PlayoffStatus.com

Thu Feb 20 2:00 am

NCAA Basketball - Week 16 of 18

NCAA Basketball Tournament Seedings Probabilities

Where will your team be seeded in the NCAA Tournament? The NCAA Basketball Tournament Seedings Probabilities table present the probability that a team obtains different seedings. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Note the cutline between ranked teams 41 and 42. Teams above this line should receive a NCAA Tournament invitaiton based upon thier rank. Teams below this line will receive a tournament invitation ONLY if they obtain an automatic bid by winning their conference tournament.

NCAA Basketball Tournament Seedings Probabilities
Rank Team ConferenceConf Record NCAA Tournament Seedings
W L 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 NT
1 Auburn SECSEC 24 2 >99% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
2 Alabama SECSEC 21 5 91% 9% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
3 Florida SECSEC 23 3 70% 26% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
4 Duke ACCACC 23 3 37% 48% 12% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
5 Tennessee SECSEC 21 5 27% 47% 19% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
6 Houston Big 12Big 12 22 4 24% 49% 19% 6% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
7 Michigan Big 10Big 10 20 5 23% 45% 20% 7% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
8 Texas A&M SECSEC 20 6 16% 41% 27% 12% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
9 Wisconsin Big 10Big 10 21 5 5% 31% 32% 19% 8% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
10 Michigan St. Big 10Big 10 21 5 4% 24% 28% 21% 13% 6% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
11 Purdue Big 10Big 10 19 8 2% 20% 33% 24% 14% 6% 2% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
12 Memphis American AthleticAm. Athletic 21 5 <1% 14% 41% 27% 12% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
13 St. John's Big EastBig East 23 4 <1% 7% 25% 28% 23% 12% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
14 Mississippi St.Miss. St. SECSEC 19 7 1% 8% 19% 25% 22% 14% 8% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
15 Clemson ACCACC 21 5 <1% 4% 17% 26% 26% 16% 8% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
16 Kentucky SECSEC 18 8 <1% 6% 14% 21% 22% 18% 10% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
17 Iowa St. Big 12Big 12 20 5 <1% 5% 15% 20% 21% 18% 11% 5% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
18 Ole Miss SECSEC 19 7 1% 5% 13% 20% 23% 20% 11% 5% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
19 Oregon Big 10Big 10 19 8 <1% 4% 12% 21% 25% 20% 12% 5% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
20 St. Mary's West CoastWest Coast 24 4 <1% <1% 10% 22% 27% 23% 11% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
21 Missouri SECSEC 20 6 <1% 3% 12% 19% 23% 20% 12% 7% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
22 Louisville ACCACC 20 6 <1% 2% 10% 21% 24% 21% 12% 6% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
23 Arizona Big 12Big 12 18 7 <1% 1% 6% 13% 19% 21% 18% 11% 6% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
24 Marquette Big EastBig East 20 6 <1% <1% 4% 12% 18% 23% 20% 12% 7% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
25 Texas Tech Big 12Big 12 20 6 <1% <1% 3% 8% 14% 20% 20% 16% 10% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
26 Utah St. Mountain WestMntn West 23 4 X <1% 1% 6% 14% 22% 25% 16% 10% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
27 Maryland Big 10Big 10 20 6 <1% <1% 2% 6% 11% 18% 20% 18% 11% 7% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4%
28 Kansas Big 12Big 12 17 9 <1% <1% 1% 3% 7% 12% 18% 19% 16% 11% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 10%
29 New Mexico Mountain WestMntn West 22 5 X <1% <1% <1% 4% 10% 20% 22% 19% 12% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 8%
30 Drake Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 24 3 X X <1% <1% 1% 12% 19% 27% 20% 13% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 7%
31 UCLA Big 10Big 10 19 8 <1% <1% <1% 2% 4% 9% 16% 20% 18% 15% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 13%
32 UC Irvine Big WestBig West 22 4 X X X <1% 1% 9% 18% 23% 20% 14% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 12%
33 Creighton Big EastBig East 18 8 X X <1% <1% 3% 7% 17% 21% 20% 13% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 14%
34 SMU ACCACC 20 6 X <1% <1% 1% 3% 7% 14% 17% 17% 15% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 22%
35 Wake Forest ACCACC 19 7 X <1% <1% <1% 2% 6% 12% 18% 20% 15% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 20%
36 Gonzaga West CoastWest Coast 21 7 X X <1% <1% 1% 4% 10% 17% 20% 17% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 25%
37 Illinois Big 10Big 10 17 10 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 8% 13% 17% 18% 6% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 32%
38 George Mason Atlantic 10Atl. 10 21 5 X X X X <1% 1% 6% 11% 17% 18% 8% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 39%
39 Nebraska Big 10Big 10 17 10 X <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 5% 10% 15% 17% 6% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 44%
40 San Diego St. Mountain WestMntn West 18 6 X X <1% <1% 1% 2% 6% 9% 13% 16% 7% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 48%
41 Vanderbilt SECSEC 17 9 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 5% 8% 12% 14% 6% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 52%
Cutline - Click Here to View 111 Line Movers
42 Ohio St. Big 10Big 10 15 11 X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 7% 10% 13% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 61%
43 North Carolina ACCACC 16 11 X X X <1% <1% 1% 2% 5% 9% 14% 6% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 63%
44 UC San Diego Big WestBig West 22 4 X X X X X <1% <1% 3% 8% 15% 18% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 55%
45 Baylor Big 12Big 12 16 10 X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 5% 8% 11% 6% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 68%
46 Georgia SECSEC 16 10 X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 8% 11% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 69%
47 VCU Atlantic 10Atl. 10 21 5 X X X X <1% <1% 2% 4% 9% 12% 11% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 62%
48 BYU Big 12Big 12 18 8 X X X <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 7% 10% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 70%
49 San Francisco West CoastWest Coast 21 7 X X X X X X <1% 1% 5% 9% 9% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 76%
50 Oklahoma SECSEC 16 10 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 5% 7% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 80%
51 UConn Big EastBig East 18 8 X X X X <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 8% 7% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 79%
52 Indiana Big 10Big 10 15 11 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 6% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 84%
53 Pittsburgh ACCACC 16 10 X X X X <1% <1% 1% 1% 3% 6% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 86%
54 North Texas American AthleticAm. Athletic 18 6 X X X X X X <1% 1% 3% 6% 12% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 77%
55 West Virginia Big 12Big 12 15 10 X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 3% 5% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 86%
56 Texas SECSEC 16 10 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 5% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 89%
57 Bradley Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 21 7 X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 17% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% 78%
58 TCU Big 12Big 12 15 11 X X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 5% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 89%
59 Arkansas SECSEC 15 11 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 92%
60 Xavier Big EastBig East 17 10 X X X X X X <1% <1% 1% 2% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 92%
61 Boise St. Mountain WestMntn West 18 8 X X X X X X <1% <1% 1% 2% 7% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 89%
62 Liberty Conference USAConf. USA 21 5 X X X X X X X <1% <1% 2% 16% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% 76%
63 Akron MACMAC 21 5 X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 21% 11% <1% <1% <1% <1% 67%
64 Dayton Atlantic 10Atl. 10 18 8 X X X X X X X <1% <1% 1% 10% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% 86%
65 High Point Big SouthBig South 24 5 X X X X X X X X X <1% 19% 20% <1% <1% <1% <1% 61%
66 USC Big 10Big 10 14 11 X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 96%
67 Stanford ACCACC 16 10 X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 97%
68 McNeese SouthlandSouth-land 21 6 X X X X X X X X X <1% 20% 25% 2% <1% <1% <1% 52%
69 Colorado St. Mountain WestMntn West 17 9 X X X X X X X <1% <1% 1% 7% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% 90%
70 Santa Clara West CoastWest Coast 17 10 X X X X X X X <1% <1% 1% 7% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 91%
71 Minnesota Big 10Big 10 14 12 X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 98%
72 Middle Tenn. Conference USAConf. USA 17 8 X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 11% 8% 1% <1% <1% <1% 80%
73 Yale Ivy LeagueIvy League 16 6 X X X X X X X X X <1% 12% 23% 6% <1% <1% <1% 58%
74 Charleston CoastalCoastal 20 7 X X X X X X X X X <1% 8% 15% 1% <1% <1% <1% 75%
75 Cincinnati Big 12Big 12 15 11 X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 99%
76 Utah Big 12Big 12 15 11 X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 99%
77 Grand Canyon WACWAC 19 6 X X X X X X X X X <1% 7% 28% 7% <1% <1% <1% 58%
78 UNC Wilmington CoastalCoastal 21 6 X X X X X X X X X <1% 7% 16% 2% <1% <1% <1% 75%
79 Northern Iowa Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 19 9 X X X X X X X X X <1% 6% 8% 1% <1% <1% <1% 85%
80 LSU SECSEC 14 12 X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
81 Florida St. ACCACC 16 10 X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 99%
82 UCF Big 12Big 12 13 13 X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 99%
83 Iowa Big 10Big 10 14 12 X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
84 Jacksonville StateJacksnvlle St. Conference USAConf. USA 18 8 X X X X X X X X X <1% 4% 10% 2% <1% <1% <1% 83%
85 Oregon St. West CoastWest Coast 18 9 X X X X X X X X X <1% 3% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% 95%
86 St. BonaventureSt. Bonavnt Atlantic 10Atl. 10 18 9 X X X X X X X X X <1% 3% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% 94%
87 Rhode Island Atlantic 10Atl. 10 17 8 X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 3% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% 93%
88 Rutgers Big 10Big 10 13 14 X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
89 Arkansas St. SunbeltSunbelt 19 9 X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 15% 7% <1% <1% <1% 77%
90 Kent State MACMAC 18 8 X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 11% 5% <1% <1% <1% 82%
91 Kansas St. Big 12Big 12 13 13 X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 99%
92 Arizona St. Big 12Big 12 12 14 X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 99%
93 NorthwesternN. Western Big 10Big 10 13 13 X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
94 ChattanoogaChattan. SouthernSouthern 20 8 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 13% 11% 1% <1% <1% 75%
95 UC Riverside Big WestBig West 17 10 X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 6% 2% <1% <1% <1% 91%
96 Belmont Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 18 10 X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 7% 2% <1% <1% <1% 90%
97 Utah Valley WACWAC 18 7 X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 16% 16% 3% <1% <1% 64%
98 Georgetown Big EastBig East 16 10 X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% 97%
99 Samford SouthernSouthern 20 8 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 11% 10% 1% <1% <1% 78%
100 Loyola Chicago Atlantic 10Atl. 10 17 9 X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1% 92%
101 Villanova Big EastBig East 15 12 X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% 97%
102 UTEP Conference USAConf. USA 17 8 X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 7% 3% <1% <1% <1% 88%
103 Furman SouthernSouthern 20 8 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 8% 10% 1% <1% <1% 81%
104 Washington St. West CoastWest Coast 16 12 X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% 97%
105 St. Joseph's Atlantic 10Atl. 10 15 10 X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% 94%
106 Virginia ACCACC 13 13 X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 99%
107 Washington Big 10Big 10 13 13 X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
108 Miami OH MACMAC 19 7 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 9% 9% 1% <1% <1% 81%
109 N.C. Asheville Big SouthBig South 19 7 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 9% 11% 2% <1% <1% 78%
110 Towson CoastalCoastal 18 9 X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 8% 9% 1% <1% <1% 80%
111 Marist Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 18 5 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 10% 17% 4% <1% <1% 68%
112 Nevada Mountain WestMntn West 15 11 X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% 96%
113 Penn State Big 10Big 10 14 13 X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
114 Florida Atlantic American AthleticAm. Athletic 15 10 X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 3% 2% <1% <1% <1% 94%
115 Louisiana Tech Conference USAConf. USA 17 9 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 5% 3% <1% <1% <1% 91%
116 UAB American AthleticAm. Athletic 18 9 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 4% 3% <1% <1% <1% 92%
117 James Madison SunbeltSunbelt 17 10 X X X X X X X X X X <1% 6% 11% 2% <1% <1% 82%
118 Montana Big SkyBig Sky 19 8 X X X X X X X X X X <1% 5% 22% 8% <1% <1% 64%
119 Oklahoma St. Big 12Big 12 13 13 X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
120 UNLV Mountain WestMntn West 14 12 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% 97%
121 Princeton Ivy LeagueIvy League 15 8 X X X X X X X X X X <1% 7% 14% 4% <1% <1% 74%
122 CSU Northridge Big WestBig West 18 7 X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 3% 3% <1% <1% <1% 93%
123 Troy SunbeltSunbelt 17 9 X X X X X X X X X X <1% 4% 11% 3% <1% <1% 82%
124 Wichita St. American AthleticAm. Athletic 15 10 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% 96%
125 St. Thomas SummitSummit 20 8 X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 18% 9% <1% <1% 71%
126 Robert Morris HorizonHorizon 20 8 X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 16% 7% <1% <1% 75%
127 Toledo MACMAC 16 10 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 4% 8% 2% <1% <1% 85%
128 Central Conn. NortheastNorth East 19 6 X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 22% 30% 5% <1% 42%
129 South Carolina SECSEC 10 16 X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
130 Illinois St. Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 16 12 X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 3% <1% <1% <1% 95%
131 Geo. Washington Atlantic 10Atl. 10 17 10 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 2% 2% <1% <1% <1% 97%
132 Lipscomb Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 19 9 X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 12% 10% 1% <1% 77%
133 North Alabama Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 20 8 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 13% 14% 1% <1% 72%
134 Western Kentucky Conference USAConf. USA 14 11 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 2% 4% 1% <1% <1% 93%
135 South Alabama SunbeltSunbelt 19 9 X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 9% 5% <1% <1% 84%
136 Butler Big EastBig East 12 14 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% 99%
137 Wis. Milwaukee HorizonHorizon 18 9 X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 8% 8% 1% <1% 82%
138 Northern Colorado Big SkyBig Sky 19 8 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 8% 15% 3% <1% 74%
139 Davidson Atlantic 10Atl. 10 15 11 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% 98%
140 Kennesaw St. Conference USAConf. USA 15 11 X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 4% 2% <1% <1% 93%
141 Georgia Tech ACCACC 13 13 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
142 North Dakota St. SummitSummit 20 9 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 5% 12% 2% <1% 82%
143 Saint Louis Atlantic 10Atl. 10 14 12 X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 2% 1% <1% <1% 97%
144 Loyola Marymount West CoastWest Coast 15 12 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1% 99%
145 Norfolk St. MideasternMid-Eastern 18 8 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 6% 27% 15% 1% 51%
146 South Dakota St. SummitSummit 18 10 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 4% 15% 3% <1% 78%
147 Providence Big EastBig East 12 15 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1% 99%
148 UIC Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 16 12 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 2% 1% <1% <1% 97%
149 Winthrop Big SouthBig South 19 10 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 4% 8% 1% <1% 87%
150 N.C. Greensboro SouthernSouthern 18 10 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 4% 8% 1% <1% 86%
151 Appalachian St.App.St. SunbeltSunbelt 16 10 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 5% 4% 1% <1% 90%
152 Cleveland St. HorizonHorizon 18 9 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 5% 11% 3% <1% 82%
153 Radford Big SouthBig South 16 11 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 4% 6% 1% <1% 89%
154 California ACCACC 12 14 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
155 Fort Wayne HorizonHorizon 18 10 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 8% 3% <1% 87%
156 Syracuse ACCACC 11 16 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
157 Colorado Big 12Big 12 10 15 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
158 UCSB Big WestBig West 16 10 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 1% 1% <1% <1% 97%
159 UC Davis Big WestBig West 15 11 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 1% 1% <1% <1% 97%
160 Murray State Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 14 14 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 1% 1% <1% <1% 97%
161 Eastern Kentucky Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 17 11 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 9% 5% <1% 84%
162 Youngstown St. HorizonHorizon 18 10 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 8% 5% <1% 86%
163 Ohio MACMAC 14 12 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 2% 4% 2% <1% 93%
164 Lamar SouthlandSouth-land 17 10 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 1% 8% 7% <1% 84%
165 Quinnipiac Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 16 10 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 7% 7% 1% 83%
166 Bryant America EastAmerica East 17 10 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 10% 19% 3% 68%
167 Tulane American AthleticAm. Athletic 15 11 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 1% 2% 1% <1% 97%
168 Cornell Ivy LeagueIvy League 13 9 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 2% 7% 4% <1% 87%
169 Southern SouthwesternSWAC 17 9 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 9% 19% 5% 67%
170 E. Carolina American AthleticAm. Athletic 15 12 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 1% 1% <1% <1% 98%
171 Temple American AthleticAm. Athletic 14 13 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% <1% <1% 98%
172 NortheasternN. Eastern CoastalCoastal 15 12 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 3% 1% <1% 95%
173 Nebraska Omaha SummitSummit 17 12 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 6% 10% 1% 83%
174 JacksonvilleJack.ville Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 16 11 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 5% 4% <1% 90%
175 SE Louisiana SouthlandSouth-land 16 10 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 6% 6% <1% 87%
176 Virginia Tech ACCACC 11 15 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
177 Longwood Big SouthBig South 17 11 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 4% 4% <1% 92%
178 Wofford SouthernSouthern 15 13 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 4% 4% <1% 92%
179 Notre Dame ACCACC 11 15 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
180 California Baptist WACWAC 13 12 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 4% 4% <1% 91%
181 William & Mary CoastalCoastal 16 11 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 3% 3% <1% 93%
182 Elon CoastalCoastal 16 11 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 3% 2% <1% 95%
183 E. Tennessee St. SouthernSouthern 16 12 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 3% 4% <1% 92%
184 Nicholls St. SouthlandSouth-land 16 11 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 4% 4% <1% 91%
185 Merrimack Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 14 12 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 4% 8% 1% 86%
186 American Patriot LeaguePatriot League 17 11 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 3% 19% 7% 71%
187 Queens U. Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 17 11 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 3% 5% <1% 91%
188 UALR Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 17 10 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 17% 6% 74%
189 Fla Gulf Coast Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 15 13 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 6% 1% 91%
190 SE Missouri St. Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 17 10 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 19% 8% 71%
191 New Mexico St. Conference USAConf. USA 13 12 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% 2% 1% <1% 97%
192 Wyoming Mountain WestMntn West 12 15 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 99%
193 Brown Ivy LeagueIvy League 12 10 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 3% 3% <1% 93%
194 Texas A&M C.C. SouthlandSouth-land 17 11 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 2% 4% <1% 93%
195 Mount St. Mary's Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 15 11 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 3% 7% 1% 88%
196 Hawai'i Big WestBig West 14 12 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 99%
197 N.C. State ACCACC 10 16 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
198 La Salle Atlantic 10Atl. 10 12 14 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 99%
199 Vermont America EastAmerica East 15 11 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 2% 14% 6% 78%
200 SIU EdwardsvilleSIU Ed.ville Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 18 9 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 14% 6% 79%
201 Marshall SunbeltSunbelt 15 12 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 2% 3% <1% 95%
202 Army Patriot LeaguePatriot League 16 11 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 14% 9% 76%
203 South Florida American AthleticAm. Athletic 13 14 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 99%
204 Maine America EastAmerica East 16 10 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 12% 6% 81%
205 DePaul Big EastBig East 11 16 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
206 Boston College ACCACC 11 15 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
207 Southern Illinois Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 12 16 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% <1% 99%
208 South Dakota SummitSummit 17 11 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 6% 2% 91%
209 Manhattan Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 13 10 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 1% 6% 3% 90%
210 Portland St. Big SkyBig Sky 16 10 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 1% 7% 5% 88%
211 Indiana St. Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 13 15 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% <1% 99%
212 San José State Mountain WestMntn West 12 16 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
213 Dartmouth Ivy LeagueIvy League 12 10 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 1% 6% 3% 90%
214 Campbell CoastalCoastal 15 12 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 1% 3% 1% 95%
215 Oakland HorizonHorizon 12 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 3% 2% 95%
216 Eastern Michigan MACMAC 13 13 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 2% 1% 97%
217 Georgia Southern SunbeltSunbelt 14 13 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 2% 1% 97%
218 Duquesne Atlantic 10Atl. 10 11 15 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 99%
219 North Florida Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 14 14 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 2% 1% 97%
220 Texas State SunbeltSunbelt 14 14 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 2% 1% 97%
221 Hampton CoastalCoastal 14 13 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 1% 1% 98%
222 Fordham Atlantic 10Atl. 10 11 15 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
223 Siena Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 12 14 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 3% 3% 94%
224 UMass-LowellUMA-Lowell America EastAmerica East 15 11 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 4% 5% 91%
225 Florida A&M SouthwesternSWAC 12 12 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 5% 11% 84%
226 Bucknell Patriot LeaguePatriot League 14 14 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 5% 12% 83%
227 Cal Poly Big WestBig West 10 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
228 Georgia St. SunbeltSunbelt 12 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 1% 1% 98%
229 UMass Atlantic 10Atl. 10 11 16 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
230 Hofstra CoastalCoastal 12 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 1% 1% 98%
231 Stephen F. Austin SouthlandSouth-land 14 13 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 1% 1% 98%
232 Evansville Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 11 17 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 99%
233 Columbia Ivy LeagueIvy League 12 10 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
234 UT-Rio Grande Valley SouthlandSouth-land 14 13 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 99%
235 Sam Houston Conference USAConf. USA 10 16 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 99%
236 Wright St. HorizonHorizon 13 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 2% 97%
237 Abilene Christian WACWAC 12 13 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 2% 2% 97%
238 Drexel CoastalCoastal 13 14 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 1% 1% 98%
239 Valparaiso Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 12 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 99%
240 Richmond Atlantic 10Atl. 10 10 17 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
241 Rice American AthleticAm. Athletic 12 15 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
242 Montana St. Big SkyBig Sky 12 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 5% 93%
243 Texas-San Antonio American AthleticAm. Athletic 10 16 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
244 UT Arlington WACWAC 12 14 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 1% 2% 97%
245 Central Michigan MACMAC 11 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 99%
246 Northern Kentucky HorizonHorizon 12 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 2% 97%
247 Gardner-WebbGardnr-Wbb Big SouthBig South 10 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 1% 2% 97%
248 Morehead St. Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 14 13 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 6% 93%
249 Northern Arizona Big SkyBig Sky 15 12 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 5% 94%
250 Seattle WACWAC 10 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 2% 97%
251 Harvard Ivy LeagueIvy League 9 13 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 1% 1% 98%
252 Delaware CoastalCoastal 12 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 99%
253 Portland West CoastWest Coast 10 17 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
254 Ball State MACMAC 13 13 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 1% 1% 98%
255 Bethune-CookmanBethn-Ckmn SouthwesternSWAC 11 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 10% 89%
256 Tarleton St. WACWAC 11 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 2% 97%
257 CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild Big WestBig West 11 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
258 Seton Hall Big EastBig East 7 19 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
259 Northwestern St.NWestrn St SouthlandSouth-land 11 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 1% 98%
260 Albany America EastAmerica East 13 13 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 6% 93%
261 Pepperdine West CoastWest Coast 10 17 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
262 Jackson St. SouthwesternSWAC 9 17 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 11% 88%
263 Boston U. Patriot LeaguePatriot League 14 14 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 8% 91%
264 S. Carolina St. MideasternMid-Eastern 13 12 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 14% 85%
265 Miami ACCACC 6 20 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
266 Mercer SouthernSouthern 12 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 1% 98%
267 Holy Cross Patriot LeaguePatriot League 13 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 4% 95%
268 Tennessee Tech Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 13 14 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 4% 95%
269 Delaware St. MideasternMid-Eastern 13 11 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 13% 86%
270 Tennessee St. Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 14 14 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 6% 93%
271 Charlotte American AthleticAm. Athletic 10 17 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
272 Iona Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 11 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 4% 96%
273 Austin Peay Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 12 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 1% 99%
274 Alabama St. SouthwesternSWAC 12 14 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 9% 90%
275 Colgate Patriot LeaguePatriot League 12 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 9% 91%
276 Stonehill NortheastNorth East 14 13 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 9% 91%
277 Tulsa American AthleticAm. Athletic 11 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
278 Binghamton America EastAmerica East 13 14 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 5% 95%
279 Idaho St. Big SkyBig Sky 11 13 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 4% 95%
280 Houston Christian SouthlandSouth-land 11 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 1% 99%
281 Lindenwood Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 13 14 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 3% 96%
282 Idaho Big SkyBig Sky 11 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 4% 96%
283 VMI SouthernSouthern 13 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 1% 99%
284 Charleston Southern Big SouthBig South 10 19 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 2% 98%
285 Southern Utah WACWAC 11 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 1% 99%
286 Sacred Heart Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 11 14 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 2% 97%
287 Monmouth CoastalCoastal 9 18 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 1% 99%
288 Incarnate Word SouthlandSouth-land 13 14 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% 99%
289 Long Island U. NortheastNorth East 12 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 11% 89%
290 Old Dominion SunbeltSunbelt 9 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 1% 99%
291 Missouri St. Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 9 19 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% >99%
292 Southern Miss SunbeltSunbelt 10 18 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 1% 99%
293 Alcorn St. SouthwesternSWAC 9 17 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 8% 92%
294 PresbyterianPresbyter. Big SouthBig South 11 17 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 1% 99%
295 Western Michigan MACMAC 9 17 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 1% 99%
296 Eastern Washington Big SkyBig Sky 10 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 3% 97%
297 Texas Southern SouthwesternSWAC 11 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 7% 93%
298 Pacific West CoastWest Coast 9 20 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% >99%
299 UMBC America EastAmerica East 12 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 3% 97%
300 Tenn-MartinTN-Martin Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 12 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 2% 98%
301 St. Peter's Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 9 13 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 1% 99%
302 Rider Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 10 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 1% 99%
303 LA Lafayette SunbeltSunbelt 9 18 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% >99%
304 Niagara Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 10 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 1% 99%
305 UMKC SummitSummit 11 17 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 98%
306 Mercyhurst NortheastNorth East 13 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 6% 94%
307 Fair. Dickinson NortheastNorth East 11 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 6% 94%
308 Lehigh Patriot LeaguePatriot League 10 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 98%
309 North Dakota SummitSummit 10 17 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 2% 98%
310 N.C. Central MideasternMid-Eastern 11 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 7% 93%
311 Howard MideasternMid-Eastern 11 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 7% 93%
312 Bowling Green MACMAC 10 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% >99%
313 Wagner NortheastNorth East 12 13 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 3% 97%
314 Fairfield Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 9 17 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 99%
315 Fresno St. Mountain WestMntn West 5 22 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% >99%
316 FIU Conference USAConf. USA 8 18 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% >99%
317 Western Carolina SouthernSouthern 8 18 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% >99%
318 St. Francis NortheastNorth East 8 17 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 4% 96%
319 PennsylvaniaPenn. Ivy LeagueIvy League 6 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% >99%
320 Detroit HorizonHorizon 8 20 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% >99%
321 Morgan St. MideasternMid-Eastern 11 14 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 6% 94%
322 Long Beach St. Big WestBig West 7 19 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% >99%
323 Loyola-MD Patriot LeaguePatriot League 10 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 98%
324 Weber St. Big SkyBig Sky 9 18 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 99%
325 Denver SummitSummit 10 19 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 99%
326 Lafayette Patriot LeaguePatriot League 10 18 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 99%
327 Buffalo MACMAC 8 18 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% >99%
328 Navy Patriot LeaguePatriot League 10 18 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 98%
329 Grambling SouthwesternSWAC 8 17 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 3% 97%
330 CSU Fullerton Big WestBig West 6 21 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% >99%
331 IU Indy HorizonHorizon 9 19 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% >99%
332 Stony Brook CoastalCoastal 6 21 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% >99%
333 Utah Tech WACWAC 6 19 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% >99%
334 Le Moyne NortheastNorth East 9 18 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 99%
335 Southern Indiana Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 9 17 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% >99%
336 Coastal Carolina SunbeltSunbelt 8 19 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% >99%
337 Air Force Mountain WestMntn West 3 23 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% >99%
338 Western Illinois Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 10 17 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% >99%
339 New Orleans SouthlandSouth-land 4 23 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
340 Eastern Illinois Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 8 19 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% >99%
341 Central Arkansas Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 7 21 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% >99%
342 Stetson Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 7 21 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% >99%
343 N. Carolina A&T CoastalCoastal 5 22 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% >99%
344 San Diego West CoastWest Coast 4 24 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% >99%
345 UL Monroe SunbeltSunbelt 7 21 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% >99%
346 Alabama A&M SouthwesternSWAC 9 17 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% >99%
347 New Hampshire America EastAmerica East 7 20 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 1% 99%
348 Chicago St. NortheastNorth East 4 23 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 1% 99%
349 West Georgia Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 5 23 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% >99%
350 Oral Roberts SummitSummit 6 20 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% >99%
351 S. Carolina Upstate Big SouthBig South 5 23 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% >99%
352 Texas A&M-CommerceTX A&M-Comm SouthlandSouth-land 3 24 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
353 Northern Illinois MACMAC 5 21 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% >99%
354 Sacramento St. Big SkyBig Sky 6 20 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% >99%
355 Coppin St. MideasternMid-Eastern 4 20 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 1% 99%
356 Prairie View A&M SouthwesternSWAC 4 22 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% >99%
357 Green Bay HorizonHorizon 3 24 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% >99%
358 Citadel SouthernSouthern 5 21 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% >99%
359 NJIT America EastAmerica East 5 22 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% >99%
360 MD Eastern Shore MideasternMid-Eastern 4 21 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 1% 99%
361 Canisius Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 2 23 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% >99%
362 Miss. Valley St. SouthwesternSWAC 3 23 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
363 Bellarmine Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 4 24 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
364 AR Pine Bluff SouthwesternSWAC 4 22 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this spot - ties of future unplayed games are not considered
  • X means the team cannot win this spot - ties of future unplayed games are not considered
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot