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NCAA Basketball Tournament Seedings Probabilities

Where will your team be seeded in the NCAA Tournament? The NCAA Basketball Tournament Seedings Probabilities table present the probability that a team obtains different seedings. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Note the cutline between ranked teams 46 and 47. Teams above this line should receive a NCAA Tournament invitaiton based upon thier rank. Teams below this line will receive a tournament invitation ONLY if they obtain an automatic bid by winning their conference tournament.

Note that this list will not be updated after the individual conference tournaments


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NCAA Basketball Tournament Seedings Probabilities

Rank Team Conference Record  NCAA Tournament Seedings
W L 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Tourn.
1 Kentucky SEC 30 0 >99% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
2 Virginia ACC 28 1 96% 4% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
3 Villanova Big East 28 2 85% 15% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
4 Duke ACC 26 3 63% 37% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
5 Wisconsin Big 10 26 3 38% 62% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
6 Kansas Big 12 24 6 13% 86% 1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
7 Arizona PAC 12 26 3 5% 86% 8% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
8 Gonzaga West Coast 29 2 <1% 58% 41% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
9 Maryland Big 10 25 5 <1% 27% 66% 7% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
10 Louisville ACC 23 6 <1% 12% 53% 24% 9% 1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
11 Baylor Big 12 22 8 X 3% 38% 44% 12% 3% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
12 Iowa St. Big 12 21 8 X 2% 33% 38% 20% 7% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
13 Notre Dame ACC 24 5 <1% 5% 34% 28% 21% 10% 2% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
14 North Carolina ACC 21 9 X <1% 16% 35% 33% 15% 1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
15 Arkansas SEC 23 6 X <1% 20% 29% 26% 19% 6% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
16 Wichita St. Missouri Valley 26 3 X <1% 15% 33% 32% 17% 3% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
17 Northern Iowa Missouri Valley 27 3 X <1% 11% 38% 34% 16% 2% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
18 West Virginia Big 12 22 8 X <1% 13% 28% 37% 19% 2% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
19 Oklahoma Big 12 20 9 X <1% 14% 25% 32% 26% 2% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
20 Utah PAC 12 22 6 X <1% 18% 23% 24% 21% 9% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
21 Georgetown Big East 19 8 X <1% 12% 20% 32% 27% 9% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
22 Providence Big East 20 9 X <1% 3% 12% 24% 32% 20% 7% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
23 Butler Big East 20 9 X <1% 2% 7% 12% 30% 27% 18% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
24 VCU Atlantic 10 21 8 X X <1% 1% 8% 21% 32% 22% 12% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
25 St. John's Big East 20 9 X <1% 1% 2% 7% 20% 24% 27% 9% 8% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
26 Southern Methodist American Athletic 23 6 X X <1% <1% 9% 17% 31% 21% 14% 7% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
27 LSU SEC 21 8 X X <1% 2% 5% 13% 26% 18% 18% 9% 5% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
28 Iowa Big 10 20 10 X X <1% 1% 5% 11% 24% 26% 19% 8% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
29 Dayton Atlantic 10 23 6 X X <1% <1% 4% 13% 23% 27% 17% 9% 6% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
30 Ohio St. Big 10 21 8 X <1% <1% 2% 4% 9% 21% 21% 19% 12% 7% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
31 Oregon PAC 12 22 8 X X <1% <1% 3% 9% 20% 24% 22% 13% 8% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
32 Michigan St. Big 10 19 10 X X <1% 1% 3% 10% 20% 20% 15% 14% 8% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% 6%
33 Georgia SEC 19 10 X X <1% <1% 2% 6% 16% 20% 24% 16% 9% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4%
34 Texas A&M SEC 20 9 X X X <1% 1% 4% 13% 16% 22% 24% 10% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% 6%
35 Texas Big 12 18 12 X X <1% <1% <1% 3% 7% 17% 27% 23% 13% 6% <1% <1% <1% <1% 5%
36 Colorado St. Mountain West 23 5 X X X <1% <1% 4% 13% 14% 17% 16% 14% 6% <1% <1% <1% <1% 16%
37 Oklahoma St. Big 12 17 11 X X <1% <1% 1% 3% 8% 13% 17% 17% 18% 7% <1% <1% <1% <1% 15%
38 Ole Miss SEC 20 10 X X X X <1% 1% 5% 11% 17% 26% 19% 6% <1% <1% <1% <1% 14%
39 Davidson Atlantic 10 21 6 X X <1% <1% <1% 6% 8% 11% 13% 14% 16% 7% <1% <1% <1% <1% 24%
40 San Diego St. Mountain West 22 7 X X X <1% <1% 1% 8% 8% 13% 20% 20% 8% <1% <1% <1% <1% 22%
41 N.C. State ACC 18 12 X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 8% 16% 19% 22% 10% <1% <1% <1% <1% 20%
42 Indiana Big 10 19 11 X X X <1% <1% 2% 4% 7% 15% 13% 22% 10% <1% <1% <1% <1% 26%
43 Purdue Big 10 19 10 X X X <1% <1% 1% 4% 9% 13% 18% 18% 11% <1% <1% <1% <1% 26%
44 BYU West Coast 22 8 X X X X X <1% <1% 7% 12% 19% 24% 14% <1% <1% <1% <1% 23%
45 Xavier Big East 18 12 X X X X X <1% 2% 4% 8% 17% 30% 11% <1% <1% <1% <1% 27%
46 Boise St. Mountain West 22 7 X X X X <1% <1% 1% 8% 9% 11% 15% 9% <1% <1% <1% <1% 46%
Cutline - Click Here to View 83 Line Movers
47 Pittsburgh ACC 19 11 X X X X <1% <1% 1% 2% 3% 6% 12% 8% <1% <1% <1% <1% 68%
48 Stanford PAC 12 18 10 X X X X <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 6% 11% 7% <1% <1% <1% <1% 69%
49 Syracuse ACC 18 12 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
50 Tulsa American Athletic 21 7 X X X X X <1% <1% 2% 3% 7% 11% 11% <1% <1% <1% <1% 65%
51 Illinois Big 10 18 11 X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 3% 8% 10% 7% <1% <1% <1% <1% 69%
52 UCLA PAC 12 18 12 X X X X X <1% <1% 1% 3% 3% 7% 10% <1% <1% <1% <1% 77%
53 Temple American Athletic 20 9 X X X X X <1% <1% <1% 3% 5% 7% 9% <1% <1% <1% <1% 75%
54 Old Dominion Conference USA 22 6 X X X X X X <1% <1% 1% 6% 10% 10% 1% <1% <1% <1% 71%
55 St. Mary's West Coast 21 8 X X X X X X <1% <1% 1% 6% 7% 7% <1% <1% <1% <1% 80%
56 Miami ACC 18 11 X X X X X <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 5% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% 83%
57 Rhode Island Atlantic 10 20 8 X X X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 5% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% 83%
58 Cincinnati American Athletic 20 9 X X X X X X <1% <1% 2% 3% 5% 9% 1% <1% <1% <1% 80%
59 Stephen F. Austin Southland 25 4 X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 8% 29% 14% <1% <1% <1% 48%
60 Murray St. Ohio Valley 26 4 X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 36% 15% <1% <1% <1% 49%
61 Valparaiso Horizon 26 5 X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 24% 18% <1% <1% <1% 58%
62 Wofford Southern 25 6 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 25% 20% <1% <1% <1% 54%
63 Seton Hall Big East 16 12 X X X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 3% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% 92%
64 Green Bay Horizon 23 7 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 10% 27% <1% <1% <1% 63%
65 Minnesota Big 10 17 12 X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 97%
66 Kansas St. Big 12 15 15 X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 98%
67 Clemson ACC 16 13 X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 99%
68 TCU Big 12 17 12 X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 98%
69 Louisiana Tech Conference USA 23 7 X X X X X X X X X X <1% 7% 17% <1% <1% <1% 75%
70 Buffalo MAC 20 9 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 6% 18% 1% <1% <1% 75%
71 UC Davis Big West 22 5 X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 9% 26% 2% <1% <1% 62%
72 Florida SEC 15 15 X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 99%
73 Alabama SEC 17 13 X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 99%
74 Iona Metro Atlantic 24 7 X X X X X X X X X X X 3% 34% 5% <1% <1% 58%
75 Vanderbilt SEC 17 12 X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 98%
76 Connecticut American Athletic 17 11 X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% 4% 4% <1% <1% <1% 92%
77 Geo. Washington Atlantic 10 18 11 X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% 95%
78 Massachusetts Atlantic 10 17 12 X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% 3% 3% <1% <1% <1% 94%
79 Harvard Ivy League 20 6 X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 49% 17% <1% <1% 32%
80 Richmond Atlantic 10 17 12 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 2% 4% <1% <1% <1% 94%
81 California PAC 12 17 12 X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% 98%
82 South Carolina SEC 14 13 X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 99%
83 Tennessee SEC 14 14 X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 99%
84 Oregon St. PAC 12 17 12 X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% 98%
85 UTEP Conference USA 19 9 X X X X X X X X X X X 2% 15% 3% <1% <1% 81%
86 Michigan Big 10 14 15 X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 99%
87 Yale Ivy League 20 8 X X X X X X X X X X X 1% 22% 10% <1% <1% 68%
88 Arizona St. PAC 12 15 14 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% 98%
89 Central Michigan MAC 21 6 X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 17% 9% <1% <1% 74%
90 Illinois St. Missouri Valley 19 11 X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 5% 1% <1% <1% 94%
91 Wyoming Mountain West 21 8 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 2% 7% 1% <1% <1% 90%
92 Toledo MAC 19 11 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 10% 6% <1% <1% 84%
93 Northwestern Big 10 15 15 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 99%
94 Florida St. ACC 15 15 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
95 Penn State Big 10 15 14 X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
96 Memphis American Athletic 17 12 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 4% 1% <1% <1% 94%
97 Wake Forest ACC 13 16 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
98 Kent State MAC 20 10 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 7% 7% <1% <1% 86%
99 UNLV Mountain West 16 13 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 3% 2% <1% <1% 95%
100 Washington PAC 12 14 13 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1% 99%
101 High Point Big South 22 8 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 6% 20% <1% <1% 74%
102 Sam Houston St. Southland 23 6 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 8% 20% 2% <1% 70%
103 Nebraska Big 10 13 15 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
104 Evansville Missouri Valley 19 11 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 2% <1% <1% 96%
105 Bowling Green MAC 19 9 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 5% 5% <1% <1% 90%
106 Chattanooga Southern 22 9 X X X X X X X X X X X X 4% 22% 1% <1% 73%
107 Colorado PAC 12 13 15 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% <1% <1% <1% 99%
108 N.C. Central Mideastern 22 6 X X X X X X X X X X X X 3% 33% 7% <1% 57%
109 La Salle Atlantic 10 15 14 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 1% <1% <1% 98%
110 Georgia St. Sunbelt 20 9 X X X X X X X X X X X X 3% 24% 7% <1% 67%
111 Utah St. Mountain West 18 10 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 3% 4% <1% <1% 93%
112 Creighton Big East 12 17 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
113 Eastern Washington Big Sky 21 8 X X X X X X X X X X X X 3% 22% 5% <1% 71%
114 Northeastern Colonial Athletic 20 11 X X X X X X X X X X X X 1% 20% 6% <1% 73%
115 Pepperdine West Coast 17 12 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 3% <1% <1% 96%
116 Texas Tech Big 12 13 17 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
117 St. Bonaventure Atlantic 10 15 12 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 1% <1% <1% 98%
118 Western Kentucky Conference USA 18 10 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 3% 6% <1% <1% 91%
119 UC Irvine Big West 17 11 X X X X X X X X X X X X 2% 11% 2% <1% 85%
120 Georgia Tech ACC 12 18 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
121 Albany America East 21 8 X X X X X X X X X X X X 1% 22% 20% <1% 57%
122 Marquette Big East 11 17 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 99%
123 South Dakota St. Summit 21 9 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 18% 15% <1% 66%
124 Loyola-Chicago Missouri Valley 18 12 X X X X X X X X X X X X 1% 3% <1% <1% 96%
125 Hawaii Big West 19 10 X X X X X X X X X X X X 1% 9% 3% <1% 87%
126 Fla Gulf Coast Atlantic Sun 22 9 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 10% 26% 2% 63%
127 DePaul Big East 12 18 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
128 Rider Metro Atlantic 21 10 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 8% 13% 1% 79%
129 Long Beach St. Big West 14 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 7% 3% <1% 89%
130 UCSB Big West 15 12 X X X X X X X X X X X X 1% 8% 4% <1% 87%
131 Western Michigan MAC 17 12 X X X X X X X X X X X X 1% 2% <1% <1% 97%
132 William & Mary Colonial Athletic 17 11 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 7% 12% 1% 81%
133 James Madison Colonial Athletic 19 12 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 4% 11% 1% 84%
134 New Mexico St. WAC 18 10 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 4% 34% 18% 44%
135 Georgia Southern Sunbelt 20 7 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 8% 14% 2% 75%
136 Stony Brook America East 21 10 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 4% 19% 4% 73%
137 San Diego West Coast 15 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 1% <1% 97%
138 Washington St. PAC 12 12 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 99%
139 Auburn SEC 12 18 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
140 Boston College ACC 11 18 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
141 Radford Big South 21 10 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 3% 13% 2% 82%
142 Portland West Coast 16 14 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 1% <1% 98%
143 UAB Conference USA 16 13 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 3% 5% 1% 91%
144 Sacramento St. Big Sky 19 8 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 4% 15% 6% 74%
145 Cleveland St. Horizon 17 13 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 5% <1% 93%
146 Belmont Ohio Valley 19 10 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 14% 5% 80%
147 Akron MAC 17 12 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 1% <1% 97%
148 Oakland Horizon 16 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 7% 1% 91%
149 Coastal Carolina Big South 21 9 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 12% 5% 83%
150 North Dakota St. Summit 19 10 X X X X X X X X X X X X X 1% 12% 8% 79%
151 Charleston Southern Big South 19 10 X X X X X X X X X X X X X 1% 12% 7% 80%
152 Eastern Kentucky Ohio Valley 19 10 X X X X X X X X X X X X X 1% 8% 2% 89%
153 Bucknell Patriot League 18 13 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 10% 13% 77%
154 St. Francis (NY) Northeast 21 10 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 9% 24% 67%
155 Lafayette Patriot League 17 12 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 7% 11% 81%
156 Texas Southern Southwestern 17 12 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 8% 34% 58%
157 N.C. Wilmington Colonial Athletic 17 12 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 8% 8% 84%
158 Rutgers Big 10 10 20 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
159 New Mexico Mountain West 14 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 1% <1% 98%
160 Eastern Michigan MAC 18 12 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 1% <1% 98%
161 Mississippi St. SEC 12 17 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
162 LA Monroe Sunbelt 19 10 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 8% 12% 80%
163 Tulane American Athletic 14 14 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 1% <1% 98%
164 Hofstra Colonial Athletic 19 12 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 4% 8% 88%
165 Indiana St. Missouri Valley 15 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 1% 98%
166 Middle Tenn. Conference USA 15 13 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 2% 1% 96%
167 North Florida Atlantic Sun 20 11 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 3% 34% 63%
168 Tenn-Martin Ohio Valley 18 11 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 3% 5% 91%
169 Incarnate Word Southland 17 9 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
170 Missouri SEC 9 21 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% >99%
171 USC PAC 12 11 18 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% >99%
172 Lehigh Patriot League 15 13 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 14% 83%
173 St. Joseph's Atlantic 10 12 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% 99%
174 Montana Big Sky 17 11 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 14% 84%
175 Northwestern St. Southland 16 10 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 7% 91%
176 Oral Roberts Summit 17 13 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 1% 15% 84%
177 Gardner-Webb Big South 18 13 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 5% 93%
178 Texas Arlington Sunbelt 16 12 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 5% 93%
179 Santa Clara West Coast 13 17 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% 99%
180 Norfolk St. Mideastern 18 12 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 1% 19% 80%
181 Fresno St. Mountain West 13 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 1% 98%
182 S. Carolina Upstate Atlantic Sun 22 10 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 18% 81%
183 Eastern Illinois Ohio Valley 16 13 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 4% 95%
184 San Francisco West Coast 13 17 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 99%
185 New Jersey Tech Independent 17 11 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
186 Canisius Metro Atlantic 16 13 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 8% 92%
187 Mercer Southern 17 13 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 10% 90%
188 MD Eastern Shore Mideastern 17 13 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 18% 81%
189 Northern Illinois MAC 13 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% 99%
190 Manhattan Metro Atlantic 16 13 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 10% 89%
191 Charlotte Conference USA 13 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 1% 98%
192 Columbia Ivy League 13 13 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
193 Virginia Tech ACC 10 20 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% >99%
194 Cal Poly Big West 13 14 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 4% 95%
195 LA Lafayette Sunbelt 17 12 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 8% 91%
196 American Patriot League 15 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 10% 90%
197 Monmouth Metro Atlantic 17 14 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 7% 92%
198 E. Tennessee St. Southern 16 13 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 8% 92%
199 Robert Morris Northeast 16 14 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 21% 79%
200 North Texas Conference USA 14 14 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 2% 98%
201 Detroit Horizon 15 17 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 3% 97%
202 Mount St. Mary's Northeast 15 14 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 13% 87%
203 Northern Arizona Big Sky 16 13 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 11% 88%
204 New Hampshire America East 18 11 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 10% 90%
205 Wis. Milwaukee Horizon 14 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
206 Vermont America East 17 12 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 16% 84%
207 UC Riverside Big West 14 14 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 4% 95%
208 Colgate Patriot League 15 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 14% 86%
209 E. Carolina American Athletic 13 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 99%
210 Texas A&M C.C. Southland 16 12 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 7% 93%
211 Winthrop Big South 17 12 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 8% 92%
212 Princeton Ivy League 13 14 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
213 Bryant Northeast 15 14 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 14% 86%
214 UCF American Athletic 12 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 99%
215 Holy Cross Patriot League 13 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 7% 93%
216 IPFW Summit 16 13 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 10% 90%
217 Air Force Mountain West 13 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 99%
218 Quinnipiac Metro Atlantic 15 14 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 5% 95%
219 George Mason Atlantic 10 9 19 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% >99%
220 Miami OH MAC 13 17 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 99%
221 Pacific West Coast 12 17 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% >99%
222 St. Francis (PA) Northeast 15 14 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 9% 91%
223 Duquesne Atlantic 10 10 17 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% >99%
224 Cornell Ivy League 13 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
225 Texas-San Antonio Conference USA 13 14 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 98%
226 Fordham Atlantic 10 9 18 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% >99%
227 Alabama St. Southwestern 16 9 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 23% 77%
228 Boston U. Patriot League 13 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 6% 94%
229 Saint Louis Atlantic 10 11 18 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% >99%
230 South Dakota Summit 16 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 8% 92%
231 Dartmouth Ivy League 12 14 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
232 Portland St. Big Sky 14 12 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 6% 94%
233 Missouri St. Missouri Valley 10 19 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% >99%
234 Morehead St. Ohio Valley 15 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 2% 98%
235 Army Patriot League 14 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
236 Lamar Southland 15 14 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
237 Western Carolina Southern 14 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 4% 96%
238 Brown Ivy League 13 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
239 Loyola Marymount West Coast 8 22 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% >99%
240 Grand Canyon WAC 16 14 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
241 Houston American Athletic 10 18 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% >99%
242 Idaho Big Sky 13 14 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 5% 95%
243 Denver Summit 12 17 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 6% 94%
244 Delaware St. Mideastern 14 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 5% 95%
245 FIU Conference USA 13 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 1% 99%
246 Ohio MAC 9 19 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% >99%
247 Sacred Heart Northeast 14 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 6% 94%
248 St. Peter's Metro Atlantic 14 17 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 3% 97%
249 Texas St. (SM) Sunbelt 13 14 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 2% 98%
250 N.C. Asheville Big South 14 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 3% 97%
251 Howard Mideastern 16 14 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 8% 92%
252 Northern Colorado Big Sky 14 14 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 4% 96%
253 Navy Patriot League 12 18 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 4% 96%
254 Hartford America East 14 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 4% 96%
255 Elon Colonial Athletic 14 17 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 2% 98%
256 Drake Missouri Valley 9 21 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% >99%
257 Drexel Colonial Athletic 11 18 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 2% 98%
258 Seattle WAC 14 13 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 13% 87%
259 UALR Sunbelt 13 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 2% 98%
260 Southern Southwestern 15 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 12% 88%
261 SE Missouri St. Ohio Valley 13 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 1% 99%
262 Northern Kentucky Atlantic Sun 13 17 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
263 South Florida American Athletic 8 21 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% >99%
264 McNeese St. Southland 13 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 1% 99%
265 Marshall Conference USA 11 18 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% >99%
266 Prairie View A&M Southwestern 13 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 11% 89%
267 Rice Conference USA 10 17 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% >99%
268 Weber St. Big Sky 12 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 2% 98%
269 Southern Illinois Missouri Valley 11 20 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% >99%
270 Loyola-MD Patriot League 11 19 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
271 Lipscomb Atlantic Sun 14 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 7% 93%
272 Samford Southern 13 18 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 1% 99%
273 SIU Edwardsville Ohio Valley 12 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 1% 99%
274 LIU-Brooklyn Northeast 12 17 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 3% 97%
275 Delaware Colonial Athletic 10 19 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 3% 97%
276 Wright St. Horizon 11 20 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
277 Arkansas St. Sunbelt 11 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 1% 99%
278 VMI Southern 11 17 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 2% 98%
279 Nevada Mountain West 9 19 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% >99%
280 IUPUI Summit 10 20 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 4% 96%
281 UMKC WAC 13 17 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 12% 88%
282 UMass-Lowell America East 12 17 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
283 Towson Colonial Athletic 12 19 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 1% 99%
284 Appalachian St. Sunbelt 10 17 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
285 Tennessee Tech Ohio Valley 12 18 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
286 Nebraska Omaha Summit 12 17 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
287 Southern Miss Conference USA 9 19 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% >99%
288 CSU Northridge Big West 9 22 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 1% 99%
289 Bradley Missouri Valley 8 23 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% >99%
290 Hampton Mideastern 12 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 3% 97%
291 Siena Metro Atlantic 10 19 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 1% 99%
292 Pennsylvania Ivy League 7 18 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
293 Cal St. Bakersfield WAC 13 17 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 9% 91%
294 Youngstown St. Horizon 11 21 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
295 Houston Baptist Southland 11 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
296 Jacksonville St. Ohio Valley 12 19 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
297 Ball State MAC 7 21 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% >99%
298 CSU Fullerton Big West 9 20 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
299 Ill. Chicago Horizon 9 23 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% >99%
300 Charleston Colonial Athletic 8 23 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 1% 99%
301 Citadel Southern 11 18 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 1% 99%
302 AR Pine Bluff Southwestern 11 18 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 5% 95%
303 Wagner Northeast 10 19 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 2% 98%
304 Florida Atlantic Conference USA 8 19 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% >99%
305 Niagara Metro Atlantic 8 21 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% >99%
306 South Alabama Sunbelt 9 20 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% >99%
307 Utah Valley WAC 9 18 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 4% 96%
308 Troy Sunbelt 10 18 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
309 New Orleans Southland 9 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% >99%
310 SE Louisiana Southland 9 20 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% >99%
311 Southern Utah Big Sky 9 18 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% >99%
312 N.C. Greensboro Southern 10 21 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% >99%
313 Nicholls St. Southland 8 18 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% >99%
314 Campbell Big South 10 21 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% >99%
315 Presbyterian Big South 10 21 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 1% 99%
316 Furman Southern 8 21 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% >99%
317 Jackson St. Southwestern 10 19 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 4% 96%
318 S. Carolina St. Mideastern 10 20 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 1% 99%
319 Savannah St. Mideastern 8 20 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 1% 99%
320 Kennesaw St. Atlantic Sun 10 22 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
321 Western Illinois Summit 8 19 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 1% 99%
322 Austin Peay Ohio Valley 8 22 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
323 Fairfield Metro Atlantic 7 23 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% >99%
324 Abilene Christian Southland 9 19 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
325 Fair. Dickinson Northeast 8 21 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
326 North Dakota Big Sky 8 21 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
327 Longwood Big South 9 22 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% >99%
328 TX Pan American WAC 9 19 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 3% 97%
329 Chicago St. WAC 8 22 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 3% 97%
330 Coppin St. Mideastern 6 21 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% >99%
331 Montana St. Big Sky 7 22 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
332 Alabama A&M Southwestern 8 18 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 2% 98%
333 Jacksonville Atlantic Sun 10 22 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
334 Morgan St. Mideastern 7 22 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% >99%
335 N.C. A&T Mideastern 9 21 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% >99%
336 Stetson Atlantic Sun 9 21 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
337 Marist Metro Atlantic 6 24 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% >99%
338 Bethune-Cookman Mideastern 10 20 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% >99%
339 Binghamton America East 6 25 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% >99%
340 Liberty Big South 8 23 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% >99%
341 San Jose St. Mountain West 2 26 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
342 Miss. Valley St. Southwestern 6 24 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 1% 99%
343 Tennessee St. Ohio Valley 5 26 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
344 Idaho St. Big Sky 6 22 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
345 Central Conn. St. Northeast 5 26 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
346 Maine America East 3 26 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% >99%
347 UMBC America East 4 25 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% >99%
348 Alcorn St. Southwestern 4 22 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% >99%
349 Central Arkansas Southland 2 25 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
350 Grambling Southwestern 2 24 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% >99%
351 Florida A&M Mideastern 1 27 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this spot - ties of future unplayed games are not considered
  • X means the team cannot win this spot - ties of future unplayed games are not considered
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot