The Most Important Games for the Timbers are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Timbers final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Timbers fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Timbers Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |||
| Timbers (2‑3‑4) vs LAFC (3‑3‑3) |
30 | Timbers Wins | 3% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 23% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 29% | ||
| LAFC Wins | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 31% | ||
| FC Cincinnati (4‑2‑3) vs Rapids (4‑2‑3) |
5 | FC Cincinnati Wins | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 28% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 29% | ||
| Rapids Wins | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 30% | ||
| Galaxy (5‑1‑3) vs Austin FC (3‑3‑3) |
2 | Galaxy Wins | 3% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 28% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 29% | ||
| Austin FC Wins | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 29% | ||
| D.C. United (2‑3‑4) vs Sounders (1‑4‑3) |
2 | D.C. United Wins | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 28% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 29% | ||
| Sounders Wins | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 29% | ||
| Red Bulls (4‑1‑4) vs Whitecaps (5‑2‑1) |
2 | Red Bulls Wins | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 29% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 29% | ||
| Whitecaps Wins | 2% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 29% | ||
| FC Dallas (1‑5‑2) vs Dynamo (4‑3‑1) |
1 | FC Dallas Wins | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 29% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 29% | ||
| Dynamo Wins | 2% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 29% | ||
| Union (3‑0‑4) vs Real Salt Lake (4‑2‑3) |
1 | Union Wins | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 29% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 29% | ||
| Real Salt Lake Wins | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 28% | ||
| EarthquakesEarthquaks (1‑8) vs Nashville SC (1‑3‑4) |
1 | EarthquakesEarthquaks Wins | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 29% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 29% | ||
| Nashville SC Wins | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 28% | ||
| Minnesota United (4‑2‑2) vs Sporting KC (2‑2‑5) |
1 | Minnesota United Wins | 2% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 28% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 29% | ||
| Sporting KC Wins | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 30% | ||