The Most Important Games for the Blue Jays are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Blue Jays final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Blue Jays fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Blue Jays Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Blue Jays (9‑7) vs Braves (4‑11) 3 Games Remaining |
10 | Blue Jays Sweeps 3 Games | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 50% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 52% | ||
| Braves Sweeps 3 Games | 8% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 54% | ||
| Guardians (8‑7) vs Orioles (6‑9) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Guardians Sweeps 3 Games | 11% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 51% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 52% | ||
| Orioles Sweeps 3 Games | 11% | 9% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 52% | ||
| Mariners (8‑8) vs Reds (8‑8) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Mariners Sweeps 3 Games | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 51% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 52% | ||
| Reds Sweeps 3 Games | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 52% | ||
| White Sox (4‑11) vs Athletics (6‑10) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | White Sox Sweeps 3 Games | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 52% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 52% | ||
| Athletics Sweeps 3 Games | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 52% | ||
| Royals (8‑8) vs Yankees (8‑7) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Royals Sweeps 3 Games | 11% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 52% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 52% | ||
| Yankees Sweeps 3 Games | 11% | 9% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 51% | ||
| Brewers (8‑8) vs Tigers (9‑6) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Brewers Sweeps 3 Games | 11% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 52% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 52% | ||
| Tigers Sweeps 3 Games | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 52% | ||
| Rays (7‑8) vs Red Sox (8‑9) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Rays Sweeps 3 Games | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 52% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 52% | ||
| Red Sox Sweeps 3 Games | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 52% | ||
| Rangers (9‑7) vs Angels (9‑6) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Rangers Sweeps 3 Games | 11% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 52% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 52% | ||
| Angels Sweeps 3 Games | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 52% | ||
| Cardinals (7‑8) vs Astros (7‑8) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Cardinals Sweeps 3 Games | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 51% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 52% | ||
| Astros Sweeps 3 Games | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 52% | ||
| Mets (10‑5) vs Twins (5‑11) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Mets Sweeps 3 Games | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 52% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 52% | ||
| Twins Sweeps 3 Games | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 52% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Blue Jays Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Blue Jays (9‑7) vs Braves (4‑11) |
3 | Blue Jays Wins | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 51% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 52% | ||
| Braves Wins | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 52% | ||
| Astros (7‑8) vs Cardinals (7‑8) |
2 | Astros Wins | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 51% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 52% | ||
| Cardinals Wins | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 52% | ||
| Tigers (9‑6) vs Brewers (8‑8) |
2 | Tigers Wins | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 52% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 52% | ||
| Brewers Wins | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 53% | ||
| Rays (7‑8) vs Red Sox (8‑9) |
1 | Rays Wins | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 52% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 52% | ||
| Red Sox Wins | 10% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 52% | ||
| Angels (9‑6) vs Rangers (9‑7) |
1 | Angels Wins | 10% | 10% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 51% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 52% | ||
| Rangers Wins | 10% | 9% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 52% | ||
| Reds (8‑8) vs Mariners (8‑8) |
1 | Reds Wins | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 51% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 52% | ||
| Mariners Wins | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 52% | ||
| Orioles (6‑9) vs Guardians (8‑7) |
1 | Orioles Wins | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 51% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 52% | ||
| Guardians Wins | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 52% | ||
| Twins (5‑11) vs Mets (10‑5) |
1 | Twins Wins | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 51% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 52% | ||
| Mets Wins | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 52% | ||
| Yankees (8‑7) vs Royals (8‑8) |
1 | Yankees Wins | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 52% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 52% | ||
| Royals Wins | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 52% | ||
| Athletics (6‑10) vs White Sox (4‑11) |
0 | Athletics Wins | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 52% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 52% | ||
| White Sox Wins | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 52% | ||