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Thu Feb 26 2:30 pm

NCAA Basketball - Week 17 of 18

NCAA Basketball Tournament Performance Probabilities

How far is your team going to proceed into the college basketball tournament? The NCAA Basketball Tournament Performance Probabilities table presents the probabilities that your college team will proceed to different tournament rounds. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths. Click a team name to proceed to the team playoff picture page.

NCAA Basketball Tournament Performance Probabilities
Team ConferenceConf Record WPi
Win Percentage
NPIi
NCAA Power Index
NCAA Basketball
National Champions
Championship Game
Participate
Final Four Elite Eight Sweet Sixteen Round 2 Round 1
W L
Michigan Big 10Big 10 26 2 93 .6895 13% 22% 33% 49% 72% 95% 100%
Arizona Big 12Big 12 26 2 93 .7019 11% 20% 31% 47% 70% 95% 100%
Duke ACCACC 26 2 93 .6973 11% 18% 29% 46% 69% 95% 100%
UConn Big EastBig East 26 3 90 .6559 7% 13% 22% 39% 63% 94% 100%
Gonzaga West CoastWest Coast 28 2 93 .6480 4% 9% 17% 32% 56% 90% 100%
Purdue Big 10Big 10 22 5 81 .6354 4% 8% 15% 29% 53% 86% 100%
Virginia ACCACC 25 3 89 .6376 4% 7% 15% 29% 52% 86% 100%
Iowa St. Big 12Big 12 24 4 86 .6481 3% 7% 14% 28% 52% 87% 100%
Houston Big 12Big 12 23 5 82 .6312 3% 7% 13% 26% 50% 84% 100%
Kansas Big 12Big 12 21 7 75 .6313 3% 6% 13% 26% 50% 83% 100%
Michigan St. Big 10Big 10 22 5 81 .6276 3% 6% 13% 25% 48% 82% 100%
Nebraska Big 10Big 10 24 4 86 .6314 3% 6% 12% 25% 49% 82% 100%
Illinois Big 10Big 10 22 6 79 .6242 3% 6% 12% 24% 47% 80% 100%
Texas Tech Big 12Big 12 21 7 75 .6237 3% 5% 11% 22% 45% 79% >99%
Florida SECSEC 22 6 79 .6219 2% 5% 11% 21% 44% 77% >99%
Alabama SECSEC 20 7 74 .6147 2% 5% 10% 19% 40% 72% >99%
St. Mary's West CoastWest Coast 26 3 90 .6170 2% 4% 9% 19% 40% 74% 100%
North Carolina ACCACC 22 6 79 .6174 2% 4% 9% 19% 39% 72% 100%
St. John's Big EastBig East 22 6 79 .6030 2% 3% 8% 16% 32% 64% >99%
Miami OH MACMAC 28 0 100 .6318 1% 3% 7% 16% 38% 74% >99%
Vanderbilt SECSEC 21 6 78 .6071 1% 3% 7% 15% 32% 65% >99%
Arkansas SECSEC 21 7 75 .6035 1% 3% 7% 15% 32% 64% >99%
BYU Big 12Big 12 20 8 71 .6049 1% 3% 6% 14% 29% 62% >99%
Villanova Big EastBig East 22 6 79 .5973 1% 3% 6% 14% 28% 61% 99%
Saint Louis Atlantic 10Atl. 10 25 3 89 .6115 1% 2% 6% 13% 31% 64% >99%
Utah St. Mountain WestMntn West 23 5 82 .6046 1% 2% 6% 12% 28% 60% >99%
UCF Big 12Big 12 20 7 74 .6010 1% 2% 5% 12% 26% 58% 99%
Tennessee SECSEC 20 8 71 .5999 1% 2% 4% 10% 22% 54% 99%
Louisville ACCACC 20 8 71 .5925 1% 2% 4% 10% 21% 52% 95%
Miami ACCACC 22 6 79 .5912 1% 1% 3% 8% 18% 48% 93%
Belmont Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 26 4 87 .5863 <1% 1% 3% 7% 16% 46% 95%
Wisconsin Big 10Big 10 19 9 68 .5850 <1% 1% 3% 6% 14% 37% 77%
N.C. State ACCACC 19 9 68 .5815 <1% 1% 3% 6% 13% 35% 71%
Yale Ivy LeagueIvy League 21 4 84 .5875 <1% 1% 2% 6% 14% 42% 92%
Iowa Big 10Big 10 20 8 71 .5849 <1% 1% 2% 6% 14% 36% 74%
Clemson ACCACC 20 8 71 .5816 <1% 1% 2% 5% 12% 33% 69%
SMU ACCACC 19 9 68 .5793 <1% 1% 2% 5% 12% 31% 64%
Santa Clara West CoastWest Coast 22 8 73 .5784 <1% 1% 2% 5% 11% 32% 73%
VCU Atlantic 10Atl. 10 21 7 75 .5796 <1% 1% 2% 5% 11% 30% 65%
UCLA Big 10Big 10 19 9 68 .5776 <1% 1% 2% 4% 9% 25% 53%
Liberty Conference USAConf. USA 23 4 85 .5804 <1% <1% 1% 4% 10% 31% 71%
UNC Wilmington CoastalCoastal 24 4 86 .5784 <1% <1% 1% 4% 9% 28% 67%
California ACCACC 20 8 71 .5760 <1% <1% 1% 3% 7% 20% 45%
San Diego St. Mountain WestMntn West 19 8 70 .5741 <1% <1% 1% 3% 7% 18% 41%
New Mexico Mountain WestMntn West 21 7 75 .5741 <1% <1% 1% 3% 6% 18% 41%
Kentucky SECSEC 18 10 64 .5718 <1% <1% 1% 3% 6% 15% 33%
McNeese SouthlandSouth-land 24 5 83 .5724 <1% <1% 1% 2% 6% 19% 50%
Akron MACMAC 23 5 82 .5732 <1% <1% 1% 2% 6% 18% 43%
South Florida American AthleticAm. Athletic 20 8 71 .5704 <1% <1% 1% 2% 6% 16% 42%
Missouri SECSEC 19 9 68 .5747 <1% <1% 1% 2% 6% 16% 36%
Stephen F. Austin SouthlandSouth-land 25 4 86 .5708 <1% <1% 1% 2% 5% 16% 43%
Tulsa American AthleticAm. Athletic 23 6 79 .5721 <1% <1% 1% 2% 5% 15% 37%
Georgia SECSEC 19 9 68 .5707 <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 12% 27%
Virginia Tech ACCACC 18 10 64 .5675 <1% <1% 1% 1% 3% 9% 20%
High Point Big SouthBig South 26 4 87 .5642 <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 14% 45%
Navy Patriot LeaguePatriot League 24 6 80 .5409 <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 11% 50%
Utah Valley WACWAC 20 7 74 .5565 <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 10% 36%
North Dakota St. SummitSummit 23 6 79 .5448 <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 11% 43%
California Baptist WACWAC 19 8 70 .5488 <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 9% 32%
Austin Peay Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 21 7 75 .5419 <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 8% 32%
Long Island U. NortheastNorth East 19 10 66 .5201 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 9% 61%
Merrimack Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 20 9 69 .5453 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 7% 25%
George Mason Atlantic 10Atl. 10 21 7 75 .5627 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 7% 16%
Nevada Mountain WestMntn West 18 9 67 .5619 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 6% 14%
Kent State MACMAC 21 7 75 .5586 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 5% 15%
Dayton Atlantic 10Atl. 10 19 9 68 .5574 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 5% 13%
TCU Big 12Big 12 18 10 64 .5659 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 5% 13%
Seton Hall Big EastBig East 19 9 68 .5620 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 5% 12%
Texas A&M SECSEC 19 9 68 .5650 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 5% 12%
Winthrop Big SouthBig South 20 9 69 .5367 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 7% 29%
E. Tennessee St. SouthernSouthern 21 9 70 .5279 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 6% 27%
Hawai'i Big WestBig West 19 7 73 .5368 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 6% 26%
Marshall SunbeltSunbelt 19 11 63 .5321 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 6% 24%
Sam Houston Conference USAConf. USA 19 8 70 .5447 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 6% 22%
Portland St. Big SkyBig Sky 18 8 69 .5231 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 29%
UMBC America EastAmerica East 18 8 69 .5056 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 38%
Wright St. HorizonHorizon 19 11 63 .5196 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 25%
St. Thomas SummitSummit 20 9 69 .5301 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 23%
Robert Morris HorizonHorizon 20 10 67 .5205 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 22%
Troy SunbeltSunbelt 19 11 63 .5290 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 22%
CSU Northridge Big WestBig West 18 10 64 .5245 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 20%
UC Irvine Big WestBig West 18 10 64 .5240 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 18%
South Alabama SunbeltSunbelt 21 9 70 .5313 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 16%
Charleston CoastalCoastal 20 10 67 .5336 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 16%
Hofstra CoastalCoastal 19 10 66 .5404 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 16%
Murray State Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 20 10 67 .5434 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 15%
Wichita St. American AthleticAm. Athletic 18 10 64 .5373 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 15%
Vermont America EastAmerica East 18 11 62 .4968 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 28%
Tennessee St. Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 19 9 68 .5194 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 23%
SE Missouri St. Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 18 11 62 .5057 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 23%
Central Arkansas Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 19 11 63 .5177 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 21%
Northern Colorado Big SkyBig Sky 18 10 64 .5097 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 19%
Tenn-MartinTN-Martin Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 20 9 69 .5189 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 18%
Oakland HorizonHorizon 16 14 53 .5115 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 18%
Lipscomb Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 18 12 60 .5138 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 17%
Siena Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 19 10 66 .5205 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 15%
Utah Tech WACWAC 17 12 59 .5157 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 15%
Quinnipiac Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 18 11 62 .5220 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 14%
UC San Diego Big WestBig West 19 9 68 .5303 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 13%
Bradley Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 19 11 63 .5267 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 11%
Grand Canyon Mountain WestMntn West 18 10 64 .5448 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 8%
USC Big 10Big 10 18 10 64 .5601 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 6%
Wofford SouthernSouthern 19 11 63 .5092 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 18%
Queens U. Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 18 12 60 .5088 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 18%
Harvard Ivy LeagueIvy League 15 10 60 .5177 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 16%
PennsylvaniaPenn. Ivy LeagueIvy League 13 11 54 .5108 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 15%
Appalachian St.App. St. SunbeltSunbelt 19 11 63 .5170 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 13%
Marist Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 18 10 64 .5173 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 13%
Western Kentucky Conference USAConf. USA 16 11 59 .5180 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 11%
Arkansas St. SunbeltSunbelt 19 11 63 .5260 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 10%
Illinois St. Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 19 11 63 .5298 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 10%
Northern Iowa Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 18 12 60 .5253 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 8%
UAB American AthleticAm. Athletic 18 10 64 .5310 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 8%
St. Joseph's Atlantic 10Atl. 10 18 10 64 .5332 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 6%
Boise St. Mountain WestMntn West 17 11 61 .5547 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 6%
Colorado St. Mountain WestMntn West 18 10 64 .5409 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 5%
Indiana Big 10Big 10 17 11 61 .5588 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 5%
Ohio St. Big 10Big 10 17 11 61 .5598 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 5%
Auburn SECSEC 15 13 54 .5597 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 5%
Oklahoma St. Big 12Big 12 17 11 61 .5566 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 4%
Howard MideasternMid-Eastern 18 10 64 .4956 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 39%
Bethune-CookmanBethn-Ckmn SouthwesternSWAC 15 13 54 .4950 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 26%
Central Conn. NortheastNorth East 16 11 59 .4893 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 24%
Morehead St. Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 18 12 60 .4998 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 21%
Colgate Patriot LeaguePatriot League 17 13 57 .4924 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 20%
Furman SouthernSouthern 19 11 63 .5085 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 16%
Mercer SouthernSouthern 18 12 60 .5057 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 14%
St. Peter's Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 15 11 58 .5052 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 11%
UC Davis Big WestBig West 17 11 61 .5145 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 9%
NJIT America EastAmerica East 15 14 52 .4781 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 18%
Norfolk St. MideasternMid-Eastern 14 14 50 .4533 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 18%
Alabama A&M SouthwesternSWAC 16 12 57 .4771 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 16%
Morgan St. MideasternMid-Eastern 12 14 46 .4414 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 15%
Southern SouthwesternSWAC 13 14 48 .4672 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 14%
Montana St. Big SkyBig Sky 15 13 54 .4892 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 13%
N.C. Central MideasternMid-Eastern 10 16 38 .4267 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 13%
AR Pine Bluff SouthwesternSWAC 12 16 43 .4650 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 12%
Samford SouthernSouthern 16 13 55 .4957 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 11%
Fairfield Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 18 11 62 .5115 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 10%
American Patriot LeaguePatriot League 16 14 53 .4791 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 10%
Green Bay HorizonHorizon 16 14 53 .5007 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 10%
Lehigh Patriot LeaguePatriot League 14 16 47 .4644 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 10%
UT Arlington WACWAC 15 12 56 .5070 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 9%
Weber St. Big SkyBig Sky 15 14 52 .4785 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 9%
Stony Brook CoastalCoastal 17 11 61 .5147 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 8%
UCSB Big WestBig West 17 11 61 .5135 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 8%
Idaho Big SkyBig Sky 15 13 54 .4852 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 8%
Montana Big SkyBig Sky 14 14 50 .4816 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 8%
Northern Kentucky HorizonHorizon 18 12 60 .5016 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 7%
UIC Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 17 13 57 .5100 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 7%
Kennesaw St. Conference USAConf. USA 16 11 59 .5049 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 7%
William & Mary CoastalCoastal 16 11 59 .5229 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 7%
Coastal Carolina SunbeltSunbelt 18 12 60 .5142 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6%
Valparaiso Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 17 13 57 .5081 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6%
Fort Wayne HorizonHorizon 16 14 53 .4907 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6%
UT-Rio Grande Valley SouthlandSouth-land 16 13 55 .5011 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6%
New Orleans SouthlandSouth-land 14 15 48 .4996 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6%
Iona Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 16 13 55 .5003 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5%
Middle Tenn. Conference USAConf. USA 13 14 48 .4883 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5%
Texas State SunbeltSunbelt 18 12 60 .5023 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4%
Davidson Atlantic 10Atl. 10 17 11 61 .5281 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4%
James Madison SunbeltSunbelt 17 13 57 .5090 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4%
Tulane American AthleticAm. Athletic 17 11 61 .5211 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4%
Toledo MACMAC 15 13 54 .5072 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4%
Towson CoastalCoastal 14 14 50 .5032 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4%
Cornell Ivy LeagueIvy League 12 12 50 .4933 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4%
Texas SECSEC 16 11 59 .5533 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3%
Stanford ACCACC 17 11 61 .5553 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2%
Geo. Washington Atlantic 10Atl. 10 16 12 57 .5192 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2%
Wyoming Mountain WestMntn West 15 13 54 .5194 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2%
Creighton Big EastBig East 14 15 48 .5289 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2%
Denver SummitSummit 15 15 50 .4812 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 9%
UMass-LowellUMA-Lowell America EastAmerica East 13 15 46 .4534 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 9%
North Dakota SummitSummit 16 15 52 .4739 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 8%
Eastern Washington Big SkyBig Sky 11 17 39 .4644 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 8%
Jackson St. SouthwesternSWAC 9 18 33 .4502 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 8%
Western Carolina SouthernSouthern 13 15 46 .4741 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 7%
Texas Southern SouthwesternSWAC 10 16 38 .4440 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 7%
MD Eastern Shore MideasternMid-Eastern 8 20 29 .4104 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 7%
Lindenwood Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 16 13 55 .4885 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 6%
Nebraska Omaha SummitSummit 15 15 50 .4676 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 6%
Radford Big SouthBig South 15 14 52 .4721 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 6%
South Dakota SummitSummit 15 15 50 .4643 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 6%
Detroit HorizonHorizon 14 14 50 .4825 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 6%
N.C. Asheville Big SouthBig South 13 15 46 .4729 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 6%
South Dakota St. SummitSummit 13 16 45 .4634 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 6%
Florida A&M SouthwesternSWAC 10 15 40 .4470 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 6%
S. Carolina St. MideasternMid-Eastern 7 20 26 .4021 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 6%
SIU EdwardsvilleSIU Ed.ville Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 17 12 59 .4840 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 5%
Louisiana Tech Conference USAConf. USA 15 12 56 .4899 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 5%
Grambling SouthwesternSWAC 12 15 44 .4560 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 5%
Wagner NortheastNorth East 11 16 41 .4360 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 5%
CSU Fullerton Big WestBig West 15 14 52 .4948 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4%
Drexel CoastalCoastal 15 14 52 .4924 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4%
Longwood Big SouthBig South 15 15 50 .4622 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4%
Ohio MACMAC 15 13 54 .4974 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4%
Boston U. Patriot LeaguePatriot League 14 16 47 .4596 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4%
Fla Gulf Coast Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 14 15 48 .4757 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4%
Monmouth CoastalCoastal 14 14 50 .4964 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4%
Mount St. Mary's Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 14 15 48 .4768 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4%
PresbyterianPresbyter. Big SouthBig South 14 15 48 .4668 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4%
Abilene Christian WACWAC 13 14 48 .4800 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4%
Dartmouth Ivy LeagueIvy League 11 13 46 .4780 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4%
Fair. Dickinson NortheastNorth East 11 18 38 .4265 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4%
Stonehill NortheastNorth East 10 19 34 .4234 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4%
Buffalo MACMAC 16 12 57 .5055 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
Charlotte American AthleticAm. Athletic 15 13 54 .5006 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
Southern Illinois Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 15 15 50 .5033 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
Texas A&M C.C. SouthlandSouth-land 15 14 52 .4846 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
Tarleton St. WACWAC 14 14 50 .4803 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
Campbell CoastalCoastal 13 15 46 .4923 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
Jacksonville StateJacksnvlle St. Conference USAConf. USA 13 14 48 .4741 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
Idaho St. Big SkyBig Sky 12 17 41 .4534 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
N.C. Greensboro SouthernSouthern 12 17 41 .4573 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
S. Carolina Upstate Big SouthBig South 12 17 41 .4553 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
Albany America EastAmerica East 10 18 36 .4304 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
Bowling Green MACMAC 16 13 55 .4961 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Duquesne Atlantic 10Atl. 10 16 12 57 .5145 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Oregon St. West CoastWest Coast 16 14 53 .5073 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Columbia Ivy LeagueIvy League 15 10 60 .5084 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Florida Atlantic American AthleticAm. Athletic 15 13 54 .5110 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Rhode Island Atlantic 10Atl. 10 15 12 56 .5219 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
UMass MACMAC 15 14 52 .4963 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Youngstown St. HorizonHorizon 15 15 50 .4731 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Elon CoastalCoastal 14 14 50 .4886 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
UNLV Mountain WestMntn West 14 14 50 .5127 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Charleston Southern Big SouthBig South 13 16 45 .4514 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
FIU Conference USAConf. USA 13 14 48 .4752 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Missouri St. Conference USAConf. USA 13 14 48 .4702 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
New Mexico St. Conference USAConf. USA 13 13 50 .4814 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Cal Poly Big WestBig West 12 16 43 .4752 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
ChattanoogaChattan. SouthernSouthern 12 17 41 .4541 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Memphis American AthleticAm. Athletic 12 15 44 .4988 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Nicholls St. SouthlandSouth-land 12 17 41 .4715 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Wis. Milwaukee HorizonHorizon 12 19 39 .4602 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Bellarmine Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 11 18 38 .4445 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Eastern Kentucky Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 11 19 37 .4529 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Loyola-MD Patriot LeaguePatriot League 11 19 37 .4332 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Prairie View A&M SouthwesternSWAC 11 17 39 .4283 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Lafayette Patriot LeaguePatriot League 10 20 33 .4335 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Northern Arizona Big SkyBig Sky 10 18 36 .4284 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Alabama St. SouthwesternSWAC 9 19 32 .4338 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Sacramento St. Big SkyBig Sky 9 18 33 .4340 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
New Hampshire America EastAmerica East 8 18 31 .4203 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Alcorn St. SouthwesternSWAC 7 19 27 .4275 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Chicago St. NortheastNorth East 7 22 24 .4106 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Delaware St. MideasternMid-Eastern 6 20 23 .3834 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Seattle West CoastWest Coast 18 12 60 .5208 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Pacific West CoastWest Coast 17 13 57 .5132 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Colorado Big 12Big 12 16 12 57 .5403 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Fordham Atlantic 10Atl. 10 16 12 57 .4977 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
North Texas American AthleticAm. Athletic 16 13 55 .5064 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
West Virginia Big 12Big 12 16 12 57 .5410 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Butler Big EastBig East 15 14 52 .5277 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Cincinnati Big 12Big 12 15 13 54 .5447 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
DePaul Big EastBig East 15 13 54 .5210 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
LSU SECSEC 15 13 54 .5258 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Richmond Atlantic 10Atl. 10 15 13 54 .5080 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
San Francisco West CoastWest Coast 15 14 52 .5092 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Southern Miss SunbeltSunbelt 15 15 50 .4848 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Temple American AthleticAm. Athletic 15 12 56 .4992 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
St. BonaventureSt. Bonavnt Atlantic 10Atl. 10 14 13 52 .5051 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Georgetown Big EastBig East 13 15 46 .5104 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Providence Big EastBig East 13 15 46 .5177 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Tennessee Tech Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 13 16 45 .4547 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Xavier Big EastBig East 13 15 46 .5092 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Drake Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 12 18 40 .4627 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Fresno St. Mountain WestMntn West 12 16 43 .4850 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Hampton CoastalCoastal 12 17 41 .4645 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Manhattan Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 12 17 41 .4578 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Sacred Heart Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 12 18 40 .4619 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Army Patriot LeaguePatriot League 11 19 37 .4360 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
N. Carolina A&T CoastalCoastal 11 15 42 .4619 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
UALR Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 11 18 38 .4478 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Holy Cross Patriot LeaguePatriot League 10 20 33 .4309 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
JacksonvilleJack.ville Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 10 19 34 .4450 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Stetson Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 10 19 34 .4359 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
UTEP Conference USAConf. USA 10 17 37 .4493 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Bucknell Patriot LeaguePatriot League 9 21 30 .4358 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
North Alabama Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 9 19 32 .4314 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Southern Utah WACWAC 9 19 32 .4444 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Bryant America EastAmerica East 8 19 30 .4110 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Maine America EastAmerica East 7 21 25 .4121 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
St. Francis NortheastNorth East 7 22 24 .4027 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Loyola Marymount West CoastWest Coast 15 15 50 .4964 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Syracuse ACCACC 15 13 54 .5353 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Arizona St. Big 12Big 12 14 14 50 .5385 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Baylor Big 12Big 12 14 14 50 .5309 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Florida St. ACCACC 14 14 50 .5299 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Georgia Southern SunbeltSunbelt 14 15 48 .4731 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Le Moyne NortheastNorth East 14 15 48 .4630 X X X X X X X
Mercyhurst NortheastNorth East 14 15 48 .4615 X X X X X X X
Oklahoma SECSEC 14 14 50 .5252 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Wake Forest ACCACC 14 14 50 .5307 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Washington Big 10Big 10 14 14 50 .5290 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Minnesota Big 10Big 10 13 15 46 .5149 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Mississippi St.Miss. St. SECSEC 13 15 46 .5168 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
New Haven NortheastNorth East 13 16 45 .4488 X X X X X X X
West Georgia Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 13 16 45 .4597 X X X X X X X
Lamar SouthlandSouth-land 12 17 41 .4569 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
NorthwesternN. Western Big 10Big 10 12 16 43 .5134 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Notre Dame ACCACC 12 16 43 .5103 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Portland West CoastWest Coast 12 18 40 .4765 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
South Carolina SECSEC 12 16 43 .4965 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Washington St. West CoastWest Coast 12 18 40 .4843 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
East Texas A&M SouthlandSouth-land 11 19 37 .4486 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Eastern Illinois Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 11 18 38 .4382 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Georgia Tech ACCACC 11 17 39 .4855 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Houston Christian SouthlandSouth-land 11 18 38 .4451 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Incarnate Word SouthlandSouth-land 11 18 38 .4411 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Kansas St. Big 12Big 12 11 17 39 .5011 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Maryland Big 10Big 10 11 16 41 .5045 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Ole Miss SECSEC 11 17 39 .4962 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Oregon Big 10Big 10 11 17 39 .5034 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Penn State Big 10Big 10 11 17 39 .4945 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Rice American AthleticAm. Athletic 11 17 39 .4597 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Rutgers Big 10Big 10 11 17 39 .4941 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
San Diego West CoastWest Coast 11 19 37 .4541 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Boston College ACCACC 10 18 36 .4755 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Cleveland St. HorizonHorizon 10 20 33 .4353 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
E. Carolina American AthleticAm. Athletic 10 18 36 .4537 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Eastern Michigan MACMAC 10 19 34 .4572 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Georgia St. SunbeltSunbelt 10 20 33 .4406 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Indiana St. Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 10 20 33 .4482 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
LA Lafayette SunbeltSunbelt 10 20 33 .4508 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Marquette Big EastBig East 10 18 36 .4857 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Northwestern St.NWestrn St SouthlandSouth-land 10 19 34 .4400 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Old Dominion SunbeltSunbelt 10 20 33 .4554 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Pittsburgh ACCACC 10 18 36 .4891 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Utah Big 12Big 12 10 18 36 .4956 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Western Michigan MACMAC 10 18 36 .4605 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Ball State MACMAC 9 19 32 .4320 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Brown Ivy LeagueIvy League 9 15 38 .4464 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Canisius Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 9 20 31 .4299 X X X X X X X
Central Michigan MACMAC 9 19 32 .4407 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Citadel SouthernSouthern 9 21 30 .4142 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Delaware Conference USAConf. USA 9 18 33 .4521 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Northern Illinois MACMAC 9 18 33 .4420 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
UC Riverside Big WestBig West 9 20 31 .4416 X X X X X X X
CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild Big WestBig West 8 20 29 .4253 X X X X X X X
La Salle Atlantic 10Atl. 10 8 20 29 .4571 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Long Beach St. Big WestBig West 8 20 29 .4288 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Pepperdine West CoastWest Coast 8 22 27 .4333 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Princeton Ivy LeagueIvy League 8 18 31 .4459 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
SE Louisiana SouthlandSouth-land 8 21 28 .4304 X X X X X X X
San José State Mountain WestMntn West 8 20 29 .4542 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Coppin St. MideasternMid-Eastern 7 21 25 .4101 X X X X X X X
IU Indy HorizonHorizon 7 23 23 .4128 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Niagara Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 7 21 25 .4141 X X X X X X X
Oral Roberts SummitSummit 7 22 24 .4044 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Southern Indiana Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 7 22 24 .4040 X X X X X X X
Binghamton America EastAmerica East 6 23 21 .3708 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Evansville Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 6 23 21 .4205 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Loyola Chicago Atlantic 10Atl. 10 6 22 21 .4318 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
North Florida Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 6 23 21 .4050 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
NortheasternN. Eastern CoastalCoastal 6 20 23 .4396 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
VMI SouthernSouthern 6 23 21 .3862 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Texas-San Antonio American AthleticAm. Athletic 5 23 18 .4110 X X X X X X X
Western Illinois Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 5 24 17 .3708 X X X X X X X
Rider Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 4 23 15 .3896 X X X X X X X
UL Monroe SunbeltSunbelt 4 25 14 .3779 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
UMKC SummitSummit 4 24 14 .3681 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Air Force Mountain WestMntn West 3 25 11 .4064 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Gardner-WebbGardnr-Wbb Big SouthBig South 3 26 10 .3630 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Miss. Valley St. SouthwesternSWAC 2 27 7 .3473 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team has already proceeded to the next tournament round
  • X means the team did not proceed to this tournament round
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this tournament round - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this tournament round - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot