PlayoffStatus.com

Thu Mar 20 7:00 am

NCAA Basketball - Regular Season Complete

NCAA Basketball Tournament Participation Probabilities

Will your team receive an invitation to the college basketball tournament? The NCAA Basketball Tournament Participation Probabilities table presents the probability that your college team receives a tournament invite depended upon three ways of playing its remaining games. These play methods include winning all remaining games (minus its conference tournament final), current winning probabilites, and losing all remaining games. All other future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Note the cutline between ranked teams 44 and 45. Teams above this line should receive a NCAA Tournament invitaiton based upon thier rank. Teams below this line will receive a tournament invitation ONLY if they obtain an automatic bid by winning their conference tournament.

Last 6 teams in - North Carolina, Oklahoma, Vanderbilt, Colorado St., Arkansas, UConn
First 6 teams out - UC Irvine, Indiana, San Diego St., Baylor, SMU, Boise St.

Note that this list will not be updated after the individual conference tournaments

NCAA Basketball Tournament Participation Probabilities
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record NCAA Tournament Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Minus CF Current Lose Out
1 Auburn SECSEC 121 28 5 - 100% -
2 Florida SECSEC 118 30 4 - 100% -
3 Alabama SECSEC 112 25 8 - 100% -
4 Houston Big 12Big 12 112 30 4 - 100% -
5 Duke ACCACC 112 31 3 - 100% -
6 Tennessee SECSEC 111 27 7 - 100% -
7 Michigan St. Big 10Big 10 107 27 6 - 100% -
8 St. John's Big EastBig East 103 30 4 - 100% -
9 Michigan Big 10Big 10 100 25 9 - 100% -
10 Memphis American AthleticAm. Athletic 100 29 5 - 100% -
11 Louisville ACCACC 100 27 7 - 100% -
12 Clemson ACCACC 98 27 6 - 100% -
13 Kentucky SECSEC 98 22 11 - 100% -
14 Oregon Big 10Big 10 98 24 9 - 100% -
15 Wisconsin Big 10Big 10 98 26 9 - 100% -
16 Texas A&M SECSEC 98 22 10 - 100% -
17 Ole Miss SECSEC 96 22 11 - 100% -
18 Purdue Big 10Big 10 94 22 11 - 100% -
19 Texas Tech Big 12Big 12 94 25 8 - 100% -
20 St. Mary's West CoastWest Coast 94 28 5 - 100% -
21 Maryland Big 10Big 10 94 25 8 - 100% -
22 Arizona Big 12Big 12 92 22 11 - 100% -
23 Iowa St. Big 12Big 12 91 23 9 - 100% -
24 Illinois Big 10Big 10 90 21 12 - 100% -
25 Drake Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 90 30 3 - 100% -
26 Missouri SECSEC 90 22 11 - 100% -
27 BYU Big 12Big 12 90 24 9 - 100% -
28 Mississippi St.Miss. St. SECSEC 90 21 12 - 100% -
29 Kansas Big 12Big 12 89 21 12 - 100% -
30 Gonzaga West CoastWest Coast 88 25 8 - 100% -
31 Creighton Big EastBig East 88 24 10 - 100% -
32 Marquette Big EastBig East 88 23 10 - 100% -
33 UCLA Big 10Big 10 87 22 10 - 100% -
34 Utah St. Mountain WestMntn West 87 26 7 - 100% -
35 New Mexico Mountain WestMntn West 87 26 7 - 100% -
36 Georgia SECSEC 87 20 12 - 100% -
37 UC San Diego Big WestBig West 85 30 4 - 100% -
38 VCU Atlantic 10Atl. 10 85 28 6 - 100% -
39 North Carolina ACCACC 85 22 13 - 100% -
40 Oklahoma SECSEC 85 20 13 - 100% -
41 Vanderbilt SECSEC 84 20 12 - 100% -
42 Colorado St. Mountain WestMntn West 83 25 9 - 100% -
43 Arkansas SECSEC 83 20 13 - 100% -
44 UConn Big EastBig East 83 23 10 - X -
Cutline - Click Here to View 0 Line Movers
45 UC Irvine Big WestBig West 83 28 6 - 100% -
46 Indiana Big 10Big 10 82 19 13 - X -
47 San Diego St. Mountain WestMntn West 81 21 9 - X -
48 Baylor Big 12Big 12 80 19 14 - X -
49 SMU ACCACC 80 23 10 - X -
50 Liberty Conference USAConf. USA 80 28 6 - 100% -
51 Boise St. Mountain WestMntn West 79 24 10 - X -
52 Wake Forest ACCACC 79 21 11 - X -
53 Xavier Big EastBig East 79 21 11 - X -
54 George Mason Atlantic 10Atl. 10 78 26 8 - X -
55 Akron MACMAC 78 28 6 - 100% -
56 West Virginia Big 12Big 12 78 18 13 - X -
57 Texas SECSEC 78 19 15 - X -
58 San Francisco West CoastWest Coast 77 24 9 - X -
59 Bradley Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 77 26 8 - X -
60 Ohio St. Big 10Big 10 76 17 15 - X -
61 McNeese SouthlandSouth-land 76 27 6 - 100% -
62 High Point Big SouthBig South 76 29 5 - 100% -
63 Nebraska Big 10Big 10 75 17 14 - X -
64 Dayton Atlantic 10Atl. 10 74 22 10 - X -
65 North Texas American AthleticAm. Athletic 73 23 8 - X -
66 Stanford ACCACC 73 20 13 - X -
67 NorthwesternN. Western Big 10Big 10 71 17 16 - X -
68 UNC Wilmington CoastalCoastal 71 27 7 - 100% -
69 Grand Canyon WACWAC 71 26 7 - 100% -
70 Cincinnati Big 12Big 12 71 18 15 - X -
71 Yale Ivy LeagueIvy League 70 22 7 - 100% -
72 UCF Big 12Big 12 70 17 16 - X -
73 TCU Big 12Big 12 70 16 16 - X -
74 Santa Clara West CoastWest Coast 70 20 12 - X -
75 USC Big 10Big 10 69 16 17 - X -
76 Iowa Big 10Big 10 69 17 16 - X -
77 Middle Tenn. Conference USAConf. USA 69 22 11 - X -
78 Pittsburgh ACCACC 68 17 15 - X -
79 Rutgers Big 10Big 10 67 15 17 - X -
80 Villanova Big EastBig East 67 19 14 - X -
81 St. Joseph's Atlantic 10Atl. 10 67 21 12 - X -
82 Minnesota Big 10Big 10 66 15 17 - X -
83 Charleston CoastalCoastal 66 24 9 - X -
84 Kansas St. Big 12Big 12 66 16 17 - X -
85 Arkansas St. SunbeltSunbelt 66 24 10 - X -
86 Penn State Big 10Big 10 66 16 15 - X -
87 Belmont Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 65 22 11 - X -
88 Loyola Chicago Atlantic 10Atl. 10 65 22 11 - X -
89 LSU SECSEC 65 14 18 - X -
90 St. BonaventureSt. Bonavnt Atlantic 10Atl. 10 65 22 11 - X -
91 UNLV Mountain WestMntn West 65 18 15 - X -
92 Florida St. ACCACC 65 17 15 - X -
93 Furman SouthernSouthern 65 25 9 - X -
94 Utah Valley WACWAC 65 25 8 - X -
95 UAB American AthleticAm. Athletic 65 23 12 - X -
96 Utah Big 12Big 12 65 16 16 - X -
97 Montana Big SkyBig Sky 65 25 9 - 100% -
98 Lipscomb Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 64 25 9 - 100% -
99 Robert Morris HorizonHorizon 64 26 8 - 100% -
100 Arizona St. Big 12Big 12 64 13 19 - X -
101 Virginia ACCACC 64 15 17 - X -
102 ChattanoogaChattan. SouthernSouthern 64 24 9 - X -
103 Troy SunbeltSunbelt 64 23 10 - 100% -
104 Miami OH MACMAC 64 25 9 - X -
105 South Carolina SECSEC 63 12 20 - X -
106 Northern Iowa Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 63 20 12 - X -
107 UC Riverside Big WestBig West 63 21 12 - X -
108 Kent State MACMAC 63 22 11 - X -
109 Oklahoma St. Big 12Big 12 63 15 17 - X -
110 Jacksonville StateJacksnvlle St. Conference USAConf. USA 63 22 12 - X -
111 Washington St. West CoastWest Coast 62 19 14 - X -
112 Oregon St. West CoastWest Coast 62 20 12 - X -
113 Georgia Tech ACCACC 62 17 16 - X -
114 Colorado Big 12Big 12 61 14 19 - X -
115 Towson CoastalCoastal 61 22 11 - X -
116 CSU Northridge Big WestBig West 61 22 10 - X -
117 Samford SouthernSouthern 60 22 10 - X -
118 Georgetown Big EastBig East 60 17 15 - X -
119 Saint Louis Atlantic 10Atl. 10 60 19 14 - X -
120 Louisiana Tech Conference USAConf. USA 60 20 12 - X -
121 Nevada Mountain WestMntn West 59 17 16 - X -
122 Wichita St. American AthleticAm. Athletic 59 19 14 - X -
123 Winthrop Big SouthBig South 59 23 11 - X -
124 Northern Colorado Big SkyBig Sky 59 25 9 - X -
125 Butler Big EastBig East 59 14 19 - X -
126 Washington Big 10Big 10 59 13 18 - X -
127 North Alabama Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 58 24 10 - X -
128 Geo. Washington Atlantic 10Atl. 10 58 21 12 - X -
129 James Madison SunbeltSunbelt 58 20 12 - X -
130 Florida Atlantic American AthleticAm. Athletic 58 18 15 - X -
131 Notre Dame ACCACC 58 15 18 - X -
132 Kennesaw St. Conference USAConf. USA 57 19 14 - X -
133 St. Thomas SummitSummit 57 24 10 - X -
134 Syracuse ACCACC 57 14 19 - X -
135 Illinois St. Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 57 19 14 - X -
136 Princeton Ivy LeagueIvy League 57 18 11 - X -
137 Central Conn. NortheastNorth East 56 25 7 - X -
138 Norfolk St. MideasternMid-Eastern 56 24 10 - 100% -
139 Nebraska Omaha SummitSummit 56 22 12 - 100% -
140 South Alabama SunbeltSunbelt 55 21 11 - X -
141 N.C. Asheville Big SouthBig South 55 21 11 - X -
142 Wis. Milwaukee HorizonHorizon 55 21 11 - X -
143 Rhode Island Atlantic 10Atl. 10 55 18 13 - X -
144 Radford Big SouthBig South 55 20 13 - X -
145 Bryant America EastAmerica East 54 23 11 - 100% -
146 Loyola Marymount West CoastWest Coast 54 17 15 - X -
147 UCSB Big WestBig West 54 21 13 - X -
148 California ACCACC 54 14 19 - X -
149 Western Kentucky Conference USAConf. USA 54 17 15 - X -
150 Cornell Ivy LeagueIvy League 53 18 11 - X -
151 UTEP Conference USAConf. USA 53 18 15 - X -
152 UIC Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 53 18 14 - X -
153 Toledo MACMAC 53 18 15 - X -
154 Tulane American AthleticAm. Athletic 52 19 14 - X -
155 Virginia Tech ACCACC 52 13 19 - X -
156 N.C. Greensboro SouthernSouthern 52 20 12 - X -
157 North Dakota St. SummitSummit 52 21 11 - X -
158 E. Carolina American AthleticAm. Athletic 52 19 14 - X -
159 Lamar SouthlandSouth-land 52 20 13 - X -
160 DePaul Big EastBig East 51 14 19 - X -
161 South Dakota St. SummitSummit 51 20 12 - X -
162 Providence Big EastBig East 51 12 20 - X -
163 Cleveland St. HorizonHorizon 51 21 12 - X -
164 New Mexico St. Conference USAConf. USA 51 17 15 - X -
165 Wofford SouthernSouthern 51 19 15 - 100% -
166 Mount St. Mary's Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 51 22 13 - 100% -
167 Temple American AthleticAm. Athletic 51 17 15 - X -
168 Davidson Atlantic 10Atl. 10 51 17 16 - X -
169 Nicholls St. SouthlandSouth-land 51 20 13 - X -
170 JacksonvilleJack.ville Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 51 19 13 - X -
171 Murray State Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 50 16 17 - X -
172 Marshall SunbeltSunbelt 50 20 13 - X -
173 N.C. State ACCACC 50 12 19 - X -
174 California Baptist WACWAC 49 17 15 - X -
175 Youngstown St. HorizonHorizon 49 21 13 - X -
176 American Patriot LeaguePatriot League 49 22 12 - 100% -
177 Vermont America EastAmerica East 49 21 12 - X -
178 Fort Wayne HorizonHorizon 48 19 13 - X -
179 Quinnipiac Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 48 20 13 - X -
180 E. Tennessee St. SouthernSouthern 48 19 13 - X -
181 Marist Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 48 20 10 - X -
182 SIU EdwardsvilleSIU Ed.ville Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 47 22 11 - 100% -
183 Fla Gulf Coast Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 47 18 14 - X -
184 Ohio MACMAC 47 16 16 - X -
185 SE Missouri St. Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 47 21 12 - X -
186 Eastern Kentucky Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 47 18 14 - X -
187 Appalachian St.App.St. SunbeltSunbelt 47 17 14 - X -
188 Southern SouthwesternSWAC 47 20 12 - X -
189 Merrimack Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 47 18 15 - X -
190 San José State Mountain WestMntn West 47 15 19 - X -
191 Cal Poly Big WestBig West 47 16 19 - X -
192 NortheasternN. Eastern CoastalCoastal 46 17 15 - X -
193 Boston College ACCACC 46 12 19 - X -
194 Queens U. Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 46 19 14 - X -
195 Texas A&M C.C. SouthlandSouth-land 46 20 14 - X -
196 Longwood Big SouthBig South 45 18 14 - X -
197 La Salle Atlantic 10Atl. 10 45 14 18 - X -
198 Drexel CoastalCoastal 45 18 15 - X -
199 Oakland HorizonHorizon 45 16 18 - X -
200 William & Mary CoastalCoastal 44 17 15 - X -
201 Southern Illinois Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 44 14 19 - X -
202 Hawai'i Big WestBig West 44 15 16 - X -
203 UC Davis Big WestBig West 44 15 17 - X -
204 Brown Ivy LeagueIvy League 44 14 13 - X -
205 South Dakota SummitSummit 43 19 14 - X -
206 Alabama St. SouthwesternSWAC 43 19 15 - 100% -
207 Bethune-CookmanBethn-Ckmn SouthwesternSWAC 43 17 16 - X -
208 S. Carolina St. MideasternMid-Eastern 43 20 13 - X -
209 Duquesne Atlantic 10Atl. 10 43 13 19 - X -
210 Jackson St. SouthwesternSWAC 43 16 18 - X -
211 Northern Kentucky HorizonHorizon 43 17 16 - X -
212 Elon CoastalCoastal 42 17 15 - X -
213 Northwestern St.NWestrn St SouthlandSouth-land 42 16 16 - X -
214 Bucknell Patriot LeaguePatriot League 42 18 15 - X -
215 Wyoming Mountain WestMntn West 42 12 20 - X -
216 Valparaiso Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 42 15 19 - X -
217 SE Louisiana SouthlandSouth-land 42 17 14 - X -
218 Maine America EastAmerica East 42 20 14 - X -
219 Hampton CoastalCoastal 42 17 16 - X -
220 UALR Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 42 19 14 - X -
221 Georgia Southern SunbeltSunbelt 42 17 16 - X -
222 South Florida American AthleticAm. Athletic 42 13 19 - X -
223 Manhattan Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 41 17 13 - X -
224 Sam Houston Conference USAConf. USA 41 13 19 - X -
225 Portland St. Big SkyBig Sky 41 19 13 - X -
226 Eastern Michigan MACMAC 41 16 16 - X -
227 Indiana St. Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 41 14 18 - X -
228 Texas State SunbeltSunbelt 41 16 16 - X -
229 Abilene Christian WACWAC 40 16 16 - X -
230 Seattle WACWAC 40 14 18 - X -
231 North Florida Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 39 15 17 - X -
232 Dartmouth Ivy LeagueIvy League 39 14 14 - X -
233 Harvard Ivy LeagueIvy League 38 12 15 - X -
234 Pepperdine West CoastWest Coast 38 13 22 - X -
235 UT-Rio Grande Valley SouthlandSouth-land 38 16 15 - X -
236 Delaware CoastalCoastal 38 16 20 - X -
237 Iona Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 38 17 17 - X -
238 Texas-San Antonio American AthleticAm. Athletic 38 12 19 - X -
239 Montana St. Big SkyBig Sky 38 15 18 - X -
240 Miami ACCACC 37 7 24 - X -
241 CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild Big WestBig West 37 14 19 - X -
242 Georgia St. SunbeltSunbelt 37 14 19 - X -
243 Central Michigan MACMAC 37 14 17 - X -
244 Fordham Atlantic 10Atl. 10 37 12 21 - X -
245 Monmouth CoastalCoastal 37 13 20 - X -
246 UMass Atlantic 10Atl. 10 37 12 20 - X -
247 Wright St. HorizonHorizon 36 15 18 - X -
248 Hofstra CoastalCoastal 36 15 18 - X -
249 Army Patriot LeaguePatriot League 36 16 15 - X -
250 Campbell CoastalCoastal 36 15 17 - X -
251 UMass-LowellUMA-Lowell America EastAmerica East 36 17 15 - X -
252 Portland West CoastWest Coast 36 12 19 - X -
253 Northern Arizona Big SkyBig Sky 36 18 15 - X -
254 Florida A&M SouthwesternSWAC 36 14 17 - X -
255 Seton Hall Big EastBig East 35 7 25 - X -
256 Idaho St. Big SkyBig Sky 35 15 15 - X -
257 Evansville Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 35 11 21 - X -
258 PresbyterianPresbyter. Big SouthBig South 34 14 18 - X -
259 Incarnate Word SouthlandSouth-land 34 17 16 - X -
260 Stephen F. Austin SouthlandSouth-land 34 14 17 - X -
261 Rice American AthleticAm. Athletic 34 13 19 - X -
262 Siena Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 34 14 18 - X -
263 Tennessee St. Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 34 17 16 - X -
264 St. Francis NortheastNorth East 34 14 17 - 100% -
265 Albany America EastAmerica East 34 17 16 - X -
266 UT Arlington WACWAC 34 13 18 - X -
267 Austin Peay Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 33 14 19 - X -
268 Richmond Atlantic 10Atl. 10 33 10 22 - X -
269 Gardner-WebbGardnr-Wbb Big SouthBig South 33 11 20 - X -
270 Tulsa American AthleticAm. Athletic 33 13 20 - X -
271 Mercer SouthernSouthern 33 14 19 - X -
272 Long Island U. NortheastNorth East 32 16 16 - X -
273 Lindenwood Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 32 16 17 - X -
274 Tarleton St. WACWAC 32 12 20 - X -
275 Boston U. Patriot LeaguePatriot League 32 16 16 - X -
276 Old Dominion SunbeltSunbelt 32 13 20 - X -
277 Idaho Big SkyBig Sky 32 14 19 - X -
278 Texas Southern SouthwesternSWAC 32 15 17 - X -
279 Colgate Patriot LeaguePatriot League 32 14 19 - X -
280 Sacred Heart Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 32 15 18 - X -
281 Delaware St. MideasternMid-Eastern 31 16 14 - X -
282 Western Michigan MACMAC 31 12 20 - X -
283 Columbia Ivy LeagueIvy League 31 12 15 - X -
284 Ball State MACMAC 31 14 17 - X -
285 Bowling Green MACMAC 31 14 18 - X -
286 Tennessee Tech Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 31 15 17 - X -
287 Morehead St. Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 30 15 17 - X -
288 LA Lafayette SunbeltSunbelt 30 12 21 - X -
289 Rider Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 30 14 19 - X -
290 Charlotte American AthleticAm. Athletic 30 11 22 - X -
291 VMI SouthernSouthern 30 15 19 - X -
292 North Dakota SummitSummit 29 12 20 - X -
293 Alcorn St. SouthwesternSWAC 29 12 20 - X -
294 Charleston Southern Big SouthBig South 28 10 22 - X -
295 Southern Utah WACWAC 28 12 19 - X -
296 Mercyhurst NortheastNorth East 28 15 16 - X -
297 Stonehill NortheastNorth East 28 15 17 - X -
298 St. Peter's Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 28 12 16 - X -
299 Houston Christian SouthlandSouth-land 28 12 20 - X -
300 Binghamton America EastAmerica East 27 15 17 - X -
301 UMKC SummitSummit 27 13 20 - X -
302 Navy Patriot LeaguePatriot League 27 15 19 - X -
303 Missouri St. Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 27 9 23 - X -
304 Tenn-MartinTN-Martin Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 26 14 19 - X -
305 FIU Conference USAConf. USA 26 10 23 - X -
306 PennsylvaniaPenn. Ivy LeagueIvy League 26 8 19 - X -
307 Fairfield Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 26 12 20 - X -
308 Holy Cross Patriot LeaguePatriot League 26 13 19 - X -
309 Fresno St. Mountain WestMntn West 25 6 26 - X -
310 Pacific West CoastWest Coast 25 9 24 - X -
311 N.C. Central MideasternMid-Eastern 25 14 19 - X -
312 Southern Miss SunbeltSunbelt 25 11 23 - X -
313 Wagner NortheastNorth East 24 14 16 - X -
314 Eastern Illinois Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 24 12 19 - X -
315 Fair. Dickinson NortheastNorth East 24 13 20 - X -
316 Denver SummitSummit 23 11 21 - X -
317 Lafayette Patriot LeaguePatriot League 23 13 20 - X -
318 Weber St. Big SkyBig Sky 23 12 22 - X -
319 Morgan St. MideasternMid-Eastern 23 14 18 - X -
320 UMBC America EastAmerica East 23 13 19 - X -
321 Lehigh Patriot LeaguePatriot League 23 11 19 - X -
322 Eastern Washington Big SkyBig Sky 22 10 22 - X -
323 Buffalo MACMAC 22 9 22 - X -
324 Niagara Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 22 11 20 - X -
325 Loyola-MD Patriot LeaguePatriot League 22 12 19 - X -
326 Grambling SouthwesternSWAC 22 11 22 - X -
327 Howard MideasternMid-Eastern 21 12 20 - X -
328 Long Beach St. Big WestBig West 20 7 25 - X -
329 Air Force Mountain WestMntn West 20 4 28 - X -
330 Western Carolina SouthernSouthern 20 8 22 - X -
331 Western Illinois Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 19 12 19 - X -
332 IU Indy HorizonHorizon 19 10 22 - X -
333 Detroit HorizonHorizon 19 8 24 - X -
334 Stony Brook CoastalCoastal 19 8 24 - X -
335 CSU Fullerton Big WestBig West 18 6 26 - X -
336 Central Arkansas Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 18 9 24 - X -
337 Coastal Carolina SunbeltSunbelt 18 10 22 - X -
338 San Diego West CoastWest Coast 17 6 27 - X -
339 Southern Indiana Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 16 10 20 - X -
340 Utah Tech WACWAC 16 7 26 - X -
341 N. Carolina A&T CoastalCoastal 15 7 25 - X -
342 Texas A&M-CommerceTX A&M-Comm SouthlandSouth-land 13 5 26 - X -
343 Stetson Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 13 8 24 - X -
344 Oral Roberts SummitSummit 13 7 23 - X -
345 Le Moyne NortheastNorth East 13 9 23 - X -
346 S. Carolina Upstate Big SouthBig South 13 6 26 - X -
347 New Orleans SouthlandSouth-land 12 4 27 - X -
348 Alabama A&M SouthwesternSWAC 12 10 22 - X -
349 West Georgia Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 12 6 25 - X -
350 New Hampshire America EastAmerica East 10 8 24 - X -
351 UL Monroe SunbeltSunbelt 10 7 25 - X -
352 Northern Illinois MACMAC 10 6 25 - X -
353 Coppin St. MideasternMid-Eastern 9 6 24 - X -
354 Chicago St. NortheastNorth East 8 4 28 - X -
355 Sacramento St. Big SkyBig Sky 8 7 25 - X -
356 MD Eastern Shore MideasternMid-Eastern 8 6 25 - X -
357 Green Bay HorizonHorizon 7 4 28 - X -
358 Bellarmine Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 5 5 26 - X -
359 Prairie View A&M SouthwesternSWAC 5 5 27 - X -
360 NJIT America EastAmerica East 5 6 25 - X -
361 Canisius Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 4 3 28 - X -
362 Citadel SouthernSouthern 3 5 25 - X -
363 AR Pine Bluff SouthwesternSWAC 3 6 25 - X -
364 Miss. Valley St. SouthwesternSWAC 1 3 28 - X -
  • Notes
  • X means the team cannot win this spot - ties of future unplayed games are not considered
  • 50% - probability the team will receive a tournament invitation - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will receive a tournament invitation - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot