The Most Important Games for the Blue Jays are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Blue Jays final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Blue Jays fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Blue Jays Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Blue Jays (68‑48) vs Dodgers (66‑49) 3 Games Remaining |
29 | Blue Jays Sweeps 3 Games | 59% | 20% | 7% | 10% | 3% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 46% | 21% | 9% | 13% | 5% | 3% | 2% | ||
| Dodgers Sweeps 3 Games | 35% | 22% | 12% | 15% | 8% | 4% | 4% | ||
| Padres (64‑51) vs Red Sox (64‑52) 3 Games Remaining |
14 | Padres Sweeps 3 Games | 47% | 24% | 11% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 46% | 21% | 9% | 13% | 5% | 3% | 2% | ||
| Red Sox Sweeps 3 Games | 44% | 19% | 8% | 17% | 7% | 3% | 2% | ||
| Astros (64‑51) vs Yankees (61‑54) 3 Games Remaining |
7 | Astros Sweeps 3 Games | 43% | 24% | 13% | 11% | 5% | 2% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 46% | 21% | 9% | 13% | 5% | 3% | 2% | ||
| Yankees Sweeps 3 Games | 48% | 19% | 7% | 15% | 6% | 3% | 2% | ||
| Angels (55‑60) vs Tigers (66‑50) 3 Games Remaining |
3 | Angels Sweeps 3 Games | 51% | 19% | 7% | 13% | 5% | 2% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 46% | 21% | 9% | 13% | 5% | 3% | 2% | ||
| Tigers Sweeps 3 Games | 42% | 23% | 11% | 13% | 6% | 3% | 2% | ||
| White Sox (42‑73) vs Guardians (59‑55) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | White Sox Sweeps 3 Games | 47% | 21% | 9% | 13% | 5% | 2% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 46% | 21% | 9% | 13% | 5% | 3% | 2% | ||
| Guardians Sweeps 3 Games | 46% | 21% | 9% | 13% | 6% | 3% | 2% | ||
| Phillies (65‑49) vs Rangers (60‑56) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Phillies Sweeps 3 Games | 46% | 21% | 10% | 13% | 5% | 3% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 46% | 21% | 9% | 13% | 5% | 3% | 2% | ||
| Rangers Sweeps 3 Games | 46% | 21% | 10% | 13% | 5% | 3% | 2% | ||
| Royals (57‑58) vs Twins (54‑60) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Royals Sweeps 3 Games | 46% | 21% | 10% | 13% | 5% | 3% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 46% | 21% | 9% | 13% | 5% | 3% | 2% | ||
| Twins Sweeps 3 Games | 46% | 21% | 9% | 13% | 5% | 3% | 2% | ||
| Orioles (52‑63) vs Athletics (51‑66) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Orioles Sweeps 3 Games | 46% | 21% | 10% | 13% | 6% | 3% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 46% | 21% | 9% | 13% | 5% | 3% | 2% | ||
| Athletics Sweeps 3 Games | 46% | 22% | 9% | 13% | 5% | 3% | 2% | ||
| Mariners (63‑53) vs Rays (57‑59) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Mariners Sweeps 3 Games | 45% | 22% | 10% | 12% | 6% | 3% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 46% | 21% | 9% | 13% | 5% | 3% | 2% | ||
| Rays Sweeps 3 Games | 47% | 21% | 9% | 14% | 5% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Blue Jays Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Blue Jays (68‑48) vs Dodgers (66‑49) |
9 | Blue Jays Wins | 51% | 21% | 8% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 46% | 21% | 9% | 13% | 5% | 3% | 2% | ||
| Dodgers Wins | 43% | 21% | 10% | 14% | 6% | 3% | 2% | ||
| Padres (64‑51) vs Red Sox (64‑52) |
6 | Padres Wins | 47% | 22% | 10% | 12% | 5% | 3% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 46% | 21% | 9% | 13% | 5% | 3% | 2% | ||
| Red Sox Wins | 45% | 21% | 9% | 15% | 6% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Astros (64‑51) vs Yankees (61‑54) |
3 | Astros Wins | 45% | 23% | 10% | 12% | 6% | 2% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 46% | 21% | 9% | 13% | 5% | 3% | 2% | ||
| Yankees Wins | 47% | 21% | 8% | 14% | 6% | 3% | 2% | ||
| Athletics (51‑66) vs Orioles (52‑63) |
1 | Athletics Wins | 46% | 22% | 10% | 12% | 6% | 3% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 46% | 21% | 9% | 13% | 5% | 3% | 2% | ||
| Orioles Wins | 46% | 21% | 9% | 13% | 5% | 3% | 2% | ||
| Tigers (66‑50) vs Angels (55‑60) |
1 | Tigers Wins | 46% | 22% | 10% | 12% | 6% | 3% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 46% | 21% | 9% | 13% | 5% | 3% | 2% | ||
| Angels Wins | 48% | 20% | 9% | 13% | 6% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Rangers (60‑56) vs Phillies (65‑49) |
0 | Rangers Wins | 47% | 21% | 10% | 13% | 6% | 3% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 46% | 21% | 9% | 13% | 5% | 3% | 2% | ||
| Phillies Wins | 46% | 21% | 9% | 13% | 5% | 2% | 2% | ||
| White Sox (42‑73) vs Guardians (59‑55) |
0 | White Sox Wins | 46% | 21% | 10% | 13% | 5% | 3% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 46% | 21% | 9% | 13% | 5% | 3% | 2% | ||
| Guardians Wins | 46% | 22% | 10% | 12% | 5% | 3% | 2% | ||
| Twins (54‑60) vs Royals (57‑58) |
0 | Twins Wins | 46% | 21% | 9% | 13% | 6% | 3% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 46% | 21% | 9% | 13% | 5% | 3% | 2% | ||
| Royals Wins | 46% | 22% | 10% | 12% | 6% | 3% | 2% | ||
| Mariners (63‑53) vs Rays (57‑59) |
0 | Mariners Wins | 46% | 21% | 10% | 13% | 6% | 3% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 46% | 21% | 9% | 13% | 5% | 3% | 2% | ||
| Rays Wins | 47% | 21% | 9% | 13% | 5% | 2% | 2% | ||