The Most Important Games for the Timbers are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Timbers final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Timbers fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Timbers Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |||
| Timbers (1‑2) vs Dynamo (1‑1) |
50 | Timbers Wins | 4% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 41% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 52% | ||
| Dynamo Wins | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 8% | 58% | ||
| NY City FC (2‑0‑1) vs Rapids (2‑1) |
7 | NY City FC Wins | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 51% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 52% | ||
| Rapids Wins | 3% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 53% | ||
| Real Salt Lake (2‑1) vs Austin FC (1‑1‑1) |
4 | Real Salt Lake Wins | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 53% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 52% | ||
| Austin FC Wins | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 54% | ||
| LAFC (3‑0) vs St. Louis City SC (0‑2‑1) |
2 | LAFC Wins | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 52% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 52% | ||
| St. Louis City SC Wins | 3% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 53% | ||
| Sounders (2‑1) vs EarthquakesEarthquaks (3‑0) |
2 | Sounders Wins | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 52% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 52% | ||
| EarthquakesEarthquaks Wins | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 53% | ||
| Sporting KC (0‑2‑1) vs Galaxy (1‑1‑1) |
2 | Sporting KC Wins | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 52% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 52% | ||
| Galaxy Wins | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 53% | ||
| San Diego FC (3‑0) vs FC Dallas (1‑1‑1) |
1 | San Diego FC Wins | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 51% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 52% | ||
| FC Dallas Wins | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 53% | ||
| Minnesota United (1‑1‑1) vs Whitecaps (3‑0) |
1 | Minnesota United Wins | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 53% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 52% | ||
| Whitecaps Wins | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 53% | ||