PlayoffStatus.com

Thu Feb 13 3:30 am

NCAA Basketball - Week 14 of 18

NCAA Basketball Tournament Line Movers

A Line Mover is a team that

Simple put, if a line mover wins it conference tournament the cutline currently located between ranked teams 41 and 42 will move up one position, thus eliminating a team that would have received an NCAA Tournament bid based upon its rank. If your team is ranked on the bubble you want line-moving teams to lose in their conference tournament. The list contains 111 teams in 11 conferences, thus the cutline could theoretically move up 11 spots. The list size will quickly contract during the individual conference tournaments.

NCAA Basketball Tournament Line Movers
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record Probability of Winning
Its Conference Tournament
W L
51 North Carolina ACCACC 76 14 11 4%
58 Pittsburgh ACCACC 73 14 10 3%
62 Stanford ACCACC 71 16 9 3%
79 Florida St. ACCACC 68 15 9 2%
111 Virginia ACCACC 62 12 12 1%
142 California ACCACC 56 12 13 <1%
147 Syracuse ACCACC 55 11 14 <1%
154 Georgia Tech ACCACC 54 12 13 <1%
157 Virginia Tech ACCACC 54 11 13 <1%
169 Notre Dame ACCACC 51 11 13 <1%
200 N.C. State ACCACC 46 9 15 <1%
205 Boston College ACCACC 45 10 14 <1%
250 Miami ACCACC 37 6 18 <1%
 
54 North Texas American AthleticAm. Athletic 75 17 6 18%
121 Florida Atlantic American AthleticAm. Athletic 60 14 10 5%
128 UAB American AthleticAm. Athletic 58 16 9 5%
136 Wichita St. American AthleticAm. Athletic 57 14 10 3%
141 Temple American AthleticAm. Athletic 56 14 11 3%
168 E. Carolina American AthleticAm. Athletic 51 14 11 2%
187 Tulane American AthleticAm. Athletic 49 13 11 2%
201 South Florida American AthleticAm. Athletic 46 12 12 1%
222 Texas-San Antonio American AthleticAm. Athletic 42 10 14 <1%
224 Rice American AthleticAm. Athletic 42 12 13 <1%
272 Charlotte American AthleticAm. Athletic 34 9 16 <1%
281 Tulsa American AthleticAm. Athletic 32 10 15 <1%
 
49 VCU Atlantic 10Atl. 10 77 20 5 22%
66 Dayton Atlantic 10Atl. 10 71 17 8 14%
90 Rhode Island Atlantic 10Atl. 10 65 16 8 6%
94 St. BonaventureSt. Bonavnt Atlantic 10Atl. 10 64 17 9 5%
107 St. Joseph's Atlantic 10Atl. 10 62 14 9 6%
117 Davidson Atlantic 10Atl. 10 60 15 9 4%
119 Loyola Chicago Atlantic 10Atl. 10 60 15 9 5%
130 Geo. Washington Atlantic 10Atl. 10 58 16 9 4%
134 Saint Louis Atlantic 10Atl. 10 57 14 11 5%
164 La Salle Atlantic 10Atl. 10 52 12 12 1%
204 Fordham Atlantic 10Atl. 10 45 11 13 1%
219 UMass Atlantic 10Atl. 10 43 11 14 1%
225 Duquesne Atlantic 10Atl. 10 41 10 14 1%
270 Richmond Atlantic 10Atl. 10 34 8 17 <1%
 
43 Ohio St. Big 10Big 10 79 15 10 3%
47 Indiana Big 10Big 10 78 15 10 2%
57 USC Big 10Big 10 74 14 10 1%
73 Iowa Big 10Big 10 69 14 10 1%
87 NorthwesternN. Western Big 10Big 10 66 13 12 <1%
88 Minnesota Big 10Big 10 65 12 12 <1%
92 Rutgers Big 10Big 10 65 12 13 <1%
105 Washington Big 10Big 10 62 12 12 <1%
109 Penn State Big 10Big 10 62 13 12 <1%
 
48 Baylor Big 12Big 12 77 15 9 4%
52 West Virginia Big 12Big 12 75 14 9 3%
56 BYU Big 12Big 12 74 16 8 3%
65 UCF Big 12Big 12 71 13 11 2%
67 Cincinnati Big 12Big 12 70 15 9 2%
70 TCU Big 12Big 12 70 13 11 2%
78 Kansas St. Big 12Big 12 68 13 11 2%
82 Arizona St. Big 12Big 12 67 12 12 1%
103 Utah Big 12Big 12 63 13 11 1%
122 Oklahoma St. Big 12Big 12 60 12 12 <1%
173 Colorado Big 12Big 12 50 9 14 <1%
 
45 UConn Big EastBig East 78 17 7 12%
64 Xavier Big EastBig East 71 15 10 6%
84 Villanova Big EastBig East 67 15 10 4%
97 Georgetown Big EastBig East 64 15 9 3%
139 Butler Big EastBig East 56 11 13 1%
155 Providence Big EastBig East 54 11 14 1%
195 DePaul Big EastBig East 48 11 14 <1%
274 Seton Hall Big EastBig East 34 6 18 <1%
 
50 UC San Diego Big WestBig West 77 20 4 33%
98 UC Riverside Big WestBig West 64 16 9 10%
124 CSU Northridge Big WestBig West 59 17 7 7%
151 UCSB Big WestBig West 55 16 8 4%
165 UC Davis Big WestBig West 52 14 10 3%
197 Hawai'i Big WestBig West 47 13 11 1%
231 Cal Poly Big WestBig West 40 9 15 <1%
259 CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild Big WestBig West 35 10 15 <1%
322 Long Beach St. Big WestBig West 25 7 18 <1%
328 CSU Fullerton Big WestBig West 23 6 19 <1%
 
55 Bradley Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 75 20 6 22%
95 Northern Iowa Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 64 17 9 11%
99 Belmont Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 64 17 9 10%
129 Illinois St. Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 58 15 11 5%
148 UIC Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 55 15 11 4%
166 Murray State Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 52 13 13 3%
192 Southern Illinois Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 48 12 14 2%
209 Indiana St. Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 45 12 14 1%
236 Valparaiso Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 39 11 15 1%
256 Evansville Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 36 9 17 <1%
279 Missouri St. Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 33 9 17 <1%
 
46 San Diego St. Mountain WestMntn West 78 16 6 15%
61 Boise St. Mountain WestMntn West 72 17 7 10%
77 Colorado St. Mountain WestMntn West 68 15 9 8%
110 Nevada Mountain WestMntn West 62 14 10 4%
118 UNLV Mountain WestMntn West 60 13 12 3%
191 Wyoming Mountain WestMntn West 48 11 14 1%
203 San José State Mountain WestMntn West 46 12 14 1%
312 Fresno St. Mountain WestMntn West 27 5 20 <1%
336 Air Force Mountain WestMntn West 19 3 22 <1%
 
53 Arkansas SECSEC 75 15 9 <1%
59 Texas SECSEC 73 15 10 <1%
100 LSU SECSEC 64 12 12 <1%
116 South Carolina SECSEC 60 10 14 <1%
 
42 Gonzaga West CoastWest Coast 79 18 7 17%
44 San Francisco West CoastWest Coast 79 20 6 22%
68 Santa Clara West CoastWest Coast 70 17 10 8%
76 Oregon St. West CoastWest Coast 68 17 8 6%
93 Washington St. West CoastWest Coast 64 16 10 3%
113 Loyola Marymount West CoastWest Coast 61 15 10 3%
262 Pepperdine West CoastWest Coast 35 9 16 <1%
286 Portland West CoastWest Coast 32 8 16 <1%
309 Pacific West CoastWest Coast 27 8 19 <1%
343 San Diego West CoastWest Coast 16 4 22 <1%
  • Notes
  • X means the team cannot win its conference tournament
  • 50% - probability the team will win its conference tournament - green number indicates the team controls its destiny
  • 50% - probability the team will win its conference tournament - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny