PlayoffStatus.com

Fri Nov 22 1:30 am

NCAA Basketball - Week 3 of 18

NCAA Basketball Tournament Line Movers

A Line Mover is a team that

Simple put, if a line mover wins it conference tournament the cutline currently located between ranked teams 46 and 47 will move up one position, thus eliminating a team that would have received an NCAA Tournament bid based upon its rank. If your team is ranked on the bubble you want line-moving teams to lose in their conference tournament. The list contains 94 teams in 10 conferences, thus the cutline could theoretically move up 10 spots. The list size will quickly contract during the individual conference tournaments.

NCAA Basketball Tournament Line Movers
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record Probability of Winning
Its Conference Tournament
W L
54 Clemson ACCACC 67 4 1 5%
64 Duke ACCACC 66 3 1 5%
73 Virginia ACCACC 65 3 1 5%
75 Boston College ACCACC 65 3 1 4%
92 North Carolina ACCACC 62 2 1 4%
94 SMU ACCACC 62 4 1 3%
97 Syracuse ACCACC 61 3 1 3%
116 Miami ACCACC 58 3 1 3%
122 Virginia Tech ACCACC 57 3 2 2%
123 Louisville ACCACC 57 2 1 2%
207 Georgia Tech ACCACC 47 2 2 1%
 
79 Florida Atlantic American AthleticAm. Athletic 64 4 2 9%
86 Charlotte American AthleticAm. Athletic 64 3 1 9%
106 Temple American AthleticAm. Athletic 60 3 1 7%
108 Rice American AthleticAm. Athletic 60 4 1 7%
124 North Texas American AthleticAm. Athletic 57 3 1 5%
129 Tulane American AthleticAm. Athletic 56 4 1 6%
131 South Florida American AthleticAm. Athletic 56 3 2 5%
149 E. Carolina American AthleticAm. Athletic 54 4 1 4%
165 UAB American AthleticAm. Athletic 52 4 2 4%
222 Tulsa American AthleticAm. Athletic 44 3 2 2%
284 Texas-San Antonio American AthleticAm. Athletic 36 1 2 <1%
 
47 Geo. Washington Atlantic 10Atl. 10 69 4 0 13%
63 Rhode Island Atlantic 10Atl. 10 66 4 0 10%
68 St. BonaventureSt. Bonavnt Atlantic 10Atl. 10 66 5 0 10%
77 La Salle Atlantic 10Atl. 10 64 4 1 9%
95 St. Joseph's Atlantic 10Atl. 10 62 4 1 8%
96 VCU Atlantic 10Atl. 10 62 4 1 7%
98 Davidson Atlantic 10Atl. 10 61 3 0 8%
166 Fordham Atlantic 10Atl. 10 52 3 2 4%
196 George Mason Atlantic 10Atl. 10 48 3 3 3%
216 Saint Louis Atlantic 10Atl. 10 46 2 1 2%
251 Richmond Atlantic 10Atl. 10 40 2 3 1%
287 UMass Atlantic 10Atl. 10 35 1 3 <1%
359 Duquesne Atlantic 10Atl. 10 22 0 4 <1%
 
50 Ohio St. Big 10Big 10 68 3 1 5%
71 Nebraska Big 10Big 10 65 3 1 4%
74 NorthwesternN. Western Big 10Big 10 65 4 1 4%
76 Maryland Big 10Big 10 64 4 1 4%
78 Michigan St. Big 10Big 10 64 4 1 4%
84 Minnesota Big 10Big 10 64 4 1 4%
87 UCLA Big 10Big 10 64 4 1 3%
89 Illinois Big 10Big 10 63 3 1 4%
93 USC Big 10Big 10 62 4 1 3%
103 Washington Big 10Big 10 61 3 1 3%
 
49 Cincinnati Big 12Big 12 68 4 0 6%
55 Iowa St. Big 12Big 12 67 3 0 5%
65 West Virginia Big 12Big 12 66 3 1 5%
66 Oklahoma St. Big 12Big 12 66 3 1 5%
88 Texas Tech Big 12Big 12 63 4 1 4%
99 TCU Big 12Big 12 61 4 1 3%
100 Kansas St. Big 12Big 12 61 3 1 3%
112 Utah Big 12Big 12 59 3 1 3%
136 Houston Big 12Big 12 56 2 1 2%
141 Arizona Big 12Big 12 55 2 1 2%
 
59 DePaul Big EastBig East 66 5 0 7%
70 UConn Big EastBig East 65 4 0 6%
85 Butler Big EastBig East 64 3 1 6%
90 Georgetown Big EastBig East 63 3 1 6%
114 Seton Hall Big EastBig East 58 3 2 4%
188 Villanova Big EastBig East 48 3 3 1%
 
101 Hofstra CoastalCoastal 61 4 1 13%
109 UNC Wilmington CoastalCoastal 59 3 1 13%
120 NortheasternN. Eastern CoastalCoastal 57 3 1 11%
160 N. Carolina A&T CoastalCoastal 52 3 2 7%
163 Towson CoastalCoastal 52 3 2 7%
184 Drexel CoastalCoastal 49 3 2 5%
201 Delaware CoastalCoastal 47 2 2 5%
224 Elon CoastalCoastal 44 2 2 4%
230 Stony Brook CoastalCoastal 43 2 3 3%
232 William & Mary CoastalCoastal 42 3 3 3%
238 Hampton CoastalCoastal 41 2 3 3%
240 Campbell CoastalCoastal 41 3 2 3%
356 Monmouth CoastalCoastal 23 0 6 <1%
 
113 Princeton Ivy LeagueIvy League 59 4 2 21%
195 Cornell Ivy LeagueIvy League 48 3 2 11%
209 Yale Ivy LeagueIvy League 47 3 3 10%
292 PennsylvaniaPenn. Ivy LeagueIvy League 35 2 3 3%
294 Brown Ivy LeagueIvy League 34 2 3 3%
315 Harvard Ivy LeagueIvy League 32 1 4 3%
317 Dartmouth Ivy LeagueIvy League 32 2 3 2%
 
56 Arkansas SECSEC 67 3 1 4%
60 Oklahoma SECSEC 66 4 0 4%
62 Missouri SECSEC 66 3 1 4%
80 Texas SECSEC 64 4 1 3%
134 South Carolina SECSEC 56 3 2 1%
 
67 San Francisco West CoastWest Coast 66 4 1 13%
118 Oregon St. West CoastWest Coast 57 4 1 8%
211 Santa Clara West CoastWest Coast 46 2 3 3%
245 Portland West CoastWest Coast 41 2 3 1%
249 Pepperdine West CoastWest Coast 40 1 3 1%
253 Pacific West CoastWest Coast 40 3 3 1%
290 Loyola Marymount West CoastWest Coast 35 1 2 1%
340 San Diego West CoastWest Coast 28 1 3 <1%
  • Notes
  • X means the team cannot win its conference tournament
  • 50% - probability the team will win its conference tournament - green number indicates the team controls its destiny
  • 50% - probability the team will win its conference tournament - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny