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Fri Jan 23 9:30 pm

NCAA Basketball - Week 12 of 18

NCAA Basketball Tournament Performance Probabilities

How far is your team going to proceed into the college basketball tournament? The NCAA Basketball Tournament Performance Probabilities table presents the probabilities that your college team will proceed to different tournament rounds. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths. Click a team name to proceed to the team playoff picture page.

NCAA Basketball Tournament Performance Probabilities
Team ConferenceConf Record WPi
Win Percentage
NPIi
NCAA Power Index
NCAA Basketball
National Champions
Championship Game
Participate
Final Four Elite Eight Sweet Sixteen Round 2 Round 1
W L
Arizona Big 12Big 12 19 0 100 .7084 10% 17% 27% 44% 67% 95% >99%
Nebraska Big 10Big 10 19 0 100 .6925 8% 14% 24% 41% 65% 94% >99%
Duke ACCACC 17 1 94 .6908 8% 14% 24% 41% 65% 94% >99%
UConn Big EastBig East 18 1 95 .6684 7% 13% 22% 38% 62% 92% >99%
Michigan Big 10Big 10 16 1 94 .6551 7% 13% 22% 38% 62% 91% >99%
Gonzaga West CoastWest Coast 20 0 100 .6687 5% 10% 18% 33% 58% 90% >99%
Purdue Big 10Big 10 17 2 89 .6591 5% 9% 18% 32% 56% 87% >99%
Michigan St. Big 10Big 10 17 2 89 .6504 4% 9% 16% 30% 54% 85% >99%
Houston Big 12Big 12 17 1 94 .6529 4% 8% 15% 29% 52% 84% >99%
BYU Big 12Big 12 16 2 89 .6477 4% 7% 14% 27% 50% 82% >99%
Texas Tech Big 12Big 12 15 4 79 .6375 3% 6% 12% 23% 44% 77% 99%
Iowa St. Big 12Big 12 17 2 89 .6534 3% 5% 11% 23% 44% 78% 99%
Virginia ACCACC 16 2 89 .6369 3% 5% 11% 21% 42% 74% 99%
Illinois Big 10Big 10 16 3 84 .6262 2% 5% 10% 20% 39% 71% 98%
St. Mary's West CoastWest Coast 18 2 90 .6271 2% 4% 9% 18% 38% 70% 99%
Vanderbilt SECSEC 15 3 83 .6196 2% 4% 8% 16% 34% 65% 95%
Saint Louis Atlantic 10Atl. 10 19 1 95 .6233 2% 3% 7% 16% 33% 65% 98%
Kansas Big 12Big 12 14 5 74 .6137 2% 3% 7% 15% 31% 61% 93%
George Mason Atlantic 10Atl. 10 18 1 95 .6189 1% 3% 6% 13% 29% 60% 94%
UCF Big 12Big 12 14 4 78 .6036 1% 2% 6% 12% 25% 53% 85%
Alabama SECSEC 12 5 71 .6072 1% 2% 5% 12% 25% 52% 84%
Miami OH MACMAC 20 0 100 .6126 1% 2% 5% 11% 26% 57% 94%
Clemson ACCACC 16 4 80 .6061 1% 2% 5% 11% 24% 51% 86%
SMU ACCACC 14 5 74 .6053 1% 2% 5% 11% 24% 51% 85%
Florida SECSEC 14 5 74 .6035 1% 2% 5% 11% 24% 49% 82%
Georgia SECSEC 16 3 84 .6037 1% 2% 5% 11% 23% 50% 83%
Villanova Big EastBig East 15 4 79 .6006 1% 2% 5% 11% 23% 48% 82%
North Carolina ACCACC 15 4 79 .6015 1% 2% 5% 10% 23% 48% 81%
Arkansas SECSEC 14 5 74 .5994 1% 2% 4% 10% 21% 45% 77%
St. John's Big EastBig East 14 5 74 .5980 1% 2% 4% 9% 19% 42% 74%
Stanford ACCACC 14 5 74 .5954 1% 2% 4% 8% 17% 39% 71%
Virginia Tech ACCACC 15 5 75 .5946 1% 1% 4% 8% 18% 42% 74%
Utah St. Mountain WestMntn West 15 3 83 .5971 1% 1% 3% 8% 18% 40% 73%
Wisconsin Big 10Big 10 14 5 74 .5899 <1% 1% 3% 6% 14% 33% 60%
Louisville ACCACC 13 5 72 .5819 <1% 1% 2% 5% 11% 26% 49%
Seton Hall Big EastBig East 14 5 74 .5809 <1% 1% 2% 5% 11% 25% 47%
Yale Ivy LeagueIvy League 14 3 82 .5817 <1% 1% 2% 4% 11% 30% 69%
Belmont Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 17 3 85 .5753 <1% 1% 2% 4% 10% 26% 55%
New Mexico Mountain WestMntn West 15 4 79 .5855 <1% 1% 2% 4% 10% 25% 51%
Texas A&M SECSEC 15 4 79 .5816 <1% 1% 2% 4% 10% 24% 46%
Tulsa American AthleticAm. Athletic 16 3 84 .5802 <1% 1% 2% 4% 9% 24% 51%
Auburn SECSEC 12 7 63 .5776 <1% 1% 2% 4% 9% 22% 43%
Iowa Big 10Big 10 14 5 74 .5780 <1% 1% 2% 4% 9% 21% 41%
USC Big 10Big 10 14 5 74 .5797 <1% 1% 2% 4% 9% 21% 41%
San Diego St. Mountain WestMntn West 13 5 72 .5795 <1% 1% 1% 3% 8% 21% 43%
Oklahoma St. Big 12Big 12 14 5 74 .5750 <1% 1% 1% 3% 8% 19% 38%
Miami ACCACC 15 4 79 .5750 <1% 1% 1% 3% 8% 19% 37%
Ohio St. Big 10Big 10 13 5 72 .5741 <1% 1% 1% 3% 7% 16% 31%
Liberty Conference USAConf. USA 16 3 84 .5827 <1% <1% 2% 4% 10% 27% 61%
Murray State Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 16 4 80 .5765 <1% <1% 1% 4% 9% 23% 51%
McNeese SouthlandSouth-land 15 4 79 .5712 <1% <1% 1% 3% 7% 20% 51%
N.C. State ACCACC 13 6 68 .5712 <1% <1% 1% 3% 6% 14% 29%
Stephen F. Austin SouthlandSouth-land 16 3 84 .5657 <1% <1% 1% 2% 6% 18% 46%
Santa Clara West CoastWest Coast 15 6 71 .5777 <1% <1% 1% 2% 6% 16% 35%
California ACCACC 14 5 74 .5722 <1% <1% 1% 2% 6% 14% 29%
UNC Wilmington CoastalCoastal 17 3 85 .5643 <1% <1% 1% 2% 5% 15% 37%
Nevada Mountain WestMntn West 13 5 72 .5664 <1% <1% 1% 2% 5% 15% 30%
Akron MACMAC 15 4 79 .5655 <1% <1% 1% 2% 5% 14% 33%
Kentucky SECSEC 13 6 68 .5681 <1% <1% 1% 2% 5% 14% 27%
UCLA Big 10Big 10 13 6 68 .5703 <1% <1% 1% 2% 5% 13% 25%
Tennessee SECSEC 12 6 67 .5699 <1% <1% 1% 2% 5% 12% 25%
Florida Atlantic American AthleticAm. Athletic 14 6 70 .5580 <1% <1% 1% 1% 4% 10% 27%
VCU Atlantic 10Atl. 10 13 6 68 .5591 <1% <1% 1% 1% 4% 10% 22%
Utah Valley WACWAC 15 5 75 .5552 <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 10% 30%
UC San Diego Big WestBig West 15 5 75 .5485 <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 10% 29%
North Dakota St. SummitSummit 17 5 77 .5422 <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 9% 37%
High Point Big SouthBig South 17 4 81 .5384 <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 9% 34%
Troy SunbeltSunbelt 14 6 70 .5500 <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 9% 30%
California Baptist WACWAC 14 6 70 .5419 <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 8% 27%
Kent State MACMAC 14 5 74 .5571 <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 8% 21%
Dayton Atlantic 10Atl. 10 14 5 74 .5539 <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 8% 18%
Missouri SECSEC 13 6 68 .5608 <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 8% 17%
UT Arlington WACWAC 13 6 68 .5389 <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 7% 26%
Arkansas St. SunbeltSunbelt 13 7 65 .5452 <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 7% 23%
LSU SECSEC 13 6 68 .5566 <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 7% 14%
Tenn-MartinTN-Martin Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 15 5 75 .5350 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 8% 33%
St. Thomas SummitSummit 15 6 71 .5467 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 7% 30%
Hawai'i Big WestBig West 14 4 78 .5419 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 7% 25%
Winthrop Big SouthBig South 14 8 64 .5246 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 6% 28%
Lipscomb Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 13 7 65 .5292 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 6% 28%
Indiana Big 10Big 10 13 7 65 .5560 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 6% 13%
West Virginia Big 12Big 12 13 6 68 .5546 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 6% 12%
South Florida American AthleticAm. Athletic 12 7 63 .5468 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 5% 14%
Butler Big EastBig East 12 7 63 .5600 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 5% 12%
Grand Canyon Mountain WestMntn West 12 6 67 .5499 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 5% 12%
Creighton Big EastBig East 12 8 60 .5565 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 5% 11%
TCU Big 12Big 12 12 7 63 .5543 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 8%
Long Island U. NortheastNorth East 11 8 58 .5102 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 7% 51%
Portland St. Big SkyBig Sky 12 5 71 .5231 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 6% 26%
Mercer SouthernSouthern 13 7 65 .5258 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 5% 24%
E. Tennessee St. SouthernSouthern 14 6 70 .5216 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 5% 23%
Oakland HorizonHorizon 11 10 52 .5229 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 5% 23%
Quinnipiac Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 14 7 67 .5301 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 5% 20%
William & Mary CoastalCoastal 13 6 68 .5438 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 5% 16%
Illinois St. Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 14 6 70 .5399 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 4% 14%
Navy Patriot LeaguePatriot League 14 6 70 .5112 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 31%
Queens U. Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 12 8 60 .5126 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 24%
Austin Peay Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 12 6 67 .5222 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 23%
Hofstra CoastalCoastal 13 7 65 .5395 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 15%
Central Conn. NortheastNorth East 10 7 59 .4953 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 34%
American Patriot LeaguePatriot League 12 8 60 .5017 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 27%
Wofford SouthernSouthern 13 7 65 .5123 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 19%
UC Irvine Big WestBig West 13 7 65 .5232 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 17%
Columbia Ivy LeagueIvy League 12 6 67 .5229 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 15%
Middle Tenn. Conference USAConf. USA 11 7 61 .5260 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 15%
Marshall SunbeltSunbelt 13 7 65 .5291 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 14%
Vermont America EastAmerica East 12 8 60 .4945 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 34%
Colgate Patriot LeaguePatriot League 11 9 55 .4910 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 22%
Furman SouthernSouthern 13 7 65 .5120 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 18%
Montana St. Big SkyBig Sky 12 8 60 .5063 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 18%
Tennessee St. Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 12 7 63 .5080 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 18%
Wright St. HorizonHorizon 12 8 60 .5117 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 17%
Siena Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 14 7 67 .5177 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 15%
Fort Wayne HorizonHorizon 13 8 62 .5155 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 15%
Merrimack Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 12 9 57 .5159 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 15%
St. Peter's Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 11 6 65 .5160 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 15%
Iona Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 13 8 62 .5142 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 13%
Sam Houston Conference USAConf. USA 12 7 63 .5272 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 13%
Bradley Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 14 7 67 .5317 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 11%
South Alabama SunbeltSunbelt 14 6 70 .5207 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 11%
Charleston CoastalCoastal 12 8 60 .5181 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 11%
Boise St. Mountain WestMntn West 11 8 58 .5547 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 7%
Baylor Big 12Big 12 11 7 61 .5525 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 6%
Wake Forest ACCACC 11 8 58 .5481 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 6%
Idaho Big SkyBig Sky 12 7 63 .5075 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 17%
Lindenwood Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 12 8 60 .4970 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 15%
Northern Kentucky HorizonHorizon 14 7 67 .5123 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 14%
Robert Morris HorizonHorizon 13 8 62 .5050 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 12%
Marist Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 12 7 63 .5135 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 12%
UCSB Big WestBig West 12 7 63 .5151 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 11%
Towson CoastalCoastal 12 9 57 .5213 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 9%
UC Davis Big WestBig West 11 8 58 .5110 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 9%
Bowling Green MACMAC 13 6 68 .5289 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 8%
Buffalo MACMAC 13 6 68 .5267 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 7%
Elon CoastalCoastal 12 8 60 .5114 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 7%
Northern Iowa Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 12 8 60 .5206 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 7%
Memphis American AthleticAm. Athletic 9 9 50 .5159 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 7%
Davidson Atlantic 10Atl. 10 12 6 67 .5366 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 6%
Temple American AthleticAm. Athletic 12 7 63 .5149 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 6%
North Texas American AthleticAm. Athletic 12 7 63 .5246 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 5%
Tulane American AthleticAm. Athletic 12 7 63 .5181 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 5%
Colorado Big 12Big 12 12 7 63 .5416 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 4%
Colorado St. Mountain WestMntn West 12 7 63 .5325 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 5%
Geo. Washington Atlantic 10Atl. 10 12 7 63 .5285 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 4%
Howard MideasternMid-Eastern 12 8 60 .4823 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 34%
UMBC America EastAmerica East 11 7 61 .4776 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 23%
Harvard Ivy LeagueIvy League 10 8 56 .5013 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 11%
PennsylvaniaPenn. Ivy LeagueIvy League 9 8 53 .4994 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 10%
Kennesaw St. Conference USAConf. USA 12 7 63 .5099 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 8%
Wichita St. American AthleticAm. Athletic 12 8 60 .5171 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 6%
MD Eastern Shore MideasternMid-Eastern 8 13 38 .4476 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 22%
Bethune-CookmanBethn-Ckmn SouthwesternSWAC 7 11 39 .4677 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 17%
Alabama A&M SouthwesternSWAC 10 8 56 .4684 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 16%
Norfolk St. MideasternMid-Eastern 9 12 43 .4366 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 16%
N.C. Central MideasternMid-Eastern 7 12 37 .4163 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 14%
Florida A&M SouthwesternSWAC 6 9 40 .4594 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 13%
NJIT America EastAmerica East 9 12 43 .4535 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 12%
Green Bay HorizonHorizon 11 10 52 .5014 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 11%
Montana Big SkyBig Sky 11 9 55 .4976 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 11%
Grambling SouthwesternSWAC 8 10 44 .4622 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 11%
UMass-LowellUMA-Lowell America EastAmerica East 8 12 40 .4377 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 10%
Southern SouthwesternSWAC 7 11 39 .4460 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 10%
Northern Colorado Big SkyBig Sky 11 9 55 .4860 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 9%
Central Arkansas Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 10 10 50 .4778 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 9%
SIU EdwardsvilleSIU Ed.ville Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 12 8 60 .4785 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 8%
SE Missouri St. Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 11 10 52 .4777 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 8%
Western Kentucky Conference USAConf. USA 11 8 58 .5063 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 8%
Morehead St. Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 10 10 50 .4727 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 8%
South Dakota St. SummitSummit 10 11 48 .4682 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 8%
Weber St. Big SkyBig Sky 10 10 50 .4702 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 8%
Dartmouth Ivy LeagueIvy League 9 8 53 .4868 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 8%
Coastal Carolina SunbeltSunbelt 12 9 57 .5050 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 7%
Charleston Southern Big SouthBig South 11 10 52 .4710 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 7%
Idaho St. Big SkyBig Sky 10 10 50 .4706 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 7%
Georgia Southern SunbeltSunbelt 13 8 62 .4985 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6%
CSU Northridge Big WestBig West 11 9 55 .4988 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6%
Missouri St. Conference USAConf. USA 11 8 58 .4941 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6%
Tarleton St. WACWAC 11 9 55 .4910 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6%
Abilene Christian WACWAC 10 9 53 .4898 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6%
Fairfield Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 12 9 57 .4909 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5%
Stony Brook CoastalCoastal 12 9 57 .5028 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5%
New Mexico St. Conference USAConf. USA 10 8 56 .4977 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5%
Texas A&M C.C. SouthlandSouth-land 10 9 53 .4855 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5%
Toledo MACMAC 10 9 53 .5057 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5%
Utah Tech WACWAC 10 11 48 .4791 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5%
UAB American AthleticAm. Athletic 12 8 60 .5132 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4%
UMass MACMAC 12 8 60 .5081 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4%
Ohio MACMAC 11 9 55 .4984 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4%
UNLV Mountain WestMntn West 10 8 56 .5292 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4%
Cornell Ivy LeagueIvy League 8 9 47 .4841 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4%
Seattle West CoastWest Coast 14 7 67 .5397 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3%
Richmond Atlantic 10Atl. 10 13 7 65 .5249 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3%
San Francisco West CoastWest Coast 13 7 65 .5323 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3%
Syracuse ACCACC 12 7 63 .5363 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3%
Wyoming Mountain WestMntn West 11 8 58 .5190 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3%
Xavier Big EastBig East 11 8 58 .5335 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3%
St. BonaventureSt. Bonavnt Atlantic 10Atl. 10 12 8 60 .5214 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2%
DePaul Big EastBig East 11 8 58 .5217 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2%
Oklahoma SECSEC 11 8 58 .5333 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2%
Ole Miss SECSEC 11 8 58 .5322 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2%
Rhode Island Atlantic 10Atl. 10 11 8 58 .5233 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2%
Arizona St. Big 12Big 12 10 9 53 .5365 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2%
Notre Dame ACCACC 10 9 53 .5375 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2%
Texas SECSEC 10 8 56 .5344 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2%
Washington Big 10Big 10 10 9 53 .5437 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2%
Cincinnati Big 12Big 12 10 9 53 .5332 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1%
Jackson St. SouthwesternSWAC 5 13 28 .4453 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 9%
PresbyterianPresbyter. Big SouthBig South 11 10 52 .4711 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 8%
South Dakota SummitSummit 11 10 52 .4654 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 8%
AR Pine Bluff SouthwesternSWAC 6 13 32 .4427 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 8%
North Dakota SummitSummit 11 12 48 .4585 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 7%
Radford Big SouthBig South 11 10 52 .4639 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 7%
Prairie View A&M SouthwesternSWAC 8 11 42 .4364 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 7%
New Hampshire America EastAmerica East 6 12 33 .4262 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 7%
Longwood Big SouthBig South 11 10 52 .4564 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 6%
Denver SummitSummit 9 12 43 .4595 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 6%
N.C. Asheville Big SouthBig South 9 12 43 .4584 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 6%
Albany America EastAmerica East 7 13 35 .4264 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 6%
Bryant America EastAmerica East 6 13 32 .4232 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 6%
Morgan St. MideasternMid-Eastern 6 13 32 .3900 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 6%
Eastern Illinois Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 9 11 45 .4553 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 5%
S. Carolina Upstate Big SouthBig South 9 12 43 .4518 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 5%
UALR Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 9 11 45 .4612 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 5%
West Georgia Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 9 10 47 .4622 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 5%
Holy Cross Patriot LeaguePatriot League 8 12 40 .4502 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 5%
Lehigh Patriot LeaguePatriot League 8 12 40 .4403 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 5%
Nicholls St. SouthlandSouth-land 8 11 42 .4811 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 5%
S. Carolina St. MideasternMid-Eastern 4 16 20 .3818 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 5%
Campbell CoastalCoastal 9 11 45 .4899 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4%
ChattanoogaChattan. SouthernSouthern 9 11 45 .4532 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4%
Nebraska Omaha SummitSummit 9 12 43 .4397 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4%
Samford SouthernSouthern 9 11 45 .4595 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4%
Fair. Dickinson NortheastNorth East 6 13 32 .4005 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4%
Stonehill NortheastNorth East 6 13 32 .4035 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4%
Alabama St. SouthwesternSWAC 5 13 28 .4279 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4%
St. Francis NortheastNorth East 5 14 26 .4097 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4%
Appalachian St.App. St. SunbeltSunbelt 12 9 57 .4932 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
Charlotte American AthleticAm. Athletic 10 9 53 .4955 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
Hampton CoastalCoastal 10 10 50 .4763 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
Lamar SouthlandSouth-land 10 9 53 .4760 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
Louisiana Tech Conference USAConf. USA 10 8 56 .4810 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
Valparaiso Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 10 10 50 .4873 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
CSU Fullerton Big WestBig West 9 12 43 .4769 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
Jacksonville StateJacksnvlle St. Conference USAConf. USA 9 9 50 .4674 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
Army Patriot LeaguePatriot League 8 12 40 .4384 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
Boston U. Patriot LeaguePatriot League 8 12 40 .4369 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
Fla Gulf Coast Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 8 12 40 .4586 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
N.C. Greensboro SouthernSouthern 8 12 40 .4493 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
Wis. Milwaukee HorizonHorizon 8 13 38 .4651 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
New Orleans SouthlandSouth-land 7 12 37 .4764 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
Bucknell Patriot LeaguePatriot League 6 14 30 .4359 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
Sacramento St. Big SkyBig Sky 6 12 33 .4304 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
Wagner NortheastNorth East 6 11 35 .3948 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
Western Carolina SouthernSouthern 6 12 33 .4390 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
Delaware St. MideasternMid-Eastern 5 14 26 .3854 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
Alcorn St. SouthwesternSWAC 3 14 18 .4148 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
Pacific West CoastWest Coast 13 8 62 .5218 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Southern Miss SunbeltSunbelt 11 10 52 .4816 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
St. Joseph's Atlantic 10Atl. 10 11 8 58 .5110 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Texas State SunbeltSunbelt 11 10 52 .4752 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Drake Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 10 10 50 .4838 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
UIC Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 10 10 50 .4793 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Youngstown St. HorizonHorizon 10 11 48 .4624 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Drexel CoastalCoastal 9 11 45 .4707 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Eastern Michigan MACMAC 9 10 47 .4842 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
FIU Conference USAConf. USA 9 10 47 .4631 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Monmouth CoastalCoastal 9 11 45 .4753 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Detroit HorizonHorizon 8 11 42 .4556 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Mount St. Mary's Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 8 13 38 .4552 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Southern Illinois Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 8 12 40 .4789 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
UT-Rio Grande Valley SouthlandSouth-land 8 11 42 .4651 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Bellarmine Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 7 12 37 .4447 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Eastern Kentucky Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 7 13 35 .4497 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
JacksonvilleJack.ville Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 7 13 35 .4469 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Stetson Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 7 13 35 .4389 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Princeton Ivy LeagueIvy League 6 13 32 .4471 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Texas Southern SouthwesternSWAC 4 13 24 .3901 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Loyola Marymount West CoastWest Coast 11 11 50 .4997 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
South Carolina SECSEC 11 8 58 .5273 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Duquesne Atlantic 10Atl. 10 10 9 53 .4942 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Kansas St. Big 12Big 12 10 9 53 .5310 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Mississippi St.Miss. St. SECSEC 10 9 53 .5273 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Fresno St. Mountain WestMntn West 9 10 47 .4935 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Georgetown Big EastBig East 9 10 47 .5058 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Incarnate Word SouthlandSouth-land 9 10 47 .4571 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Indiana St. Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 9 11 45 .4773 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
James Madison SunbeltSunbelt 9 11 45 .4773 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Providence Big EastBig East 9 10 47 .5207 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Canisius Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 8 12 40 .4487 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
East Texas A&M SouthlandSouth-land 8 12 40 .4593 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Georgia St. SunbeltSunbelt 8 12 40 .4537 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Long Beach St. Big WestBig West 8 12 40 .4567 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Manhattan Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 8 13 38 .4476 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
N. Carolina A&T CoastalCoastal 8 10 44 .4599 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Sacred Heart Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 8 13 38 .4544 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Brown Ivy LeagueIvy League 7 10 41 .4475 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Cal Poly Big WestBig West 7 13 35 .4553 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Cleveland St. HorizonHorizon 7 14 33 .4249 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
La Salle Atlantic 10Atl. 10 7 13 35 .4725 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Southern Utah WACWAC 7 13 35 .4409 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
UC Riverside Big WestBig West 7 13 35 .4537 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
UTEP Conference USAConf. USA 7 12 37 .4415 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Citadel SouthernSouthern 6 14 30 .4067 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Loyola-MD Patriot LeaguePatriot League 6 14 30 .4010 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
NortheasternN. Eastern CoastalCoastal 6 13 32 .4581 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Northern Arizona Big SkyBig Sky 6 14 30 .4023 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Lafayette Patriot LeaguePatriot League 5 15 25 .4022 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Oral Roberts SummitSummit 5 16 24 .3976 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Eastern Washington Big SkyBig Sky 4 15 21 .4186 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Maine America EastAmerica East 4 17 19 .3988 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Georgia Tech ACCACC 11 8 58 .5192 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Fordham Atlantic 10Atl. 10 10 10 50 .4641 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Minnesota Big 10Big 10 10 9 53 .5205 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Oregon St. West CoastWest Coast 10 12 45 .4899 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Portland West CoastWest Coast 10 11 48 .4876 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Boston College ACCACC 9 10 47 .4923 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Le Moyne NortheastNorth East 9 10 47 .4634 X X X X X X X
Mercyhurst NortheastNorth East 9 11 45 .4526 X X X X X X X
New Haven NortheastNorth East 9 11 45 .4447 X X X X X X X
NorthwesternN. Western Big 10Big 10 9 10 47 .5191 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Penn State Big 10Big 10 9 10 47 .5047 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Rutgers Big 10Big 10 9 11 45 .5034 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
San Diego West CoastWest Coast 9 12 43 .4724 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Utah Big 12Big 12 9 10 47 .5141 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild Big WestBig West 8 13 38 .4491 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Florida St. ACCACC 8 11 42 .4986 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Maryland Big 10Big 10 8 10 44 .4995 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Oregon Big 10Big 10 8 11 42 .5074 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Pittsburgh ACCACC 8 11 42 .4944 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Rice American AthleticAm. Athletic 8 11 42 .4561 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Washington St. West CoastWest Coast 8 13 38 .4817 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Houston Christian SouthlandSouth-land 7 12 37 .4382 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Marquette Big EastBig East 7 13 35 .4799 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Tennessee Tech Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 7 13 35 .4243 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Western Michigan MACMAC 7 12 37 .4683 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Ball State MACMAC 6 13 32 .4175 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
IU Indy HorizonHorizon 6 16 27 .4198 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
North Alabama Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 6 12 33 .4261 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Northern Illinois MACMAC 6 12 33 .4388 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Northwestern St.NWestrn St SouthlandSouth-land 6 13 32 .4302 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Old Dominion SunbeltSunbelt 6 15 29 .4467 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Pepperdine West CoastWest Coast 6 15 29 .4352 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
San José State Mountain WestMntn West 6 13 32 .4610 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
VMI SouthernSouthern 6 14 30 .3998 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Central Michigan MACMAC 5 14 26 .4195 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Delaware Conference USAConf. USA 5 13 28 .4271 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
E. Carolina American AthleticAm. Athletic 5 14 26 .4279 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Evansville Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 5 15 25 .4332 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
LA Lafayette SunbeltSunbelt 5 16 24 .4247 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Loyola Chicago Atlantic 10Atl. 10 5 15 25 .4344 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Niagara Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 5 14 26 .4097 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
SE Louisiana SouthlandSouth-land 5 14 26 .4276 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Binghamton America EastAmerica East 4 17 19 .3522 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
North Florida Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 4 16 20 .3995 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Southern Indiana Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 4 15 21 .3885 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Texas-San Antonio American AthleticAm. Athletic 4 15 21 .4166 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
UMKC SummitSummit 4 16 20 .3729 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Western Illinois Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 4 16 20 .3695 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Air Force Mountain WestMntn West 3 16 16 .4175 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Coppin St. MideasternMid-Eastern 3 18 14 .3737 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
UL Monroe SunbeltSunbelt 3 17 15 .3582 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Chicago St. NortheastNorth East 2 17 11 .3631 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Gardner-WebbGardnr-Wbb Big SouthBig South 2 19 10 .3196 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Rider Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 2 16 11 .3658 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Miss. Valley St. SouthwesternSWAC 1 19 5 .3159 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team has already proceeded to the next tournament round
  • X means the team did not proceed to this tournament round
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this tournament round - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this tournament round - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot