | 56% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 6% | 3% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 57% | ||
| Twins Sweeps 2 Games | 5% | 6% | 3% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 57% | ||
| Orioles (15‑8) vs Angels (10‑14) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Orioles Sweeps 1 Game | 5% | 6% | 3% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 56% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 6% | 3% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 57% | ||
| Angels Sweeps 1 Game | 5% | 6% | 3% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 57% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Blue Jays Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Blue Jays (13‑11) vs Royals (14‑10) |
4 | Blue Jays Wins | 6% | 6% | 3% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 56% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 6% | 3% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 57% | ||
| Royals Wins | 5% | 6% | 3% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 58% | ||
| Athletics (9‑15) vs Yankees (16‑8) |
2 | Athletics Wins | 5% | 6% | 3% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 57% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 6% | 3% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 57% | ||
| Yankees Wins | 5% | 5% | 3% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 57% | ||
| Mariners (12‑11) vs Rangers (12‑12) |
1 | Mariners Wins | 5% | 6% | 3% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 56% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 6% | 3% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 57% | ||
| Rangers Wins | 5% | 6% | 3% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 57% | ||
| Rays (12‑13) vs Tigers (14‑10) |
1 | Rays Wins | 5% | 6% | 3% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 57% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 6% | 3% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 57% | ||
| Tigers Wins | 5% | 6% | 3% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 57% | ||
| Red Sox (13‑11) vs Guardians (17‑6) |
0 | Red Sox Wins | 5% | 6% | 3% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 57% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 6% | 3% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 57% | ||
| Guardians Wins | 5% | 6% | 3% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 57% | ||
| Astros (7‑17) vs Cubs (14‑9) |
0 | Astros Wins | 5% | 6% | 3% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 57% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 6% | 3% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 57% | ||
| Cubs Wins | 5% | 6% | 3% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 57% | ||
| Orioles (15‑8) vs Angels (10‑14) |
0 | Orioles Wins | 5% | 6% | 3% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 56% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 6% | 3% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 57% | ||
| Angels Wins | 5% | 6% | 3% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 57% | ||
| Twins (9‑13) vs White Sox (3‑20) |
0 | Twins Wins | 5% | 6% | 3% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 57% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 6% | 3% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 57% | ||
| White Sox Wins | 5% | 6% | 3% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 57% | ||