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Sun Oct 25 3:45 pm

NCAA Basketball - Week 1 of 19

NCAA Basketball Tournament Line Movers

A Line Mover is a team that

Simple put, if a line mover wins it conference tournament the cutline currently located between ranked teams 54 and 55 will move up one position, thus eliminating a team that would have received an NCAA Tournament bid based upon its rank. If your team is ranked on the bubble you want line-moving teams to lose in their conference tournament. The list contains 195 teams in 22 conferences, thus the cutline could theoretically move up 22 spots. The list size will quickly contract during the individual conference tournaments.

NCAA Basketball Tournament Line Movers
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record Probability of Winning
Its Conference Tournament
W L
92 Florida St. ACCACC $MWP$ 0 0 6%
169 Miami ACCACC $MWP$ 0 0 6%
204 North Carolina ACCACC $MWP$ 0 0 6%
232 Pittsburgh ACCACC $MWP$ 0 0 6%
344 Wake Forest ACCACC $MWP$ 0 0 6%
342 Virginia Tech ACCACC $MWP$ 0 0 6%
217 Notre Dame ACCACC $MWP$ 0 0 6%
341 Virginia ACCACC $MWP$ 0 0 5%
74 Duke ACCACC $MWP$ 0 0 5%
289 Syracuse ACCACC $MWP$ 0 0 5%
190 N.C. State ACCACC $MWP$ 0 0 6%
104 Georgia Tech ACCACC $MWP$ 0 0 6%
284 Stanford ACCACC $MWP$ 0 0 5%
153 Louisville ACCACC $MWP$ 0 0 5%
254 SMU ACCACC $MWP$ 0 0 6%
 
324 UMass-LowellUMA-Lowell America EastAmerica East $MWP$ 0 0 11%
191 NJIT America EastAmerica East $MWP$ 0 0 11%
196 New Hampshire America EastAmerica East $MWP$ 0 0 11%
339 Vermont America EastAmerica East $MWP$ 0 0 11%
321 UMBC America EastAmerica East $MWP$ 0 0 11%
158 Maine America EastAmerica East $MWP$ 0 0 11%
 
308 Tulsa American AthleticAm. Athletic $MWP$ 0 0 8%
292 Temple American AthleticAm. Athletic $MWP$ 0 0 8%
307 Tulane American AthleticAm. Athletic $MWP$ 0 0 8%
91 Florida Atlantic American AthleticAm. Athletic $MWP$ 0 0 8%
272 South Florida American AthleticAm. Athletic $MWP$ 0 0 8%
303 Texas-San Antonio American AthleticAm. Athletic $MWP$ 0 0 8%
165 Memphis American AthleticAm. Athletic $MWP$ 0 0 8%
355 Wichita St. American AthleticAm. Athletic $MWP$ 0 0 8%
208 North Texas American AthleticAm. Athletic $MWP$ 0 0 8%
76 E. Carolina American AthleticAm. Athletic $MWP$ 0 0 8%
244 Rice American AthleticAm. Athletic $MWP$ 0 0 7%
309 UAB American AthleticAm. Athletic $MWP$ 0 0 8%
 
286 Stetson Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun $MWP$ 0 0 12%
240 Queens U. Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun $MWP$ 0 0 12%
130 JacksonvilleJack.ville Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun $MWP$ 0 0 13%
148 Lipscomb Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun $MWP$ 0 0 13%
88 Fla Gulf Coast Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun $MWP$ 0 0 13%
207 North Florida Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun $MWP$ 0 0 12%
 
290 TCU Big 12Big 12 $MWP$ 0 0 6%
134 Kansas St. Big 12Big 12 $MWP$ 0 0 6%
350 West Virginia Big 12Big 12 $MWP$ 0 0 6%
58 Colorado Big 12Big 12 $MWP$ 0 0 6%
133 Kansas Big 12Big 12 $MWP$ 0 0 6%
115 Houston Big 12Big 12 $MWP$ 0 0 6%
315 UCF Big 12Big 12 $MWP$ 0 0 6%
302 Texas Tech Big 12Big 12 $MWP$ 0 0 6%
128 Iowa St. Big 12Big 12 $MWP$ 0 0 6%
222 Oklahoma St. Big 12Big 12 $MWP$ 0 0 6%
331 Utah Big 12Big 12 $MWP$ 0 0 6%
 
340 Villanova Big EastBig East $MWP$ 0 0 9%
63 Creighton Big EastBig East $MWP$ 0 0 9%
67 DePaul Big EastBig East $MWP$ 0 0 9%
100 Georgetown Big EastBig East $MWP$ 0 0 9%
279 St. John's Big EastBig East $MWP$ 0 0 9%
266 Seton Hall Big EastBig East $MWP$ 0 0 9%
363 Xavier Big EastBig East $MWP$ 0 0 9%
161 Marquette Big EastBig East $MWP$ 0 0 9%
238 Providence Big EastBig East $MWP$ 0 0 9%
318 UConn Big EastBig East $MWP$ 0 0 9%
 
112 High Point Big SouthBig South $MWP$ 0 0 11%
151 Longwood Big SouthBig South $MWP$ 0 0 11%
242 Radford Big SouthBig South $MWP$ 0 0 11%
187 N.C. Asheville Big SouthBig South $MWP$ 0 0 11%
250 S. Carolina Upstate Big SouthBig South $MWP$ 0 0 11%
236 PresbyterianPresbyter. Big SouthBig South $MWP$ 0 0 11%
97 Gardner-WebbGardnr-Wbb Big SouthBig South $MWP$ 0 0 11%
357 Winthrop Big SouthBig South $MWP$ 0 0 11%
 
149 Long Beach St. Big WestBig West $MWP$ 0 0 8%
312 UC Irvine Big WestBig West $MWP$ 0 0 8%
314 UC San Diego Big WestBig West $MWP$ 0 0 8%
334 Utah Valley Big WestBig West $MWP$ 0 0 8%
255 Sacramento St. Big WestBig West $MWP$ 0 0 8%
317 UCSB Big WestBig West $MWP$ 0 0 8%
313 UC Riverside Big WestBig West $MWP$ 0 0 8%
 
73 Drexel CoastalCoastal $MWP$ 0 0 8%
325 UNC Wilmington CoastalCoastal $MWP$ 0 0 8%
113 Hofstra CoastalCoastal $MWP$ 0 0 8%
83 Elon CoastalCoastal $MWP$ 0 0 8%
109 Hampton CoastalCoastal $MWP$ 0 0 8%
305 Towson CoastalCoastal $MWP$ 0 0 8%
288 Stony Brook CoastalCoastal $MWP$ 0 0 8%
179 Monmouth CoastalCoastal $MWP$ 0 0 7%
209 NortheasternN. Eastern CoastalCoastal $MWP$ 0 0 8%
186 N. Carolina A&T CoastalCoastal $MWP$ 0 0 8%
356 William & Mary CoastalCoastal $MWP$ 0 0 8%
 
62 Cornell Ivy LeagueIvy League $MWP$ 0 0 12%
230 PennsylvaniaPenn. Ivy LeagueIvy League $MWP$ 0 0 13%
64 Dartmouth Ivy LeagueIvy League $MWP$ 0 0 12%
60 Columbia Ivy LeagueIvy League $MWP$ 0 0 13%
110 Harvard Ivy LeagueIvy League $MWP$ 0 0 13%
237 Princeton Ivy LeagueIvy League $MWP$ 0 0 12%
364 Yale Ivy LeagueIvy League $MWP$ 0 0 12%
 
323 UMass MACMAC $MWP$ 0 0 8%
136 Kent State MACMAC $MWP$ 0 0 9%
304 Toledo MACMAC $MWP$ 0 0 8%
170 Miami OH MACMAC $MWP$ 0 0 8%
354 Western Michigan MACMAC $MWP$ 0 0 8%
219 Ohio MACMAC $MWP$ 0 0 9%
81 Eastern Michigan MACMAC $MWP$ 0 0 8%
 
168 Merrimack Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic $MWP$ 0 0 8%
267 Siena Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic $MWP$ 0 0 8%
126 Iona Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic $MWP$ 0 0 8%
241 Quinnipiac Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic $MWP$ 0 0 8%
256 Sacred Heart Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic $MWP$ 0 0 8%
160 Marist Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic $MWP$ 0 0 8%
159 Manhattan Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic $MWP$ 0 0 8%
282 St. Peter's Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic $MWP$ 0 0 8%
246 Rider Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic $MWP$ 0 0 8%
184 Mount St. Mary's Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic $MWP$ 0 0 8%
200 Niagara Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic $MWP$ 0 0 8%
87 Fairfield Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic $MWP$ 0 0 8%
 
125 Indiana St. Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley $MWP$ 0 0 9%
185 Murray State Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley $MWP$ 0 0 9%
213 Northern Iowa Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley $MWP$ 0 0 9%
274 Southern Illinois Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley $MWP$ 0 0 9%
72 Drake Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley $MWP$ 0 0 9%
84 Evansville Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley $MWP$ 0 0 9%
337 Valparaiso Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley $MWP$ 0 0 9%
122 Illinois St. Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley $MWP$ 0 0 9%
319 UIC Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley $MWP$ 0 0 9%
 
263 San José State Mountain WestMntn West $MWP$ 0 0 10%
362 Wyoming Mountain WestMntn West $MWP$ 0 0 10%
111 Hawai'i Mountain WestMntn West $MWP$ 0 0 10%
107 Grand Canyon Mountain WestMntn West $MWP$ 0 0 10%
195 Nevada Mountain WestMntn West $MWP$ 0 0 10%
198 New Mexico Mountain WestMntn West $MWP$ 0 0 10%
330 UTEP Mountain WestMntn West $MWP$ 0 0 10%
311 UC Davis Mountain WestMntn West $MWP$ 0 0 10%
326 UNLV Mountain WestMntn West $MWP$ 0 0 10%
 
144 Le Moyne NortheastNorth East $MWP$ 0 0 11%
287 Stonehill NortheastNorth East $MWP$ 0 0 11%
343 Wagner NortheastNorth East $MWP$ 0 0 11%
150 Long Island U. NortheastNorth East $MWP$ 0 0 11%
86 Fair. Dickinson NortheastNorth East $MWP$ 0 0 11%
 
261 San Diego St. PAC 12PAC 12 $MWP$ 0 0 11%
95 Fresno St. PAC 12PAC 12 $MWP$ 0 0 11%
227 Oregon St. PAC 12PAC 12 $MWP$ 0 0 11%
59 Colorado St. PAC 12PAC 12 $MWP$ 0 0 11%
346 Washington St. PAC 12PAC 12 $MWP$ 0 0 11%
105 Gonzaga PAC 12PAC 12 $MWP$ 0 0 11%
332 Utah St. PAC 12PAC 12 $MWP$ 0 0 11%
301 Texas State PAC 12PAC 12 $MWP$ 0 0 11%
 
192 Navy Patriot LeaguePatriot League $MWP$ 0 0 10%
57 Colgate Patriot LeaguePatriot League $MWP$ 0 0 10%
142 Lafayette Patriot LeaguePatriot League $MWP$ 0 0 10%
145 Lehigh Patriot LeaguePatriot League $MWP$ 0 0 10%
114 Holy Cross Patriot LeaguePatriot League $MWP$ 0 0 10%
156 Loyola-MD Patriot LeaguePatriot League $MWP$ 0 0 10%
 
338 Vanderbilt SECSEC $MWP$ 0 0 6%
137 Kentucky SECSEC $MWP$ 0 0 6%
139 LSU SECSEC $MWP$ 0 0 6%
269 South Carolina SECSEC $MWP$ 0 0 6%
294 Tennessee SECSEC $MWP$ 0 0 6%
297 Texas SECSEC $MWP$ 0 0 6%
298 Texas A&M SECSEC $MWP$ 0 0 6%
101 Georgia SECSEC $MWP$ 0 0 6%
89 Florida SECSEC $MWP$ 0 0 6%
176 Mississippi St.Miss. St. SECSEC $MWP$ 0 0 6%
221 Oklahoma SECSEC $MWP$ 0 0 6%
224 Ole Miss SECSEC $MWP$ 0 0 6%
177 Missouri SECSEC $MWP$ 0 0 6%
 
296 Tennessee Tech SouthernSouthern $MWP$ 0 0 9%
77 E. Tennessee St. SouthernSouthern $MWP$ 0 0 9%
336 VMI SouthernSouthern $MWP$ 0 0 9%
189 N.C. Greensboro SouthernSouthern $MWP$ 0 0 9%
96 Furman SouthernSouthern $MWP$ 0 0 9%
166 Mercer SouthernSouthern $MWP$ 0 0 9%
351 Western Carolina SouthernSouthern $MWP$ 0 0 9%
360 Wofford SouthernSouthern $MWP$ 0 0 9%
259 Samford SouthernSouthern $MWP$ 0 0 9%
 
175 Miss. Valley St. SouthwesternSWAC $MWP$ 0 0 9%
106 Grambling SouthwesternSWAC $MWP$ 0 0 9%
90 Florida A&M SouthwesternSWAC $MWP$ 0 0 9%
300 Texas Southern SouthwesternSWAC $MWP$ 0 0 9%
235 Prairie View A&M SouthwesternSWAC $MWP$ 0 0 9%
129 Jackson St. SouthwesternSWAC $MWP$ 0 0 9%
273 Southern SouthwesternSWAC $MWP$ 0 0 9%
 
138 LA Lafayette SunbeltSunbelt $MWP$ 0 0 7%
162 Marshall SunbeltSunbelt $MWP$ 0 0 7%
152 Louisiana Tech SunbeltSunbelt $MWP$ 0 0 7%
268 South Alabama SunbeltSunbelt $MWP$ 0 0 7%
276 Southern Miss SunbeltSunbelt $MWP$ 0 0 7%
320 UL Monroe SunbeltSunbelt $MWP$ 0 0 7%
56 Coastal Carolina SunbeltSunbelt $MWP$ 0 0 7%
306 Troy SunbeltSunbelt $MWP$ 0 0 7%
223 Old Dominion SunbeltSunbelt $MWP$ 0 0 7%
102 Georgia Southern SunbeltSunbelt $MWP$ 0 0 7%
132 James Madison SunbeltSunbelt $MWP$ 0 0 7%
103 Georgia St. SunbeltSunbelt $MWP$ 0 0 7%
 
80 Eastern Kentucky UACUAC $MWP$ 0 0 11%
291 Tarleton St. UACUAC $MWP$ 0 0 11%
203 North Alabama UACUAC $MWP$ 0 0 11%
310 UALR UACUAC $MWP$ 0 0 11%
328 UT Arlington UACUAC $MWP$ 0 0 11%
  • Notes
  • X means the team cannot win its conference tournament
  • 50% - probability the team will win its conference tournament - green number indicates the team controls its destiny
  • 50% - probability the team will win its conference tournament - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny