The Most Important Games for the Timbers are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Timbers final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Timbers fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Timbers Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |||
| Timbers (2‑4‑1) vs Minnesota United (3‑2‑2) |
22 | Timbers Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 60% | ||
| Minnesota United Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 64% | ||
| Inter Miami CF (3‑1‑3) vs Rapids (4‑3) |
2 | Inter Miami CF Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 60% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 60% | ||
| Rapids Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 61% | ||
| EarthquakesEarthquaks (6‑1) vs LAFC (5‑1‑1) |
2 | EarthquakesEarthquaks Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 60% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 60% | ||
| LAFC Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 60% | ||
| Real Salt Lake (4‑1‑1) vs San Diego FC (3‑2‑2) |
1 | Real Salt Lake Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 61% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 60% | ||
| San Diego FC Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 61% | ||
| Austin FC (1‑3‑3) vs Toronto FC (3‑2‑2) |
1 | Austin FC Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 61% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 60% | ||
| Toronto FC Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 61% | ||
| Sounders (4‑1‑1) vs St. Louis City SC (1‑3‑3) |
0 | Sounders Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 60% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 60% | ||
| St. Louis City SC Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 61% | ||
| Orlando City SC (1‑5) vs Dynamo (2‑4) |
0 | Orlando City SC Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 60% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 60% | ||
| Dynamo Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 60% | ||
| Real Salt Lake (4‑1‑1) vs Sounders (4‑1‑1) |
0 | Real Salt Lake Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 61% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 60% | ||
| Sounders Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 61% | ||
| FC Dallas (3‑1‑3) vs Galaxy (2‑3‑2) |
0 | FC Dallas Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 60% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 60% | ||
| Galaxy Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 60% | ||
| Sporting KC (1‑5‑1) vs Whitecaps (6‑1) |
0 | Sporting KC Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 60% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 60% | ||
| Whitecaps Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 60% | ||