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NCAA Basketball Tournament Seedings Probabilities

Where will your team be seeded in the NCAA Tournament? The NCAA Basketball Tournament Seedings Probabilities table present the probability that a team obtains different seedings. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Note the cutline between ranked teams 47 and 48. Teams above this line should receive a NCAA Tournament invitaiton based upon thier rank. Teams below this line will receive a tournament invitation ONLY if they obtain an automatic bid by winning their conference tournament.

Note that this list will not be updated after the individual conference tournaments


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NCAA Basketball Tournament Seedings Probabilities

Rank Team Conference Record  NCAA Tournament Seedings
W L 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Tourn.
1 Florida SEC 32 2 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
2 Arizona PAC 12 30 4 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
3 Wichita St. Missouri Valley 34 0 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
4 Villanova Big East 28 4 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
5 Kansas Big 12 24 9 X 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
6 Iowa St. Big 12 26 7 X 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
7 Wisconsin Big 10 26 7 X 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
8 Virginia ACC 28 6 X 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
9 Syracuse ACC 27 5 X X 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
10 Creighton Big East 26 7 X X 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
11 Michigan Big 10 25 8 X X 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
12 Michigan St. Big 10 26 8 X X 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
13 Duke ACC 26 8 X X X 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
14 UCLA PAC 12 26 8 X X X 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
15 Louisville American Athletic 29 5 X X X 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
16 San Diego St. Mountain West 29 4 X X X 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
17 Oklahoma Big 12 23 9 X X X X 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
18 New Mexico Mountain West 27 6 X X X X 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
19 Kentucky SEC 24 10 X X X X 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
20 Cincinnati American Athletic 27 6 X X X X 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
21 Ohio St. Big 10 25 9 X X X X X 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
22 Baylor Big 12 24 11 X X X X X 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
23 Massachusetts Atlantic 10 24 8 X X X X X 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
24 Texas Big 12 23 10 X X X X X 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
25 Connecticut American Athletic 26 8 X X X X X X 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
26 Gonzaga West Coast 28 6 X X X X X X 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
27 VCU Atlantic 10 26 8 X X X X X X 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
28 Pittsburgh ACC 25 9 X X X X X X 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
29 North Carolina ACC 23 9 X X X X X X X 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
30 Oregon PAC 12 23 9 X X X X X X X 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
31 Saint Louis Atlantic 10 26 6 X X X X X X X 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
32 Colorado PAC 12 23 11 X X X X X X X 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
33 Geo. Washington Atlantic 10 24 8 X X X X X X X X 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
34 Oklahoma St. Big 12 21 12 X X X X X X X X 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
35 St. Joseph's Atlantic 10 24 9 X X X X X X X X 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
36 Providence Big East 23 11 X X X X X X X X 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
37 Stanford PAC 12 21 12 X X X X X X X X X 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
38 Kansas St. Big 12 20 12 X X X X X X X X X 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
39 Memphis American Athletic 23 9 X X X X X X X X X 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
40 Xavier Big East 21 12 X X X X X X X X X 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
41 Missouri SEC 22 11 X X X X X X X X X X 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
42 Dayton Atlantic 10 23 10 X X X X X X X X X X 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
43 Arizona St. PAC 12 21 11 X X X X X X X X X X 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
44 Tennessee SEC 21 12 X X X X X X X X X X 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
45 Toledo MAC 27 6 X X X X X X X X X X X 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
46 BYU West Coast 23 11 X X X X X X X X X X X 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
47 Nebraska Big 10 19 12 X X X X X X X X X X X 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Cutline - Click Here to View 0 Line Movers
48 Iowa Big 10 20 12 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
49 Southern Methodist American Athletic 23 9 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
50 Southern Miss Conference USA 27 6 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
51 Stephen F. Austin Southland 31 2 X X X X X X X X X X X >99% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
52 Minnesota Big 10 20 13 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
53 N.C. State ACC 21 13 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
54 St. John's Big East 20 12 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
55 Harvard Ivy League 26 4 X X X X X X X X X X X X >99% <1% ^ ^ ^
56 Florida St. ACC 19 13 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
57 Arkansas SEC 21 11 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
58 California PAC 12 19 13 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
59 Louisiana Tech Conference USA 27 7 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
60 Illinois Big 10 19 14 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
61 North Dakota St. Summit 25 6 X X X X X X X X X X X X >99% <1% <1% <1% ^
62 Georgetown Big East 17 14 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
63 LSU SEC 19 13 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
64 Utah PAC 12 21 11 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
65 Green Bay Horizon 24 6 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
66 Clemson ACC 20 12 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
67 Manhattan Metro Atlantic 25 7 X X X X X X X X X X X X >99% <1% <1% <1% ^
68 West Virginia Big 12 17 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
69 St. Mary's West Coast 22 11 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
70 Georgia SEC 19 13 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
71 Maryland ACC 17 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
72 Richmond Atlantic 10 19 14 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
73 Indiana St. Missouri Valley 23 10 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
74 Western Michigan MAC 23 9 X X X X X X X X X X X X >99% <1% <1% <1% ^
75 Middle Tenn. Conference USA 24 9 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
76 Delaware Colonial Athletic 25 9 X X X X X X X X X X X X X >99% <1% <1% ^
77 Marquette Big East 17 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
78 Ole Miss SEC 19 14 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
79 Indiana Big 10 17 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
80 San Francisco West Coast 21 11 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
81 Ohio MAC 23 11 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
82 Belmont Ohio Valley 24 9 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
83 Tulsa Conference USA 21 12 X X X X X X X X X X X X X >99% <1% <1% ^
84 Boise St. Mountain West 21 13 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
85 Iona Metro Atlantic 22 10 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
86 New Mexico St. WAC 26 9 X X X X X X X X X X X X X >99% <1% <1% ^
87 Georgia St. Sunbelt 25 8 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
88 Washington PAC 12 17 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
89 Oregon St. PAC 12 16 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
90 UTEP Conference USA 23 10 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
91 Wake Forest ACC 17 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
92 Akron MAC 21 12 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
93 UNLV Mountain West 20 13 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
94 Mercer Atlantic Sun 26 8 X X X X X X X X X X X X X >99% <1% <1% ^
95 Texas Tech Big 12 14 18 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
96 Missouri St. Missouri Valley 20 12 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
97 St. Bonaventure Atlantic 10 18 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
98 Miami ACC 17 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
99 N.C. Central Mideastern 28 5 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X >99% <1% ^
100 Eastern Michigan MAC 21 14 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
101 Boston U. Patriot League 24 10 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
102 Penn State Big 10 15 17 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
103 Towson Colonial Athletic 23 10 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
104 Purdue Big 10 15 17 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
105 UCSB Big West 21 9 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
106 Vanderbilt SEC 15 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
107 LA Lafayette Sunbelt 23 11 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X >99% <1% ^
108 Buffalo MAC 19 10 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
109 Cleveland St. Horizon 21 11 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
110 Seton Hall Big East 17 17 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
111 Texas A&M SEC 17 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
112 Northwestern Big 10 14 19 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
113 La Salle Atlantic 10 15 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
114 Notre Dame ACC 15 17 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
115 Eastern Kentucky Ohio Valley 24 9 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X >99% <1% ^
116 UC Irvine Big West 23 11 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
117 Alabama SEC 13 19 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
118 Utah St. Mountain West 18 14 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
119 Northern Iowa Missouri Valley 16 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
120 Georgia Tech ACC 16 17 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
121 Princeton Ivy League 20 8 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
122 Butler Big East 14 17 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
123 IPFW Summit 24 10 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
124 Auburn SEC 14 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
125 Quinnipiac Metro Atlantic 20 11 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
126 Houston American Athletic 17 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
127 Fresno St. Mountain West 17 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
128 South Carolina SEC 14 20 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
129 Wis. Milwaukee Horizon 21 13 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X >99% <1% ^
130 William & Mary Colonial Athletic 20 12 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
131 Western Kentucky Sunbelt 20 12 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
132 Canisius Metro Atlantic 21 12 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
133 Wyoming Mountain West 18 14 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
134 Sam Houston St. Southland 23 10 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
135 DePaul Big East 12 21 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
136 Illinois St. Missouri Valley 16 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
137 Pacific West Coast 15 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
138 Vermont America East 22 10 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
139 Hawaii Big West 20 11 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
140 Drexel Colonial Athletic 16 14 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
141 Nevada Mountain West 15 17 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
142 Davidson Southern 20 12 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
143 Charlotte Conference USA 17 14 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
144 UAB Conference USA 18 13 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
145 Rhode Island Atlantic 10 14 18 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
146 Robert Morris Northeast 21 13 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
147 South Dakota St. Summit 19 12 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
148 American Patriot League 20 12 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100% ^
149 Columbia Ivy League 19 12 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
150 Morehead St. Ohio Valley 20 13 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
151 Pepperdine West Coast 15 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
152 Utah Valley WAC 20 11 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
153 San Diego West Coast 16 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
154 Portland West Coast 15 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
155 Stony Brook America East 23 10 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
156 Denver Summit 16 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
157 USC PAC 12 11 21 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
158 Fla Gulf Coast Atlantic Sun 22 12 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
159 Holy Cross Patriot League 19 13 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
160 Murray St. Ohio Valley 18 11 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
161 Colorado St. Mountain West 16 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
162 Wright St. Horizon 20 14 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
163 Arkansas St. Sunbelt 19 13 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
164 Drake Missouri Valley 15 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
165 George Mason Atlantic 10 11 20 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
166 Long Beach St. Big West 15 17 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
167 Weber St. Big Sky 19 11 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100% ^
168 Duquesne Atlantic 10 13 17 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
169 Valparaiso Horizon 18 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
170 Old Dominion Conference USA 16 17 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
171 TCU Big 12 9 22 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
172 Washington St. PAC 12 10 21 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
173 Mississippi St. SEC 14 19 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
174 Northwestern St. Southland 17 14 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
175 Wofford Southern 20 12 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100% ^
176 Loyola Marymount West Coast 13 19 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
177 Oral Roberts Southland 17 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
178 Yale Ivy League 15 13 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
179 UCF American Athletic 13 18 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
180 Northern Illinois MAC 15 17 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
181 Southern Southwestern 19 13 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
182 Kent State MAC 16 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
183 S. Carolina Upstate Atlantic Sun 19 14 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
184 Bucknell Patriot League 16 14 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
185 Miami OH MAC 13 18 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
186 Coastal Carolina Big South 21 12 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100% ^
187 Rutgers American Athletic 12 21 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
188 North Texas Conference USA 16 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
189 Tulane Conference USA 17 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
190 Temple American Athletic 9 22 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
191 South Florida American Athletic 12 20 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
192 Wagner Northeast 19 12 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
193 Siena Metro Atlantic 15 17 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
194 Elon Southern 18 14 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
195 Winthrop Big South 20 13 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
196 Southern Illinois Missouri Valley 14 19 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
197 Evansville Missouri Valley 14 19 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
198 Santa Clara West Coast 14 19 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
199 Bryant Northeast 18 14 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
200 Oakland Horizon 13 20 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
201 Hampton Mideastern 18 12 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
202 UALR Sunbelt 15 17 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
203 Boston College ACC 8 24 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
204 Texas Arlington Sunbelt 15 17 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
205 Nebraska Omaha Summit 16 14 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
206 St. Francis (NY) Northeast 18 14 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
207 Montana Big Sky 17 13 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
208 E. Tennessee St. Atlantic Sun 18 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
209 North Florida Atlantic Sun 16 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
210 Virginia Tech ACC 9 22 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
211 Fordham Atlantic 10 10 21 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
212 Albany America East 18 14 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100% ^
213 Bowling Green MAC 12 20 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
214 High Point Big South 16 14 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
215 VMI Big South 19 12 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
216 Incarnate Word Southland 23 8 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
217 E. Carolina Conference USA 17 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
218 Mount St. Mary's Northeast 16 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100% ^
219 Rider Metro Atlantic 14 17 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
220 Northern Colorado Big Sky 18 13 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
221 Radford Big South 21 12 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
222 Grand Canyon WAC 15 14 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
223 Brown Ivy League 15 13 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
224 Tennessee Tech Ohio Valley 17 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
225 Youngstown St. Horizon 15 17 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
226 Cal Poly Big West 13 19 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100% ^
227 Texas Southern Southwestern 19 14 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100% ^
228 FIU Conference USA 15 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
229 North Dakota Big Sky 17 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
230 Air Force Mountain West 12 18 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
231 Texas A&M C.C. Southland 17 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
232 Lipscomb Atlantic Sun 15 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
233 N.C. Asheville Big South 17 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
234 SE Missouri St. Ohio Valley 18 14 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
235 Western Carolina Southern 19 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
236 Charleston Colonial Athletic 14 18 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
237 Morgan St. Mideastern 15 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
238 Bradley Missouri Valley 12 20 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
239 Detroit Horizon 13 19 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
240 Norfolk St. Mideastern 19 14 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
241 Alabama St. Southwestern 19 12 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
242 Gardner-Webb Big South 18 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
243 Northeastern Colonial Athletic 11 21 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
244 Idaho WAC 16 18 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
245 Chattanooga Southern 18 14 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
246 St. Peter's Metro Atlantic 14 17 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
247 Portland St. Big Sky 17 14 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
248 LA Monroe Sunbelt 9 17 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
249 CSU Northridge Big West 17 18 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
250 Eastern Washington Big Sky 15 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
251 Hartford America East 17 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
252 James Madison Colonial Athletic 11 20 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
253 Army Patriot League 15 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
254 Marist Metro Atlantic 12 19 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
255 Northern Arizona Big Sky 15 17 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
256 Nicholls St. Southland 14 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
257 Lehigh Patriot League 14 18 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
258 South Dakota Summit 12 18 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
259 Chicago St. WAC 13 19 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
260 New Orleans Southland 11 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
261 Colgate Patriot League 13 18 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
262 AR Pine Bluff Southwestern 13 18 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
263 South Alabama Sunbelt 11 20 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
264 Seattle WAC 13 17 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
265 Sacramento St. Big Sky 14 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
266 Dartmouth Ivy League 12 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
267 McNeese St. Southland 11 20 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
268 CSU Fullerton Big West 11 20 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
269 Loyola-Chicago Missouri Valley 10 22 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
270 Cal St. Bakersfield WAC 13 19 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
271 Alabama A&M Southwestern 14 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
272 Marshall Conference USA 11 22 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
273 UMKC WAC 10 20 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
274 Florida Atlantic Conference USA 10 22 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
275 Troy Sunbelt 11 20 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
276 Coppin St. Mideastern 12 20 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
277 Jacksonville Atlantic Sun 12 18 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
278 Montana St. Big Sky 14 17 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
279 Savannah St. Mideastern 12 19 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
280 Hofstra Colonial Athletic 10 23 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
281 Charleston Southern Big South 13 18 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
282 Central Michigan MAC 10 21 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
283 N.C. Greensboro Southern 14 18 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
284 Loyola-MD Patriot League 11 19 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
285 Lafayette Patriot League 11 20 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
286 Monmouth Metro Atlantic 11 21 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
287 San Jose St. Mountain West 7 24 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
288 SE Louisiana Southland 12 18 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
289 Pennsylvania Ivy League 8 20 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
290 Western Illinois Summit 10 20 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
291 Florida A&M Mideastern 14 18 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
292 N.C. Wilmington Colonial Athletic 9 23 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
293 Eastern Illinois Ohio Valley 11 19 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
294 Idaho St. Big Sky 11 18 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
295 Austin Peay Ohio Valley 12 18 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
296 Jackson St. Southwestern 11 20 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
297 Georgia Southern Southern 15 19 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
298 New Jersey Tech Independent 13 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
299 Texas St. (SM) Sunbelt 8 23 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
300 Samford Southern 13 20 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
301 UMass-Lowell America East 10 17 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
302 UC Riverside Big West 10 21 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
303 SIU Edwardsville Ohio Valley 11 20 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
304 Alcorn St. Southwestern 12 19 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
305 Prairie View A&M Southwestern 11 23 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
306 Fair. Dickinson Northeast 10 21 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
307 Central Conn. St. Northeast 11 19 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
308 Northern Kentucky Atlantic Sun 9 21 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
309 Rice Conference USA 7 23 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
310 Jacksonville St. Ohio Valley 10 21 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
311 Ball State MAC 5 25 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
312 St. Francis (PA) Northeast 10 21 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
313 Fairfield Metro Atlantic 7 25 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
314 Texas-San Antonio Conference USA 8 22 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
315 LIU-Brooklyn Northeast 9 20 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
316 UC Davis Big West 9 22 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
317 TX Pan American WAC 9 23 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
318 Niagara Metro Atlantic 7 26 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
319 Abilene Christian Southland 13 22 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
320 Liberty Big South 11 21 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
321 Campbell Big South 12 20 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
322 Ill. Chicago Horizon 6 25 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
323 Central Arkansas Southland 8 21 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
324 Navy Patriot League 9 21 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
325 Delaware St. Mideastern 9 21 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
326 Tennessee St. Ohio Valley 5 25 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
327 S. Carolina St. Mideastern 9 21 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
328 IUPUI Summit 6 26 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
329 UMBC America East 9 21 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
330 Tenn-Martin Ohio Valley 8 23 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
331 N.C. A&T Mideastern 9 23 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
332 Stetson Atlantic Sun 7 24 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
333 Appalachian St. Southern 9 21 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
334 Howard Mideastern 8 25 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
335 Miss. Valley St. Southwestern 8 23 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
336 Furman Southern 9 21 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
337 Houston Baptist Southland 6 25 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
338 Kennesaw St. Atlantic Sun 6 25 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
339 Longwood Big South 8 24 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
340 Binghamton America East 7 23 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
341 Maine America East 6 23 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
342 Lamar Southland 4 26 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
343 Bethune-Cookman Mideastern 7 25 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
344 Cornell Ivy League 2 26 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
345 New Hampshire America East 6 24 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
346 Citadel Southern 7 26 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
347 Sacred Heart Northeast 5 26 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
348 MD Eastern Shore Mideastern 6 24 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
349 Grambling Southwestern 5 24 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
350 Presbyterian Big South 6 26 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
351 Southern Utah Big Sky 2 27 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this spot - ties of future unplayed games are not considered
  • X means the team cannot win this spot - ties of future unplayed games are not considered
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot