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Sun Feb 7 9:30 am

NCAA Basketball - Week 13 of 18

NCAA Basketball Tournament Seedings Probabilities

Where will your team be seeded in the NCAA Tournament? The NCAA Basketball Tournament Seedings Probabilities table present the probability that a team obtains different seedings. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Note the cutline between ranked teams 47 and 48. Teams above this line should receive a NCAA Tournament invitaiton based upon thier rank. Teams below this line will receive a tournament invitation ONLY if they obtain an automatic bid by winning their conference tournament.

NCAA Basketball Tournament Seedings Probabilities
Rank Team Conference RecordĀ  NCAA Tournament Seedings
W L 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 NT
1 Oklahoma Big 12 19 3 72% 19% 7% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
2 Villanova Big East 20 3 69% 23% 6% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
3 Xavier Big East 20 2 51% 30% 13% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
4 West Virginia Big 12 19 4 36% 30% 18% 9% 4% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
5 Kansas Big 12 19 4 34% 29% 19% 11% 5% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
6 Virginia ACC 19 4 31% 32% 21% 11% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
7 Maryland Big 10 21 3 22% 33% 25% 13% 5% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
8 Oregon PAC 12 19 4 22% 29% 23% 14% 7% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
9 North Carolina ACC 19 4 15% 25% 24% 18% 10% 5% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
10 Iowa Big 10 18 4 13% 25% 24% 18% 10% 6% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
11 Iowa St. Big 12 17 6 8% 18% 23% 20% 15% 8% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
12 Michigan St. Big 10 20 4 6% 17% 24% 22% 15% 9% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
13 Miami ACC 17 4 7% 15% 19% 19% 16% 11% 6% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
14 Southern Methodist American Athletic Am. Athletic 19 2 3% 15% 22% 22% 17% 10% 5% 3% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
15 USC PAC 12 18 3 5% 13% 18% 19% 17% 12% 8% 4% 3% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
16 Dayton Atlantic 10 18 3 1% 10% 18% 20% 19% 13% 8% 5% 3% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
17 Texas Big 12 16 7 2% 6% 11% 16% 18% 16% 12% 8% 6% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
18 Louisville ACC 19 4 1% 5% 10% 15% 17% 15% 13% 8% 6% 3% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
19 South Carolina SEC 20 3 <1% 4% 10% 15% 18% 16% 12% 9% 5% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
20 Arizona PAC 12 18 4 1% 5% 9% 14% 17% 17% 13% 9% 6% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
21 Texas A&M SEC 17 5 <1% 3% 8% 14% 17% 16% 14% 10% 6% 4% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
22 Utah PAC 12 17 6 1% 4% 8% 13% 16% 16% 13% 9% 7% 4% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
23 Purdue Big 10 19 5 <1% 3% 8% 14% 17% 17% 14% 10% 7% 4% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
24 Duke ACC 17 6 <1% 2% 6% 10% 14% 17% 15% 12% 8% 6% 4% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4%
25 St. Joseph's Atlantic 10 19 4 <1% 1% 4% 10% 14% 16% 15% 12% 9% 6% 4% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% 5%
26 Baylor Big 12 17 6 1% 2% 5% 9% 12% 15% 14% 12% 10% 7% 5% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% 6%
27 Kentucky SEC 17 6 <1% 1% 3% 7% 12% 16% 16% 13% 10% 7% 5% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% 7%
28 Pittsburgh ACC 17 5 <1% 1% 2% 5% 8% 11% 12% 12% 10% 10% 7% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% 17%
29 Colorado PAC 12 17 7 <1% <1% 1% 4% 8% 12% 13% 13% 11% 10% 7% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% 16%
30 Seton Hall Big East 17 6 <1% <1% 1% 3% 7% 11% 13% 13% 12% 10% 8% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% 17%
31 Notre Dame ACC 16 7 <1% <1% 1% 4% 7% 10% 12% 12% 11% 10% 8% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% 20%
32 Providence Big East 17 6 <1% <1% 1% 3% 6% 10% 13% 13% 13% 10% 9% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% 19%
33 Indiana Big 10 19 5 <1% <1% 1% 3% 6% 9% 11% 12% 12% 10% 9% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% 20%
34 California PAC 12 15 7 <1% <1% 1% 3% 6% 9% 11% 11% 11% 10% 9% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% 24%
35 Geo. Washington Atlantic 10 18 5 <1% <1% <1% 2% 4% 7% 10% 12% 12% 11% 9% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1% 26%
36 Florida St. ACC 16 7 <1% <1% 1% 3% 5% 7% 10% 10% 11% 11% 9% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% 29%
37 Florida SEC 15 8 <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 7% 10% 12% 11% 11% 9% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% 30%
38 Michigan Big 10 17 7 <1% <1% <1% 2% 3% 6% 9% 10% 12% 10% 10% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% 32%
39 Connecticut American Athletic Am. Athletic 16 5 <1% <1% <1% 2% 3% 6% 8% 9% 10% 9% 9% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1% 37%
40 VCU Atlantic 10 17 6 <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 5% 8% 10% 10% 11% 10% 6% 1% <1% <1% <1% 35%
41 Kansas St. Big 12 14 9 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 5% 7% 9% 10% 10% 10% 6% <1% <1% <1% <1% 40%
42 Butler Big East 16 7 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 6% 7% 9% 9% 11% 7% 1% <1% <1% <1% 44%
43 Syracuse ACC 16 8 <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 3% 5% 7% 9% 10% 10% 7% 1% <1% <1% <1% 46%
44 UALR Sunbelt 21 2 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 9% 12% 12% 12% 12% 6% <1% <1% <1% 32%
45 Chattanooga Southern 21 3 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 8% 10% 13% 12% 12% 5% <1% <1% <1% 37%
46 Washington PAC 12 15 8 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 6% 7% 9% 9% 6% 1% <1% <1% <1% 53%
47 Valparaiso Horizon 20 4 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 6% 8% 11% 11% 13% 7% <1% <1% <1% 41%
Cutline - Click Here to View 83 Line Movers
48 Oregon St. PAC 12 14 8 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 6% 7% 8% 8% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1% 58%
49 Wichita St. Missouri Valley 17 6 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 6% 8% 10% 11% 10% 3% <1% <1% <1% 49%
50 San Diego St. Mountain West Mntn West 18 6 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 6% 7% 8% 10% 9% 4% <1% <1% <1% 52%
51 Akron MAC 19 4 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 6% 8% 9% 10% 11% 6% 1% <1% <1% 46%
52 Texas Tech Big 12 13 9 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 3% 5% 6% 7% 8% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1% 63%
53 Cincinnati American Athletic Am. Athletic 17 7 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 3% 5% 6% 7% 8% 6% 1% <1% <1% <1% 62%
54 St. Mary's West Coast 19 3 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 6% 8% 9% 12% 5% <1% <1% <1% 55%
55 Wisconsin Big 10 14 9 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 3% 5% 6% 7% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1% 71%
56 Gonzaga West Coast 18 4 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 6% 7% 12% 7% 1% <1% <1% 60%
57 Hawaii Big West 18 2 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 5% 7% 7% 14% 10% 1% <1% <1% 52%
58 Monmouth Metro Atlantic 18 4 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 9% 19% 16% 2% <1% <1% 51%
59 LSU SEC 15 8 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 4% 6% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1% 74%
60 St. Bonaventure Atlantic 10 14 6 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1% 74%
61 Georgia SEC 13 8 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% 76%
62 South Dakota St. Summit 19 5 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 4% 6% 14% 12% 1% <1% <1% 60%
63 Vanderbilt SEC 13 10 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 4% 5% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% 82%
64 Alabama SEC 13 9 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% 82%
65 Temple American Athletic Am. Athletic 14 8 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 5% 6% 2% <1% <1% <1% 79%
66 UCLA PAC 12 13 10 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% 84%
67 Clemson ACC 14 9 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 3% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% 89%
68 William & Mary Colonial Athletic 17 6 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 7% 7% 1% <1% <1% 77%
69 UC Irvine Big West 18 6 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 11% 14% 2% <1% <1% 68%
70 Ole Miss SEC 15 8 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% 89%
71 Creighton Big East 15 9 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% 92%
72 Tulsa American Athletic Am. Athletic 14 8 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 4% 2% <1% <1% <1% 87%
73 Marquette Big East 15 9 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% 92%
74 Evansville Missouri Valley 19 6 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 8% 11% 2% <1% <1% 77%
75 Stanford PAC 12 11 10 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% 91%
76 N.C. Wilmington Colonial Athletic 18 5 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 7% 9% 1% <1% <1% 79%
77 Georgia Tech ACC 12 10 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% 92%
78 Northwestern N. Western Big 10 16 8 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% 94%
79 Arizona St. PAC 12 13 11 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% 95%
80 Houston American Athletic Am. Athletic 16 6 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 4% 2% <1% <1% <1% 89%
81 Georgetown Big East 13 11 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% 95%
82 UAB Conference USA 20 4 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 17% 7% 1% <1% 69%
83 Ohio St. Big 10 14 10 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% 96%
84 Stony Brook America East 19 4 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 29% 17% 1% <1% 49%
85 Hofstra Colonial Athletic 16 7 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 8% 2% <1% <1% 84%
86 IPFW Summit 19 7 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 15% 6% <1% <1% 74%
87 Davidson Atlantic 10 12 8 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% 94%
88 James Madison Colonial Athletic 17 7 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 8% 3% <1% <1% 85%
89 Boise St. Mountain West Mntn West 16 7 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 9% 3% <1% <1% 83%
90 Arkansas SEC 12 11 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% 97%
91 Grand Canyon WAC 20 4 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
92 BYU West Coast 17 8 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 10% 5% <1% <1% 83%
93 Princeton Ivy League 14 5 X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 12% 7% <1% <1% 80%
94 Middle Tenn. Conference USA 17 6 X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 13% 9% 1% <1% 75%
95 Yale Ivy League 15 5 X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 23% 36% 7% <1% 33%
96 Virginia Tech ACC 13 11 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 99%
97 N.C. State ACC 12 12 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 99%
98 Charleston Colonial Athletic 15 8 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 4% <1% <1% 88%
99 Memphis American Athletic Am. Athletic 14 9 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 1% <1% <1% 95%
100 Duquesne Atlantic 10 15 8 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% 97%
101 Southern Illinois Missouri Valley 18 7 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 7% 7% 1% <1% 85%
102 Wake Forest ACC 10 13 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
103 Oakland Horizon 17 8 X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 8% 12% 2% <1% 77%
104 New Mexico Mountain West Mntn West 14 9 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 6% 2% <1% 85%
105 Penn State Big 10 12 12 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 99%
106 Mercer Southern 18 6 X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 7% 10% 3% <1% 79%
107 Buffalo MAC 14 9 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 8% 1% <1% 85%
108 Ohio MAC 14 8 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 5% 3% <1% <1% 91%
109 Kent State MAC 15 8 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 5% 5% <1% <1% 89%
110 Tennessee SEC 11 12 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1% 99%
111 Rhode Island Atlantic 10 13 10 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% <1% <1% 98%
112 Belmont Ohio Valley 17 8 X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 16% 8% <1% 72%
113 Oklahoma St. Big 12 10 12 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
114 Richmond Atlantic 10 11 9 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1% 98%
115 Texas Arlington Sunbelt 15 7 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 5% 9% 3% <1% 83%
116 Siena Metro Atlantic 16 8 X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 12% 6% 1% 78%
117 Texas A&M C.C. Southland 17 5 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 19% 16% 3% 58%
118 Fresno St. Mountain West Mntn West 15 8 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 5% 2% <1% 89%
119 Nebraska Big 10 13 11 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 99%
120 Albany America East 19 6 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% 2% 14% 11% 1% 72%
121 Stephen F. Austin Southland 16 4 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% 3% 18% 20% 5% 55%
122 North Dakota St. Summit 16 8 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 7% 4% <1% 86%
123 TCU Big 12 10 13 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
124 Illinois Big 10 11 12 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
125 Tennessee Tech Ohio Valley 17 7 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 12% 13% 1% 73%
126 Columbia Ivy League 16 7 X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 7% 5% <1% 87%
127 New Mexico St. WAC 16 8 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 9% 28% 8% 55%
128 Northern Iowa Missouri Valley 14 11 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 4% 3% <1% 92%
129 Towson Colonial Athletic 17 8 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 2% <1% 92%
130 Auburn SEC 9 13 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 99%
131 Northern Illinois N. Illinois MAC 16 7 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 3% <1% <1% 94%
132 Long Beach St. Big West 11 11 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 5% 4% 1% 89%
133 Illinois St. Missouri Valley 14 11 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 4% 3% <1% 92%
134 North Florida Atlantic Sun 18 8 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 8% 28% 9% 55%
135 Ball State MAC 15 8 X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 2% <1% 93%
136 Louisiana Tech Conference USA 17 6 X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 6% 5% 1% 87%
137 E. Tennessee St. Southern 15 9 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 6% 6% 1% 87%
138 Pepperdine West Coast 14 10 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 4% <1% 92%
139 UNLV Mountain West Mntn West 13 11 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 2% <1% 94%
140 Nevada Mountain West Mntn West 13 9 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 3% <1% 92%
141 Toledo MAC 14 9 X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 1% <1% 95%
142 Elon Colonial Athletic 14 11 X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 2% <1% 95%
143 N.C. Asheville Big South 17 8 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 4% 15% 6% 76%
144 Wis. Milwaukee Horizon 15 9 X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 3% 1% 93%
145 UCSB Big West 10 12 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 4% 5% 1% 90%
146 Nebraska Omaha Summit 15 10 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
147 Indiana St. Missouri Valley 13 11 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 2% 3% 1% 93%
148 LA Lafayette Sunbelt 13 8 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 3% 8% 3% 86%
149 Wright St. Horizon 15 10 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 3% 7% 2% 88%
150 Fordham Atlantic 10 12 9 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 99%
151 Georgia St. Sunbelt 13 8 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% 3% 4% 1% 92%
152 Tennessee St. Ohio Valley 16 7 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 3% 9% 3% 86%
153 DePaul Big East 8 15 X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
154 Old Dominion Conference USA 13 10 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 6% 2% 89%
155 Cal St. Bakersfield WAC 17 7 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 16% 15% 68%
156 Green Bay Horizon 14 10 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 2% 4% 1% 93%
157 Weber St. Big Sky 16 7 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% 2% 13% 12% 73%
158 UCF American Athletic Am. Athletic 11 10 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% <1% 99%
159 Iona Metro Atlantic 13 9 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 1% 6% 4% 88%
160 Montana Big Sky 14 8 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 13% 14% 73%
161 E. Carolina American Athletic Am. Athletic 10 12 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% <1% 99%
162 Winthrop Big South 16 7 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 1% 9% 9% 81%
163 Northeastern N. Eastern Colonial Athletic 12 13 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 1% 97%
164 Washington St. PAC 12 9 14 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
165 Marshall Conference USA 12 12 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 5% 3% 91%
166 Central Michigan C. Michigan MAC 13 10 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 1% 95%
167 Navy Patriot League 16 9 X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 7% 19% 74%
168 Coastal Carolina Big South 15 8 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 7% 10% 82%
169 Colorado St. Mountain West Mntn West 12 10 X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 1% 96%
170 Utah St. Mountain West Mntn West 11 11 X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 1% 97%
171 Mississippi St. SEC 8 13 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
172 Denver Summit 13 11 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 3% 4% 93%
173 Vermont America East 14 11 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 4% 7% 89%
174 Missouri SEC 8 15 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
175 Oral Roberts Summit 11 14 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 2% 3% 95%
176 Furman Southern 14 11 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 3% 4% 93%
177 Southern Southwestern SWAC 15 7 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 3% 32% 65%
178 George Mason Atlantic 10 8 15 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
179 Wyoming Mountain West Mntn West 12 13 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 2% 1% 97%
180 Radford Big South 13 11 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 3% 8% 89%
181 Massachusetts Mass. Atlantic 10 9 13 X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
182 Fairfield Metro Atlantic 12 11 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 2% 5% 93%
183 Morehead St. Ohio Valley 12 11 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 2% 3% 94%
184 San Francisco West Coast 13 10 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 2% 97%
185 Detroit Horizon 12 11 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 2% 97%
186 New Jersey Tech Atlantic Sun 14 11 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 16% 82%
187 IUPUI Summit 11 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 1% 4% 95%
188 Bowling Green MAC 13 10 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 99%
189 High Point Big South 14 9 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 2% 9% 89%
190 Bucknell Patriot League 13 10 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 22% 76%
191 Eastern Michigan E. Michigan MAC 11 12 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 99%
192 Hampton Mideastern 13 9 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 29% 70%
193 Saint Louis Atlantic 10 8 13 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
194 Boston College ACC 7 16 X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
195 Western Kentucky Conference USA 12 12 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 1% 2% 97%
196 Eastern Kentucky Ohio Valley 14 12 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 3% 96%
197 Wagner Northeast 15 8 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 32% 68%
198 Murray St. Ohio Valley 12 12 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 7% 92%
199 Air Force Mountain West Mntn West 12 12 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 1% 1% 98%
200 South Dakota Summit 11 14 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 4% 96%
201 St. John's Big East 6 17 X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
202 UTEP Conference USA 13 10 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 3% 96%
203 LA Monroe Sunbelt 11 12 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 1% 3% 96%
204 Idaho Big Sky 14 10 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 10% 89%
205 Missouri St. Missouri Valley 10 13 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 2% 98%
206 Wofford Southern 11 13 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 4% 95%
207 Fla Gulf Coast Atlantic Sun 14 11 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 14% 86%
208 New Hampshire America East 13 9 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 7% 92%
209 Loyola-Chicago Missouri Valley 11 13 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 2% 98%
210 Boston U. Patriot League 14 11 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 16% 84%
211 Houston Baptist Southland 14 9 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
212 S. Carolina St. Mideastern 13 11 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 23% 76%
213 Incarnate Word Southland 12 8 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
214 Gardner-Webb Big South 13 12 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 9% 91%
215 Cornell Ivy League 9 11 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% >99%
216 Eastern Washington Big Sky 13 10 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 10% 90%
217 Western Michigan W. Michigan MAC 9 14 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
218 Minnesota Big 10 6 17 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% >99%
219 North Dakota Big Sky 12 10 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 9% 91%
220 Jacksonville Atlantic Sun 15 11 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 16% 83%
221 Tenn-Martin Ohio Valley 13 12 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 5% 95%
222 Manhattan Metro Atlantic 9 11 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 4% 96%
223 Loyola Marymount West Coast 10 14 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 1% 99%
224 Army Patriot League 13 11 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 7% 93%
225 Portland West Coast 11 14 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 99%
226 Arkansas St. Sunbelt 11 12 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 2% 98%
227 UC Davis Big West 10 12 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 2% 98%
228 Colgate Patriot League 11 12 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 11% 89%
229 Fair. Dickinson Northeast 12 11 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 22% 78%
230 Miami OH MAC 8 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% >99%
231 Jackson St. Southwestern SWAC 12 11 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 18% 82%
232 Seattle WAC 12 11 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 11% 89%
233 UC Riverside Big West 13 13 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 2% 98%
234 Texas Southern Southwestern SWAC 10 12 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 20% 80%
235 Eastern Illinois Ohio Valley 11 13 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 7% 93%
236 Harvard Ivy League 9 13 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% >99%
237 Canisius Metro Atlantic 10 14 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 98%
238 Sam Houston St. Southland 12 12 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 7% 92%
239 Cal Poly Big West 7 14 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 99%
240 Rutgers Big 10 6 18 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% >99%
241 Northern Kentucky Horizon 9 14 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 99%
242 Charlotte Conference USA 8 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 2% 98%
243 St. Francis (PA) Northeast 12 11 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 17% 83%
244 Samford Southern 11 14 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 99%
245 Sacramento St. Big Sky 10 11 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 97%
246 Austin Peay Ohio Valley 11 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 99%
247 Rider Metro Atlantic 10 14 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 98%
248 La Salle Atlantic 10 5 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% >99%
249 Norfolk St. Mideastern 10 13 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 15% 85%
250 Georgia Southern Sunbelt 9 12 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 99%
251 Tulane American Athletic Am. Athletic 7 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% >99%
252 San Diego West Coast 8 14 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 99%
253 Idaho St. Big Sky 11 11 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 6% 94%
254 Western Carolina Southern 9 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 99%
255 Montana St. Big Sky 10 13 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 4% 96%
256 South Alabama Sunbelt 9 14 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 99%
257 FIU Conference USA 11 13 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 99%
258 Youngstown St. Horizon 9 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 99%
259 Western Illinois Summit 8 13 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 99%
260 CSU Fullerton Big West 9 13 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 99%
261 Pennsylvania Penn. Ivy League 8 11 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% >99%
262 St. Peter's Metro Atlantic 8 13 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 98%
263 Santa Clara West Coast 8 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% >99%
264 South Florida American Athletic Am. Athletic 5 19 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% >99%
265 N.C. Greensboro Southern 9 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 98%
266 Pacific West Coast 7 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 99%
267 Texas St. (SM) Sunbelt 9 11 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% >99%
268 Liberty Big South 11 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 4% 96%
269 Utah Valley WAC 10 14 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 6% 94%
270 CSU Northridge Big West 8 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 99%
271 Citadel Southern 10 14 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 99%
272 Lehigh Patriot League 8 14 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 5% 95%
273 UMKC WAC 9 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 4% 96%
274 Appalachian St. App. St. Sunbelt 6 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
275 Delaware Colonial Athletic 5 18 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% >99%
276 Mount St. Mary's Northeast 10 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 11% 89%
277 MD Eastern Shore Mideastern 8 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 8% 92%
278 Loyola-MD Patriot League 8 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 5% 95%
279 Alcorn St. Southwestern SWAC 9 12 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 11% 89%
280 Quinnipiac Metro Atlantic 8 13 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 1% 99%
281 Cleveland St. Horizon 7 18 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% >99%
282 North Texas Conference USA 9 14 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 1% 99%
283 San Jose St. Mountain West Mntn West 7 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
284 Rice Conference USA 8 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% >99%
285 Holy Cross Patriot League 9 14 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 98%
286 Charleston Southern Big South 8 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 98%
287 Kennesaw St. Atlantic Sun 7 18 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 2% 98%
288 Brown Ivy League 7 13 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% >99%
289 LIU-Brooklyn Northeast 11 12 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 6% 94%
290 Howard Mideastern 9 13 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 5% 95%
291 UMass-Lowell America East 8 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
292 Stetson Atlantic Sun 9 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 2% 98%
293 Portland St. Big Sky 8 13 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 1% 99%
294 Lipscomb Atlantic Sun 8 18 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 2% 98%
295 American Patriot League 7 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 2% 98%
296 Dartmouth Ivy League 7 13 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% >99%
297 Drake Missouri Valley 6 18 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% >99%
298 St. Francis (NY) Northeast 10 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 6% 94%
299 Troy Sunbelt 7 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% >99%
300 Bethune-Cookman Mideastern 9 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 6% 94%
301 Savannah St. Mideastern 8 13 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 4% 96%
302 Alabama A&M Southwestern SWAC 8 11 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 7% 93%
303 New Orleans Southland 8 13 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 2% 98%
304 Drexel Colonial Athletic 3 20 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% >99%
305 Northern Colorado Big Sky 8 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 1% 99%
306 Abilene Christian Southland 10 13 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
307 Bradley Missouri Valley 4 21 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% >99%
308 Maine America East 8 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 1% 99%
309 Florida Atlantic Conference USA 6 18 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% >99%
310 Southern Miss Conference USA 7 14 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% >99%
311 Presbyterian Big South 8 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 1% 99%
312 Alabama St. Southwestern SWAC 7 14 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 5% 95%
313 Lamar Southland 10 13 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
314 Jacksonville St. Ohio Valley 8 18 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% >99%
315 VMI Southern 6 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% >99%
316 Niagara Metro Atlantic 6 18 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% >99%
317 Nicholls St. Southland 6 18 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 1% 99%
318 Campbell Big South 8 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 1% 99%
319 Bryant Northeast 8 17 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 2% 98%
320 Longwood Big South 8 17 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 1% 99%
321 Central Arkansas Southland 4 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
322 AR Pine Bluff Southwestern SWAC 5 19 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
323 N.C. Central Mideastern 8 14 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 3% 97%
324 Sacred Heart Northeast 7 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 3% 97%
325 N.C. A&T Mideastern 7 17 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 2% 98%
326 Coppin St. Mideastern 4 17 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 2% 98%
327 SIU Edwardsville SIU Ed.ville Ohio Valley 4 19 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% >99%
328 S. Carolina Upstate Atlantic Sun 8 18 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% >99%
329 Hartford America East 7 17 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% >99%
330 McNeese St. Southland 5 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 1% 99%
331 Northwestern St. N. Western St. Southland 6 14 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 1% 99%
332 UMBC America East 6 18 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% >99%
333 Binghamton America East 5 18 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% >99%
334 Robert Morris Northeast 7 18 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 2% 98%
335 SE Louisiana Southland 5 17 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 1% 99%
336 Lafayette Patriot League 5 17 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% >99%
337 UT-Rio Grande Valley WAC 6 18 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 1% 99%
338 SE Missouri St. Ohio Valley 5 19 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% >99%
339 Northern Arizona Big Sky 4 18 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% >99%
340 Southern Utah Big Sky 5 17 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% >99%
341 Chicago St. WAC 4 21 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 1% 99%
342 Marist Metro Atlantic 4 17 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% >99%
343 Grambling Southwestern SWAC 5 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 2% 98%
344 Morgan St. Mideastern 5 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 1% 99%
345 Miss. Valley St. Southwestern SWAC 4 20 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 2% 98%
346 Delaware St. Mideastern 4 18 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 1% 99%
347 Ill. Chicago Horizon 3 19 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% >99%
348 Florida A&M Mideastern 6 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
349 Texas-San Antonio Conference USA 4 20 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% >99%
350 Prairie View A&M Southwestern SWAC 2 20 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% >99%
351 Central Conn. St. Northeast 3 20 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% >99%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this spot - ties of future unplayed games are not considered
  • X means the team cannot win this spot - ties of future unplayed games are not considered
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot