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Fri Jan 16 10:15 pm

NCAA Basketball - Week 11 of 18

NCAA Basketball Tournament Performance Probabilities

How far is your team going to proceed into the college basketball tournament? The NCAA Basketball Tournament Performance Probabilities table presents the probabilities that your college team will proceed to different tournament rounds. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths. Click a team name to proceed to the team playoff picture page.

NCAA Basketball Tournament Performance Probabilities
Team ConferenceConf Record WPi
Win Percentage
NPIi
NCAA Power Index
NCAA Basketball
National Champions
Championship Game
Participate
Final Four Elite Eight Sweet Sixteen Round 2 Round 1
W L
Nebraska Big 10Big 10 17 0 100 .6889 7% 13% 23% 39% 63% 93% >99%
UConn Big EastBig East 17 1 94 .6704 7% 12% 22% 38% 62% 92% >99%
Arizona Big 12Big 12 16 0 100 .6826 7% 12% 21% 37% 61% 92% >99%
Duke ACCACC 16 1 94 .6730 6% 11% 20% 36% 60% 91% >99%
Michigan Big 10Big 10 14 1 93 .6541 6% 11% 20% 36% 60% 90% >99%
Purdue Big 10Big 10 16 1 94 .6661 6% 11% 19% 35% 59% 89% >99%
BYU Big 12Big 12 16 1 94 .6672 5% 10% 19% 33% 57% 88% >99%
Gonzaga West CoastWest Coast 18 0 100 .6673 5% 10% 18% 32% 56% 89% >99%
Vanderbilt SECSEC 15 1 94 .6478 4% 8% 15% 27% 50% 82% >99%
Houston Big 12Big 12 16 1 94 .6474 4% 7% 14% 26% 49% 81% >99%
Michigan St. Big 10Big 10 15 2 88 .6441 4% 7% 14% 26% 48% 80% >99%
Iowa St. Big 12Big 12 16 1 94 .6599 3% 6% 13% 25% 47% 80% 99%
St. Mary's West CoastWest Coast 17 1 94 .6395 3% 6% 11% 22% 43% 76% >99%
UCF Big 12Big 12 14 2 88 .6211 2% 4% 9% 18% 36% 67% 95%
Texas Tech Big 12Big 12 13 4 76 .6232 2% 4% 8% 17% 34% 64% 94%
Illinois Big 10Big 10 14 3 82 .6198 2% 4% 8% 17% 33% 63% 93%
Utah St. Mountain WestMntn West 15 1 94 .6233 2% 4% 8% 16% 34% 64% 95%
Virginia ACCACC 15 2 88 .6185 2% 4% 7% 16% 32% 62% 93%
Villanova Big EastBig East 14 3 82 .6080 1% 3% 7% 13% 27% 54% 86%
SMU ACCACC 13 4 76 .6119 1% 3% 6% 13% 26% 53% 85%
Clemson ACCACC 15 3 83 .6080 1% 3% 6% 12% 26% 54% 87%
Kansas Big 12Big 12 12 5 71 .6115 1% 3% 6% 12% 25% 52% 84%
North Carolina ACCACC 14 3 82 .6048 1% 3% 6% 12% 25% 51% 82%
George Mason Atlantic 10Atl. 10 17 1 94 .6116 1% 2% 5% 11% 25% 52% 87%
Saint Louis Atlantic 10Atl. 10 16 1 94 .6091 1% 2% 5% 11% 24% 52% 87%
Seton Hall Big EastBig East 13 3 81 .5999 1% 2% 5% 11% 22% 46% 78%
USC Big 10Big 10 14 3 82 .6028 1% 2% 5% 10% 21% 45% 76%
Miami ACCACC 15 2 88 .6030 1% 2% 4% 9% 20% 45% 76%
Stanford ACCACC 14 4 78 .6023 1% 2% 4% 9% 20% 44% 77%
Alabama SECSEC 11 5 69 .6041 1% 2% 4% 9% 20% 43% 73%
Arkansas SECSEC 12 4 75 .5937 1% 2% 3% 8% 16% 36% 62%
Miami OH MACMAC 18 0 100 .6050 1% 1% 3% 8% 19% 46% 83%
Florida SECSEC 12 5 71 .5897 1% 1% 3% 6% 14% 31% 56%
St. John's Big EastBig East 11 4 73 .5836 1% 1% 2% 5% 11% 25% 45%
Georgia SECSEC 14 3 82 .5827 <1% 1% 3% 6% 12% 28% 52%
Murray State Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 15 3 83 .5862 <1% 1% 2% 6% 13% 32% 64%
Virginia Tech ACCACC 13 5 72 .5863 <1% 1% 2% 6% 12% 29% 54%
New Mexico Mountain WestMntn West 13 3 81 .5851 <1% 1% 2% 5% 11% 26% 49%
Wisconsin Big 10Big 10 12 5 71 .5857 <1% 1% 2% 5% 11% 24% 45%
McNeese SouthlandSouth-land 14 3 82 .5811 <1% 1% 2% 4% 10% 27% 61%
Belmont Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 16 3 84 .5753 <1% 1% 2% 4% 10% 25% 53%
San Diego St. Mountain WestMntn West 12 4 75 .5830 <1% 1% 2% 4% 10% 23% 46%
Tennessee SECSEC 12 5 71 .5812 <1% 1% 2% 4% 8% 20% 39%
Louisville ACCACC 12 5 71 .5749 <1% 1% 2% 4% 8% 20% 36%
Liberty Conference USAConf. USA 14 3 82 .5798 <1% 1% 1% 3% 8% 22% 52%
Oklahoma St. Big 12Big 12 12 4 75 .5749 <1% 1% 1% 3% 8% 19% 36%
Missouri SECSEC 13 4 76 .5745 <1% 1% 1% 3% 8% 18% 35%
Texas A&M SECSEC 13 4 76 .5716 <1% 1% 1% 3% 7% 17% 33%
Colorado Big 12Big 12 12 4 75 .5655 <1% 1% 1% 3% 6% 15% 28%
Yale Ivy LeagueIvy League 12 3 80 .5728 <1% <1% 1% 3% 8% 23% 54%
Tulsa American AthleticAm. Athletic 14 3 82 .5745 <1% <1% 1% 3% 7% 19% 40%
N.C. State ACCACC 12 5 71 .5705 <1% <1% 1% 3% 6% 16% 30%
UNC Wilmington CoastalCoastal 15 2 88 .5666 <1% <1% 1% 2% 6% 18% 42%
Dayton Atlantic 10Atl. 10 13 4 76 .5637 <1% <1% 1% 2% 6% 15% 32%
Hofstra CoastalCoastal 13 5 72 .5648 <1% <1% 1% 2% 5% 14% 36%
Santa Clara West CoastWest Coast 14 5 74 .5754 <1% <1% 1% 2% 5% 14% 31%
Stephen F. Austin SouthlandSouth-land 14 3 82 .5562 <1% <1% 1% 2% 5% 13% 37%
Utah Valley WACWAC 14 4 78 .5634 <1% <1% 1% 2% 5% 13% 35%
Nevada Mountain WestMntn West 11 5 69 .5659 <1% <1% 1% 2% 5% 13% 28%
Iowa Big 10Big 10 12 5 71 .5664 <1% <1% 1% 2% 5% 12% 23%
Akron MACMAC 13 4 76 .5591 <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 11% 27%
Indiana Big 10Big 10 12 5 71 .5642 <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 11% 22%
UCLA Big 10Big 10 12 5 71 .5642 <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 10% 20%
VCU Atlantic 10Atl. 10 12 6 67 .5567 <1% <1% 1% 1% 4% 9% 21%
Ohio St. Big 10Big 10 11 5 69 .5624 <1% <1% 1% 1% 4% 9% 18%
California ACCACC 13 5 72 .5607 <1% <1% 1% 1% 3% 9% 18%
Auburn SECSEC 9 6 60 .5588 <1% <1% 1% 1% 3% 9% 17%
Syracuse ACCACC 12 5 71 .5570 <1% <1% 1% 1% 3% 8% 16%
Oklahoma SECSEC 11 5 69 .5578 <1% <1% 1% 1% 3% 8% 16%
Tenn-MartinTN-Martin Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 14 4 78 .5432 <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 10% 37%
Hawai'i Big WestBig West 13 3 81 .5503 <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 10% 31%
High Point Big SouthBig South 16 4 80 .5376 <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 9% 35%
Columbia Ivy LeagueIvy League 12 4 75 .5431 <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 9% 28%
St. Thomas SummitSummit 14 5 74 .5532 <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 8% 33%
UT Arlington WACWAC 12 5 71 .5422 <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 8% 26%
Troy SunbeltSunbelt 11 6 65 .5466 <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 8% 26%
Baylor Big 12Big 12 11 5 69 .5637 <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 8% 16%
California Baptist WACWAC 13 6 68 .5393 <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 7% 23%
Arkansas St. SunbeltSunbelt 11 6 65 .5451 <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 7% 22%
Florida Atlantic American AthleticAm. Athletic 12 6 67 .5500 <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 7% 19%
South Florida American AthleticAm. Athletic 11 6 65 .5525 <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 7% 18%
North Dakota St. SummitSummit 15 5 75 .5324 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 7% 31%
Furman SouthernSouthern 13 5 72 .5384 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 7% 28%
Oakland HorizonHorizon 10 9 53 .5314 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 6% 24%
UC San Diego Big WestBig West 13 5 72 .5399 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 6% 21%
Kent State MACMAC 14 5 74 .5501 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 6% 17%
Kentucky SECSEC 11 6 65 .5547 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 6% 13%
LSU SECSEC 11 5 69 .5522 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 6% 12%
Quinnipiac Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 12 6 67 .5315 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 5% 20%
Buffalo MACMAC 13 4 76 .5424 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 5% 14%
TCU Big 12Big 12 11 6 65 .5545 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 5% 10%
Wake Forest ACCACC 10 7 59 .5514 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 5% 10%
Tulane American AthleticAm. Athletic 12 5 71 .5348 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 12%
Washington Big 10Big 10 10 7 59 .5548 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 9%
Creighton Big EastBig East 11 8 58 .5524 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 8%
Northern Iowa Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 12 6 67 .5367 <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 4% 12%
Notre Dame ACCACC 10 7 59 .5496 <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 4% 8%
Texas SECSEC 10 6 63 .5506 <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 4% 8%
Long Island U. NortheastNorth East 9 7 56 .5110 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 7% 48%
Austin Peay Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 11 5 69 .5245 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 5% 26%
Portland St. Big SkyBig Sky 10 5 67 .5223 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 5% 25%
Lipscomb Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 11 7 61 .5178 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 5% 23%
Wright St. HorizonHorizon 12 7 63 .5240 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 5% 20%
UC Irvine Big WestBig West 12 6 67 .5276 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 5% 19%
Vermont America EastAmerica East 11 7 61 .4974 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 37%
Central Conn. NortheastNorth East 9 6 60 .5008 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 35%
Navy Patriot LeaguePatriot League 12 6 67 .5028 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 27%
Winthrop Big SouthBig South 12 8 60 .5122 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 23%
Tennessee St. Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 11 6 65 .5152 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 22%
Mercer SouthernSouthern 11 7 61 .5169 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 19%
Marist Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 11 5 69 .5227 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 17%
South Alabama SunbeltSunbelt 13 5 72 .5291 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 14%
Bradley Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 12 6 67 .5366 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 12%
Colgate Patriot LeaguePatriot League 10 8 56 .4900 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 25%
Queens U. Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 10 8 56 .5023 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 21%
E. Tennessee St. SouthernSouthern 12 6 67 .5092 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 18%
Wofford SouthernSouthern 11 6 65 .5047 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 16%
Northern Kentucky HorizonHorizon 14 6 70 .5186 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 15%
Green Bay HorizonHorizon 11 8 58 .5163 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 15%
Northern Colorado Big SkyBig Sky 11 7 61 .5085 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 15%
Iona Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 12 7 63 .5177 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 14%
Middle Tenn. Conference USAConf. USA 10 7 59 .5217 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 13%
Western Kentucky Conference USAConf. USA 11 6 65 .5228 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 12%
William & Mary CoastalCoastal 12 6 67 .5318 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 11%
Marshall SunbeltSunbelt 11 7 61 .5241 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 11%
UAB American AthleticAm. Athletic 12 6 67 .5260 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 9%
Illinois St. Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 11 6 65 .5290 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 9%
Grand Canyon Mountain WestMntn West 10 5 67 .5349 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 7%
Mississippi St.Miss. St. SECSEC 10 7 59 .5460 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 6%
Arizona St. Big 12Big 12 9 7 56 .5473 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 6%
American Patriot LeaguePatriot League 10 8 56 .4867 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 20%
St. Peter's Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 9 6 60 .5084 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 13%
Merrimack Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 10 8 56 .5066 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 11%
Georgia Southern SunbeltSunbelt 13 6 68 .5107 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 10%
Charleston CoastalCoastal 11 7 61 .5172 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 10%
CSU Northridge Big WestBig West 11 8 58 .5082 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 9%
Siena Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 11 7 61 .5019 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 9%
Sam Houston Conference USAConf. USA 10 7 59 .5159 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 9%
UC Davis Big WestBig West 10 7 59 .5116 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 9%
Memphis American AthleticAm. Athletic 8 8 50 .5212 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 9%
Temple American AthleticAm. Athletic 11 6 65 .5178 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 8%
Richmond Atlantic 10Atl. 10 13 5 72 .5391 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 6%
Davidson Atlantic 10Atl. 10 11 6 65 .5320 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 6%
St. BonaventureSt. Bonavnt Atlantic 10Atl. 10 11 6 65 .5355 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 6%
Geo. Washington Atlantic 10Atl. 10 12 6 67 .5315 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 5%
West Virginia Big 12Big 12 11 6 65 .5400 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 5%
Wyoming Mountain WestMntn West 11 6 65 .5339 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 5%
Ole Miss SECSEC 10 6 63 .5387 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 5%
Seattle West CoastWest Coast 13 6 68 .5422 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 4%
Butler Big EastBig East 10 7 59 .5431 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 4%
Colorado St. Mountain WestMntn West 10 6 63 .5299 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 4%
Xavier Big EastBig East 11 7 61 .5347 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 3%
Howard MideasternMid-Eastern 10 8 56 .4758 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 31%
Fort Wayne HorizonHorizon 11 8 58 .5049 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 10%
PennsylvaniaPenn. Ivy LeagueIvy League 8 7 53 .4990 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 10%
MD Eastern Shore MideasternMid-Eastern 7 13 35 .4394 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 20%
UMBC America EastAmerica East 9 7 56 .4690 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 19%
N.C. Central MideasternMid-Eastern 7 11 39 .4227 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 18%
AR Pine Bluff SouthwesternSWAC 6 10 38 .4670 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 16%
Grambling SouthwesternSWAC 8 9 47 .4715 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 15%
Alabama A&M SouthwesternSWAC 9 8 53 .4619 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 14%
UMass-LowellUMA-Lowell America EastAmerica East 8 11 42 .4424 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 13%
Norfolk St. MideasternMid-Eastern 7 12 37 .4266 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 13%
Bethune-CookmanBethn-Ckmn SouthwesternSWAC 5 11 31 .4540 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 13%
Idaho Big SkyBig Sky 10 7 59 .4951 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 12%
Idaho St. Big SkyBig Sky 10 8 56 .4887 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 12%
Lindenwood Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 10 7 59 .4894 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 12%
Weber St. Big SkyBig Sky 10 8 56 .4862 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 12%
Montana St. Big SkyBig Sky 9 8 53 .4863 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 12%
NJIT America EastAmerica East 8 11 42 .4500 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 12%
Prairie View A&M SouthwesternSWAC 7 9 44 .4545 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 12%
West Georgia Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 9 8 53 .4782 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 10%
Charleston Southern Big SouthBig South 11 9 55 .4776 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 9%
Tarleton St. WACWAC 11 7 61 .5046 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 9%
South Dakota SummitSummit 10 9 53 .4692 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 9%
Montana Big SkyBig Sky 9 8 53 .4916 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 9%
Holy Cross Patriot LeaguePatriot League 8 10 44 .4610 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 9%
Fairfield Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 11 7 61 .5002 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 8%
Abilene Christian WACWAC 10 8 56 .5015 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 8%
Radford Big SouthBig South 10 9 53 .4617 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 8%
S. Carolina Upstate Big SouthBig South 9 10 47 .4637 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 8%
South Dakota St. SummitSummit 9 10 47 .4663 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 8%
Dartmouth Ivy LeagueIvy League 8 7 53 .4883 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 8%
Kennesaw St. Conference USAConf. USA 11 6 65 .5060 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 7%
Robert Morris HorizonHorizon 11 8 58 .4910 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 7%
UCSB Big WestBig West 10 7 59 .5025 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 7%
New Mexico St. Conference USAConf. USA 9 7 56 .5043 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 7%
Samford SouthernSouthern 9 9 50 .4704 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 7%
Harvard Ivy LeagueIvy League 8 8 50 .4904 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 7%
Nicholls St. SouthlandSouth-land 7 9 44 .4853 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 7%
Bowling Green MACMAC 11 6 65 .5179 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6%
Southern Miss SunbeltSunbelt 11 8 58 .4987 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6%
Elon CoastalCoastal 10 7 59 .5027 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6%
Missouri St. Conference USAConf. USA 10 7 59 .4921 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6%
Ohio MACMAC 10 8 56 .5051 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6%
Toledo MACMAC 10 8 56 .5128 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6%
Towson CoastalCoastal 10 9 53 .5076 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6%
Campbell CoastalCoastal 9 9 50 .5028 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6%
Central Arkansas Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 8 10 44 .4623 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6%
SE Missouri St. Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 8 9 47 .4694 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6%
Appalachian St.App. St. SunbeltSunbelt 11 8 58 .4962 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5%
Louisiana Tech Conference USAConf. USA 11 7 61 .4918 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5%
Utah Tech WACWAC 9 10 47 .4775 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5%
UMass MACMAC 11 7 61 .5087 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4%
FIU Conference USAConf. USA 9 8 53 .4807 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4%
New Orleans SouthlandSouth-land 6 10 38 .4847 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4%
San Francisco West CoastWest Coast 12 7 63 .5330 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3%
North Texas American AthleticAm. Athletic 10 7 59 .5127 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3%
Wichita St. American AthleticAm. Athletic 10 8 56 .5064 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3%
Boise St. Mountain WestMntn West 9 8 53 .5406 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3%
St. Joseph's Atlantic 10Atl. 10 11 7 61 .5175 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2%
Rhode Island Atlantic 10Atl. 10 10 8 56 .5143 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2%
DePaul Big EastBig East 9 6 60 .5242 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2%
Kansas St. Big 12Big 12 9 8 53 .5332 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2%
Providence Big EastBig East 9 9 50 .5289 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2%
Minnesota Big 10Big 10 10 7 59 .5315 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1%
Denver SummitSummit 9 11 45 .4663 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 8%
Florida A&M SouthwesternSWAC 3 9 25 .4369 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 8%
Longwood Big SouthBig South 10 9 53 .4572 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 7%
UALR Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 8 9 47 .4662 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 7%
Albany America EastAmerica East 7 12 37 .4206 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 7%
Lehigh Patriot LeaguePatriot League 7 10 41 .4437 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 7%
Bryant America EastAmerica East 6 12 33 .4258 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 7%
Southern SouthwesternSWAC 6 11 35 .4329 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 7%
PresbyterianPresbyter. Big SouthBig South 9 10 47 .4531 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 6%
N.C. Asheville Big SouthBig South 8 11 42 .4537 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 6%
Eastern Illinois Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 7 10 41 .4547 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 6%
North Dakota SummitSummit 9 12 43 .4437 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 5%
Morehead St. Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 8 10 44 .4597 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 5%
Bucknell Patriot LeaguePatriot League 6 12 33 .4461 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 5%
Wagner NortheastNorth East 6 9 40 .4079 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 5%
Western Carolina SouthernSouthern 6 10 38 .4511 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 5%
Alabama St. SouthwesternSWAC 5 12 29 .4357 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 5%
Delaware St. MideasternMid-Eastern 5 13 28 .3945 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 5%
Jackson St. SouthwesternSWAC 3 13 19 .4228 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 5%
S. Carolina St. MideasternMid-Eastern 3 15 17 .3864 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 5%
SIU EdwardsvilleSIU Ed.ville Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 10 8 56 .4618 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4%
Lamar SouthlandSouth-land 9 7 56 .4808 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4%
ChattanoogaChattan. SouthernSouthern 8 10 44 .4483 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4%
Nebraska Omaha SummitSummit 8 11 42 .4394 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4%
Texas A&M C.C. SouthlandSouth-land 8 8 50 .4699 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4%
Wis. Milwaukee HorizonHorizon 8 11 42 .4727 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4%
Boston U. Patriot LeaguePatriot League 7 11 39 .4346 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4%
Stetson Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 7 11 39 .4466 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4%
Princeton Ivy LeagueIvy League 6 11 35 .4582 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4%
Morgan St. MideasternMid-Eastern 4 13 24 .3738 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4%
New Hampshire America EastAmerica East 4 12 25 .3993 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4%
St. Francis NortheastNorth East 4 13 24 .3981 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4%
Alcorn St. SouthwesternSWAC 2 13 13 .4142 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4%
Coastal Carolina SunbeltSunbelt 10 9 53 .4901 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
Stony Brook CoastalCoastal 10 9 53 .4888 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
James Madison SunbeltSunbelt 9 9 50 .4879 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
CSU Fullerton Big WestBig West 8 11 42 .4793 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
Canisius Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 8 10 44 .4630 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
Army Patriot LeaguePatriot League 7 11 39 .4335 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
Cornell Ivy LeagueIvy League 7 8 47 .4782 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
Fla Gulf Coast Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 7 11 39 .4554 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
N.C. Greensboro SouthernSouthern 7 11 39 .4428 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
Eastern Kentucky Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 6 12 33 .4489 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
Fair. Dickinson NortheastNorth East 5 12 29 .3873 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
Stonehill NortheastNorth East 5 12 29 .3954 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
Coppin St. MideasternMid-Eastern 3 17 15 .3771 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
Texas State SunbeltSunbelt 10 9 53 .4747 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Charlotte American AthleticAm. Athletic 9 9 50 .4912 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Drake Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 9 9 50 .4776 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Drexel CoastalCoastal 9 10 47 .4724 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Eastern Michigan MACMAC 9 9 50 .4857 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Indiana St. Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 9 9 50 .4851 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Youngstown St. HorizonHorizon 9 10 47 .4616 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Incarnate Word SouthlandSouth-land 8 8 50 .4667 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Jacksonville StateJacksnvlle St. Conference USAConf. USA 8 9 47 .4578 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Manhattan Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 8 11 42 .4594 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Monmouth CoastalCoastal 8 10 44 .4740 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Southern Illinois Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 8 10 44 .4896 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
UIC Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 8 10 44 .4686 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
UNLV Mountain WestMntn West 8 8 50 .5098 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Valparaiso Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 8 10 44 .4716 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Detroit HorizonHorizon 7 10 41 .4499 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Bellarmine Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 6 11 35 .4363 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
JacksonvilleJack.ville Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 6 12 33 .4442 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Oral Roberts SummitSummit 5 14 26 .4123 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Sacramento St. Big SkyBig Sky 5 11 31 .4171 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Texas Southern SouthwesternSWAC 3 12 20 .3754 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Pacific West CoastWest Coast 12 8 60 .5140 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Loyola Marymount West CoastWest Coast 11 9 55 .5110 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Fordham Atlantic 10Atl. 10 10 8 56 .4783 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Oregon St. West CoastWest Coast 10 10 50 .4957 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
South Carolina SECSEC 10 7 59 .5226 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Cincinnati Big 12Big 12 9 8 53 .5206 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Duquesne Atlantic 10Atl. 10 9 8 53 .4877 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Georgetown Big EastBig East 9 8 53 .5121 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild Big WestBig West 8 11 42 .4517 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Fresno St. Mountain WestMntn West 8 8 50 .4921 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Hampton CoastalCoastal 8 10 44 .4582 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Rice American AthleticAm. Athletic 8 10 44 .4619 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Washington St. West CoastWest Coast 8 10 44 .4979 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Cal Poly Big WestBig West 7 12 37 .4573 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
East Texas A&M SouthlandSouth-land 7 11 39 .4557 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Long Beach St. Big WestBig West 7 11 39 .4465 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
N. Carolina A&T CoastalCoastal 7 9 44 .4507 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Tennessee Tech Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 7 11 39 .4374 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Western Michigan MACMAC 7 10 41 .4752 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Brown Ivy LeagueIvy League 6 9 40 .4348 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Mount St. Mary's Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 6 12 33 .4396 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
North Alabama Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 6 10 38 .4364 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
NortheasternN. Eastern CoastalCoastal 6 11 35 .4686 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Northern Arizona Big SkyBig Sky 6 12 33 .4040 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Northwestern St.NWestrn St SouthlandSouth-land 6 11 35 .4400 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Sacred Heart Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 6 13 32 .4412 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
UC Riverside Big WestBig West 6 12 33 .4471 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
UT-Rio Grande Valley SouthlandSouth-land 6 11 35 .4413 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
UTEP Conference USAConf. USA 6 11 35 .4330 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
VMI SouthernSouthern 6 12 33 .4161 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
UMKC SummitSummit 4 15 21 .3783 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Eastern Washington Big SkyBig Sky 3 14 18 .4062 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Maine America EastAmerica East 3 16 16 .3923 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Chicago St. NortheastNorth East 2 14 13 .3699 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Georgia Tech ACCACC 10 8 56 .5087 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Penn State Big 10Big 10 9 8 53 .5162 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Portland West CoastWest Coast 9 11 45 .4814 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Rutgers Big 10Big 10 9 8 53 .5180 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
NorthwesternN. Western Big 10Big 10 8 9 47 .5029 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Oregon Big 10Big 10 8 9 47 .5116 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Pittsburgh ACCACC 8 9 47 .5092 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Utah Big 12Big 12 8 9 47 .5137 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Boston College ACCACC 7 10 41 .4722 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Florida St. ACCACC 7 10 41 .4910 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Le Moyne NortheastNorth East 7 10 41 .4464 X X X X X X X
Maryland Big 10Big 10 7 9 44 .4936 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Mercyhurst NortheastNorth East 7 10 41 .4391 X X X X X X X
New Haven NortheastNorth East 7 10 41 .4396 X X X X X X X
San Diego West CoastWest Coast 7 12 37 .4652 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Georgia St. SunbeltSunbelt 6 12 33 .4371 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Marquette Big EastBig East 6 12 33 .4770 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Pepperdine West CoastWest Coast 6 14 30 .4358 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
San José State Mountain WestMntn West 6 11 35 .4676 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Central Michigan MACMAC 5 13 28 .4296 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Cleveland St. HorizonHorizon 5 14 26 .3942 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Delaware Conference USAConf. USA 5 12 29 .4322 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
E. Carolina American AthleticAm. Athletic 5 12 29 .4400 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Evansville Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 5 14 26 .4385 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
IU Indy HorizonHorizon 5 15 25 .4097 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
La Salle Atlantic 10Atl. 10 5 13 28 .4525 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Loyola Chicago Atlantic 10Atl. 10 5 13 28 .4365 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Loyola-MD Patriot LeaguePatriot League 5 13 28 .3907 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Niagara Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 5 12 29 .4172 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Northern Illinois MACMAC 5 10 33 .4329 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Old Dominion SunbeltSunbelt 5 14 26 .4353 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
SE Louisiana SouthlandSouth-land 5 12 29 .4358 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Southern Utah WACWAC 5 13 28 .4126 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Ball State MACMAC 4 13 24 .3857 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Binghamton America EastAmerica East 4 15 21 .3531 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Citadel SouthernSouthern 4 14 22 .3665 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Houston Christian SouthlandSouth-land 4 12 25 .3923 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
LA Lafayette SunbeltSunbelt 4 14 22 .4137 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Lafayette Patriot LeaguePatriot League 4 14 22 .3916 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Southern Indiana Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 4 13 24 .4088 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Texas-San Antonio American AthleticAm. Athletic 4 13 24 .4236 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Western Illinois Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 4 14 22 .3691 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Air Force Mountain WestMntn West 3 14 18 .4195 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
North Florida Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 3 15 17 .3888 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
UL Monroe SunbeltSunbelt 3 15 17 .3561 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Gardner-WebbGardnr-Wbb Big SouthBig South 2 17 11 .3258 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Rider Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 2 14 13 .3760 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Miss. Valley St. SouthwesternSWAC 1 17 6 .3144 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team has already proceeded to the next tournament round
  • X means the team did not proceed to this tournament round
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this tournament round - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this tournament round - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot