The Most Important Games for the Blue Jays are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Blue Jays final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Blue Jays fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Blue Jays Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Blue Jays (74‑75) vs Orioles (72‑77) 1 Game Remaining |
17 | Blue Jays Sweeps 1 Game | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 46% | 53% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 39% | 61% | ||
| Orioles Sweeps 1 Game | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 29% | 70% | ||
| Twins (70‑78) vs Guardians (75‑74) 1 Game Remaining |
9 | Twins Sweeps 1 Game | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 43% | 56% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 39% | 61% | ||
| Guardians Sweeps 1 Game | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 34% | 65% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs (79‑70) vs Rangers (73‑76) 1 Game Remaining |
2 | DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 1 Game | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 40% | 60% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 39% | 61% | ||
| Rangers Sweeps 1 Game | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 38% | 62% | ||
| Rays (89‑59) vs Astros (75‑74) 1 Game Remaining |
2 | Rays Sweeps 1 Game | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 40% | 60% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 39% | 61% | ||
| Astros Sweeps 1 Game | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 38% | 61% | ||
| Cardinals (73‑76) vs White Sox (76‑72) 1 Game Remaining |
2 | Cardinals Sweeps 1 Game | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 40% | 60% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 39% | 61% | ||
| White Sox Sweeps 1 Game | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 38% | 61% | ||
| Athletics (60‑89) vs Mariners (70‑79) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Athletics Sweeps 1 Game | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 39% | 60% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 39% | 61% | ||
| Mariners Sweeps 1 Game | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 39% | 61% | ||
| Tigers (69‑79) vs Rockies (55‑93) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Tigers Sweeps 1 Game | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 40% | 60% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 39% | 61% | ||
| Rockies Sweeps 1 Game | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 39% | 60% | ||
| Mets (69‑79) vs Yankees (85‑63) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Mets Sweeps 1 Game | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 39% | 60% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 39% | 61% | ||
| Yankees Sweeps 1 Game | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 39% | 61% | ||
| Red Sox (81‑68) vs Royals (66‑83) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Red Sox Sweeps 1 Game | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 39% | 60% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 39% | 61% | ||
| Royals Sweeps 1 Game | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 39% | 60% | ||
| Nationals (69‑81) vs Angels (56‑92) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Nationals Sweeps 1 Game | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 39% | 61% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 39% | 61% | ||
| Angels Sweeps 1 Game | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 39% | 61% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Blue Jays Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Blue Jays (74‑75) vs Orioles (72‑77) |
17 | Blue Jays Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 46% | 53% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 39% | 61% | ||
| Orioles Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 29% | 70% | ||
| Twins (70‑78) vs Guardians (75‑74) |
9 | Twins Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 43% | 56% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 39% | 61% | ||
| Guardians Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 34% | 65% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs (79‑70) vs Rangers (73‑76) |
2 | DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 40% | 60% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 39% | 61% | ||
| Rangers Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 38% | 62% | ||
| Rays (89‑59) vs Astros (75‑74) |
2 | Rays Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 40% | 60% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 39% | 61% | ||
| Astros Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 38% | 61% | ||
| Cardinals (73‑76) vs White Sox (76‑72) |
2 | Cardinals Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 40% | 60% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 39% | 61% | ||
| White Sox Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 38% | 61% | ||
| Athletics (60‑89) vs Mariners (70‑79) |
1 | Athletics Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 39% | 60% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 39% | 61% | ||
| Mariners Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 39% | 61% | ||
| Tigers (69‑79) vs Rockies (55‑93) |
0 | Tigers Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 40% | 60% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 39% | 61% | ||
| Rockies Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 39% | 60% | ||
| Mets (69‑79) vs Yankees (85‑63) |
0 | Mets Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 39% | 60% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 39% | 61% | ||
| Yankees Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 39% | 61% | ||
| Red Sox (81‑68) vs Royals (66‑83) |
0 | Red Sox Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 39% | 60% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 39% | 61% | ||
| Royals Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 39% | 60% | ||
| Nationals (69‑81) vs Angels (56‑92) |
0 | Nationals Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 39% | 61% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 39% | 61% | ||
| Angels Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 39% | 61% | ||