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Fri Feb 13 8:45 am

NCAA Basketball - Week 15 of 18

NCAA Basketball Tournament Line Movers

A Line Mover is a team that

Simple put, if a line mover wins it conference tournament the cutline currently located between ranked teams 43 and 44 will move up one position, thus eliminating a team that would have received an NCAA Tournament bid based upon its rank. If your team is ranked on the bubble you want line-moving teams to lose in their conference tournament. The list contains 118 teams in 12 conferences, thus the cutline could theoretically move up 12 spots. The list size will quickly contract during the individual conference tournaments.

NCAA Basketball Tournament Line Movers
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record Probability of Winning
Its Conference Tournament
W L
46 Virginia Tech ACCACC $MWP$ 17 8 3%
60 Stanford ACCACC $MWP$ 16 9 2%
62 California ACCACC $MWP$ 17 8 2%
89 Syracuse ACCACC $MWP$ 14 11 1%
102 Wake Forest ACCACC $MWP$ 12 12 <1%
138 Notre Dame ACCACC $MWP$ 11 14 <1%
145 Florida St. ACCACC $MWP$ 11 13 <1%
195 Georgia Tech ACCACC $MWP$ 11 14 <1%
209 Pittsburgh ACCACC $MWP$ 9 16 <1%
234 Boston College ACCACC $MWP$ 9 15 <1%
 
83 Dayton Atlantic 10Atl. 10 $MWP$ 15 9 5%
98 Davidson Atlantic 10Atl. 10 $MWP$ 15 9 4%
109 Rhode Island Atlantic 10Atl. 10 $MWP$ 14 10 3%
121 St. BonaventureSt. Bonavnt Atlantic 10Atl. 10 $MWP$ 14 10 2%
123 St. Joseph's Atlantic 10Atl. 10 $MWP$ 15 10 3%
130 Duquesne Atlantic 10Atl. 10 $MWP$ 14 10 2%
151 Richmond Atlantic 10Atl. 10 $MWP$ 14 11 1%
155 Geo. Washington Atlantic 10Atl. 10 $MWP$ 14 11 2%
227 Fordham Atlantic 10Atl. 10 $MWP$ 13 12 <1%
274 La Salle Atlantic 10Atl. 10 $MWP$ 7 18 <1%
318 Loyola Chicago Atlantic 10Atl. 10 $MWP$ 6 19 <1%
 
47 Indiana Big 10Big 10 $MWP$ 17 8 2%
53 UCLA Big 10Big 10 $MWP$ 17 7 2%
55 Ohio St. Big 10Big 10 $MWP$ 16 8 2%
104 Washington Big 10Big 10 $MWP$ 12 13 <1%
140 Minnesota Big 10Big 10 $MWP$ 11 13 <1%
158 Maryland Big 10Big 10 $MWP$ 10 13 <1%
168 Penn State Big 10Big 10 $MWP$ 11 14 <1%
170 NorthwesternN. Western Big 10Big 10 $MWP$ 10 15 <1%
204 Rutgers Big 10Big 10 $MWP$ 9 15 <1%
212 Oregon Big 10Big 10 $MWP$ 8 16 <1%
 
58 Oklahoma St. Big 12Big 12 $MWP$ 16 8 1%
66 TCU Big 12Big 12 $MWP$ 15 9 1%
72 West Virginia Big 12Big 12 $MWP$ 15 9 1%
76 Arizona St. Big 12Big 12 $MWP$ 13 12 <1%
78 Baylor Big 12Big 12 $MWP$ 13 11 <1%
85 Colorado Big 12Big 12 $MWP$ 14 11 <1%
87 Cincinnati Big 12Big 12 $MWP$ 13 12 <1%
176 Kansas St. Big 12Big 12 $MWP$ 10 14 <1%
196 Utah Big 12Big 12 $MWP$ 9 15 <1%
 
61 Seton Hall Big EastBig East $MWP$ 17 8 8%
93 Creighton Big EastBig East $MWP$ 13 12 2%
107 Butler Big EastBig East $MWP$ 13 12 1%
108 Georgetown Big EastBig East $MWP$ 13 11 2%
124 Xavier Big EastBig East $MWP$ 12 12 1%
136 DePaul Big EastBig East $MWP$ 13 12 1%
148 Providence Big EastBig East $MWP$ 11 14 1%
222 Marquette Big EastBig East $MWP$ 9 16 <1%
 
92 Sam Houston Conference USAConf. USA $MWP$ 16 8 17%
187 Western Kentucky Conference USAConf. USA $MWP$ 13 11 6%
190 Kennesaw St. Conference USAConf. USA $MWP$ 14 10 6%
194 Louisiana Tech Conference USAConf. USA $MWP$ 14 10 6%
206 Middle Tenn. Conference USAConf. USA $MWP$ 12 12 6%
217 Missouri St. Conference USAConf. USA $MWP$ 13 11 6%
224 Jacksonville StateJacksnvlle St. Conference USAConf. USA $MWP$ 13 11 5%
247 New Mexico St. Conference USAConf. USA $MWP$ 11 13 1%
258 FIU Conference USAConf. USA $MWP$ 11 13 1%
277 UTEP Conference USAConf. USA $MWP$ 10 15 1%
284 Delaware Conference USAConf. USA $MWP$ 8 16 <1%
 
133 Columbia Ivy LeagueIvy League $MWP$ 14 8 9%
139 Harvard Ivy LeagueIvy League $MWP$ 13 9 17%
179 PennsylvaniaPenn. Ivy LeagueIvy League $MWP$ 11 10 10%
183 Cornell Ivy LeagueIvy League $MWP$ 11 10 8%
230 Dartmouth Ivy LeagueIvy League $MWP$ 10 11 4%
267 Princeton Ivy LeagueIvy League $MWP$ 8 15 2%
319 Brown Ivy LeagueIvy League $MWP$ 7 14 <1%
 
59 Akron MACMAC $MWP$ 19 5 20%
69 Kent State MACMAC $MWP$ 18 7 15%
154 UMass MACMAC $MWP$ 15 10 5%
156 Buffalo MACMAC $MWP$ 15 10 4%
169 Toledo MACMAC $MWP$ 13 12 4%
173 Bowling Green MACMAC $MWP$ 15 10 4%
200 Ohio MACMAC $MWP$ 13 12 3%
260 Eastern Michigan MACMAC $MWP$ 9 16 <1%
279 Western Michigan MACMAC $MWP$ 8 16 <1%
293 Northern Illinois MACMAC $MWP$ 8 15 <1%
325 Central Michigan MACMAC $MWP$ 7 17 <1%
328 Ball State MACMAC $MWP$ 8 16 <1%
 
71 Murray State Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley $MWP$ 19 8 19%
96 Northern Iowa Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley $MWP$ 16 10 10%
97 Illinois St. Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley $MWP$ 17 9 10%
101 Bradley Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley $MWP$ 17 9 11%
178 UIC Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley $MWP$ 14 12 5%
197 Southern Illinois Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley $MWP$ 12 14 2%
205 Valparaiso Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley $MWP$ 13 13 3%
243 Drake Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley $MWP$ 12 15 1%
266 Indiana St. Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley $MWP$ 10 16 1%
332 Evansville Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley $MWP$ 6 20 <1%
 
44 New Mexico Mountain WestMntn West $MWP$ 19 6 16%
45 San Diego St. Mountain WestMntn West $MWP$ 17 6 17%
63 Nevada Mountain WestMntn West $MWP$ 16 7 14%
64 Boise St. Mountain WestMntn West $MWP$ 15 9 7%
77 Grand Canyon Mountain WestMntn West $MWP$ 15 9 6%
118 Colorado St. Mountain WestMntn West $MWP$ 14 10 2%
129 Wyoming Mountain WestMntn West $MWP$ 13 11 2%
141 UNLV Mountain WestMntn West $MWP$ 12 12 2%
207 Fresno St. Mountain WestMntn West $MWP$ 11 13 1%
296 San José State Mountain WestMntn West $MWP$ 6 18 <1%
346 Air Force Mountain WestMntn West $MWP$ 3 21 <1%
 
48 Missouri SECSEC $MWP$ 17 7 5%
51 Georgia SECSEC $MWP$ 17 7 4%
52 Auburn SECSEC $MWP$ 14 10 4%
57 Texas A&M SECSEC $MWP$ 17 7 4%
70 Texas SECSEC $MWP$ 14 9 2%
90 LSU SECSEC $MWP$ 14 10 1%
120 Oklahoma SECSEC $MWP$ 12 12 <1%
134 Mississippi St.Miss. St. SECSEC $MWP$ 11 13 <1%
152 Ole Miss SECSEC $MWP$ 11 13 <1%
189 South Carolina SECSEC $MWP$ 11 13 <1%
 
113 Pacific West CoastWest Coast $MWP$ 17 10 3%
146 Seattle West CoastWest Coast $MWP$ 15 11 1%
160 San Francisco West CoastWest Coast $MWP$ 14 12 1%
165 Oregon St. West CoastWest Coast $MWP$ 14 13 1%
193 Loyola Marymount West CoastWest Coast $MWP$ 13 14 <1%
215 Portland West CoastWest Coast $MWP$ 12 15 <1%
223 Washington St. West CoastWest Coast $MWP$ 11 16 <1%
256 San Diego West CoastWest Coast $MWP$ 11 16 <1%
339 Pepperdine West CoastWest Coast $MWP$ 6 20 <1%
  • Notes
  • X means the team cannot win its conference tournament
  • 50% - probability the team will win its conference tournament - green number indicates the team controls its destiny
  • 50% - probability the team will win its conference tournament - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny