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Fri Feb 6 1:30 am

NCAA Basketball - Week 14 of 18

NCAA Basketball Tournament Performance Probabilities

How far is your team going to proceed into the college basketball tournament? The NCAA Basketball Tournament Performance Probabilities table presents the probabilities that your college team will proceed to different tournament rounds. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths. Click a team name to proceed to the team playoff picture page.

NCAA Basketball Tournament Performance Probabilities
Team ConferenceConf Record WPi
Win Percentage
NPIi
NCAA Power Index
NCAA Basketball
National Champions
Championship Game
Participate
Final Four Elite Eight Sweet Sixteen Round 2 Round 1
W L
Arizona Big 12Big 12 22 0 100 .7218 12% 20% 31% 48% 69% 95% 100%
Michigan Big 10Big 10 21 1 95 .6923 11% 20% 31% 49% 70% 95% >99%
Duke ACCACC 21 1 95 .7007 9% 17% 27% 44% 67% 94% 100%
UConn Big EastBig East 22 1 96 .6779 8% 15% 25% 42% 65% 94% >99%
Nebraska Big 10Big 10 20 2 91 .6643 5% 10% 18% 34% 58% 90% >99%
Illinois Big 10Big 10 20 3 87 .6581 5% 9% 17% 33% 57% 89% >99%
Houston Big 12Big 12 20 2 91 .6528 4% 9% 16% 31% 55% 87% >99%
Iowa St. Big 12Big 12 20 2 91 .6663 3% 7% 14% 28% 52% 87% >99%
Kansas Big 12Big 12 17 5 77 .6350 3% 6% 13% 25% 48% 81% >99%
Gonzaga West CoastWest Coast 22 2 92 .6413 3% 6% 12% 25% 48% 81% >99%
Purdue Big 10Big 10 18 4 82 .6348 3% 6% 12% 24% 46% 78% >99%
Michigan St. Big 10Big 10 19 4 83 .6280 3% 6% 12% 23% 45% 77% >99%
Vanderbilt SECSEC 18 3 86 .6289 2% 5% 11% 22% 43% 75% 99%
Saint Louis Atlantic 10Atl. 10 22 1 96 .6312 2% 5% 10% 20% 42% 75% >99%
Virginia ACCACC 19 3 86 .6215 2% 4% 9% 18% 37% 69% 98%
Texas Tech Big 12Big 12 16 6 73 .6229 2% 4% 8% 18% 37% 70% 99%
North Carolina ACCACC 18 4 82 .6182 2% 4% 8% 17% 35% 67% 98%
UCF Big 12Big 12 17 5 77 .6135 2% 3% 7% 15% 32% 62% 96%
BYU Big 12Big 12 17 5 77 .6153 1% 3% 7% 15% 31% 62% 94%
St. Mary's West CoastWest Coast 20 3 87 .6102 1% 3% 6% 14% 31% 63% 98%
Utah St. Mountain WestMntn West 19 3 86 .6154 1% 3% 6% 14% 30% 62% 96%
Clemson ACCACC 19 4 83 .6108 1% 3% 6% 13% 29% 59% 94%
St. John's Big EastBig East 17 5 77 .6002 1% 3% 6% 12% 25% 53% 88%
Miami OH MACMAC 23 0 100 .6229 1% 2% 5% 13% 31% 64% 99%
Florida SECSEC 16 6 73 .6049 1% 2% 5% 11% 24% 51% 86%
Alabama SECSEC 14 7 67 .6033 1% 2% 5% 10% 22% 49% 83%
Villanova Big EastBig East 17 5 77 .5973 1% 2% 5% 10% 21% 47% 82%
Tennessee SECSEC 16 6 73 .6003 1% 2% 4% 9% 20% 46% 82%
Arkansas SECSEC 16 6 73 .5969 1% 2% 4% 9% 19% 43% 77%
Louisville ACCACC 16 6 73 .5964 1% 1% 4% 8% 18% 42% 75%
Iowa Big 10Big 10 17 5 77 .5981 1% 1% 3% 7% 17% 40% 72%
George Mason Atlantic 10Atl. 10 20 3 87 .5926 <1% 1% 3% 7% 16% 40% 77%
N.C. State ACCACC 17 6 74 .5904 <1% 1% 3% 7% 16% 37% 69%
Belmont Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 21 3 88 .5881 <1% 1% 3% 6% 15% 38% 77%
Tulsa American AthleticAm. Athletic 20 3 87 .5890 <1% 1% 2% 6% 14% 37% 74%
Wisconsin Big 10Big 10 16 6 73 .5885 <1% 1% 2% 5% 12% 29% 56%
SMU ACCACC 15 7 68 .5850 <1% 1% 2% 5% 12% 29% 55%
USC Big 10Big 10 17 6 74 .5862 <1% 1% 2% 5% 11% 28% 54%
Auburn SECSEC 14 8 64 .5844 <1% 1% 2% 5% 11% 28% 53%
Texas A&M SECSEC 17 5 77 .5875 <1% 1% 2% 5% 11% 27% 53%
New Mexico Mountain WestMntn West 18 5 78 .5847 <1% 1% 2% 4% 10% 26% 54%
Kentucky SECSEC 16 7 70 .5828 <1% 1% 2% 4% 10% 26% 50%
Oklahoma St. Big 12Big 12 16 6 73 .5836 <1% 1% 2% 4% 9% 21% 43%
Virginia Tech ACCACC 16 7 70 .5772 <1% 1% 1% 4% 8% 19% 39%
Liberty Conference USAConf. USA 19 3 86 .5856 <1% <1% 1% 4% 10% 28% 64%
Santa Clara West CoastWest Coast 19 6 76 .5844 <1% <1% 1% 4% 10% 27% 58%
San Diego St. Mountain WestMntn West 16 6 73 .5804 <1% <1% 1% 4% 8% 21% 45%
Yale Ivy LeagueIvy League 16 4 80 .5769 <1% <1% 1% 3% 8% 25% 60%
Akron MACMAC 19 4 83 .5764 <1% <1% 1% 3% 7% 21% 47%
California ACCACC 17 6 74 .5815 <1% <1% 1% 3% 7% 19% 40%
VCU Atlantic 10Atl. 10 17 6 74 .5755 <1% <1% 1% 3% 7% 18% 38%
Miami ACCACC 17 5 77 .5750 <1% <1% 1% 3% 7% 17% 34%
Georgia SECSEC 16 6 73 .5751 <1% <1% 1% 3% 6% 15% 31%
Stephen F. Austin SouthlandSouth-land 20 3 87 .5736 <1% <1% 1% 2% 7% 20% 52%
McNeese SouthlandSouth-land 18 5 78 .5682 <1% <1% 1% 2% 5% 16% 43%
Ohio St. Big 10Big 10 15 7 68 .5685 <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 11% 23%
Seton Hall Big EastBig East 16 7 70 .5701 <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 11% 22%
UCLA Big 10Big 10 16 7 70 .5689 <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 10% 21%
Indiana Big 10Big 10 15 8 65 .5686 <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 10% 20%
UNC Wilmington CoastalCoastal 19 4 83 .5633 <1% <1% 1% 1% 4% 12% 31%
California Baptist WACWAC 17 6 74 .5567 <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 12% 37%
Long Island U. NortheastNorth East 15 8 65 .5250 <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 12% 66%
High Point Big SouthBig South 21 4 84 .5531 <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 12% 39%
Tenn-MartinTN-Martin Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 19 5 79 .5412 <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 9% 37%
North Dakota St. SummitSummit 19 6 76 .5369 <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 9% 35%
Utah Valley WACWAC 17 6 74 .5521 <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 9% 30%
Austin Peay Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 16 6 73 .5391 <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 8% 32%
Kent State MACMAC 17 6 74 .5628 <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 8% 20%
Missouri SECSEC 15 7 68 .5660 <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 8% 18%
Murray State Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 17 7 71 .5546 <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 7% 20%
Nevada Mountain WestMntn West 15 7 68 .5621 <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 7% 17%
Winthrop Big SouthBig South 17 8 68 .5360 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 7% 31%
Troy SunbeltSunbelt 16 8 67 .5369 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 7% 28%
UC Irvine Big WestBig West 16 7 70 .5365 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 7% 26%
Hawai'i Big WestBig West 16 5 76 .5426 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 7% 25%
South Florida American AthleticAm. Athletic 15 8 65 .5496 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 6% 17%
Grand Canyon Mountain WestMntn West 15 7 68 .5538 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 11%
Stanford ACCACC 14 9 61 .5624 <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 4% 8%
Navy Patriot LeaguePatriot League 18 6 75 .5225 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 7% 40%
St. Thomas SummitSummit 18 7 72 .5434 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 7% 30%
Portland St. Big SkyBig Sky 15 6 71 .5294 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 6% 30%
Oakland HorizonHorizon 14 11 56 .5274 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 6% 26%
E. Tennessee St. SouthernSouthern 17 7 71 .5270 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 5% 26%
Lipscomb Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 15 9 63 .5231 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 5% 23%
Marshall SunbeltSunbelt 15 8 65 .5324 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 5% 20%
Sam Houston Conference USAConf. USA 16 7 70 .5415 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 5% 19%
Charleston CoastalCoastal 16 8 67 .5331 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 5% 18%
William & Mary CoastalCoastal 15 8 65 .5379 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 4% 14%
Wright St. HorizonHorizon 15 9 63 .5213 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 23%
Wofford SouthernSouthern 16 8 67 .5166 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 21%
Merrimack Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 15 9 63 .5276 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 18%
Siena Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 17 7 71 .5262 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 17%
Marist Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 16 7 70 .5269 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 17%
UT Arlington WACWAC 14 8 64 .5254 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 16%
Columbia Ivy LeagueIvy League 14 7 67 .5241 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 15%
Bethune-CookmanBethn-Ckmn SouthwesternSWAC 11 11 50 .4937 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 27%
Colgate Patriot LeaguePatriot League 14 10 58 .4972 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 26%
Furman SouthernSouthern 16 8 67 .5162 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 19%
Mercer SouthernSouthern 15 9 63 .5158 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 19%
Tennessee St. Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 15 8 65 .5123 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 19%
Appalachian St.App. St. SunbeltSunbelt 16 9 64 .5165 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 15%
Quinnipiac Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 16 9 64 .5240 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 15%
UCSB Big WestBig West 15 8 65 .5237 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 14%
South Alabama SunbeltSunbelt 16 7 70 .5220 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 13%
UC San Diego Big WestBig West 16 8 67 .5261 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 12%
Hofstra CoastalCoastal 15 9 63 .5323 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 12%
Bradley Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 16 8 67 .5294 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 11%
Illinois St. Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 15 8 65 .5340 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 11%
Boise St. Mountain WestMntn West 14 9 61 .5561 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 7%
West Virginia Big 12Big 12 15 8 65 .5541 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 6%
Montana St. Big SkyBig Sky 14 10 58 .5021 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 18%
Harvard Ivy LeagueIvy League 12 9 57 .5105 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 14%
Arkansas St. SunbeltSunbelt 14 10 58 .5200 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 11%
UC Davis Big WestBig West 14 9 61 .5167 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 11%
St. Peter's Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 13 8 62 .5094 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 11%
Iona Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 14 10 58 .5071 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 9%
Kennesaw St. Conference USAConf. USA 14 8 64 .5127 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 9%
Northern Iowa Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 14 9 61 .5248 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 8%
Florida Atlantic American AthleticAm. Athletic 14 10 58 .5263 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 7%
Temple American AthleticAm. Athletic 14 8 64 .5172 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 7%
Wichita St. American AthleticAm. Athletic 14 9 61 .5215 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 7%
Dayton Atlantic 10Atl. 10 15 8 65 .5402 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 6%
Howard MideasternMid-Eastern 14 9 61 .4815 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 33%
UMBC America EastAmerica East 14 8 64 .4881 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 28%
Vermont America EastAmerica East 14 10 58 .4890 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 28%
Queens U. Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 13 11 54 .4953 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 15%
Central Arkansas Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 13 10 57 .4949 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 14%
Fort Wayne HorizonHorizon 14 10 58 .5034 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 13%
Utah Tech WACWAC 14 11 56 .5035 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 11%
CSU Northridge Big WestBig West 14 10 58 .5096 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 9%
Memphis American AthleticAm. Athletic 11 11 50 .5119 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 6%
NJIT America EastAmerica East 12 12 50 .4758 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 22%
Central Conn. NortheastNorth East 12 10 55 .4785 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 19%
N.C. Central MideasternMid-Eastern 8 12 40 .4309 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 18%
American Patriot LeaguePatriot League 13 11 54 .4785 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 14%
AR Pine Bluff SouthwesternSWAC 9 13 41 .4679 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 14%
SE Missouri St. Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 14 10 58 .4930 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 13%
Alabama A&M SouthwesternSWAC 12 10 55 .4669 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 13%
Norfolk St. MideasternMid-Eastern 10 14 42 .4316 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 13%
Morgan St. MideasternMid-Eastern 9 13 41 .4274 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 13%
Lindenwood Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 15 10 60 .4968 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 12%
Northern Colorado Big SkyBig Sky 14 10 58 .4931 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 12%
Idaho Big SkyBig Sky 13 10 57 .4927 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 12%
Grambling SouthwesternSWAC 10 11 48 .4687 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 12%
MD Eastern Shore MideasternMid-Eastern 8 16 33 .4252 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 12%
Green Bay HorizonHorizon 13 12 52 .4994 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 11%
Montana Big SkyBig Sky 13 11 54 .4940 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 11%
Robert Morris HorizonHorizon 15 10 60 .5003 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 10%
SIU EdwardsvilleSIU Ed.ville Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 15 9 63 .4878 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 10%
North Dakota SummitSummit 14 12 54 .4794 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 10%
Fairfield Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 15 10 60 .5033 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 7%
Stony Brook CoastalCoastal 14 10 58 .5091 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 7%
Missouri St. Conference USAConf. USA 13 9 59 .4968 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 7%
PennsylvaniaPenn. Ivy LeagueIvy League 10 10 50 .4972 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 7%
Coastal Carolina SunbeltSunbelt 14 11 56 .5035 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6%
Northern Kentucky HorizonHorizon 14 11 56 .4914 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6%
Towson CoastalCoastal 13 11 54 .5130 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6%
Samford SouthernSouthern 12 12 50 .4751 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6%
Western Kentucky Conference USAConf. USA 12 11 52 .4966 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6%
Middle Tenn. Conference USAConf. USA 11 11 50 .4922 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6%
Dartmouth Ivy LeagueIvy League 10 10 50 .4844 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6%
UMass MACMAC 15 9 63 .5184 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5%
Tulane American AthleticAm. Athletic 13 8 62 .5175 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5%
UIC Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 13 11 54 .4993 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5%
Charlotte American AthleticAm. Athletic 12 10 55 .5049 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5%
Jacksonville StateJacksnvlle St. Conference USAConf. USA 12 10 55 .4870 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5%
Cornell Ivy LeagueIvy League 10 10 50 .4917 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5%
St. Joseph's Atlantic 10Atl. 10 15 8 65 .5317 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4%
Buffalo MACMAC 14 9 61 .5139 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4%
UAB American AthleticAm. Athletic 14 9 61 .5158 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4%
Davidson Atlantic 10Atl. 10 13 9 59 .5302 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4%
Elon CoastalCoastal 13 11 54 .4978 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4%
Ohio MACMAC 13 11 54 .5008 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4%
Toledo MACMAC 12 11 52 .5072 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4%
Bowling Green MACMAC 14 9 61 .5062 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3%
LSU SECSEC 14 8 64 .5447 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3%
Rhode Island Atlantic 10Atl. 10 13 9 59 .5291 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3%
Texas SECSEC 13 9 59 .5493 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3%
Pacific West CoastWest Coast 15 10 60 .5203 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2%
San Francisco West CoastWest Coast 14 10 58 .5209 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2%
Baylor Big 12Big 12 13 9 59 .5483 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2%
Butler Big EastBig East 13 10 57 .5367 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2%
Georgetown Big EastBig East 13 10 57 .5303 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2%
TCU Big 12Big 12 13 9 59 .5475 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2%
Wyoming Mountain WestMntn West 13 10 57 .5206 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2%
Colorado St. Mountain WestMntn West 12 10 55 .5168 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2%
Creighton Big EastBig East 12 11 52 .5339 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2%
New Hampshire America EastAmerica East 8 13 38 .4403 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 8%
S. Carolina St. MideasternMid-Eastern 6 16 27 .4054 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 8%
Radford Big SouthBig South 13 12 52 .4711 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 7%
South Dakota SummitSummit 13 12 52 .4678 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 7%
Southern SouthwesternSWAC 9 13 41 .4458 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 7%
Florida A&M SouthwesternSWAC 7 12 37 .4434 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 7%
Jackson St. SouthwesternSWAC 6 16 27 .4397 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 7%
Morehead St. Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 12 12 50 .4737 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 6%
Denver SummitSummit 11 14 44 .4601 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 6%
N.C. Asheville Big SouthBig South 11 13 46 .4668 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 6%
South Dakota St. SummitSummit 11 13 46 .4644 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 6%
Weber St. Big SkyBig Sky 11 13 46 .4621 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 6%
Stonehill NortheastNorth East 9 15 38 .4276 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 6%
UMass-LowellUMA-Lowell America EastAmerica East 9 15 38 .4320 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 6%
Longwood Big SouthBig South 13 12 52 .4625 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 5%
Nebraska Omaha SummitSummit 12 13 48 .4558 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 5%
PresbyterianPresbyter. Big SouthBig South 11 13 46 .4605 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 5%
Lehigh Patriot LeaguePatriot League 10 14 42 .4480 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 5%
Sacramento St. Big SkyBig Sky 9 13 41 .4552 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 5%
UT-Rio Grande Valley SouthlandSouth-land 12 11 52 .4908 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4%
Charleston Southern Big SouthBig South 11 13 46 .4568 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4%
Army Patriot LeaguePatriot League 10 14 42 .4468 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4%
Detroit HorizonHorizon 10 12 45 .4679 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4%
Fla Gulf Coast Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 10 14 42 .4620 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4%
New Orleans SouthlandSouth-land 10 13 43 .4886 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4%
S. Carolina Upstate Big SouthBig South 10 14 42 .4495 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4%
Prairie View A&M SouthwesternSWAC 9 13 41 .4309 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4%
Albany America EastAmerica East 8 16 33 .4225 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4%
Bucknell Patriot LeaguePatriot League 8 15 35 .4492 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4%
Fair. Dickinson NortheastNorth East 8 16 33 .4116 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4%
Alabama St. SouthwesternSWAC 7 15 32 .4357 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4%
Delaware St. MideasternMid-Eastern 6 15 29 .3964 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4%
Texas State SunbeltSunbelt 14 11 56 .4867 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
Drexel CoastalCoastal 12 12 50 .4839 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
Louisiana Tech Conference USAConf. USA 12 10 55 .4798 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
Monmouth CoastalCoastal 12 12 50 .4900 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
Texas A&M C.C. SouthlandSouth-land 12 11 52 .4801 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
Youngstown St. HorizonHorizon 12 12 50 .4694 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
CSU Fullerton Big WestBig West 11 13 46 .4828 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
Campbell CoastalCoastal 11 13 46 .4890 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
FIU Conference USAConf. USA 11 11 50 .4773 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
New Mexico St. Conference USAConf. USA 11 11 50 .4810 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
Tarleton St. WACWAC 11 12 48 .4739 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
Valparaiso Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 11 12 48 .4867 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
Bellarmine Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 10 13 43 .4561 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
ChattanoogaChattan. SouthernSouthern 10 14 42 .4529 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
Idaho St. Big SkyBig Sky 10 14 42 .4515 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
Nicholls St. SouthlandSouth-land 10 13 43 .4776 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
JacksonvilleJack.ville Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 9 15 38 .4544 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
Princeton Ivy LeagueIvy League 8 14 36 .4624 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
Wagner NortheastNorth East 8 13 38 .4147 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
Western Carolina SouthernSouthern 8 14 36 .4470 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
Bryant America EastAmerica East 7 16 30 .4158 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
St. Francis NortheastNorth East 6 16 27 .4086 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
Texas Southern SouthwesternSWAC 6 14 30 .4144 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
Duquesne Atlantic 10Atl. 10 13 10 57 .5127 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Geo. Washington Atlantic 10Atl. 10 13 10 57 .5110 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
St. BonaventureSt. Bonavnt Atlantic 10Atl. 10 13 10 57 .5168 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Drake Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 12 12 50 .4856 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Lamar SouthlandSouth-land 12 11 52 .4815 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Hampton CoastalCoastal 11 13 46 .4696 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Abilene Christian WACWAC 10 12 45 .4688 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Cleveland St. HorizonHorizon 10 14 42 .4551 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Mount St. Mary's Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 10 15 40 .4591 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Sacred Heart Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 10 15 40 .4613 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Southern Illinois Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 10 13 43 .4902 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Boston U. Patriot LeaguePatriot League 9 15 38 .4350 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Loyola-MD Patriot LeaguePatriot League 9 15 38 .4315 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
N.C. Greensboro SouthernSouthern 9 15 38 .4435 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Northern Arizona Big SkyBig Sky 9 15 38 .4297 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Wis. Milwaukee HorizonHorizon 9 16 36 .4550 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Eastern Kentucky Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 8 16 33 .4447 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Eastern Washington Big SkyBig Sky 6 17 26 .4284 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Maine America EastAmerica East 6 18 25 .4097 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Seattle West CoastWest Coast 15 9 63 .5227 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Colorado Big 12Big 12 13 10 57 .5331 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Georgia Southern SunbeltSunbelt 13 11 54 .4788 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Oregon St. West CoastWest Coast 13 12 52 .5042 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Richmond Atlantic 10Atl. 10 13 10 57 .5094 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Syracuse ACCACC 13 10 57 .5311 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Arizona St. Big 12Big 12 12 11 52 .5412 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
DePaul Big EastBig East 12 11 52 .5159 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Loyola Marymount West CoastWest Coast 12 13 48 .4963 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
North Texas American AthleticAm. Athletic 12 11 52 .4944 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Southern Miss SunbeltSunbelt 12 13 48 .4754 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Washington Big 10Big 10 12 11 52 .5422 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Xavier Big EastBig East 12 11 52 .5237 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Fresno St. Mountain WestMntn West 11 11 50 .4962 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
James Madison SunbeltSunbelt 11 13 46 .4796 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Mississippi St.Miss. St. SECSEC 11 11 50 .5252 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Washington St. West CoastWest Coast 11 14 44 .4897 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Incarnate Word SouthlandSouth-land 10 13 43 .4502 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Indiana St. Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 10 14 42 .4648 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Providence Big EastBig East 10 13 43 .5119 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Tennessee Tech Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 10 14 42 .4440 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
UNLV Mountain WestMntn West 10 12 45 .5055 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Cal Poly Big WestBig West 9 15 38 .4572 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Eastern Illinois Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 9 15 38 .4397 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Georgia St. SunbeltSunbelt 9 15 38 .4521 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Manhattan Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 9 16 36 .4450 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
N. Carolina A&T CoastalCoastal 9 13 41 .4552 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
UALR Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 9 15 38 .4454 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Citadel SouthernSouthern 8 16 33 .4162 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Holy Cross Patriot LeaguePatriot League 8 16 33 .4307 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Southern Utah WACWAC 8 15 35 .4473 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Stetson Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 8 16 33 .4327 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
North Alabama Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 7 14 33 .4286 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Lafayette Patriot LeaguePatriot League 6 17 26 .4138 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
North Florida Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 6 18 25 .4162 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Oral Roberts SummitSummit 5 19 21 .3930 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Alcorn St. SouthwesternSWAC 4 17 19 .4117 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Fordham Atlantic 10Atl. 10 12 11 52 .4776 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Mercyhurst NortheastNorth East 12 12 50 .4632 X X X X X X X
Cincinnati Big 12Big 12 11 12 48 .5231 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Georgia Tech ACCACC 11 12 48 .5040 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Le Moyne NortheastNorth East 11 13 46 .4576 X X X X X X X
Minnesota Big 10Big 10 11 12 48 .5202 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Notre Dame ACCACC 11 12 48 .5239 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Oklahoma SECSEC 11 12 48 .5101 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Ole Miss SECSEC 11 11 50 .5197 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Portland West CoastWest Coast 11 14 44 .4884 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
South Carolina SECSEC 11 12 48 .5042 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Wake Forest ACCACC 11 11 50 .5294 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Florida St. ACCACC 10 12 45 .5129 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Kansas St. Big 12Big 12 10 12 45 .5168 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
New Haven NortheastNorth East 10 13 43 .4466 X X X X X X X
NorthwesternN. Western Big 10Big 10 10 13 43 .5109 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Penn State Big 10Big 10 10 13 43 .5025 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Rice American AthleticAm. Athletic 10 13 43 .4659 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
San Diego West CoastWest Coast 10 15 40 .4665 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
West Georgia Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 10 13 43 .4525 X X X X X X X
Boston College ACCACC 9 13 41 .4848 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
East Texas A&M SouthlandSouth-land 9 15 38 .4527 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Eastern Michigan MACMAC 9 14 39 .4673 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Pittsburgh ACCACC 9 14 39 .4947 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Rutgers Big 10Big 10 9 14 39 .4945 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Utah Big 12Big 12 9 13 41 .4984 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild Big WestBig West 8 16 33 .4377 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Canisius Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 8 17 32 .4341 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Houston Christian SouthlandSouth-land 8 15 35 .4326 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
LA Lafayette SunbeltSunbelt 8 16 33 .4488 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Long Beach St. Big WestBig West 8 16 33 .4405 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Marquette Big EastBig East 8 15 35 .4786 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Maryland Big 10Big 10 8 13 38 .4936 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Oregon Big 10Big 10 8 14 36 .4943 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
UC Riverside Big WestBig West 8 16 33 .4481 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
UTEP Conference USAConf. USA 8 15 35 .4350 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Western Michigan MACMAC 8 14 36 .4615 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Ball State MACMAC 7 15 32 .4220 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Brown Ivy LeagueIvy League 7 13 35 .4334 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Central Michigan MACMAC 7 16 30 .4359 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
E. Carolina American AthleticAm. Athletic 7 15 32 .4453 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
La Salle Atlantic 10Atl. 10 7 16 30 .4555 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Northern Illinois MACMAC 7 14 33 .4416 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Old Dominion SunbeltSunbelt 7 17 29 .4442 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Delaware Conference USAConf. USA 6 16 27 .4343 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
IU Indy HorizonHorizon 6 18 25 .4151 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Loyola Chicago Atlantic 10Atl. 10 6 18 25 .4352 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Niagara Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 6 17 26 .4157 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
NortheasternN. Eastern CoastalCoastal 6 16 27 .4479 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Northwestern St.NWestrn St SouthlandSouth-land 6 17 26 .4154 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Pepperdine West CoastWest Coast 6 18 25 .4223 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
SE Louisiana SouthlandSouth-land 6 17 26 .4327 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
San José State Mountain WestMntn West 6 16 27 .4518 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
VMI SouthernSouthern 6 18 25 .3909 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Binghamton America EastAmerica East 5 19 21 .3632 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Evansville Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 5 18 22 .4211 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Southern Indiana Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 5 18 22 .3934 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Texas-San Antonio American AthleticAm. Athletic 4 18 18 .4093 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
UL Monroe SunbeltSunbelt 4 19 17 .3799 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
UMKC SummitSummit 4 20 17 .3669 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Western Illinois Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 4 20 17 .3645 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Air Force Mountain WestMntn West 3 19 14 .4150 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Chicago St. NortheastNorth East 3 20 13 .3792 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Coppin St. MideasternMid-Eastern 3 21 13 .3697 X X X X X X X
Gardner-WebbGardnr-Wbb Big SouthBig South 3 21 13 .3677 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Rider Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 3 19 14 .3853 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Miss. Valley St. SouthwesternSWAC 1 21 5 .3274 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team has already proceeded to the next tournament round
  • X means the team did not proceed to this tournament round
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this tournament round - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this tournament round - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot