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Tue Feb 19 4:45 am

NCAA Basketball - Week 16 of 18

NCAA Basketball Tournament Participation Probabilities

Will your team receive an invitation to the college basketball tournament? The NCAA Basketball Tournament Participation Probabilities table presents the probability that your college team receives a tournament invite depended upon three ways of playing its remaining games. These play methods include winning all remaining games (minus its conference tournament final), current winning probabilites, and losing all remaining games. All other future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Note the cutline between ranked teams 47 and 48. Teams above this line should receive a NCAA Tournament invitaiton based upon thier rank. Teams below this line will receive a tournament invitation ONLY if they obtain an automatic bid by winning their conference tournament.

Last 6 teams in - Texas, Ohio St., Baylor, New Mexico St., Belmont, Yale
First 6 teams out - Alabama, N.C. Greensboro, Arizona St., Davidson, San Francisco, UC Irvine

NCAA Basketball Tournament Participation Probabilities
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record NCAA Tournament Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Minus CF Current Lose Out
1 Duke ACC ACC 109 23 2 100% 100% 100%
2 Virginia ACC ACC 106 23 2 100% 100% 100%
3 Houston American Athletic Am. Athletic 102 25 1 100% 100% 100%
4 Kansas Big 12 Big 12 102 20 6 100% 100% 100%
5 TennesseeTenn. SEC SEC 101 23 2 100% 100% 100%
6 Michigan Big 10 Big 10 100 23 3 100% 100% 100%
7 Kentucky SEC SEC 100 21 4 100% 100% 100%
8 Gonzaga West Coast West Coast 99 25 2 100% 100% 100%
9 LSU SEC SEC 99 21 4 100% 100% 100%
10 Michigan St. Big 10 Big 10 98 21 5 100% 100% 100%
11 North Carolina ACC ACC 96 20 5 100% 100% 100%
12 Marquette Big East Big East 95 21 4 100% >99% >99%
13 Texas Tech Big 12 Big 12 94 21 5 100% 100% 100%
14 Nevada Mountain West Mntn West 94 24 1 100% >99% 69%
15 Kansas St. Big 12 Big 12 93 20 6 100% >99% 98%
16 Villanova Big East Big East 93 20 6 100% 100% 100%
17 Iowa St. Big 12 Big 12 92 19 6 100% >99% 96%
18 Florida St. ACC ACC 92 20 5 100% >99% 80%
19 Purdue Big 10 Big 10 92 18 7 100% >99% 63%
20 Buffalo MAC MAC 91 22 3 100% >99% 1%
21 Iowa Big 10 Big 10 90 20 5 100% >99% 57%
22 Cincinnati American Athletic Am. Athletic 89 21 4 100% >99% 18%
23 Maryland Big 10 Big 10 88 19 7 100% >99% 82%
24 Wisconsin Big 10 Big 10 88 18 8 100% >99% <1%
25 Louisville ACC ACC 88 18 8 100% >99% 83%
26 WashingtonWash. PAC 12 PAC 12 88 20 5 100% >99% X
27 Mississippi St.Miss. St. SEC SEC 87 18 7 100% 99% <1%
28 Virginia Tech ACC ACC 87 20 6 100% >99% 86%
29 UCF American Athletic Am. Athletic 84 19 5 100% 96% <1%
30 St. John's Big East Big East 84 19 7 100% 97% <1%
31 Ole Miss SEC SEC 83 18 7 100% 94% X
32 Oklahoma Big 12 Big 12 83 16 10 100% 95% 1%
33 Temple American Athletic Am. Athletic 83 19 7 100% 95% X
34 VCU Atlantic 10 Atl. 10 82 19 6 100% 91% X
35 TCU Big 12 Big 12 81 17 9 100% 87% X
36 Syracuse ACC ACC 81 17 8 100% 82% X
37 Minnesota Big 10 Big 10 81 17 9 100% 82% X
38 Auburn SEC SEC 80 17 8 100% 77% X
39 Wofford Southern Southern 79 23 4 100% 80% X
40 Seton Hall Big East Big East 79 16 9 100% 71% X
41 Toledo MAC MAC 79 20 5 100% 73% X
42 Texas Big 12 Big 12 79 15 11 100% 69% X
43 Ohio St. Big 10 Big 10 78 16 9 100% 62% X
44 Baylor Big 12 Big 12 78 16 9 100% 62% X
45 New Mexico St. WAC WAC 77 22 4 85% 68% X
46 Belmont Ohio Valley Ohio Valley 77 21 4 56% 56% X
47 Yale Ivy League Ivy League 77 17 4 >99% 60% X
Cutline - Click Here to View 124 Line Movers
48 Alabama SEC SEC 77 15 10 100% 49% X
49 N.C. GreensboroN.C. Greens-boro Southern Southern 77 22 5 94% 52% X
50 Arizona St. PAC 12 PAC 12 76 17 8 100% 49% X
51 Davidson Atlantic 10 Atl. 10 76 19 6 >99% 49% X
52 San Francisco West Coast West Coast 74 20 6 >99% 29% X
53 UC Irvine Big West Big West 74 22 5 <1% 53% X
54 Utah St. Mountain West Mntn West 74 20 6 91% 28% X
55 Hofstra Colonial Athletic Colonial Athl. 73 22 5 5% 39% X
56 Florida SEC SEC 73 14 11 100% 20% X
57 N.C. State ACC ACC 73 18 8 100% 19% X
58 Clemson ACC ACC 73 15 10 100% 22% X
59 Lipscomb Atlantic Sun Atlantic Sun 73 21 5 1% 46% X
60 Butler Big East Big East 73 15 11 100% 17% X
61 Furman Southern Southern 72 22 5 20% 20% X
62 Old Dominion Conference USA Conf. USA 72 21 6 X 30% X
63 Vermont America East America East 72 21 5 <1% 44% X
64 Murray St. Ohio Valley Ohio Valley 72 21 4 <1% 32% X
65 Oregon St. PAC 12 PAC 12 71 16 8 >99% 19% X
66 Kent State MAC MAC 71 19 6 96% 16% X
67 Tulsa American Athletic Am. Athletic 70 16 10 83% 6% X
68 Arkansas SEC SEC 70 14 11 100% 8% X
69 Nebraska Big 10 Big 10 70 15 11 100% 5% X
70 Charleston Colonial Athletic Colonial Athl. 70 21 7 X 28% X
71 Indiana Big 10 Big 10 70 13 12 100% 7% X
72 Drake Missouri Valley Missouri Valley 70 20 7 <1% 30% X
73 BYU West Coast West Coast 70 18 10 22% 11% X
74 St. Mary's West Coast West Coast 69 17 10 16% 11% X
75 E. Tennessee St.E. Tenn. St. Southern Southern 69 21 7 X 17% X
76 Fresno St. Mountain West Mntn West 69 19 6 6% 15% X
77 Texas St. (SM) Sunbelt Sunbelt 69 21 5 <1% 28% X
78 Dayton Atlantic 10 Atl. 10 69 16 9 39% 14% X
79 Georgia St. Sunbelt Sunbelt 69 18 8 <1% 26% X
80 Liberty Atlantic Sun Atlantic Sun 69 23 5 X 36% X
81 South Florida American Athletic Am. Athletic 69 17 8 87% 4% X
82 GeorgetownGeorge-town Big East Big East 68 15 10 >99% 5% X
83 Memphis American Athletic Am. Athletic 68 15 11 72% 4% X
84 Colorado PAC 12 PAC 12 68 16 9 21% 8% X
85 Oregon PAC 12 PAC 12 68 15 10 76% 8% X
86 Stony Brook America East America East 67 21 5 X 36% X
87 Bowling Green MAC MAC 67 18 7 17% 10% X
88 South Carolina SEC SEC 66 13 12 95% 3% X
89 Missouri SEC SEC 66 12 12 >99% 2% X
90 Creighton Big East Big East 66 13 13 28% 3% X
91 Saint Louis Atlantic 10 Atl. 10 66 17 9 1% 10% X
92 ProvidenceProvid. Big East Big East 65 14 12 45% 2% X
93 NortheasternN. Eastern Colonial Athletic Colonial Athl. 64 16 10 X 20% X
94 Stanford PAC 12 PAC 12 64 14 11 <1% 6% X
95 Arizona PAC 12 PAC 12 64 14 12 <1% 4% X
96 PennsylvaniaPenn. Ivy League Ivy League 64 15 9 X 9% X
97 Lehigh Patriot League Patriot League 64 17 8 X 32% X
98 San Diego West Coast West Coast 64 16 11 X 5% X
99 Montana Big Sky Big Sky 64 19 6 X 39% X
100 Utah Valley WAC WAC 63 17 8 X 18% X
101 Xavier Big East Big East 63 13 13 25% 2% X
102 Wichita St. American Athletic Am. Athletic 63 12 12 <1% 2% X
103 Notre Dame ACC ACC 63 13 12 97% <1% X
104 Western Kentucky Conference USA Conf. USA 63 16 11 X 15% X
105 Oklahoma St. Big 12 Big 12 63 10 16 61% 1% X
106 Boston College ACC ACC 62 13 11 97% <1% X
107 DePaul Big East Big East 62 13 11 1% 2% X
108 Harvard Ivy League Ivy League 62 13 8 X 20% X
109 South Dakota St. Summit Summit 62 21 7 X 37% X
110 Utah PAC 12 PAC 12 62 13 11 <1% 6% X
111 Rutgers Big 10 Big 10 61 12 13 43% <1% X
112 Northern Kentucky Horizon Horizon 61 20 7 X 34% X
113 Georgia Southern Sunbelt Sunbelt 61 16 10 X 16% X
114 North Texas Conference USA Conf. USA 61 20 7 X 11% X
115 Austin Peay Ohio Valley Ohio Valley 61 19 8 X 13% X
116 UCLA PAC 12 PAC 12 61 13 13 X 4% X
117 Bucknell Patriot League Patriot League 61 16 9 X 31% X
118 NorthwesternN. Western Big 10 Big 10 61 12 13 65% <1% X
119 Radford Big South Big South 61 18 8 X 32% X
120 Miami ACC ACC 61 11 14 23% <1% X
121 Central MichiganC. Michigan MAC MAC 60 17 8 X 4% X
122 Abilene Christian Southland South-land 60 21 5 X X X
123 ConnecticutConnect. American Athletic Am. Athletic 60 13 12 <1% 1% X
124 Duquesne Atlantic 10 Atl. 10 60 17 9 X 7% X
125 USC PAC 12 PAC 12 60 14 12 X 4% X
126 Texas A&M SEC SEC 60 10 14 43% <1% X
127 San Diego St. Mountain West Mntn West 59 16 9 X 6% X
128 Princeton Ivy League Ivy League 59 13 8 X 16% X
129 Loyola-Chicago Missouri Valley Missouri Valley 58 16 11 X 16% X
130 Grand Canyon WAC WAC 58 15 9 X 13% X
131 West Virginia Big 12 Big 12 58 10 16 30% <1% X
132 Illinois Big 10 Big 10 58 10 16 2% <1% X
133 Loyola MarymountLoyola Marymnt West Coast West Coast 58 17 10 X 3% X
134 Louisiana Tech Conference USA Conf. USA 58 17 10 X 7% X
135 Penn State Big 10 Big 10 58 9 16 2% <1% X
136 Jacksonville St.Jack.ville St. Ohio Valley Ohio Valley 58 19 8 X 11% X
137 Ball State MAC MAC 57 14 11 X 3% X
138 George Mason Atlantic 10 Atl. 10 57 15 11 X 6% X
139 New Jersey Tech Atlantic Sun Atlantic Sun 57 18 9 X 12% X
140 Southern Miss Conference USA Conf. USA 56 17 9 X 10% X
141 Pittsburgh ACC ACC 56 12 14 X <1% X
142 Nebraska Omaha Summit Summit 56 16 9 X 28% X
143 Brown Ivy League Ivy League 56 15 9 X 5% X
144 Georgia Tech ACC ACC 56 11 15 X <1% X
145 Colgate Patriot League Patriot League 56 17 10 X 19% X
146 Marshall Conference USA Conf. USA 55 14 13 X 5% X
147 Georgia SEC SEC 55 10 15 <1% <1% X
148 Southern Illinois Missouri Valley Missouri Valley 55 14 13 X 11% X
149 UNLV Mountain West Mntn West 55 14 10 X 4% X
150 Southern Methodist American Athletic Am. Athletic 54 12 12 X <1% X
151 LA Lafayette Sunbelt Sunbelt 54 15 10 X 9% X
152 UCSB Big West Big West 54 17 8 X 16% X
153 Rhode Island Atlantic 10 Atl. 10 54 12 12 X 3% X
154 Samford Southern Southern 53 16 11 X 4% X
155 Akron MAC MAC 53 14 11 X 2% X
156 Winthrop Big South Big South 52 17 9 X 19% X
157 Missouri St. Missouri Valley Missouri Valley 52 15 12 X 11% X
158 Wright St. Horizon Horizon 52 16 11 X 21% X
159 UAB Conference USA Conf. USA 52 16 11 X 6% X
160 Sam Houston St. Southland South-land 52 17 9 X 38% X
161 UT-Rio Grande ValleyUT-Rio WAC WAC 52 15 13 X 8% X
162 Miami OH MAC MAC 52 13 12 X 2% X
163 Cal St. Bakersfield WAC WAC 52 16 10 X 7% X
164 Florida Atlantic Conference USA Conf. USA 51 16 11 X 4% X
165 Hawaii Big West Big West 51 16 9 X 14% X
166 Wake Forest ACC ACC 51 9 15 X <1% X
167 LA Monroe Sunbelt Sunbelt 51 13 11 X 7% X
168 Vanderbilt SEC SEC 51 9 16 X <1% X
169 Bradley Missouri Valley Missouri Valley 50 15 12 X 8% X
170 Northern Colorado Big Sky Big Sky 50 17 9 X 18% X
171 Illinois St. Missouri Valley Missouri Valley 50 14 13 X 7% X
172 Weber St. Big Sky Big Sky 49 16 10 X 17% X
173 Indiana St. Missouri Valley Missouri Valley 49 13 13 X 5% X
174 Santa Clara West Coast West Coast 49 14 13 X 2% X
175 Ohio MAC MAC 49 11 13 X 1% X
176 Texas-San Antonio Conference USA Conf. USA 49 15 12 X 7% X
177 Gardner-Webb Big South Big South 49 17 10 X 13% X
178 St. Joseph's Atlantic 10 Atl. 10 49 11 15 X 2% X
179 Cornell Ivy League Ivy League 49 13 11 X 7% X
180 FIU Conference USA Conf. USA 48 16 11 X 3% X
181 Eastern MichiganE. Michigan MAC MAC 47 11 14 X 1% X
182 St. BonaventureSt. Bonavent. Atlantic 10 Atl. 10 47 11 14 X 2% X
183 IPFW Summit Summit 47 17 11 X 14% X
184 Texas Arlington Sunbelt Sunbelt 47 12 14 X 6% X
185 Delaware Colonial Athletic Colonial Athl. 46 16 12 X 6% X
186 New Mexico Mountain West Mntn West 46 11 14 X 1% X
187 Texas Southern Southwestern SWAC 46 14 11 X 35% X
188 Pacific West Coast West Coast 46 13 14 X 1% X
189 UMBC America East America East 46 17 10 X 9% X
190 Northern Iowa Missouri Valley Missouri Valley 46 12 15 X 6% X
191 St. Francis (PA) Northeast North East 45 14 11 X 25% X
192 Green Bay Horizon Horizon 45 14 13 X 11% X
193 CSU Fullerton Big West Big West 45 12 13 X 9% X
194 Northern IllinoisN. Illinois MAC MAC 45 12 14 X 1% X
195 North Dakota St. Summit Summit 44 14 13 X 12% X
196 PresbyterianPresbyter. Big South Big South 44 16 12 X 10% X
197 Holy Cross Patriot League Patriot League 44 14 14 X 4% X
198 St. Francis (NY) Northeast North East 44 16 11 X 20% X
199 Hartford America East America East 44 13 13 X 6% X
200 Valparaiso Missouri Valley Missouri Valley 44 13 14 X 4% X
201 California BaptistCal Baptist WAC WAC 43 13 10 X X X
202 Campbell Big South Big South 43 15 11 X 11% X
203 Ill. Chicago Horizon Horizon 43 14 13 X 10% X
204 Norfolk St. Mideastern Mid-Eastern 43 16 11 X 31% X
205 PepperdinePepperd. West Coast West Coast 43 12 15 X 1% X
206 Seattle WAC WAC 43 13 12 X 3% X
207 Prairie View A&M Southwestern SWAC 43 13 12 X 31% X
208 Rider Metro Atlantic Metro Atlantic 42 14 13 X 19% X
209 Eastern Illinois Ohio Valley Ohio Valley 42 14 13 X 2% X
210 QuinnipiacQuinnip. Metro Atlantic Metro Atlantic 41 14 11 X 19% X
211 Coastal CarolinaCoast. Car. Sunbelt Sunbelt 41 12 12 X 3% X
212 Boise St. Mountain West Mntn West 41 11 15 X 1% X
213 North Florida Atlantic Sun Atlantic Sun 40 12 16 X 3% X
214 Washington St.Wash. St. PAC 12 PAC 12 40 10 15 X <1% X
215 High Point Big South Big South 40 14 12 X 7% X
216 American Patriot League Patriot League 40 13 12 X 5% X
217 IUPUI Horizon Horizon 40 14 13 X 7% X
218 Citadel Southern Southern 40 11 14 X 1% X
219 New Orleans Southland South-land 40 14 10 X 18% X
220 Troy Sunbelt Sunbelt 40 11 14 X 2% X
221 Lamar Southland South-land 39 14 12 X 10% X
222 Canisius Metro Atlantic Metro Atlantic 39 12 14 X 16% X
223 Arkansas St. Sunbelt Sunbelt 39 11 15 X 2% X
224 William & Mary Colonial Athletic Colonial Athl. 39 10 16 X 2% X
225 UMass-Lowell America East America East 39 14 13 X 4% X
226 N.C. A&T Mideastern Mid-Eastern 39 14 12 X 24% X
227 Stephen F. Austin Southland South-land 39 13 11 X 8% X
228 Wagner Northeast North East 38 13 12 X 14% X
229 Dartmouth Ivy League Ivy League 38 11 13 X <1% X
230 SE Louisiana Southland South-land 38 13 13 X 15% X
231 Drexel Colonial Athletic Colonial Athl. 38 12 16 X 2% X
232 Air Force Mountain West Mntn West 38 10 15 X <1% X
233 E. Carolina American Athletic Am. Athletic 38 9 16 X <1% X
234 Montana St. Big Sky Big Sky 38 12 13 X 7% X
235 Colorado St. Mountain West Mntn West 37 9 16 X <1% X
236 Richmond Atlantic 10 Atl. 10 37 10 15 X <1% X
237 MassachusettsMass. Atlantic 10 Atl. 10 37 9 16 X <1% X
238 Siena Metro Atlantic Metro Atlantic 37 13 14 X 13% X
239 Oakland Horizon Horizon 37 12 16 X 6% X
240 Fla Gulf Coast Atlantic Sun Atlantic Sun 37 11 17 X 2% X
241 UMKC WAC WAC 36 10 16 X 2% X
242 Detroit Horizon Horizon 36 10 17 X 5% X
243 Fair. Dickinson Northeast North East 36 13 13 X 12% X
244 La Salle Atlantic 10 Atl. 10 36 8 16 X <1% X
245 Army Patriot League Patriot League 36 12 15 X 3% X
246 Rice Conference USA Conf. USA 36 10 17 X 1% X
247 Eastern Kentucky Ohio Valley Ohio Valley 36 11 16 X <1% X
248 James Madison Colonial Athletic Colonial Athl. 35 12 15 X 1% X
249 Fordham Atlantic 10 Atl. 10 35 11 14 X <1% X
250 Southern Utah Big Sky Big Sky 35 12 12 X 5% X
251 South Alabama Sunbelt Sunbelt 35 12 14 X 1% X
252 ChattanoogaChattan. Southern Southern 35 11 16 X 1% X
253 Evansville Missouri Valley Missouri Valley 35 10 17 X 1% X
254 Eastern WashingtonEastern Wash. Big Sky Big Sky 35 10 15 X 6% X
255 Boston U. Patriot League Patriot League 35 12 16 X 2% X
256 Charleston Southern Big South Big South 35 12 13 X 4% X
257 UC Davis Big West Big West 34 10 14 X 3% X
258 Middle Tenn. Conference USA Conf. USA 34 8 19 X 1% X
259 Robert Morris Northeast North East 34 13 14 X 9% X
260 Mercer Southern Southern 34 9 17 X <1% X
261 Morehead St. Ohio Valley Ohio Valley 34 10 17 X 1% X
262 Sacred Heart Northeast North East 33 12 15 X 9% X
263 Navy Patriot League Patriot League 33 9 16 X 2% X
264 Grambling Southwestern SWAC 33 13 13 X X X
265 Western MichiganW. Michigan MAC MAC 33 8 18 X <1% X
266 Geo. WashingtonGeo. Wash. Atlantic 10 Atl. 10 33 7 18 X <1% X
267 Marist Metro Atlantic Metro Atlantic 33 12 14 X 9% X
268 Longwood Big South Big South 33 15 13 X 2% X
269 JacksonvilleJack.ville Atlantic Sun Atlantic Sun 32 12 15 X 1% X
270 UALR Sunbelt Sunbelt 32 10 16 X 1% X
271 Long Beach St. Big West Big West 32 9 18 X 3% X
272 N.C. WilmingtonN.C. Wilming. Colonial Athletic Colonial Athl. 32 9 19 X 1% X
273 Youngstown St.Youngstwn St. Horizon Horizon 32 12 16 X 4% X
274 Appalachian St.App. St. Sunbelt Sunbelt 32 9 16 X 1% X
275 Towson Colonial Athletic Colonial Athl. 32 10 17 X 1% X
276 LIU-Brooklyn Northeast North East 31 12 14 X 6% X
277 Central Conn. St. Northeast North East 31 11 16 X 4% X
278 Portland St. Big Sky Big Sky 31 11 14 X 3% X
279 South Dakota Summit Summit 31 10 15 X 4% X
280 Sacramento St.Sacram. St. Big Sky Big Sky 31 10 12 X 2% X
281 Alabama St. Southwestern SWAC 31 10 13 X 13% X
282 Houston Baptist Southland South-land 30 9 14 X 3% X
283 Central Arkansas Southland South-land 30 10 15 X 2% X
284 Monmouth Metro Atlantic Metro Atlantic 30 10 18 X 8% X
285 AR Pine Bluff Southwestern SWAC 30 11 15 X 12% X
286 Iona Metro Atlantic Metro Atlantic 30 10 15 X 7% X
287 CaliforniaCalif. PAC 12 PAC 12 29 5 20 X <1% X
288 Loyola-MD Patriot League Patriot League 29 9 18 X 1% X
289 CSU Northridge Big West Big West 29 10 16 X 2% X
290 UTEP Conference USA Conf. USA 29 8 17 - X -
291 Lafayette Patriot League Patriot League 29 9 16 X 1% X
292 Tenn-Martin Ohio Valley Ohio Valley 29 10 15 X <1% X
293 Texas A&M C.C. Southland South-land 29 10 15 X 3% X
294 Nicholls St. Southland South-land 28 11 14 X 2% X
295 Idaho St. Big Sky Big Sky 28 9 15 X 2% X
296 Western Carolina Southern Southern 28 7 21 X <1% X
297 Niagara Metro Atlantic Metro Atlantic 27 12 15 X 4% X
298 Oral Roberts Summit Summit 27 10 19 X 3% X
299 North Alabama Atlantic Sun Atlantic Sun 27 8 19 X X X
300 Charlotte Conference USA Conf. USA 27 6 19 - X -
301 Tennessee St.Tenn. St. Ohio Valley Ohio Valley 26 8 18 X <1% X
302 N.C. Central Mideastern Mid-Eastern 26 13 14 X 10% X
303 Bethune-Cookman Mideastern Mid-Eastern 26 12 15 X 8% X
304 Tulane American Athletic Am. Athletic 26 4 20 X <1% X
305 Northwestern St.N. Western St. Southland South-land 26 10 16 X 1% X
306 Hampton Big South Big South 26 10 15 X 1% X
307 Savannah St. Mideastern Mid-Eastern 25 10 16 X 7% X
308 North Dakota Summit Summit 25 10 16 X 2% X
309 Wis. Milwaukee Horizon Horizon 25 9 18 X 1% X
310 Florida A&M Mideastern Mid-Eastern 24 11 17 X 8% X
311 Elon Colonial Athletic Colonial Athl. 24 8 19 X <1% X
312 VMI Southern Southern 24 7 19 X <1% X
313 Northern Arizona Big Sky Big Sky 24 8 17 X 1% X
314 Albany America East America East 24 9 17 X 1% X
315 SE Missouri St. Ohio Valley Ohio Valley 24 9 18 X X X
316 Tennessee TechTenn. Tech Ohio Valley Ohio Valley 22 7 20 X <1% X
317 Howard Mideastern Mid-Eastern 22 12 15 X 5% X
318 Portland West Coast West Coast 22 7 20 X <1% X
319 UC Riverside Big West Big West 22 9 18 X 1% X
320 Manhattan Metro Atlantic Metro Atlantic 22 9 17 X 3% X
321 Wyoming Mountain West Mntn West 22 6 19 X <1% X
322 Cleveland St. Horizon Horizon 21 8 20 X 1% X
323 Columbia Ivy League Ivy League 21 6 16 X <1% X
324 Bryant Northeast North East 21 8 17 X 1% X
325 Denver Summit Summit 21 7 19 X 1% X
326 SIU EdwardsvilleSIU Ed.ville Ohio Valley Ohio Valley 20 8 18 X <1% X
327 Mount St. Mary's Northeast North East 19 7 20 X <1% X
328 Western Illinois Summit Summit 18 8 17 X 1% X
329 Morgan St. Mideastern Mid-Eastern 18 8 16 X 3% X
330 Kennesaw St. Atlantic Sun Atlantic Sun 17 5 22 X <1% X
331 Jackson St. Southwestern SWAC 17 7 17 X 4% X
332 Coppin St. Mideastern Mid-Eastern 17 6 21 X 3% X
333 BinghamtonBingham. America East America East 16 7 19 X <1% X
334 Stetson Atlantic Sun Atlantic Sun 15 6 21 X <1% X
335 Maine America East America East 15 5 22 X <1% X
336 Fairfield Metro Atlantic Metro Atlantic 15 7 20 X 1% X
337 Chicago St. WAC WAC 14 3 22 X <1% X
338 Alcorn St. Southwestern SWAC 14 8 17 X 3% X
339 McNeese St. Southland South-land 14 6 18 X <1% X
340 St. Peter's Metro Atlantic Metro Atlantic 13 6 19 X 1% X
341 S. Carolina St. Mideastern Mid-Eastern 13 7 21 X 1% X
342 Incarnate Word Southland South-land 12 6 19 X X X
343 San Jose St. Mountain West Mntn West 12 3 21 X <1% X
344 Cal Poly Big West Big West 10 5 18 X <1% X
345 Alabama A&M Southwestern SWAC 9 5 21 X X X
346 Southern Southwestern SWAC 8 4 22 X 1% X
347 Miss. Valley St. Southwestern SWAC 8 5 22 X 1% X
348 S. Carolina Upstate Big South Big South 8 6 22 X <1% X
349 N.C. Asheville Big South Big South 5 4 22 X <1% X
350 MD Eastern Shore Mideastern Mid-Eastern 4 4 24 X <1% X
351 Idaho Big Sky Big Sky 4 4 21 X <1% X
352 Delaware St. Mideastern Mid-Eastern 2 4 20 X <1% X
353 New Hampshire America East America East 1 3 22 X <1% X
  • Notes
  • X means the team cannot win this spot - ties of future unplayed games are not considered
  • 50% - probability the team will receive a tournament invitation - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will receive a tournament invitation - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot