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Mon Feb 20 3:30 am

NCAA Basketball - Week 16 of 17

NCAA Basketball Tournament Seedings Probabilities

Where will your team be seeded in the NCAA Tournament? The NCAA Basketball Tournament Seedings Probabilities table present the probability that a team obtains different seedings. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Note the cutline between ranked teams 47 and 48. Teams above this line should receive a NCAA Tournament invitaiton based upon thier rank. Teams below this line will receive a tournament invitation ONLY if they obtain an automatic bid by winning their conference tournament.

NCAA Basketball Tournament Seedings Probabilities
Rank Team Conference RecordĀ  NCAA Tournament Seedings
W L 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 NT
1 Villanova Big East 26 2 99% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
2 Kansas Big 12 24 3 91% 8% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
3 Louisville ACC 22 5 40% 35% 17% 6% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
4 Arizona PAC 12 25 2 31% 40% 20% 7% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
5 Duke ACC 22 5 28% 35% 23% 11% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
6 North Carolina ACC 23 5 26% 33% 24% 12% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
7 Baylor Big 12 22 5 22% 34% 26% 13% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
8 Florida SEC 22 4 23% 34% 25% 13% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
9 Kentucky SEC 22 5 16% 35% 30% 14% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
10 Gonzaga West Coast 25 0 2% 37% 35% 19% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
11 Creighton Big East 22 4 8% 23% 29% 23% 12% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
12 Oregon PAC 12 23 4 2% 15% 27% 29% 19% 6% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
13 Florida St. ACC 21 6 4% 14% 22% 28% 20% 9% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
14 Wisconsin Big 10 22 5 4% 15% 21% 25% 20% 11% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
15 Purdue Big 10 22 5 3% 13% 21% 26% 21% 11% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
16 Maryland Big 10 22 5 1% 7% 16% 26% 26% 15% 7% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
17 Notre Dame ACC 21 7 1% 7% 13% 23% 31% 18% 6% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
18 UCLA PAC 12 22 3 <1% 5% 14% 24% 28% 20% 7% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
19 Cincinnati American Athletic Am. Athletic 24 3 <1% 1% 11% 23% 28% 21% 10% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
20 Virginia ACC 18 8 1% 4% 9% 18% 25% 22% 14% 6% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
21 Butler Big East 19 6 <1% 2% 7% 14% 22% 26% 16% 9% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
22 Southern Methodist American Athletic Am. Athletic 24 4 <1% <1% 2% 14% 24% 28% 20% 9% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
23 West Virginia Big 12 21 6 <1% 1% 3% 10% 18% 26% 22% 13% 6% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
24 Minnesota Big 10 20 7 <1% <1% 2% 6% 14% 24% 26% 19% 8% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
25 VCU Atlantic 10 Atl. 10 22 5 <1% <1% 1% 6% 15% 24% 25% 17% 9% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
26 Xavier Big East 18 9 <1% <1% <1% 2% 8% 20% 29% 23% 12% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
27 St. Mary's West Coast 23 3 <1% <1% <1% <1% 5% 22% 33% 28% 10% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
28 South Carolina SEC 20 7 <1% <1% <1% 2% 7% 16% 23% 24% 16% 7% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
29 Northwestern N. Western Big 10 20 7 <1% <1% 1% 2% 7% 15% 22% 23% 17% 9% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
30 Dayton Atlantic 10 Atl. 10 21 5 <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 14% 20% 23% 18% 11% 4% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
31 Virginia Tech ACC 18 8 <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 8% 15% 22% 22% 14% 7% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4%
32 Oklahoma St. Big 12 18 9 <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 7% 14% 24% 24% 15% 8% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
33 Arkansas SEC 20 7 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 7% 15% 24% 22% 15% 7% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4%
34 Wichita St. Missouri Valley 25 4 X <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 19% 28% 29% 15% 6% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
35 USC PAC 12 20 6 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 6% 13% 25% 27% 14% 8% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
36 Miami ACC 18 8 <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 6% 12% 19% 22% 18% 11% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% 6%
37 Iowa St. Big 12 17 9 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 6% 11% 17% 20% 16% 7% 1% <1% <1% <1% 19%
38 Seton Hall Big East 15 9 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 3% 8% 13% 18% 18% 8% <1% <1% <1% <1% 29%
39 Middle Tenn. Conference USA Conf. USA 24 4 X X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 13% 22% 20% 12% 1% <1% <1% <1% 31%
40 Michigan Big 10 17 10 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 5% 9% 16% 16% 8% 1% <1% <1% <1% 42%
41 Illinois St. Missouri Valley 23 5 X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 10% 18% 21% 13% 1% <1% <1% <1% 37%
42 Nevada Mountain West Mntn West 21 5 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 10% 17% 16% 11% 1% <1% <1% <1% 41%
43 N.C. Wilmington N.C. Wilming. Colonial Athletic 24 5 X X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 9% 16% 20% 14% 1% <1% <1% <1% 40%
44 Michigan St. Big 10 16 11 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 8% 15% 16% 10% 1% <1% <1% <1% 47%
45 Wake Forest ACC 15 12 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 7% 13% 17% 10% <1% <1% <1% <1% 49%
46 California Calif. PAC 12 17 8 X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 7% 13% 14% 11% 1% <1% <1% <1% 49%
47 Providence Provid. Big East 16 10 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 9% 13% 16% 8% <1% <1% <1% <1% 50%
Cutline - Click Here to View 108 Line Movers
48 Kansas St. Big 12 17 10 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 8% 13% 15% 9% <1% <1% <1% <1% 51%
49 Clemson ACC 14 12 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 7% 13% 14% 10% 1% <1% <1% <1% 52%
50 TCU Big 12 17 10 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 5% 11% 15% 10% 1% <1% <1% <1% 57%
51 Marquette Big East 16 10 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 5% 9% 13% 8% <1% <1% <1% <1% 60%
52 Pittsburgh ACC 15 12 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 7% 11% 8% <1% <1% <1% <1% 70%
53 Tennessee SEC 14 12 X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 6% 9% 6% <1% <1% <1% <1% 76%
54 Georgia SEC 15 12 X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 8% 6% <1% <1% <1% <1% 79%
55 Georgia Tech ACC 16 11 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 7% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% 81%
56 Vermont America East 24 5 X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 33% 17% 1% <1% <1% 45%
57 Monmouth Metro Atlantic 23 5 X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 9% 19% 14% 1% <1% <1% 55%
58 Akron MAC 22 5 X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 7% 18% 11% 1% <1% <1% 62%
59 Ole Miss SEC 16 11 X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% 90%
60 Alabama SEC 16 10 X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 5% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% 86%
61 Syracuse ACC 16 12 X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 3% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% 93%
62 Auburn SEC 16 11 X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% 94%
63 Rhode Island Atlantic 10 Atl. 10 17 9 X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 3% 6% 2% <1% <1% <1% 86%
64 Georgetown George-town Big East 13 13 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% 92%
65 Houston American Athletic Am. Athletic 19 8 X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 6% 2% <1% <1% <1% 88%
66 Illinois Big 10 15 12 X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% 93%
67 E. Tennessee St. E. Tenn. St. Southern 22 6 X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 13% 13% 1% <1% <1% 71%
68 Charleston Colonial Athletic 21 8 X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 12% 15% 1% <1% <1% 72%
69 Texas Arlington Sunbelt 19 6 X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 12% 13% 2% <1% <1% 68%
70 Texas Tech Big 12 16 10 X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 3% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% 92%
71 New Mexico St. WAC 22 4 X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 12% 33% 5% <1% <1% 50%
72 Indiana Big 10 15 12 X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% 94%
73 Vanderbilt SEC 13 13 X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% 96%
74 Valparaiso Horizon 22 6 X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 11% 22% 4% <1% <1% 62%
75 Belmont Ohio Valley 20 5 X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 9% 36% 11% <1% <1% 44%
76 Penn State Big 10 14 13 X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 97%
77 N.C. Asheville Big South 22 7 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 7% 24% 5% <1% <1% 64%
78 Ohio St. Big 10 15 13 X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 98%
79 Boise St. Mountain West Mntn West 17 8 X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 9% 2% <1% <1% 82%
80 Winthrop Big South 20 6 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 4% 26% 9% <1% <1% 62%
81 Texas A&M SEC 14 12 X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 98%
82 Nebraska Big 10 12 13 X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 98%
83 N.C. State ACC 14 14 X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
84 Princeton Ivy League 17 6 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% 22% 62% 13% <1% 2%
85 Stanford PAC 12 13 13 X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% 99%
86 Chattanooga Chattan. Southern 19 8 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 1% 11% 6% <1% <1% 81%
87 Fla Gulf Coast Atlantic Sun 22 7 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% 15% 30% 2% <1% 52%
88 BYU West Coast 19 10 X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 1% <1% <1% 94%
89 Memphis American Athletic Am. Athletic 18 9 X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 2% <1% <1% 94%
90 Iowa Big 10 14 13 X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 99%
91 Arkansas St. Sunbelt 19 8 X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 10% 9% 1% <1% 78%
92 Utah PAC 12 17 10 X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% 98%
93 George Mason Atlantic 10 Atl. 10 18 9 X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 1% <1% <1% 95%
94 Colorado PAC 12 16 12 X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1% 99%
95 N.C. Greensboro N.C. Greens-boro Southern 20 8 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 1% 9% 7% 1% <1% 82%
96 Bucknell Patriot League 21 8 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% 6% 32% 8% <1% 54%
97 St. Bonaventure St. Bonavent. Atlantic 10 Atl. 10 16 10 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 1% 4% 2% <1% <1% 94%
98 UCF American Athletic Am. Athletic 17 10 X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 1% <1% <1% 95%
99 New Mexico Mountain West Mntn West 16 11 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 1% 6% 5% <1% <1% 88%
100 Colorado St. Mountain West Mntn West 18 9 X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 6% 1% <1% 88%
101 San Francisco West Coast 19 10 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% 2% 2% <1% <1% 95%
102 Oakland Horizon 21 7 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% 8% 17% 3% <1% 73%
103 Davidson Atlantic 10 Atl. 10 14 11 X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 1% <1% <1% 96%
104 Mississippi St. SEC 14 12 X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 99%
105 Furman Southern 20 9 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% 5% 12% 2% <1% 81%
106 Richmond Atlantic 10 Atl. 10 15 11 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% 3% 3% <1% <1% 94%
107 La Salle Atlantic 10 Atl. 10 14 11 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% 3% 2% <1% <1% 95%
108 Towson Colonial Athletic 19 10 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% 3% 8% 2% <1% 87%
109 San Diego St. Mountain West Mntn West 15 10 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% 3% 5% 1% <1% 91%
110 Connecticut American Athletic Am. Athletic 14 12 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% 2% 2% <1% <1% 96%
111 Temple American Athletic Am. Athletic 14 14 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% <1% <1% 97%
112 Cal St. Bakersfield WAC 18 7 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% 2% 20% 12% <1% 66%
113 St. John's Big East 11 15 X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
114 Ohio MAC 16 8 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 10% 6% <1% 83%
115 North Dakota St. Summit 18 9 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 11% 13% <1% 75%
116 Arizona St. PAC 12 13 15 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 99%
117 Wright St. Horizon 19 9 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 8% 4% <1% 88%
118 Geo. Washington Geo. Wash. Atlantic 10 Atl. 10 14 13 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% <1% <1% 98%
119 Fresno St. Mountain West Mntn West 16 11 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 2% <1% 94%
120 Texas Big 12 10 17 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
121 Louisiana Tech Conference USA Conf. USA 20 8 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 6% 8% <1% 85%
122 Northern Iowa Missouri Valley 14 13 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 3% <1% 93%
123 Harvard Ivy League 16 7 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% <1% 98%
124 South Dakota Summit 19 10 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 7% 16% 1% 76%
125 Iona Metro Atlantic 18 11 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 5% 9% <1% 86%
126 Tulsa American Athletic Am. Athletic 12 14 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% <1% 98%
127 Old Dominion Conference USA Conf. USA 16 10 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 5% 7% <1% 87%
128 Wyoming Mountain West Mntn West 15 11 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 1% <1% 96%
129 Rutgers Big 10 13 15 X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
130 Grand Canyon WAC 19 9 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
131 Georgia Southern Sunbelt 17 10 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 5% 6% <1% 88%
132 Loyola-Chicago Missouri Valley 17 12 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 3% <1% 94%
133 Elon Colonial Athletic 17 12 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 4% <1% 93%
134 Georgia St. Sunbelt 16 10 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 5% 5% <1% 90%
135 Northern Kentucky Horizon 17 10 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 5% <1% 91%
136 Oklahoma Big 12 9 17 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
137 William & Mary Colonial Athletic 14 12 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 4% <1% 92%
138 Washington St. Wash. St. PAC 12 12 15 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
139 LSU SEC 9 17 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
140 Santa Clara West Coast 15 13 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% <1% 99%
141 Canisius Metro Atlantic 17 12 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 8% 1% 89%
142 Eastern Washington Eastern Wash. Big Sky 18 9 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 16% 9% 74%
143 San Jose St. Mountain West Mntn West 14 11 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 2% <1% 96%
144 IPFW Summit 18 10 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 11% 3% 84%
145 Lehigh Patriot League 15 11 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 12% 5% 82%
146 Stony Brook America East 17 10 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 9% 5% 84%
147 Albany America East 18 11 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 9% 4% 86%
148 Rice Conference USA Conf. USA 18 9 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 1% 93%
149 LA Lafayette Sunbelt 16 11 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 3% 1% 94%
150 Green Bay Horizon 16 11 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 7% 1% 90%
151 Buffalo MAC 15 12 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 7% 2% 90%
152 Massachusetts Mass. Atlantic 10 Atl. 10 13 14 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 99%
153 Southern Illinois Missouri Valley 15 14 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 1% 95%
154 N.C. Central Mideastern Mid-Eastern 20 6 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 17% 29% 54%
155 St. Peter's Metro Atlantic 16 12 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 7% 4% 89%
156 Yale Ivy League 13 9 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
157 Samford Southern 16 12 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 1% 94%
158 Marshall Conference USA Conf. USA 15 12 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 1% 93%
159 Liberty Big South 18 11 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 7% 2% 90%
160 Texas Southern Southwestern SWAC 15 10 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 15% 32% 52%
161 New Orleans Southland South-land 15 9 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 12% 17% 71%
162 Ball State MAC 17 10 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 3% 91%
163 Tennessee St. Tenn. St. Ohio Valley 17 11 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 2% 93%
164 Northeastern N. Eastern Colonial Athletic 14 14 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 1% 95%
165 Loyola Marymount Loyola Marymnt West Coast 12 14 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% <1% 99%
166 Boston College ACC 9 18 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
167 Denver Summit 16 11 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 6% 7% 86%
168 Central Michigan MAC 16 11 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 2% 94%
169 St. Joseph's Atlantic 10 Atl. 10 10 16 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
170 Tenn-Martin Ohio Valley 18 11 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 6% 7% 87%
171 UC Irvine Big West 16 12 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 6% 27% 67%
172 UMBC America East 17 10 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 3% 93%
173 Sam Houston St. Southland South-land 18 10 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 6% 12% 82%
174 Toledo MAC 14 13 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 2% 94%
175 Lipscomb Atlantic Sun 18 12 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 16% 80%
176 North Dakota Big Sky 17 8 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 18% 78%
177 Texas A&M C.C. Southland South-land 15 9 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 5% 13% 82%
178 Missouri St. Missouri Valley 15 13 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 2% 97%
179 New Hampshire America East 17 11 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 4% 93%
180 Nebraska Omaha Summit 14 13 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 7% 90%
181 Siena Metro Atlantic 14 15 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 6% 93%
182 Coastal Carolina Coast. Car. Sunbelt 13 14 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 3% 95%
183 Boston U. Patriot League 15 12 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 12% 86%
184 UAB Conference USA Conf. USA 15 13 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 3% 96%
185 Mercer Southern 12 15 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 96%
186 Utah St. Mountain West Mntn West 12 14 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% <1% 98%
187 Evansville Missouri Valley 14 15 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 98%
188 DePaul Big East 8 18 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
189 Fordham Atlantic 10 Atl. 10 12 15 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
190 Washington Wash. PAC 12 9 18 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
191 Fairfield Metro Atlantic 14 12 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 4% 94%
192 UMKC WAC 15 13 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 7% 91%
193 Wofford Southern 14 15 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 96%
194 Kent State MAC 15 12 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 3% 95%
195 Texas St. (SM) Sunbelt 15 10 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 3% 95%
196 Weber St. Big Sky 15 9 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 16% 82%
197 Troy Sunbelt 15 12 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 2% 96%
198 Pennsylvania Penn. Ivy League 11 12 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
199 Gardner-Webb Big South 16 13 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 94%
200 Mount St. Mary's Northeast 15 14 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 31% 68%
201 Jacksonville St. Jack.ville St. Ohio Valley 16 13 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 94%
202 Loyola-MD Patriot League 14 13 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 6% 94%
203 E. Carolina American Athletic Am. Athletic 12 15 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
204 San Diego West Coast 12 15 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
205 Stephen F. Austin Southland South-land 15 11 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 17% 82%
206 Hofstra Colonial Athletic 13 16 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 98%
207 Rider Metro Atlantic 15 14 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 96%
208 Navy Patriot League 15 13 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 8% 92%
209 S. Carolina Upstate Atlantic Sun 17 13 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 12% 88%
210 Morehead St. Ohio Valley 13 14 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 7% 93%
211 Eastern Michigan MAC 13 14 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 98%
212 UC Davis Big West 16 11 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 22% 78%
213 UNLV Mountain West Mntn West 10 17 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 99%
214 Montana Big Sky 14 14 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 11% 89%
215 Western Michigan MAC 11 15 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 97%
216 South Alabama Sunbelt 13 13 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 98%
217 Long Beach St. Big West 13 16 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 18% 82%
218 Holy Cross Patriot League 14 15 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 5% 95%
219 Duquesne Atlantic 10 Atl. 10 10 17 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
220 Western Kentucky Conference USA Conf. USA 13 14 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 98%
221 South Dakota St. Summit 14 15 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 6% 94%
222 Houston Baptist Southland South-land 13 12 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 8% 92%
223 Radford Big South 12 16 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 97%
224 High Point Big South 13 14 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 96%
225 LIU-Brooklyn Northeast 17 11 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 23% 77%
226 Missouri SEC 7 19 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
227 Charlotte Conference USA Conf. USA 11 14 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 98%
228 Northern Illinois MAC 14 13 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 98%
229 Indiana St. Missouri Valley 10 18 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 99%
230 UALR Sunbelt 12 14 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 99%
231 Saint Louis Atlantic 10 Atl. 10 9 18 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
232 Murray St. Ohio Valley 14 14 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 96%
233 Ill. Chicago Horizon 14 14 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 98%
234 Pacific West Coast 10 18 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
235 Bradley Missouri Valley 10 19 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 99%
236 Idaho Big Sky 13 12 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 8% 92%
237 Lamar Southland South-land 14 12 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 96%
238 IUPUI Summit 12 16 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 96%
239 Delaware Colonial Athletic 12 17 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 99%
240 Norfolk St. Mideastern Mid-Eastern 14 13 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 18% 82%
241 Portland West Coast 9 18 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
242 Pepperdine Pepperd. West Coast 9 19 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
243 Bowling Green MAC 11 16 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 99%
244 Wagner Northeast 14 12 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 15% 85%
245 Eastern Illinois Ohio Valley 14 14 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
246 Air Force Mountain West Mntn West 9 17 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
247 Jacksonville Jack.ville Atlantic Sun 17 13 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 7% 93%
248 Alcorn St. Southwestern SWAC 14 11 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 21% 79%
249 Montana St. Big Sky 14 14 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 6% 94%
250 Hawaii Big West 13 13 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
251 Campbell Big South 13 15 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 98%
252 North Florida Atlantic Sun 12 18 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 5% 95%
253 Columbia Ivy League 9 13 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
254 Portland St. Big Sky 12 12 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 96%
255 SE Louisiana Southland South-land 13 14 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 98%
256 Utah Valley WAC 11 14 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 97%
257 CSU Fullerton Big West 13 12 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 11% 89%
258 Quinnipiac Quinnip. Metro Atlantic 10 17 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 99%
259 Manhattan Metro Atlantic 10 19 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 99%
260 UTEP Conference USA Conf. USA 11 15 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 98%
261 SE Missouri St. Ohio Valley 13 16 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 96%
262 Seattle WAC 11 14 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 97%
263 Tennessee Tech Tenn. Tech Ohio Valley 12 17 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 98%
264 CSU Northridge Big West 11 14 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 9% 91%
265 Nicholls St. Southland South-land 12 15 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 99%
266 Kennesaw St. Atlantic Sun 13 16 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 5% 95%
267 Appalachian St. App. St. Sunbelt 8 17 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 99%
268 Youngstown St. Youngstwn St. Horizon 11 18 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 99%
269 Abilene Christian Southland South-land 11 13 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
270 Cleveland St. Horizon 8 20 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 99%
271 South Florida American Athletic Am. Athletic 7 19 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
272 Brown Ivy League 11 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
273 Drexel Colonial Athletic 9 20 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
274 Charleston Southern Big South 10 17 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 99%
275 Binghamton Bingham. America East 12 17 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 99%
276 Oregon St. PAC 12 5 23 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
277 Eastern Kentucky Ohio Valley 10 19 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
278 Western Carolina Southern 7 21 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
279 Oral Roberts Summit 8 21 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
280 Fair. Dickinson Northeast 11 16 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 7% 93%
281 James Madison Colonial Athletic 8 21 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
282 Tulane American Athletic Am. Athletic 5 21 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
283 Miami OH MAC 10 17 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 99%
284 Army Patriot League 11 16 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 99%
285 Incarnate Word Southland South-land 11 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
286 Citadel Southern 9 19 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
287 Sacred Heart Northeast 13 16 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 6% 94%
288 Texas-San Antonio Conference USA Conf. USA 11 16 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
289 Austin Peay Ohio Valley 10 18 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
290 Drake Missouri Valley 7 20 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
291 Robert Morris Northeast 11 18 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 5% 95%
292 Central Arkansas Southland South-land 8 20 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 99%
293 St. Francis (PA) Northeast 12 15 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 7% 93%
294 Colgate Patriot League 10 19 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 99%
295 Sacramento St. Sacram. St. Big Sky 10 15 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 97%
296 Hampton Mideastern Mid-Eastern 11 14 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 9% 91%
297 New Jersey Tech Atlantic Sun 10 19 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% 2% 98%
298 Wis. Milwaukee Horizon 8 20 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
299 Bryant Northeast 11 18 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 5% 95%
300 Florida Atlantic Conference USA Conf. USA 9 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
301 Niagara Metro Atlantic 9 20 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
302 Savannah St. Mideastern Mid-Eastern 10 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% 6% 94%
303 UT-Rio Grande Valley WAC 10 18 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 99%
304 UMass-Lowell America East 11 19 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
305 S. Carolina St. Mideastern Mid-Eastern 9 18 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% 4% 96%
306 Southern Southwestern SWAC 13 13 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% 9% 91%
307 Cornell Ivy League 7 17 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
308 Morgan St. Mideastern Mid-Eastern 11 14 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% 8% 92%
309 VMI Southern 6 20 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% >99%
310 Marist Metro Atlantic 7 22 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% >99%
311 Western Illinois Summit 8 17 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 1% 99%
312 Northwestern St. N. Western St. Southland South-land 10 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% >99%
313 LA Monroe Sunbelt 7 20 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% >99%
314 Northern Colorado Big Sky 9 17 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 1% 99%
315 Detroit Horizon 6 21 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% >99%
316 Prairie View A&M Southwestern SWAC 9 18 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 6% 94%
317 Cal Poly Big West 8 18 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 3% 97%
318 Grambling Southwestern SWAC 11 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 6% 94%
319 Jackson St. Southwestern SWAC 11 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 6% 94%
320 Stetson Atlantic Sun 11 19 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 98%
321 UC Riverside Big West 8 17 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 3% 97%
322 Dartmouth Ivy League 6 17 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
323 McNeese St. Southland South-land 7 18 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% >99%
324 North Texas Conference USA Conf. USA 8 18 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% >99%
325 Chicago St. WAC 5 22 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% >99%
326 Lafayette Patriot League 7 19 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% >99%
327 Hartford America East 8 21 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% >99%
328 MD Eastern Shore Mideastern Mid-Eastern 8 19 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 98%
329 Southern Miss Conference USA Conf. USA 8 19 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% >99%
330 Delaware St. Mideastern Mid-Eastern 9 19 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 98%
331 American Patriot League 6 21 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% >99%
332 Maine America East 6 24 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% >99%
333 Longwood Big South 6 21 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% >99%
334 UCSB Big West 4 21 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 2% 98%
335 Idaho St. Big Sky 6 20 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% >99%
336 FIU Conference USA Conf. USA 6 21 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% >99%
337 Presbyterian Presbyter. Big South 5 22 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% >99%
338 Howard Mideastern Mid-Eastern 7 20 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 1% 99%
339 Coppin St. Mideastern Mid-Eastern 7 21 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 1% 99%
340 Alabama St. Southwestern SWAC 8 17 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 2% 98%
341 Northern Arizona Big Sky 6 20 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% >99%
342 AR Pine Bluff Southwestern SWAC 7 21 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 1% 99%
343 SIU Edwardsville SIU Ed.ville Ohio Valley 5 24 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
344 Miss. Valley St. Southwestern SWAC 4 23 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 1% 99%
345 Bethune-Cookman Mideastern Mid-Eastern 7 19 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 1% 99%
346 Southern Utah Big Sky 5 22 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% >99%
347 Central Conn. St. Northeast 5 22 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
348 Florida A&M Mideastern Mid-Eastern 7 19 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% >99%
349 St. Francis (NY) Northeast 4 25 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
350 N.C. A&T Mideastern Mid-Eastern 2 25 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% >99%
351 Alabama A&M Southwestern SWAC 1 23 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% >99%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this spot - ties of future unplayed games are not considered
  • X means the team cannot win this spot - ties of future unplayed games are not considered
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot