The Most Important Games for the Timbers are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Timbers final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Timbers fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Timbers Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |||
| Timbers (10‑7‑7) vs FC Dallas (6‑11‑7) |
46 | Timbers Wins | <1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 21% | 9% | 3% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 7% | 15% | 26% | 23% | 13% | 7% | 6% | ||
| FC Dallas Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 11% | 23% | 25% | 16% | 10% | 9% | ||
| Red Bulls (9‑10‑6) vs Real Salt Lake (9‑11‑4) |
9 | Red Bulls Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 7% | 16% | 26% | 23% | 12% | 7% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 7% | 15% | 26% | 23% | 13% | 7% | 6% | ||
| Real Salt Lake Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 7% | 15% | 24% | 22% | 15% | 8% | 7% | ||
| Minnesota United (12‑5‑8) vs Rapids (8‑11‑6) |
7 | Minnesota United Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 7% | 16% | 26% | 23% | 13% | 7% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 7% | 15% | 26% | 23% | 13% | 7% | 6% | ||
| Rapids Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 15% | 24% | 21% | 14% | 8% | 7% | ||
| Whitecaps (13‑5‑6) vs EarthquakesEarthquaks (7‑10‑8) |
6 | Whitecaps Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 7% | 15% | 27% | 24% | 13% | 7% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 7% | 15% | 26% | 23% | 13% | 7% | 6% | ||
| EarthquakesEarthquaks Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 7% | 15% | 25% | 22% | 13% | 8% | 7% | ||
| Galaxy (3‑14‑7) vs Sounders (10‑6‑8) |
3 | Galaxy Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 8% | 18% | 24% | 21% | 13% | 7% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 7% | 15% | 26% | 23% | 13% | 7% | 6% | ||
| Sounders Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 14% | 27% | 24% | 14% | 7% | 6% | ||
| Dynamo (7‑11‑6) vs Austin FC (9‑8‑6) |
3 | Dynamo Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 7% | 17% | 27% | 21% | 12% | 7% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 7% | 15% | 26% | 23% | 13% | 7% | 6% | ||
| Austin FC Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 7% | 14% | 25% | 25% | 13% | 7% | 6% | ||
| Fire (10‑9‑5) vs LAFC (10‑6‑6) |
3 | Fire Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 16% | 25% | 23% | 13% | 7% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 7% | 15% | 26% | 23% | 13% | 7% | 6% | ||
| LAFC Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 15% | 27% | 24% | 13% | 7% | 6% | ||
| San Diego FC (14‑7‑4) vs Sporting KC (6‑12‑6) |
0 | San Diego FC Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 15% | 26% | 24% | 13% | 7% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 7% | 15% | 26% | 23% | 13% | 7% | 6% | ||
| Sporting KC Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 15% | 25% | 23% | 13% | 7% | 6% | ||
| St. Louis City SC (4‑14‑6) vs Nashville SC (14‑6‑5) |
0 | St. Louis City SC Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 7% | 15% | 25% | 23% | 13% | 7% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 7% | 15% | 26% | 23% | 13% | 7% | 6% | ||
| Nashville SC Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 15% | 25% | 23% | 13% | 7% | 6% | ||