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Tue Dec 30 7:30 pm

NCAA Basketball - Week 9 of 18

NCAA Basketball Tournament Line Movers

A Line Mover is a team that

Simple put, if a line mover wins it conference tournament the cutline currently located between ranked teams 44 and 45 will move up one position, thus eliminating a team that would have received an NCAA Tournament bid based upon its rank. If your team is ranked on the bubble you want line-moving teams to lose in their conference tournament. The list contains 94 teams in 10 conferences, thus the cutline could theoretically move up 10 spots. The list size will quickly contract during the individual conference tournaments.

NCAA Basketball Tournament Line Movers
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record Probability of Winning
Its Conference Tournament
W L
46 Clemson ACCACC $MWP$ 10 3 5%
55 Miami ACCACC $MWP$ 11 2 5%
68 N.C. State ACCACC $MWP$ 9 4 3%
73 Wake Forest ACCACC $MWP$ 9 4 3%
80 Notre Dame ACCACC $MWP$ 9 4 3%
106 Syracuse ACCACC $MWP$ 9 4 2%
128 Georgia Tech ACCACC $MWP$ 9 4 1%
152 Pittsburgh ACCACC $MWP$ 7 6 1%
171 Florida St. ACCACC $MWP$ 7 6 <1%
204 Boston College ACCACC $MWP$ 7 6 <1%
 
103 Florida Atlantic American AthleticAm. Athletic $MWP$ 8 5 10%
109 South Florida American AthleticAm. Athletic $MWP$ 8 5 9%
116 Tulane American AthleticAm. Athletic $MWP$ 9 4 9%
124 Wichita St. American AthleticAm. Athletic $MWP$ 8 5 7%
131 North Texas American AthleticAm. Athletic $MWP$ 9 4 7%
154 UAB American AthleticAm. Athletic $MWP$ 9 4 6%
163 Temple American AthleticAm. Athletic $MWP$ 8 5 5%
164 Memphis American AthleticAm. Athletic $MWP$ 5 7 5%
224 Charlotte American AthleticAm. Athletic $MWP$ 6 7 2%
251 Rice American AthleticAm. Athletic $MWP$ 6 7 1%
256 E. Carolina American AthleticAm. Athletic $MWP$ 5 8 1%
263 Texas-San Antonio American AthleticAm. Athletic $MWP$ 4 8 1%
 
86 VCU Atlantic 10Atl. 10 $MWP$ 9 4 8%
92 Richmond Atlantic 10Atl. 10 $MWP$ 10 3 6%
97 Rhode Island Atlantic 10Atl. 10 $MWP$ 9 4 7%
107 Dayton Atlantic 10Atl. 10 $MWP$ 9 4 7%
110 Davidson Atlantic 10Atl. 10 $MWP$ 8 4 6%
113 Geo. Washington Atlantic 10Atl. 10 $MWP$ 9 4 5%
174 Duquesne Atlantic 10Atl. 10 $MWP$ 8 5 2%
186 St. Joseph's Atlantic 10Atl. 10 $MWP$ 8 5 1%
239 Fordham Atlantic 10Atl. 10 $MWP$ 9 4 1%
300 La Salle Atlantic 10Atl. 10 $MWP$ 4 9 <1%
301 Loyola Chicago Atlantic 10Atl. 10 $MWP$ 4 9 <1%
 
53 Washington Big 10Big 10 $MWP$ 9 4 2%
58 Indiana Big 10Big 10 $MWP$ 10 3 3%
65 Ohio St. Big 10Big 10 $MWP$ 9 3 2%
91 Wisconsin Big 10Big 10 $MWP$ 8 4 1%
121 Penn State Big 10Big 10 $MWP$ 9 4 1%
123 NorthwesternN. Western Big 10Big 10 $MWP$ 8 5 <1%
127 Maryland Big 10Big 10 $MWP$ 7 5 <1%
130 Oregon Big 10Big 10 $MWP$ 7 6 <1%
134 Minnesota Big 10Big 10 $MWP$ 8 5 <1%
162 Rutgers Big 10Big 10 $MWP$ 7 6 <1%
 
45 Colorado Big 12Big 12 $MWP$ 10 2 4%
50 Baylor Big 12Big 12 $MWP$ 10 2 3%
67 Kansas St. Big 12Big 12 $MWP$ 9 4 2%
75 Arizona St. Big 12Big 12 $MWP$ 8 4 2%
79 TCU Big 12Big 12 $MWP$ 10 3 2%
115 Utah Big 12Big 12 $MWP$ 8 5 1%
140 Cincinnati Big 12Big 12 $MWP$ 8 5 1%
149 West Virginia Big 12Big 12 $MWP$ 9 4 <1%
 
49 Butler Big EastBig East $MWP$ 10 3 9%
96 Creighton Big EastBig East $MWP$ 8 5 5%
104 Xavier Big EastBig East $MWP$ 9 4 5%
108 Georgetown Big EastBig East $MWP$ 9 4 3%
137 Providence Big EastBig East $MWP$ 7 6 2%
144 DePaul Big EastBig East $MWP$ 7 4 2%
244 Marquette Big EastBig East $MWP$ 5 8 <1%
 
94 Columbia Ivy LeagueIvy League $MWP$ 10 3 28%
173 Cornell Ivy LeagueIvy League $MWP$ 6 6 9%
196 PennsylvaniaPenn. Ivy LeagueIvy League $MWP$ 6 6 8%
207 Harvard Ivy LeagueIvy League $MWP$ 7 7 6%
264 Dartmouth Ivy LeagueIvy League $MWP$ 5 7 3%
287 Brown Ivy LeagueIvy League $MWP$ 5 7 2%
313 Princeton Ivy LeagueIvy League $MWP$ 4 11 1%
 
84 Wyoming Mountain WestMntn West $MWP$ 10 3 8%
93 San Diego St. Mountain WestMntn West $MWP$ 7 4 7%
101 Colorado St. Mountain WestMntn West $MWP$ 8 3 8%
102 Grand Canyon Mountain WestMntn West $MWP$ 8 3 9%
170 UNLV Mountain WestMntn West $MWP$ 6 6 2%
201 Fresno St. Mountain WestMntn West $MWP$ 6 5 1%
212 San José State Mountain WestMntn West $MWP$ 5 7 1%
308 Air Force Mountain WestMntn West $MWP$ 3 10 <1%
 
47 Arkansas SECSEC $MWP$ 9 3 6%
48 Tennessee SECSEC $MWP$ 9 3 5%
54 Auburn SECSEC $MWP$ 8 3 6%
69 Florida SECSEC $MWP$ 9 4 5%
78 Texas A&M SECSEC $MWP$ 10 3 4%
82 Kentucky SECSEC $MWP$ 9 4 3%
87 Missouri SECSEC $MWP$ 10 3 3%
88 Mississippi St.Miss. St. SECSEC $MWP$ 8 5 3%
126 Ole Miss SECSEC $MWP$ 8 4 1%
136 South Carolina SECSEC $MWP$ 8 4 1%
138 Texas SECSEC $MWP$ 8 4 1%
 
60 Santa Clara West CoastWest Coast $MWP$ 9 4 5%
70 Seattle West CoastWest Coast $MWP$ 11 3 5%
89 San Francisco West CoastWest Coast $MWP$ 9 4 5%
133 Pacific West CoastWest Coast $MWP$ 9 5 2%
142 Loyola Marymount West CoastWest Coast $MWP$ 9 5 3%
185 Washington St. West CoastWest Coast $MWP$ 6 7 1%
191 Oregon St. West CoastWest Coast $MWP$ 7 7 1%
194 San Diego West CoastWest Coast $MWP$ 6 7 1%
223 Portland West CoastWest Coast $MWP$ 7 7 <1%
285 Pepperdine West CoastWest Coast $MWP$ 5 9 <1%
  • Notes
  • X means the team cannot win its conference tournament
  • 50% - probability the team will win its conference tournament - green number indicates the team controls its destiny
  • 50% - probability the team will win its conference tournament - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny