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Wed Mar 11 7:15 am

NCAA Basketball - Regular Season Complete

NCAA Basketball Tournament Line Movers

A Line Mover is a team that

Simple put, if a line mover wins it conference tournament the cutline currently located between ranked teams 44 and 45 will move up one position, thus eliminating a team that would have received an NCAA Tournament bid based upon its rank. If your team is ranked on the bubble you want line-moving teams to lose in their conference tournament. The list contains 77 teams in 10 conferences, thus the cutline could theoretically move up 10 spots. The list size will quickly contract during the individual conference tournaments.

NCAA Basketball Tournament Line Movers
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record Probability of Winning
Its Conference Tournament
W L
56 N.C. State ACCACC $MWP$ 19 12 2%
57 SMU ACCACC $MWP$ 20 12 2%
60 California ACCACC $MWP$ 21 10 1%
82 Wake Forest ACCACC $MWP$ 17 15 1%
83 Florida St. ACCACC $MWP$ 17 14 <1%
173 Pittsburgh ACCACC $MWP$ 13 19 <1%
 
78 Wichita St. American AthleticAm. Athletic $MWP$ 21 10 22%
101 UAB American AthleticAm. Athletic $MWP$ 20 11 9%
130 North Texas American AthleticAm. Athletic $MWP$ 18 13 2%
135 Florida Atlantic American AthleticAm. Athletic $MWP$ 17 14 1%
156 Tulane American AthleticAm. Athletic $MWP$ 17 14 1%
212 Temple American AthleticAm. Athletic $MWP$ 16 15 <1%
213 Memphis American AthleticAm. Athletic $MWP$ 13 18 1%
217 Charlotte American AthleticAm. Athletic $MWP$ 15 16 1%
 
51 George Mason Atlantic 10Atl. 10 $MWP$ 23 8 9%
62 Dayton Atlantic 10Atl. 10 $MWP$ 21 10 12%
79 St. Joseph's Atlantic 10Atl. 10 $MWP$ 21 10 9%
104 Davidson Atlantic 10Atl. 10 $MWP$ 19 12 4%
133 Geo. Washington Atlantic 10Atl. 10 $MWP$ 17 14 2%
143 Duquesne Atlantic 10Atl. 10 $MWP$ 17 14 2%
145 Rhode Island Atlantic 10Atl. 10 $MWP$ 16 15 1%
193 St. BonaventureSt. Bonavnt Atlantic 10Atl. 10 $MWP$ 15 16 <1%
207 Fordham Atlantic 10Atl. 10 $MWP$ 17 14 <1%
208 Richmond Atlantic 10Atl. 10 $MWP$ 15 16 <1%
272 La Salle Atlantic 10Atl. 10 $MWP$ 9 22 <1%
310 Loyola Chicago Atlantic 10Atl. 10 $MWP$ 8 23 <1%
 
45 Ohio St. Big 10Big 10 $MWP$ 20 11 1%
49 Iowa Big 10Big 10 $MWP$ 20 11 1%
69 Indiana Big 10Big 10 $MWP$ 18 13 <1%
77 USC Big 10Big 10 $MWP$ 18 13 <1%
116 Washington Big 10Big 10 $MWP$ 15 16 <1%
120 Minnesota Big 10Big 10 $MWP$ 15 16 <1%
136 NorthwesternN. Western Big 10Big 10 $MWP$ 14 18 <1%
186 Rutgers Big 10Big 10 $MWP$ 13 18 <1%
191 Maryland Big 10Big 10 $MWP$ 12 19 <1%
 
63 Oklahoma St. Big 12Big 12 $MWP$ 19 13 1%
70 Cincinnati Big 12Big 12 $MWP$ 18 14 <1%
75 West Virginia Big 12Big 12 $MWP$ 18 13 <1%
76 Arizona St. Big 12Big 12 $MWP$ 17 15 <1%
 
64 Seton Hall Big EastBig East $MWP$ 20 11 8%
110 Creighton Big EastBig East $MWP$ 15 16 2%
111 Butler Big EastBig East $MWP$ 16 15 1%
129 DePaul Big EastBig East $MWP$ 16 15 <1%
147 Providence Big EastBig East $MWP$ 14 17 <1%
158 Georgetown Big EastBig East $MWP$ 14 17 <1%
162 Xavier Big EastBig East $MWP$ 14 17 <1%
206 Marquette Big EastBig East $MWP$ 12 19 <1%
 
115 PennsylvaniaPenn. Ivy LeagueIvy League $MWP$ 16 11 20%
124 Harvard Ivy LeagueIvy League $MWP$ 17 11 16%
154 Cornell Ivy LeagueIvy League $MWP$ 15 12 11%
 
67 Kent State MACMAC $MWP$ 23 8 14%
140 Toledo MACMAC $MWP$ 17 14 4%
176 Bowling Green MACMAC $MWP$ 18 13 3%
192 Buffalo MACMAC $MWP$ 17 14 2%
204 UMass MACMAC $MWP$ 16 15 2%
221 Ohio MACMAC $MWP$ 15 16 1%
 
50 New Mexico Mountain WestMntn West $MWP$ 22 9 15%
55 San Diego St. Mountain WestMntn West $MWP$ 20 10 16%
59 Boise St. Mountain WestMntn West $MWP$ 20 11 10%
72 Nevada Mountain WestMntn West $MWP$ 19 11 10%
80 Colorado St. Mountain WestMntn West $MWP$ 20 11 5%
81 Grand Canyon Mountain WestMntn West $MWP$ 20 11 9%
108 Wyoming Mountain WestMntn West $MWP$ 18 13 2%
112 UNLV Mountain WestMntn West $MWP$ 16 15 2%
227 Fresno St. Mountain WestMntn West $MWP$ 13 18 <1%
303 San José State Mountain WestMntn West $MWP$ 8 23 <1%
353 Air Force Mountain WestMntn West $MWP$ 3 28 <1%
 
48 Kentucky SECSEC $MWP$ 19 12 2%
52 Texas A&M SECSEC $MWP$ 21 10 4%
53 Missouri SECSEC $MWP$ 20 11 2%
71 Auburn SECSEC $MWP$ 16 15 1%
73 Texas SECSEC $MWP$ 17 13 1%
85 Oklahoma SECSEC $MWP$ 17 14 <1%
137 LSU SECSEC $MWP$ 15 16 <1%
167 Mississippi St.Miss. St. SECSEC $MWP$ 13 18 <1%
198 South Carolina SECSEC $MWP$ 13 18 <1%
209 Ole Miss SECSEC $MWP$ 12 19 <1%
  • Notes
  • X means the team cannot win its conference tournament
  • 50% - probability the team will win its conference tournament - green number indicates the team controls its destiny
  • 50% - probability the team will win its conference tournament - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny