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NCAA Basketball - Week 1 of 18

NCAA Basketball Tournament Participation Probabilities

Will your team receive an invitation to the NCAA tournament? The NCAA Basketball Tournament Participation Probabilities table presents the probability that a team receives a tournament invite depended upon three ways of playing its remaining games. These play methods include winning all remaining games (minus its conference tournament final), current winning probabilites, and losing all remaining games. All other future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Note the cutline between ranked teams 61 and 62. Teams above this line should receive a NCAA Tournament invitaiton based upon thier rank. Teams below this line will receive a tournament invitation ONLY if they obtain an automatic bid by winning their conference tournament.

Last 6 teams in - Wofford, Austin Peay, Samford, Cleveland St., Charleston Southern, Liberty
First 6 teams out - Sacramento St., S. Carolina Upstate, American, Eastern Kentucky, Montana, LA Lafayette


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NCAA Basketball Tournament Participation Probabilities

Rank Team Conference MWP Record  NCAA Tournament Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Minus CF Current Lose Out
1 Delaware St. Mideastern 51 0 0 > 99% 20% X
2 S. Carolina St. Mideastern 51 0 0 > 99% 20% X
3 Savannah St. Mideastern 51 0 0 > 99% 21% X
4 Howard Mideastern 51 0 0 > 99% 20% X
5 Florida A&M Mideastern 51 0 0 X X X
6 Hampton Mideastern 51 0 0 > 99% 21% X
7 Morehead St. Ohio Valley 51 0 0 > 99% 20% X
8 MD Eastern Shore Mideastern 51 0 0 > 99% 21% X
9 N.C. A&T Mideastern 51 0 0 > 99% 20% X
10 Alabama A&M Southwestern 51 0 0 > 99% 22% X
11 Bethune-Cookman Mideastern 51 0 0 > 99% 20% X
12 Southern Southwestern 51 0 0 X X X
13 Norfolk St. Mideastern 51 0 0 > 99% 20% X
14 AR Pine Bluff Southwestern 51 0 0 > 99% 22% X
15 Prairie View A&M Southwestern 51 0 0 > 99% 21% X
16 Presbyterian Big South 51 0 0 > 99% 20% X
17 Texas Southern Southwestern 51 0 0 > 99% 22% X
18 Morgan St. Mideastern 51 0 0 > 99% 21% X
19 North Florida Atlantic Sun 51 0 0 > 99% 22% X
20 Miss. Valley St. Southwestern 51 0 0 > 99% 22% X
21 Winthrop Big South 51 0 0 > 99% 21% X
22 Coppin St. Mideastern 51 0 0 > 99% 21% X
23 Jackson St. Southwestern 51 0 0 > 99% 22% X
24 Jacksonville St. Ohio Valley 51 0 0 > 99% 20% X
25 North Dakota Big Sky 51 0 0 > 99% 20% X
26 N.C. Central Mideastern 51 0 0 > 99% 20% X
27 Grambling Southwestern 51 0 0 > 99% 21% X
28 Tenn-Martin Ohio Valley 51 0 0 > 99% 20% X
29 Montana St. Big Sky 51 0 0 > 99% 21% X
30 Longwood Big South 51 0 0 > 99% 20% X
31 Campbell Big South 51 0 0 > 99% 20% X
32 High Point Big South 51 0 0 > 99% 20% X
33 Western Carolina Southern 51 0 0 > 99% 21% X
34 Alcorn St. Southwestern 51 0 0 > 99% 21% X
35 Jacksonville Atlantic Sun 51 0 0 > 99% 21% X
36 Coastal Carolina Big South 51 0 0 > 99% 19% X
37 Alabama St. Southwestern 51 0 0 X X X
38 Idaho St. Big Sky 51 0 0 > 99% 20% X
39 Eastern Washington Big Sky 51 0 0 > 99% 19% X
40 Tennessee St. Ohio Valley 51 0 0 > 99% 20% X
41 N.C. Asheville Big South 51 0 0 > 99% 20% X
42 Radford Big South 51 0 0 > 99% 20% X
43 Mount St. Mary's Northeast 51 0 0 > 99% 22% X
44 Georgia St. Sunbelt 51 0 0 > 99% 20% X
45 Portland St. Big Sky 51 0 0 > 99% 20% X
46 FIU Conference USA 51 0 0 > 99% 20% X
47 Chicago St. WAC 51 0 0 > 99% 22% X
48 Stetson Atlantic Sun 50 0 0 > 99% 22% X
49 SE Louisiana Southland 50 0 0 > 99% 20% X
50 E. Tennessee St. Southern 50 0 0 > 99% 21% X
51 Kennesaw St. Atlantic Sun 50 0 0 > 99% 22% X
52 Tennessee Tech Ohio Valley 50 0 0 > 99% 20% X
53 South Dakota Summit 50 0 0 > 99% 22% X
54 Lipscomb Atlantic Sun 50 0 0 > 99% 21% X
55 UMKC WAC 50 0 0 > 99% 22% X
56 Wofford Southern 50 0 0 > 99% 21% X
57 Austin Peay Ohio Valley 50 0 0 > 99% 20% X
58 Samford Southern 50 0 0 > 99% 21% X
59 Cleveland St. Horizon 50 0 0 > 99% 21% X
60 Charleston Southern Big South 50 0 0 > 99% 20% X
61 Liberty Big South 50 0 0 > 99% 19% X
Cutline - Click Here to View 79 Line Movers
62 Sacramento St. Big Sky 50 0 0 > 99% 21% X
63 S. Carolina Upstate Atlantic Sun 50 0 0 > 99% 21% X
64 American Patriot League 50 0 0 > 99% 22% X
65 Eastern Kentucky Ohio Valley 50 0 0 > 99% 19% X
66 Montana Big Sky 50 0 0 > 99% 20% X
67 LA Lafayette Sunbelt 50 0 0 > 99% 19% X
68 Albany America East 50 0 0 > 99% 22% X
69 Sam Houston St. Southland 50 0 0 > 99% 18% X
70 Northern Colorado Big Sky 50 0 0 > 99% 20% X
71 Lamar Southland 50 0 0 X X X
72 TX Pan American WAC 50 0 0 > 99% 22% X
73 CSU Fullerton Big West 50 0 0 > 99% 21% X
74 Northern Kentucky Atlantic Sun 50 0 0 X X X
75 Wright St. Horizon 50 0 0 > 99% 21% X
76 Gardner-Webb Big South 50 0 0 > 99% 19% X
77 Binghamton America East 50 0 0 > 99% 21% X
78 Abilene Christian Southland 50 0 0 X X X
79 Idaho Big Sky 50 0 0 > 99% 20% X
80 Appalachian St. Sunbelt 50 0 0 X X X
81 Wagner Northeast 50 0 0 > 99% 21% X
82 South Alabama Sunbelt 50 0 0 > 99% 20% X
83 N.C. Greensboro Southern 50 0 0 > 99% 20% X
84 UC Irvine Big West 50 0 0 > 99% 21% X
85 Youngstown St. Horizon 50 0 0 > 99% 21% X
86 UC Davis Big West 50 0 0 > 99% 21% X
87 St. Francis (PA) Northeast 50 0 0 > 99% 21% X
88 South Dakota St. Summit 50 0 0 > 99% 21% X
89 UC Riverside Big West 50 0 0 > 99% 21% X
90 Texas Arlington Sunbelt 50 0 0 > 99% 20% X
91 IUPUI Summit 50 0 0 > 99% 23% X
92 Cal St. Bakersfield WAC 50 0 0 > 99% 22% X
93 Oral Roberts Summit 50 0 0 > 99% 21% X
94 Colgate Patriot League 50 0 0 > 99% 22% X
95 Long Beach St. Big West 50 0 0 > 99% 22% X
96 Hofstra Colonial Athletic 50 0 0 > 99% 22% X
97 Belmont Ohio Valley 50 0 0 > 99% 20% X
98 Furman Southern 50 0 0 > 99% 21% X
99 Cal Poly Big West 50 0 0 > 99% 21% X
100 Murray St. Ohio Valley 50 0 0 > 99% 20% X
101 UMass-Lowell America East 50 0 0 X X X
102 LA Monroe Sunbelt 50 0 0 > 99% 19% X
103 Fair. Dickinson Northeast 50 0 0 > 99% 21% X
104 Chattanooga Southern 50 0 0 > 99% 20% X
105 Oakland Horizon 50 0 0 > 99% 21% X
106 Towson Colonial Athletic 50 0 0 > 99% 21% X
107 SE Missouri St. Ohio Valley 50 0 0 > 99% 19% X
108 UMBC America East 50 0 0 > 99% 22% X
109 Arkansas St. Sunbelt 50 0 0 > 99% 20% X
110 Texas St. (SM) Sunbelt 50 0 0 > 99% 19% X
111 Utah Valley WAC 50 0 0 > 99% 23% X
112 Eastern Illinois Ohio Valley 50 0 0 > 99% 19% X
113 St. Francis (NY) Northeast 50 0 0 > 99% 21% X
114 N.C. Wilmington Colonial Athletic 50 0 0 > 99% 21% X
115 Georgia Southern Sunbelt 50 0 0 > 99% 19% X
116 Nebraska Omaha Summit 50 0 0 X X X
117 Central Arkansas Southland 50 0 0 X X X
118 Loyola-MD Patriot League 50 0 0 > 99% 21% X
119 Incarnate Word Southland 50 0 0 X X X
120 LIU-Brooklyn Northeast 50 0 0 > 99% 21% X
121 Northern Arizona Big Sky 50 0 0 > 99% 21% X
122 Houston Baptist Southland 50 0 0 X X X
123 Texas A&M C.C. Southland 50 0 0 > 99% 19% X
124 CSU Northridge Big West 50 0 0 > 99% 21% X
125 IPFW Summit 50 0 0 > 99% 21% X
126 Middle Tenn. Conference USA 50 0 0 > 99% 20% X
127 Troy Sunbelt 50 0 0 > 99% 20% X
128 Wis. Milwaukee Horizon 50 0 0 X X X
129 Stony Brook America East 50 0 0 > 99% 21% X
130 Southern Utah Big Sky 50 0 0 > 99% 20% X
131 Bryant Northeast 50 0 0 > 99% 21% X
132 Mercer Southern 50 0 0 > 99% 21% X
133 Stephen F. Austin Southland 50 0 0 > 99% 19% X
134 Central Conn. St. Northeast 50 0 0 > 99% 21% X
135 Sacred Heart Northeast 50 0 0 > 99% 21% X
136 Florida Atlantic Conference USA 50 0 0 > 99% 19% X
137 Hartford America East 50 0 0 > 99% 21% X
138 Robert Morris Northeast 50 0 0 > 99% 21% X
139 VMI Southern 50 0 0 > 99% 21% X
140 New Jersey Tech Independent 50 0 0 > 99% 15% X
141 Citadel Southern 50 0 0 > 99% 20% X
142 Northeastern Colonial Athletic 50 0 0 > 99% 21% X
143 Delaware Colonial Athletic 50 0 0 > 99% 21% X
144 William & Mary Colonial Athletic 50 0 0 > 99% 21% X
145 New Hampshire America East 50 0 0 > 99% 21% X
146 Lafayette Patriot League 50 0 0 > 99% 21% X
147 Iona Metro Atlantic 50 0 0 > 99% 21% X
148 Fla Gulf Coast Atlantic Sun 50 0 0 > 99% 22% X
149 Ill. Chicago Horizon 50 0 0 > 99% 21% X
150 New Orleans Southland 50 0 0 > 99% 18% X
151 Nicholls St. Southland 50 0 0 > 99% 18% X
152 Maine America East 50 0 0 > 99% 22% X
153 Louisiana Tech Conference USA 50 0 0 > 99% 20% X
154 Vermont America East 50 0 0 > 99% 21% X
155 St. Peter's Metro Atlantic 50 0 0 > 99% 21% X
156 Boston U. Patriot League 50 0 0 > 99% 21% X
157 Northwestern St. Southland 50 0 0 > 99% 18% X
158 Detroit Horizon 50 0 0 > 99% 21% X
159 Army Patriot League 50 0 0 > 99% 21% X
160 SIU Edwardsville Ohio Valley 50 0 0 > 99% 19% X
161 Valparaiso Horizon 50 0 0 > 99% 20% X
162 Bucknell Patriot League 50 0 0 > 99% 21% X
163 Marshall Conference USA 50 0 0 > 99% 19% X
164 Rider Metro Atlantic 50 0 0 > 99% 21% X
165 Lehigh Patriot League 50 0 0 > 99% 21% X
166 Western Kentucky Conference USA 50 0 0 > 99% 19% X
167 Charleston Colonial Athletic 50 0 0 > 99% 21% X
168 Western Illinois Summit 50 0 0 > 99% 21% X
169 Manhattan Metro Atlantic 50 0 0 > 99% 21% X
170 Southern Miss Conference USA 50 0 0 > 99% 19% X
171 Siena Metro Atlantic 50 0 0 > 99% 21% X
172 Texas-San Antonio Conference USA 50 0 0 > 99% 19% X
173 Elon Colonial Athletic 50 0 0 > 99% 21% X
174 Loyola Marymount West Coast 50 0 0 > 99% 20% X
175 Holy Cross Patriot League 50 0 0 > 99% 21% X
176 Pacific West Coast 50 0 0 > 99% 20% X
177 UCSB Big West 50 0 0 > 99% 21% X
178 New Mexico St. WAC 50 0 0 > 99% 22% X
179 Green Bay Horizon 50 0 0 > 99% 20% X
180 Monmouth Metro Atlantic 50 0 0 > 99% 21% X
181 Southern Illinois Missouri Valley 50 0 0 > 99% 21% X
182 Buffalo MAC 50 0 0 > 99% 20% X
183 Rice Conference USA 50 0 0 > 99% 19% X
184 Fairfield Metro Atlantic 50 0 0 > 99% 21% X
185 Denver Summit 50 0 0 > 99% 22% X
186 North Texas Conference USA 50 0 0 > 99% 19% X
187 Boise St. Mountain West 50 0 0 > 99% 20% X
188 Portland West Coast 50 0 0 > 99% 20% X
189 Yale Ivy League 50 0 0 > 99% 21% X
190 UALR Sunbelt 50 0 0 > 99% 20% X
191 Charlotte Conference USA 50 0 0 > 99% 20% X
192 Navy Patriot League 50 0 0 > 99% 21% X
193 McNeese St. Southland 50 0 0 > 99% 18% X
194 North Dakota St. Summit 50 0 0 > 99% 21% X
195 Weber St. Big Sky 50 0 0 > 99% 20% X
196 Grand Canyon WAC 50 0 0 X X X
197 Canisius Metro Atlantic 50 0 0 > 99% 21% X
198 Kent State MAC 50 0 0 > 99% 20% X
199 Ball State MAC 50 0 0 > 99% 20% X
200 Eastern Michigan MAC 50 0 0 > 99% 18% X
201 Toledo MAC 50 0 0 > 99% 20% X
202 Marist Metro Atlantic 50 0 0 > 99% 21% X
203 Hawaii Big West 50 0 0 > 99% 21% X
204 Niagara Metro Atlantic 50 0 0 > 99% 21% X
205 Fresno St. Mountain West 50 0 0 > 99% 21% X
206 Drake Missouri Valley 50 0 0 > 99% 21% X
207 Bowling Green MAC 50 0 0 > 99% 20% X
208 Miami OH MAC 50 0 0 > 99% 19% X
209 Loyola-Chicago Missouri Valley 50 0 0 > 99% 20% X
210 James Madison Colonial Athletic 50 0 0 > 99% 21% X
211 Seattle WAC 50 0 0 > 99% 22% X
212 Utah St. Mountain West 50 0 0 > 99% 20% X
213 Wyoming Mountain West 50 0 0 > 99% 20% X
214 Santa Clara West Coast 50 0 0 > 99% 20% X
215 Western Michigan MAC 50 0 0 > 99% 20% X
216 UAB Conference USA 50 0 0 > 99% 19% X
217 Pepperdine West Coast 50 0 0 > 99% 21% X
218 Missouri St. Missouri Valley 50 0 0 > 99% 20% X
219 Quinnipiac Metro Atlantic 50 0 0 > 99% 21% X
220 San Jose St. Mountain West 50 0 0 X X X
221 Northern Iowa Missouri Valley 50 0 0 > 99% 21% X
222 La Salle Atlantic 10 50 0 0 > 99% 20% X
223 San Francisco West Coast 50 0 0 > 99% 21% X
224 St. Bonaventure Atlantic 10 50 0 0 > 99% 20% X
225 Duquesne Atlantic 10 50 0 0 > 99% 19% X
226 Air Force Mountain West 50 0 0 > 99% 20% X
227 San Diego West Coast 50 0 0 > 99% 21% X
228 Richmond Atlantic 10 50 0 0 > 99% 20% X
229 Illinois St. Missouri Valley 50 0 0 > 99% 21% X
230 St. Joseph's Atlantic 10 50 0 0 > 99% 20% X
231 Davidson Atlantic 10 50 0 0 > 99% 19% X
232 Colorado St. Mountain West 50 0 0 > 99% 20% X
233 Northern Illinois MAC 50 0 0 > 99% 20% X
234 Nevada Mountain West 50 0 0 > 99% 19% X
235 Pittsburgh ACC 50 0 0 > 99% 19% X
236 Drexel Colonial Athletic 50 0 0 > 99% 21% X
237 BYU West Coast 50 0 0 > 99% 21% X
238 Bradley Missouri Valley 50 0 0 > 99% 21% X
239 Massachusetts Atlantic 10 50 0 0 > 99% 20% X
240 New Mexico Mountain West 50 0 0 > 99% 21% X
241 St. Mary's West Coast 50 0 0 > 99% 21% X
242 UNLV Mountain West 50 0 0 > 99% 20% X
243 Dartmouth Ivy League 50 0 0 > 99% 21% X
244 Fordham Atlantic 10 50 0 0 > 99% 19% X
245 Brown Ivy League 50 0 0 > 99% 21% X
246 Old Dominion Conference USA 50 0 0 > 99% 20% X
247 Gonzaga West Coast 50 0 0 > 99% 20% X
248 Evansville Missouri Valley 50 0 0 > 99% 21% X
249 Akron MAC 50 0 0 > 99% 19% X
250 E. Carolina American Athletic 50 0 0 > 99% 20% X
251 Saint Louis Atlantic 10 50 0 0 > 99% 19% X
252 Central Michigan MAC 50 0 0 > 99% 18% X
253 UTEP Conference USA 50 0 0 > 99% 19% X
254 South Florida American Athletic 50 0 0 > 99% 20% X
255 Cornell Ivy League 50 0 0 > 99% 21% X
256 Geo. Washington Atlantic 10 50 0 0 > 99% 19% X
257 Wichita St. Missouri Valley 50 0 0 > 99% 21% X
258 Temple American Athletic 50 0 0 > 99% 21% X
259 San Diego St. Mountain West 50 0 0 > 99% 20% X
260 Rutgers Big 10 50 0 0 > 99% 20% X
261 Ohio MAC 50 0 0 > 99% 20% X
262 Tulane American Athletic 50 0 0 > 99% 20% X
263 Southern Methodist American Athletic 50 0 0 > 99% 20% X
264 Tulsa American Athletic 50 0 0 > 99% 20% X
265 Princeton Ivy League 50 0 0 > 99% 20% X
266 Utah PAC 12 50 0 0 > 99% 20% X
267 Houston American Athletic 50 0 0 > 99% 20% X
268 Auburn SEC 50 0 0 > 99% 19% X
269 UCF American Athletic 50 0 0 > 99% 20% X
270 VCU Atlantic 10 50 0 0 > 99% 20% X
271 Baylor Big 12 50 0 0 > 99% 20% X
272 George Mason Atlantic 10 50 0 0 > 99% 19% X
273 Washington St. PAC 12 50 0 0 > 99% 20% X
274 Michigan St. Big 10 50 0 0 > 99% 19% X
275 Virginia Tech ACC 50 0 0 > 99% 19% X
276 Illinois Big 10 50 0 0 > 99% 19% X
277 Pennsylvania Ivy League 50 0 0 > 99% 21% X
278 Wake Forest ACC 50 0 0 > 99% 19% X
279 Indiana St. Missouri Valley 50 0 0 > 99% 20% X
280 Cincinnati American Athletic 50 0 0 > 99% 21% X
281 Georgia SEC 50 0 0 > 99% 20% X
282 Stanford PAC 12 50 0 0 > 99% 20% X
283 Michigan Big 10 50 0 0 > 99% 19% X
284 Florida St. ACC 50 0 0 > 99% 19% X
285 Miami ACC 50 0 0 > 99% 19% X
286 Ole Miss SEC 50 0 0 > 99% 19% X
287 Indiana Big 10 50 0 0 > 99% 19% X
288 Alabama SEC 50 0 0 > 99% 18% X
289 Harvard Ivy League 50 0 0 > 99% 20% X
290 Oregon St. PAC 12 50 0 0 > 99% 19% X
291 Arkansas SEC 50 0 0 > 99% 19% X
292 Rhode Island Atlantic 10 50 0 0 > 99% 19% X
293 Dayton Atlantic 10 50 0 0 > 99% 19% X
294 LSU SEC 50 0 0 > 99% 19% X
295 Columbia Ivy League 50 0 0 > 99% 20% X
296 Ohio St. Big 10 50 0 0 > 99% 19% X
297 Mississippi St. SEC 50 0 0 > 99% 19% X
298 Butler Big East 50 0 0 > 99% 21% X
299 Minnesota Big 10 50 0 0 > 99% 19% X
300 Louisville ACC 50 0 0 > 99% 19% X
301 Memphis American Athletic 50 0 0 > 99% 20% X
302 Virginia ACC 50 0 0 > 99% 19% X
303 Creighton Big East 50 0 0 > 99% 21% X
304 Purdue Big 10 50 0 0 > 99% 19% X
305 Penn State Big 10 50 0 0 > 99% 19% X
306 Seton Hall Big East 50 0 0 > 99% 21% X
307 Texas Big 12 50 0 0 > 99% 21% X
308 DePaul Big East 50 0 0 > 99% 21% X
309 Nebraska Big 10 50 0 0 > 99% 19% X
310 USC PAC 12 50 0 0 > 99% 20% X
311 Texas A&M SEC 50 0 0 > 99% 19% X
312 California PAC 12 50 0 0 > 99% 20% X
313 Arizona St. PAC 12 50 0 0 > 99% 20% X
314 Northwestern Big 10 50 0 0 > 99% 19% X
315 Villanova Big East 50 0 0 > 99% 21% X
316 Connecticut American Athletic 50 0 0 > 99% 20% X
317 UCLA PAC 12 50 0 0 > 99% 20% X
318 Vanderbilt SEC 50 0 0 > 99% 19% X
319 Oregon PAC 12 50 0 0 > 99% 19% X
320 Oklahoma St. Big 12 50 0 0 > 99% 20% X
321 Maryland Big 10 49 0 0 > 99% 20% X
322 Kentucky SEC 49 0 0 > 99% 19% X
323 TCU Big 12 49 0 0 > 99% 21% X
324 Wisconsin Big 10 49 0 0 > 99% 19% X
325 Duke ACC 49 0 0 > 99% 19% X
326 Kansas St. Big 12 49 0 0 > 99% 21% X
327 Oklahoma Big 12 49 0 0 > 99% 21% X
328 Florida SEC 49 0 0 > 99% 19% X
329 N.C. State ACC 49 0 0 > 99% 19% X
330 West Virginia Big 12 49 0 0 > 99% 21% X
331 Xavier Big East 49 0 0 > 99% 21% X
332 Missouri SEC 49 0 0 > 99% 19% X
333 North Carolina ACC 49 0 0 > 99% 19% X
334 Tennessee SEC 49 0 0 > 99% 19% X
335 South Carolina SEC 49 0 0 > 99% 19% X
336 Kansas Big 12 49 0 0 > 99% 20% X
337 Providence Big East 49 0 0 > 99% 21% X
338 Texas Tech Big 12 49 0 0 > 99% 21% X
339 Clemson ACC 49 0 0 > 99% 19% X
340 Colorado PAC 12 49 0 0 > 99% 20% X
341 Notre Dame ACC 49 0 0 > 99% 19% X
342 Iowa St. Big 12 49 0 0 > 99% 21% X
343 Iowa Big 10 49 0 0 > 99% 19% X
344 Marquette Big East 49 0 0 > 99% 21% X
345 Georgia Tech ACC 49 0 0 > 99% 19% X
346 Washington PAC 12 49 0 0 > 99% 20% X
347 St. John's Big East 49 0 0 > 99% 20% X
348 Arizona PAC 12 49 0 0 > 99% 19% X
349 Syracuse ACC 49 0 0 > 99% 19% X
350 Boston College ACC 49 0 0 > 99% 19% X
351 Georgetown Big East 49 0 0 > 99% 20% X
  • Notes
  • X means the team cannot win this spot - ties of future unplayed games are not considered
  • 50% - probability the team will receive a tournament invitation - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will receive a tournament invitation - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot