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Tue Dec 2 1:30 am

NCAA Basketball - Week 5 of 18

NCAA Basketball Tournament Performance Probabilities

How far is your team going to proceed into the college basketball tournament? The NCAA Basketball Tournament Performance Probabilities table presents the probabilities that your college team will proceed to different tournament rounds. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths. Click a team name to proceed to the team playoff picture page.

NCAA Basketball Tournament Performance Probabilities
Team ConferenceConf Record WPi
Win Percentage
NPIi
NCAA Power Index
NCAA Basketball
National Champions
Championship Game
Participate
Final Four Elite Eight Sweet Sixteen Round 2 Round 1
W L
Michigan Big 10Big 10 6 0 100 .6674 4% 7% 13% 23% 39% 66% 89%
Gonzaga West CoastWest Coast 7 0 100 .6636 4% 7% 12% 23% 40% 68% 92%
Arizona Big 12Big 12 7 0 100 .6661 3% 7% 12% 21% 38% 64% 88%
USC Big 10Big 10 7 0 100 .6617 3% 6% 11% 21% 37% 63% 87%
Nebraska Big 10Big 10 8 0 100 .6441 3% 6% 11% 19% 34% 59% 83%
Michigan St. Big 10Big 10 7 0 100 .6445 3% 6% 11% 19% 34% 59% 82%
Colorado Big 12Big 12 8 0 100 .6433 3% 6% 10% 18% 32% 56% 79%
Purdue Big 10Big 10 7 0 100 .6614 3% 6% 10% 18% 32% 56% 79%
SMU ACCACC 8 0 100 .6273 2% 5% 8% 16% 28% 50% 73%
Vanderbilt SECSEC 7 0 100 .6380 2% 4% 8% 15% 28% 49% 73%
Duke ACCACC 8 0 100 .6233 2% 4% 8% 15% 27% 48% 70%
St. Mary's West CoastWest Coast 8 0 100 .6400 2% 4% 8% 14% 27% 49% 73%
Yale Ivy LeagueIvy League 7 1 88 .6110 2% 4% 7% 14% 27% 50% 81%
Indiana Big 10Big 10 7 0 100 .6231 2% 4% 7% 13% 24% 42% 62%
BYU Big 12Big 12 6 1 86 .6349 2% 4% 7% 13% 23% 41% 61%
Iowa St. Big 12Big 12 7 0 100 .6268 2% 4% 7% 12% 23% 41% 60%
Oklahoma St. Big 12Big 12 7 0 100 .6154 2% 4% 6% 12% 22% 39% 59%
Utah St. Mountain WestMntn West 7 0 100 .6405 2% 3% 7% 13% 24% 44% 70%
St. BonaventureSt. Bonavnt Atlantic 10Atl. 10 7 1 88 .6107 2% 3% 6% 13% 23% 43% 66%
UC San Diego Big WestBig West 7 0 100 .6269 2% 3% 6% 12% 23% 44% 72%
George Mason Atlantic 10Atl. 10 8 0 100 .6201 2% 3% 6% 11% 21% 40% 62%
UConn Big EastBig East 6 1 86 .6312 2% 3% 6% 11% 21% 38% 59%
Louisville ACCACC 7 0 100 .6135 2% 3% 6% 11% 21% 38% 58%
Iowa Big 10Big 10 7 0 100 .6052 2% 3% 6% 11% 21% 38% 56%
Houston Big 12Big 12 7 1 88 .6083 2% 3% 6% 11% 20% 35% 54%
Buffalo MACMAC 8 0 100 .6109 1% 3% 6% 11% 22% 41% 66%
Tennessee SECSEC 7 1 88 .6143 1% 3% 5% 10% 19% 35% 54%
UCF Big 12Big 12 7 1 88 .6052 1% 3% 5% 10% 19% 35% 53%
Belmont Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 8 0 100 .6054 1% 2% 5% 10% 19% 37% 62%
LSU SECSEC 6 0 100 .6000 1% 2% 5% 9% 16% 31% 48%
North Carolina ACCACC 6 1 86 .6047 1% 2% 5% 9% 16% 30% 46%
Butler Big EastBig East 6 1 86 .6065 1% 2% 4% 9% 16% 31% 49%
Tulsa American AthleticAm. Athletic 6 1 86 .6131 1% 2% 4% 8% 16% 31% 54%
Seton Hall Big EastBig East 6 1 86 .6031 1% 2% 4% 8% 16% 29% 47%
Baylor Big 12Big 12 5 1 83 .5994 1% 2% 4% 8% 15% 28% 43%
Stanford ACCACC 7 1 88 .5955 1% 2% 4% 8% 15% 27% 43%
Texas Tech Big 12Big 12 6 2 75 .6060 1% 2% 4% 8% 14% 27% 41%
Kansas Big 12Big 12 6 2 75 .6041 1% 2% 4% 8% 14% 26% 41%
California Baptist WACWAC 7 1 88 .5776 1% 2% 3% 7% 14% 30% 57%
Missouri SECSEC 8 0 100 .5794 1% 2% 3% 7% 13% 25% 41%
Georgia SECSEC 7 1 88 .5760 1% 2% 3% 6% 12% 23% 38%
Columbia Ivy LeagueIvy League 7 1 88 .5866 1% 1% 3% 7% 14% 28% 52%
Clemson ACCACC 7 1 88 .5856 1% 1% 3% 6% 13% 25% 39%
California ACCACC 6 1 86 .5853 1% 1% 3% 6% 11% 22% 36%
Penn State Big 10Big 10 7 1 88 .5679 1% 1% 3% 6% 11% 21% 34%
Davidson Atlantic 10Atl. 10 6 1 86 .5911 1% 1% 3% 5% 11% 22% 38%
Villanova Big EastBig East 6 1 86 .5734 1% 1% 3% 5% 10% 20% 34%
Virginia ACCACC 6 1 86 .5710 1% 1% 3% 5% 10% 20% 33%
Alabama SECSEC 4 2 67 .6057 1% 1% 3% 5% 10% 20% 33%
Illinois Big 10Big 10 6 2 75 .5837 1% 1% 3% 5% 10% 20% 32%
High Point Big SouthBig South 7 1 88 .5863 1% 1% 2% 5% 12% 25% 54%
Arizona St. Big 12Big 12 6 2 75 .5707 1% 1% 2% 4% 9% 17% 29%
Virginia Tech ACCACC 6 2 75 .5729 1% 1% 2% 4% 9% 17% 29%
New Mexico St. Conference USAConf. USA 6 0 100 .6176 <1% 1% 2% 5% 11% 24% 45%
Saint Louis Atlantic 10Atl. 10 6 1 86 .5814 <1% 1% 2% 5% 10% 20% 35%
South Alabama SunbeltSunbelt 7 1 88 .5628 <1% 1% 2% 4% 9% 20% 38%
Miami OH MACMAC 6 0 100 .5775 <1% 1% 2% 4% 9% 20% 37%
Northern Iowa Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 7 1 88 .5710 <1% 1% 2% 4% 9% 19% 36%
Rhode Island Atlantic 10Atl. 10 6 2 75 .5754 <1% 1% 2% 4% 9% 18% 33%
Dayton Atlantic 10Atl. 10 6 2 75 .5644 <1% 1% 2% 4% 8% 17% 30%
Wake Forest ACCACC 6 2 75 .5673 <1% 1% 2% 4% 8% 17% 28%
St. John's Big EastBig East 4 2 67 .5914 <1% 1% 2% 4% 8% 16% 29%
Florida SECSEC 5 2 71 .5665 <1% 1% 2% 4% 8% 16% 27%
Ohio St. Big 10Big 10 6 1 86 .5686 <1% 1% 2% 4% 8% 15% 26%
Washington Big 10Big 10 5 2 71 .5668 <1% 1% 2% 4% 7% 15% 25%
Auburn SECSEC 5 2 71 .5646 <1% 1% 2% 4% 7% 14% 25%
William & Mary CoastalCoastal 7 2 78 .5659 <1% 1% 1% 3% 7% 15% 32%
Akron MACMAC 6 2 75 .5613 <1% 1% 1% 3% 7% 15% 30%
NorthwesternN. Western Big 10Big 10 5 2 71 .5615 <1% 1% 1% 3% 7% 13% 23%
Marshall SunbeltSunbelt 5 2 71 .5497 <1% 1% 1% 3% 6% 14% 31%
New Mexico Mountain WestMntn West 6 2 75 .5698 <1% 1% 1% 3% 6% 14% 27%
Miami ACCACC 6 2 75 .5589 <1% 1% 1% 3% 6% 12% 21%
Arkansas SECSEC 5 2 71 .5540 <1% 1% 1% 3% 6% 12% 21%
Kansas St. Big 12Big 12 5 3 63 .5707 <1% 1% 1% 3% 6% 12% 21%
N.C. State ACCACC 5 2 71 .5619 <1% 1% 1% 2% 5% 11% 20%
Wisconsin Big 10Big 10 5 2 71 .5589 <1% 1% 1% 2% 5% 11% 19%
Santa Clara West CoastWest Coast 6 2 75 .6083 <1% <1% 1% 3% 6% 14% 26%
E. Tennessee St. SouthernSouthern 6 1 86 .5498 <1% <1% 1% 2% 6% 14% 34%
UNC Wilmington CoastalCoastal 7 1 88 .5540 <1% <1% 1% 2% 6% 14% 30%
Northern Colorado Big SkyBig Sky 7 1 88 .5669 <1% <1% 1% 2% 6% 13% 33%
Siena Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 7 2 78 .5328 <1% <1% 1% 2% 6% 13% 30%
McNeese SouthlandSouth-land 6 2 75 .5640 <1% <1% 1% 2% 5% 12% 29%
Bowling Green MACMAC 6 2 75 .5618 <1% <1% 1% 2% 5% 12% 24%
Mercer SouthernSouthern 5 2 71 .5473 <1% <1% 1% 2% 5% 11% 29%
Iona Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 6 2 75 .5330 <1% <1% 1% 2% 5% 11% 26%
Towson CoastalCoastal 5 3 63 .5548 <1% <1% 1% 2% 5% 11% 25%
Illinois St. Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 6 2 75 .5509 <1% <1% 1% 2% 5% 11% 23%
Wyoming Mountain WestMntn West 6 2 75 .5625 <1% <1% 1% 2% 5% 11% 23%
Pacific West CoastWest Coast 6 2 75 .5579 <1% <1% 1% 2% 5% 10% 20%
Richmond Atlantic 10Atl. 10 6 1 86 .5598 <1% <1% 1% 2% 5% 10% 20%
Texas A&M SECSEC 6 2 75 .5478 <1% <1% 1% 2% 5% 10% 19%
Oklahoma SECSEC 5 2 71 .5528 <1% <1% 1% 2% 5% 10% 19%
Long Island U. NortheastNorth East 4 3 57 .5244 <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 11% 42%
St. Thomas SummitSummit 6 3 67 .5446 <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 10% 31%
Northern Kentucky HorizonHorizon 6 2 75 .5474 <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 10% 27%
Stephen F. Austin SouthlandSouth-land 5 2 71 .5341 <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 10% 26%
Sam Houston Conference USAConf. USA 5 2 71 .5663 <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 10% 24%
UC Davis Big WestBig West 5 2 71 .5560 <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 10% 23%
Florida Atlantic American AthleticAm. Athletic 5 3 63 .5558 <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 10% 21%
Seattle West CoastWest Coast 5 2 71 .5569 <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 10% 19%
Stony Brook CoastalCoastal 6 2 75 .5495 <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 9% 21%
Colorado St. Mountain WestMntn West 6 2 75 .5389 <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 9% 19%
Cincinnati Big 12Big 12 6 2 75 .5456 <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 9% 17%
Geo. Washington Atlantic 10Atl. 10 6 2 75 .5424 <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 9% 17%
TCU Big 12Big 12 5 2 71 .5552 <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 9% 17%
UCLA Big 10Big 10 5 2 71 .5505 <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 9% 17%
VCU Atlantic 10Atl. 10 5 3 63 .5499 <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 9% 17%
Utah Big 12Big 12 6 2 75 .5491 <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 9% 16%
West Virginia Big 12Big 12 6 2 75 .5493 <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 9% 16%
South Carolina SECSEC 5 2 71 .5451 <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 9% 16%
Loyola Marymount West CoastWest Coast 7 2 78 .5413 <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 8% 16%
Georgetown Big EastBig East 5 2 71 .5415 <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 8% 16%
San Francisco West CoastWest Coast 5 2 71 .5488 <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 8% 16%
Florida St. ACCACC 5 2 71 .5422 <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 8% 15%
Kentucky SECSEC 5 2 71 .5432 <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 8% 15%
Notre Dame ACCACC 5 3 63 .5425 <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 8% 15%
Creighton Big EastBig East 4 3 57 .5447 <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 8% 15%
Ole Miss SECSEC 5 2 71 .5372 <1% <1% 1% 2% 3% 7% 14%
Quinnipiac Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 5 3 63 .5372 <1% <1% 1% 1% 3% 8% 21%
Kent State MACMAC 7 2 78 .5378 <1% <1% 1% 1% 3% 8% 18%
UCSB Big WestBig West 6 2 75 .5447 <1% <1% 1% 1% 3% 8% 18%
Tulane American AthleticAm. Athletic 5 2 71 .5305 <1% <1% 1% 1% 3% 8% 18%
Pittsburgh ACCACC 5 3 63 .5398 <1% <1% 1% 1% 3% 7% 13%
Maryland Big 10Big 10 5 2 71 .5388 <1% <1% 1% 1% 3% 6% 12%
Central Conn. NortheastNorth East 5 2 71 .5358 <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 10% 38%
Tenn-MartinTN-Martin Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 5 2 71 .5345 <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 9% 27%
UT Arlington WACWAC 6 2 75 .5276 <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 8% 21%
Arkansas St. SunbeltSunbelt 5 3 63 .5350 <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 8% 19%
Colgate Patriot LeaguePatriot League 5 4 56 .5063 <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 7% 27%
West Georgia Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 5 3 63 .5211 <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 7% 22%
Fairfield Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 5 3 63 .5236 <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 7% 19%
Western Kentucky Conference USAConf. USA 5 2 71 .5325 <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 7% 18%
Cornell Ivy LeagueIvy League 5 2 71 .5315 <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 7% 17%
Nevada Mountain WestMntn West 4 3 57 .5448 <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 6% 15%
Vermont America EastAmerica East 5 4 56 .5026 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 6% 29%
UMBC America EastAmerica East 5 2 71 .4946 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 6% 28%
Winthrop Big SouthBig South 4 4 50 .5161 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 6% 20%
Robert Morris HorizonHorizon 6 3 67 .5154 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 6% 19%
Wofford SouthernSouthern 5 3 63 .5191 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 6% 19%
Portland St. Big SkyBig Sky 4 2 67 .5266 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 6% 19%
Liberty Conference USAConf. USA 5 2 71 .5379 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 6% 16%
Hofstra CoastalCoastal 5 3 63 .5269 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 6% 15%
Hawai'i Big WestBig West 6 2 75 .5196 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 6% 14%
Eastern Michigan MACMAC 5 3 63 .5260 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 6% 14%
Alabama A&M SouthwesternSWAC 3 3 50 .4986 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 5% 22%
Tennessee St. Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 5 3 63 .5104 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 5% 18%
Lipscomb Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 4 4 50 .5207 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 5% 17%
Northern Arizona Big SkyBig Sky 4 2 67 .5201 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 5% 17%
Utah Valley WACWAC 5 2 71 .5275 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 5% 16%
Austin Peay Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 4 3 57 .5143 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 5% 16%
Middle Tenn. Conference USAConf. USA 5 3 63 .5265 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 5% 14%
UAB American AthleticAm. Athletic 6 3 67 .5282 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 5% 13%
Murray State Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 5 3 63 .5250 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 5% 13%
North Texas American AthleticAm. Athletic 6 2 75 .5174 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 5% 12%
Xavier Big EastBig East 6 3 67 .5347 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 5% 12%
Texas SECSEC 5 2 71 .5229 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 5% 9%
Incarnate Word SouthlandSouth-land 5 3 63 .5233 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 15%
Oakland HorizonHorizon 3 5 38 .5143 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 15%
Toledo MACMAC 5 3 63 .5215 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 11%
Providence Big EastBig East 4 4 50 .5305 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 9%
South Florida American AthleticAm. Athletic 4 4 50 .5110 <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 3% 9%
Georgia Tech ACCACC 5 3 63 .5219 <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 3% 7%
South Dakota SummitSummit 5 3 63 .4972 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 18%
SIU EdwardsvilleSIU Ed.ville Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 5 3 63 .4998 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 15%
Tarleton St. WACWAC 5 4 56 .5068 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 13%
Valparaiso Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 5 2 71 .5049 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 11%
American Patriot LeaguePatriot League 5 4 56 .4727 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 15%
North Dakota St. SummitSummit 5 3 63 .4860 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 15%
Boston U. Patriot LeaguePatriot League 3 5 38 .4766 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 15%
Denver SummitSummit 2 5 29 .4877 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 14%
Fla Gulf Coast Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 5 3 63 .4953 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 13%
Lindenwood Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 3 4 43 .4865 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 13%
Green Bay HorizonHorizon 4 5 44 .5022 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 12%
Lamar SouthlandSouth-land 4 2 67 .4852 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 11%
Marist Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 4 2 67 .4886 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 10%
JacksonvilleJack.ville Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 3 4 43 .4912 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 10%
Coastal Carolina SunbeltSunbelt 5 3 63 .4986 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 9%
James Madison SunbeltSunbelt 5 4 56 .5035 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 9%
Kennesaw St. Conference USAConf. USA 5 2 71 .4967 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 9%
Louisiana Tech Conference USAConf. USA 4 2 67 .5042 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 9%
San Diego St. Mountain WestMntn West 3 3 50 .5160 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 8%
DePaul Big EastBig East 5 2 71 .5193 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 7%
Syracuse ACCACC 4 3 57 .5131 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 6%
MD Eastern Shore MideasternMid-Eastern 4 6 40 .4321 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 24%
Navy Patriot LeaguePatriot League 4 5 44 .4775 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 14%
Grambling SouthwesternSWAC 3 4 43 .4666 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 14%
Alabama St. SouthwesternSWAC 3 5 38 .4782 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 13%
Idaho Big SkyBig Sky 4 3 57 .4947 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 11%
Canisius Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 4 4 50 .4904 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 9%
Furman SouthernSouthern 4 4 50 .4780 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 9%
Youngstown St. HorizonHorizon 4 4 50 .4839 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 9%
Western Carolina SouthernSouthern 3 4 43 .4737 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 9%
New Orleans SouthlandSouth-land 2 5 29 .4940 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 9%
PennsylvaniaPenn. Ivy LeagueIvy League 5 3 63 .5000 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 8%
Troy SunbeltSunbelt 5 5 50 .5002 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 8%
Bradley Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 4 4 50 .5063 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 8%
Wright St. HorizonHorizon 4 4 50 .4722 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 8%
Fresno St. Mountain WestMntn West 6 3 67 .5063 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 7%
Boise St. Mountain WestMntn West 5 3 63 .5452 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 7%
Drake Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 5 3 63 .5036 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 7%
Grand Canyon Mountain WestMntn West 4 3 57 .5012 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 7%
Duquesne Atlantic 10Atl. 10 5 2 71 .5037 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 6%
Southern Miss SunbeltSunbelt 4 3 57 .4775 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 6%
Temple American AthleticAm. Athletic 4 4 50 .4938 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 6%
N. Carolina A&T CoastalCoastal 3 2 60 .4798 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 6%
UMass MACMAC 4 3 57 .4935 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 5%
Rutgers Big 10Big 10 5 3 63 .5088 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 3%
Norfolk St. MideasternMid-Eastern 4 5 44 .4318 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 23%
NJIT America EastAmerica East 3 6 33 .4596 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 14%
Charleston Southern Big SouthBig South 5 4 56 .4694 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 9%
Samford SouthernSouthern 4 5 44 .4759 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 8%
Howard MideasternMid-Eastern 4 5 44 .4134 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 18%
N.C. Central MideasternMid-Eastern 3 6 33 .3342 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 16%
Wagner NortheastNorth East 1 5 17 .4282 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 10%
S. Carolina Upstate Big SouthBig South 4 5 44 .4599 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 9%
Lehigh Patriot LeaguePatriot League 3 6 33 .4516 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 9%
Bryant America EastAmerica East 2 6 25 .4160 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 9%
PresbyterianPresbyter. Big SouthBig South 5 5 50 .4607 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 8%
South Dakota St. SummitSummit 4 4 50 .4561 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 8%
Southern SouthwesternSWAC 4 4 50 .4240 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 8%
Prairie View A&M SouthwesternSWAC 3 5 38 .4332 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 8%
UMass-LowellUMA-Lowell America EastAmerica East 3 6 33 .4102 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 8%
Bethune-CookmanBethn-Ckmn SouthwesternSWAC 2 6 25 .4403 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 8%
Utah Tech WACWAC 5 5 50 .4642 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 7%
Idaho St. Big SkyBig Sky 4 4 50 .4777 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 7%
Montana Big SkyBig Sky 4 4 50 .4664 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 7%
Bellarmine Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 3 4 43 .4568 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 7%
Southern Indiana Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 3 5 38 .4581 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 7%
Jackson St. SouthwesternSWAC 1 6 14 .4384 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 7%
Abilene Christian WACWAC 5 3 63 .4632 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6%
East Texas A&M SouthlandSouth-land 4 3 57 .4631 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6%
Elon CoastalCoastal 4 3 57 .4900 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6%
Longwood Big SouthBig South 4 5 44 .4449 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6%
Loyola-MD Patriot LeaguePatriot League 4 5 44 .4330 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6%
Montana St. Big SkyBig Sky 3 5 38 .4535 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6%
Morehead St. Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 3 5 38 .4332 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6%
Oral Roberts SummitSummit 3 6 33 .4323 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6%
Weber St. Big SkyBig Sky 3 4 43 .4564 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6%
Wis. Milwaukee HorizonHorizon 3 5 38 .4598 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6%
Texas State SunbeltSunbelt 6 4 60 .4804 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5%
Harvard Ivy LeagueIvy League 5 4 56 .4839 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5%
UC Irvine Big WestBig West 5 4 56 .4970 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5%
CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild Big WestBig West 4 4 50 .4855 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5%
ChattanoogaChattan. SouthernSouthern 4 4 50 .4473 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5%
Houston Christian SouthlandSouth-land 4 3 57 .4378 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5%
North Alabama Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 4 4 50 .4520 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5%
Sacramento St. Big SkyBig Sky 4 5 44 .4446 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5%
Wichita St. American AthleticAm. Athletic 4 4 50 .4965 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5%
Campbell CoastalCoastal 3 4 43 .4874 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5%
Central Arkansas Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 3 5 38 .4453 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5%
N.C. Asheville Big SouthBig South 3 4 43 .4406 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5%
NortheasternN. Eastern CoastalCoastal 3 4 43 .4927 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5%
Queens U. Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 3 5 38 .4404 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5%
Tennessee Tech Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 3 5 38 .4367 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5%
SE Missouri St. Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 2 6 25 .4507 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5%
Cal Poly Big WestBig West 4 5 44 .4910 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4%
Indiana St. Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 4 4 50 .4814 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4%
Monmouth CoastalCoastal 4 4 50 .4744 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4%
UC Riverside Big WestBig West 4 4 50 .4722 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4%
UIC Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 4 3 57 .4802 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4%
FIU Conference USAConf. USA 3 3 50 .4486 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4%
IU Indy HorizonHorizon 3 6 33 .4512 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4%
Texas A&M C.C. SouthlandSouth-land 2 5 29 .3792 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4%
UT-Rio Grande Valley SouthlandSouth-land 2 4 33 .4462 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4%
Portland West CoastWest Coast 5 4 56 .5047 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3%
Charleston CoastalCoastal 4 5 44 .4740 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3%
Drexel CoastalCoastal 4 4 50 .4542 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3%
Oregon Big 10Big 10 4 3 57 .5017 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3%
CSU Fullerton Big WestBig West 3 5 38 .4699 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3%
Mississippi St.Miss. St. SECSEC 3 4 43 .5147 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3%
Memphis American AthleticAm. Athletic 2 4 33 .4718 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3%
St. Joseph's Atlantic 10Atl. 10 4 3 57 .4827 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2%
Coppin St. MideasternMid-Eastern 2 8 20 .3879 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 7%
Albany America EastAmerica East 4 6 40 .3503 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 6%
Texas Southern SouthwesternSWAC 1 5 17 .3560 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 6%
Army Patriot LeaguePatriot League 3 6 33 .4272 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 5%
North Dakota SummitSummit 3 6 33 .4309 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 5%
Bucknell Patriot LeaguePatriot League 2 7 22 .4429 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 5%
New Hampshire America EastAmerica East 2 6 25 .3280 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 5%
AR Pine Bluff SouthwesternSWAC 0 8 0 .3776 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 5%
S. Carolina St. MideasternMid-Eastern 0 8 0 .3380 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 5%
Nebraska Omaha SummitSummit 3 6 33 .4033 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4%
Delaware St. MideasternMid-Eastern 2 7 22 .3057 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4%
Eastern Illinois Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 2 5 29 .4135 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4%
Holy Cross Patriot LeaguePatriot League 2 6 25 .4155 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4%
Stonehill NortheastNorth East 2 7 22 .3785 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4%
Alcorn St. SouthwesternSWAC 1 8 11 .4141 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4%
Florida A&M SouthwesternSWAC 0 4 0 .3716 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4%
Fort Wayne HorizonHorizon 4 5 44 .4202 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
Georgia Southern SunbeltSunbelt 4 5 44 .4562 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
Missouri St. Conference USAConf. USA 4 3 57 .4336 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
Manhattan Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 3 5 38 .4339 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
Merrimack Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 3 6 33 .4571 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
Radford Big SouthBig South 3 6 33 .3898 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
SE Louisiana SouthlandSouth-land 3 5 38 .4519 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
VMI SouthernSouthern 3 7 30 .4307 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
Chicago St. NortheastNorth East 1 8 11 .3167 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
Morgan St. MideasternMid-Eastern 1 6 14 .3298 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
St. Francis NortheastNorth East 1 7 13 .3212 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
Fordham Atlantic 10Atl. 10 6 3 67 .4682 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Appalachian St.App. St. SunbeltSunbelt 4 5 44 .4468 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Marquette Big EastBig East 4 4 50 .4817 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Southern Illinois Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 4 4 50 .4567 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Southern Utah WACWAC 4 6 40 .3973 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Texas-San Antonio American AthleticAm. Athletic 4 4 50 .4637 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
CSU Northridge Big WestBig West 3 4 43 .4555 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Charlotte American AthleticAm. Athletic 3 5 38 .4568 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Cleveland St. HorizonHorizon 3 6 33 .4040 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Old Dominion SunbeltSunbelt 3 6 33 .4410 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Stetson Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 3 6 33 .4110 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
UNLV Mountain WestMntn West 3 5 38 .4703 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
UTEP Conference USAConf. USA 3 4 43 .3952 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Binghamton America EastAmerica East 2 6 25 .3057 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Detroit HorizonHorizon 2 6 25 .4240 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Sacred Heart Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 2 5 29 .4173 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
UALR Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 2 5 29 .4033 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Eastern Washington Big SkyBig Sky 1 6 14 .4055 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Boston College ACCACC 4 4 50 .4908 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Hampton CoastalCoastal 4 5 44 .4326 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Air Force Mountain WestMntn West 3 6 33 .4632 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Brown Ivy LeagueIvy League 3 5 38 .4385 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Central Michigan MACMAC 3 4 43 .4541 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Evansville Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 3 5 38 .4306 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Jacksonville StateJacksnvlle St. Conference USAConf. USA 3 4 43 .4152 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Northern Illinois MACMAC 3 4 43 .4516 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Princeton Ivy LeagueIvy League 3 7 30 .4273 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Rice American AthleticAm. Athletic 3 6 33 .4295 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
San José State Mountain WestMntn West 3 5 38 .4591 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Washington St. West CoastWest Coast 3 4 43 .4695 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Western Michigan MACMAC 3 5 38 .4715 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
E. Carolina American AthleticAm. Athletic 2 5 29 .4337 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Lafayette Patriot LeaguePatriot League 2 7 22 .3738 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Mount St. Mary's Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 2 6 25 .4295 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Niagara Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 2 5 29 .4005 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
North Florida Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 2 5 29 .3269 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
St. Peter's Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 2 4 33 .4134 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Western Illinois Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 2 6 25 .3100 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Eastern Kentucky Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 1 6 14 .3884 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Fair. Dickinson NortheastNorth East 1 6 14 .3135 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Miss. Valley St. SouthwesternSWAC 1 7 13 .3412 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
N.C. Greensboro SouthernSouthern 1 7 13 .4003 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Ohio MACMAC 1 6 14 .4329 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Rider Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 1 5 17 .2964 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
UMKC SummitSummit 1 6 14 .3416 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Nicholls St. SouthlandSouth-land 0 6 0 .3194 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
New Haven NortheastNorth East 5 4 56 .4793 X X X X X X X
Le Moyne NortheastNorth East 4 5 44 .4490 X X X X X X X
Minnesota Big 10Big 10 4 4 50 .4969 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Ball State MACMAC 3 5 38 .3966 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
La Salle Atlantic 10Atl. 10 3 6 33 .4278 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Mercyhurst NortheastNorth East 3 5 38 .4493 X X X X X X X
Oregon St. West CoastWest Coast 3 5 38 .4541 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Pepperdine West CoastWest Coast 3 5 38 .4284 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
San Diego West CoastWest Coast 3 4 43 .4318 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Citadel SouthernSouthern 2 6 25 .3318 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Dartmouth Ivy LeagueIvy League 2 3 40 .4024 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Delaware Conference USAConf. USA 2 5 29 .4273 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Long Beach St. Big WestBig West 2 6 25 .4052 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Georgia St. SunbeltSunbelt 1 7 13 .3412 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
LA Lafayette SunbeltSunbelt 1 7 13 .3947 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Loyola Chicago Atlantic 10Atl. 10 1 7 13 .3780 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Northwestern St.NWestrn St SouthlandSouth-land 1 6 14 .3266 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
UL Monroe SunbeltSunbelt 1 6 14 .3246 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Gardner-WebbGardnr-Wbb Big SouthBig South 0 9 0 .3380 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Maine America EastAmerica East 0 9 0 .3280 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team has already proceeded to the next tournament round
  • X means the team did not proceed to this tournament round
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this tournament round - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this tournament round - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot