The Timbers What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Timbers play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Win Next Game | 11 | 7 | 7 | 40 | <1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 21% | 9% | 3% | 1% |
Current Standings | 10 | 7 | 7 | 37 | <1% | 1% | 2% | 7% | 15% | 26% | 23% | 13% | 7% | 6% |
Lose Next Game | 10 | 8 | 7 | 37 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 11% | 23% | 25% | 16% | 10% | 9% |
Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Best Case Scenario | <1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 21% | 31% | 21% | 7% | 3% | 1% |
Current Standings | <1% | 1% | 2% | 7% | 15% | 26% | 23% | 13% | 7% | 6% |
Worst Case Scenario | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 11% | 21% | 22% | 17% | 11% | 11% |
Best Case Scenario Timbers beats FC Dallas Whitecaps beats Earthquakes Red Bulls beats Real Salt Lake |
Worst Case Scenario FC Dallas beats Timbers Earthquakes beats Whitecaps Real Salt Lake beats Red Bulls |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | ||
10 of 10 | 100% | 20 | 7 | 7 | 67 | 86% | 14% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
9 of 10 | 90% | 19 | 8 | 7 | 64 | 52% | 39% | 8% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
8 of 10 | 80% | 18 | 9 | 7 | 61 | 15% | 42% | 34% | 9% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
7 of 10 | 70% | 17 | 10 | 7 | 58 | 1% | 12% | 37% | 38% | 11% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
6 of 10 | 60% | 16 | 11 | 7 | 55 | <1% | 1% | 9% | 38% | 41% | 11% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
5 of 10 | 50% | 15 | 12 | 7 | 52 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 11% | 42% | 40% | 7% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
4 of 10 | 40% | 14 | 13 | 7 | 49 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 13% | 49% | 32% | 4% | <1% | <1% |
3 of 10 | 30% | 13 | 14 | 7 | 46 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 18% | 46% | 28% | 6% | <1% |
2 of 10 | 20% | 12 | 15 | 7 | 43 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 15% | 37% | 32% | 15% |
1 of 10 | 10% | 11 | 16 | 7 | 40 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 23% | 70% |
0 of 10 | 0% | 10 | 17 | 7 | 37 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |