PlayoffStatus.com

Thu Mar 21 8:00 am

NCAA Basketball - Regular Season Complete

NCAA Basketball Tournament Participation Probabilities

Will your team receive an invitation to the college basketball tournament? The NCAA Basketball Tournament Participation Probabilities table presents the probability that your college team receives a tournament invite depended upon three ways of playing its remaining games. These play methods include winning all remaining games (minus its conference tournament final), current winning probabilites, and losing all remaining games. All other future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Note the cutline between ranked teams 41 and 42. Teams above this line should receive a NCAA Tournament invitaiton based upon thier rank. Teams below this line will receive a tournament invitation ONLY if they obtain an automatic bid by winning their conference tournament.

Last 6 teams in - Colorado, Virginia, Washington St., Boise St., Oregon, Northwestern
First 6 teams out - Mississippi St., Texas, Syracuse, Oklahoma, TCU, Texas A&M

Note that this list will not be updated after the individual conference tournaments

NCAA Basketball Tournament Participation Probabilities
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record NCAA Tournament Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Minus CF Current Lose Out
1 UConn Big EastBig East 115 31 3 - 100% -
2 Purdue Big 10Big 10 113 29 4 - 100% -
3 Houston Big 12Big 12 113 30 4 - 100% -
4 North Carolina ACCACC 102 27 7 - 100% -
5 Iowa St. Big 12Big 12 101 27 7 - 100% -
6 Auburn SECSEC 101 27 7 - 100% -
7 Tennessee SECSEC 101 24 8 - 100% -
8 Illinois Big 10Big 10 96 26 8 - 100% -
9 South Carolina SECSEC 96 26 7 - 100% -
10 Marquette Big EastBig East 95 25 9 - 100% -
11 Arizona PAC 12PAC 12 94 25 8 - 100% -
12 Utah St. Mountain WestMntn West 93 26 6 - 100% -
13 Baylor Big 12Big 12 93 23 10 - 100% -
14 Duke ACCACC 92 24 8 - 100% -
15 Nevada Mountain WestMntn West 91 26 7 - 100% -
16 Dayton Atlantic 10Atl. 10 91 24 7 - 100% -
17 Creighton Big EastBig East 91 23 9 - 100% -
18 Kansas Big 12Big 12 91 22 10 - 100% -
19 Drake Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 90 28 6 - 100% -
20 Alabama SECSEC 90 20 11 - 100% -
21 Kentucky SECSEC 89 23 9 - 100% -
22 San Diego St. Mountain WestMntn West 89 24 10 - 100% -
23 Florida SECSEC 88 24 11 - 100% -
24 New Mexico Mountain WestMntn West 88 26 9 - 100% -
25 Indiana St. Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 87 28 6 - 100% -
26 Wisconsin Big 10Big 10 87 22 13 - 100% -
27 Texas Tech Big 12Big 12 87 23 10 - 100% -
28 BYU Big 12Big 12 87 23 10 - 100% -
29 Florida Atlantic American AthleticAm. Athletic 86 25 8 - 100% -
30 Colorado St. Mountain WestMntn West 86 24 10 - 100% -
31 Grand Canyon WACWAC 86 28 4 - 100% -
32 Nebraska Big 10Big 10 86 23 10 - 100% -
33 Gonzaga West CoastWest Coast 85 24 7 - 100% -
34 St. Mary's West CoastWest Coast 85 26 7 - 100% -
35 Clemson ACCACC 85 21 11 - 100% -
36 Colorado PAC 12PAC 12 85 24 10 - 100% -
37 Virginia ACCACC 85 23 10 - 100% -
38 Washington St. PAC 12PAC 12 85 24 9 - 100% -
39 Boise St. Mountain WestMntn West 85 22 10 - 100% -
40 Oregon PAC 12PAC 12 83 23 10 - 100% -
41 NorthwesternN. Western Big 10Big 10 82 21 11 - X -
Cutline - Click Here to View 0 Line Movers
42 Mississippi St.Miss. St. SECSEC 82 21 13 - 100% -
43 Texas Big 12Big 12 81 20 12 - X -
44 James Madison SunbeltSunbelt 81 31 3 - 100% -
45 Samford SouthernSouthern 81 29 5 - 100% -
46 Syracuse ACCACC 80 20 12 - X -
47 Oklahoma Big 12Big 12 80 20 12 - X -
48 TCU Big 12Big 12 80 21 12 - X -
49 Texas A&M SECSEC 80 20 14 - X -
50 Princeton Ivy LeagueIvy League 80 24 4 - X -
51 McNeese SouthlandSouth-land 80 30 3 - 100% -
52 Pittsburgh ACCACC 80 22 11 - X -
53 N.C. State ACCACC 79 22 14 - 100% -
54 Richmond Atlantic 10Atl. 10 79 23 9 - X -
55 Duquesne Atlantic 10Atl. 10 79 24 11 - 100% -
56 South Florida American AthleticAm. Athletic 79 24 7 - X -
57 Michigan St. Big 10Big 10 79 19 14 - X -
58 St. John's Big EastBig East 79 20 13 - X -
59 Ole Miss SECSEC 79 20 12 - X -
60 Loyola Chicago Atlantic 10Atl. 10 78 23 9 - X -
61 Memphis American AthleticAm. Athletic 78 22 10 - X -
62 Seton Hall Big EastBig East 77 20 12 - X -
63 Providence Big EastBig East 77 21 13 - X -
64 Vermont America EastAmerica East 77 28 6 - 100% -
65 Ohio St. Big 10Big 10 77 20 13 - X -
66 Indiana Big 10Big 10 77 19 14 - X -
67 Cincinnati Big 12Big 12 76 20 14 - X -
68 Kansas St. Big 12Big 12 75 19 14 - X -
69 Bradley Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 75 22 11 - X -
70 Charleston CoastalCoastal 75 27 7 - 100% -
71 Wake Forest ACCACC 75 20 13 - X -
72 UAB American AthleticAm. Athletic 75 23 11 - 100% -
73 UNLV Mountain WestMntn West 74 19 12 - X -
74 VCU Atlantic 10Atl. 10 74 22 13 - X -
75 Utah PAC 12PAC 12 73 19 14 - X -
76 Iowa Big 10Big 10 73 18 14 - X -
77 Virginia Tech ACCACC 73 18 14 - X -
78 Appalachian St.App.St. SunbeltSunbelt 73 27 6 - X -
79 Yale Ivy LeagueIvy League 73 22 9 - 100% -
80 Villanova Big EastBig East 73 18 15 - X -
81 Butler Big EastBig East 72 18 14 - X -
82 Cornell Ivy LeagueIvy League 72 22 7 - X -
83 Florida St. ACCACC 71 17 16 - X -
84 Boston College ACCACC 71 19 15 - X -
85 UC Irvine Big WestBig West 70 24 9 - X -
86 Xavier Big EastBig East 70 16 17 - X -
87 UCF Big 12Big 12 69 17 15 - X -
88 San Francisco West CoastWest Coast 69 23 10 - X -
89 Georgia SECSEC 69 17 16 - X -
90 LSU SECSEC 69 17 15 - X -
91 Washington PAC 12PAC 12 68 17 15 - X -
92 UMass Atlantic 10Atl. 10 68 20 11 - X -
93 George Mason Atlantic 10Atl. 10 68 20 12 - X -
94 St. Joseph's Atlantic 10Atl. 10 68 21 13 - X -
95 Tarleton St. WACWAC 68 23 9 - X -
96 St. BonaventureSt. Bonavnt Atlantic 10Atl. 10 67 20 13 - X -
97 Minnesota Big 10Big 10 67 18 14 - X -
98 Southern Methodist American AthleticAm. Athletic 66 20 12 - X -
99 Arkansas SECSEC 66 16 17 - X -
100 Oakland HorizonHorizon 66 23 11 - 100% -
101 Northern Iowa Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 66 19 14 - X -
102 Charlotte American AthleticAm. Athletic 65 19 12 - X -
103 Morehead St. Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 65 26 8 - 100% -
104 Akron MACMAC 64 24 10 - 100% -
105 High Point Big SouthBig South 64 25 8 - X -
106 Rutgers Big 10Big 10 64 15 17 - X -
107 Santa Clara West CoastWest Coast 64 20 13 - X -
108 Belmont Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 64 20 13 - X -
109 Louisiana Tech Conference USAConf. USA 64 22 10 - X -
110 Maryland Big 10Big 10 63 16 17 - X -
111 North Texas American AthleticAm. Athletic 63 18 14 - X -
112 USC PAC 12PAC 12 62 15 18 - X -
113 Penn State Big 10Big 10 62 16 17 - X -
114 Western Carolina SouthernSouthern 62 22 10 - X -
115 Georgia Tech ACCACC 62 14 18 - X -
116 UNC Wilmington CoastalCoastal 61 21 10 - X -
117 Miami ACCACC 61 15 17 - X -
118 Southern Illinois Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 61 19 13 - X -
119 Arizona St. PAC 12PAC 12 60 14 18 - X -
120 UCLA PAC 12PAC 12 60 16 16 - X -
121 Toledo MACMAC 59 20 12 - X -
122 N.C. Greensboro SouthernSouthern 59 21 11 - X -
123 Sam Houston Conference USAConf. USA 59 21 12 - X -
124 Hofstra CoastalCoastal 58 20 13 - X -
125 UT Arlington WACWAC 58 20 14 - X -
126 Montana Big SkyBig Sky 58 23 11 - X -
127 Eastern Washington Big SkyBig Sky 58 21 11 - X -
128 N.C. Asheville Big SouthBig South 58 22 12 - X -
129 Stanford PAC 12PAC 12 57 14 18 - X -
130 Colgate Patriot LeaguePatriot League 57 25 9 - 100% -
131 Western Kentucky Conference USAConf. USA 57 22 11 - 100% -
132 UMass-LowellUMA-Lowell America EastAmerica East 57 22 10 - X -
133 ChattanoogaChattan. SouthernSouthern 57 21 12 - X -
134 UC San Diego Big WestBig West 56 21 11 - X -
135 Stetson Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 56 22 12 - 100% -
136 Wyoming Mountain WestMntn West 56 15 17 - X -
137 Drexel CoastalCoastal 56 20 12 - X -
138 Notre Dame ACCACC 55 13 20 - X -
139 Quinnipiac Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 55 24 9 - X -
140 Missouri St. Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 55 17 16 - X -
141 Towson CoastalCoastal 55 20 14 - X -
142 California PAC 12PAC 12 54 13 19 - X -
143 Youngstown St. HorizonHorizon 54 22 10 - X -
144 Bryant America EastAmerica East 54 20 13 - X -
145 Seattle WACWAC 54 19 14 - X -
146 Lipscomb Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 54 20 12 - X -
147 Oklahoma St. Big 12Big 12 53 12 20 - X -
148 Troy SunbeltSunbelt 52 20 12 - X -
149 Long Beach St. Big WestBig West 52 21 14 - 100% -
150 Weber St. Big SkyBig Sky 52 20 12 - X -
151 Arkansas St. SunbeltSunbelt 52 18 16 - X -
152 Oregon St. PAC 12PAC 12 52 13 19 - X -
153 South Dakota St. SummitSummit 52 22 12 - 100% -
154 Davidson Atlantic 10Atl. 10 52 15 17 - X -
155 Stony Brook CoastalCoastal 52 20 15 - X -
156 UC Davis Big WestBig West 51 20 13 - X -
157 Fairfield Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 51 22 12 - X -
158 Saint Louis Atlantic 10Atl. 10 51 13 20 - X -
159 San Diego West CoastWest Coast 50 18 15 - X -
160 Monmouth CoastalCoastal 50 18 15 - X -
161 Tenn-MartinTN-Martin Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 50 21 11 - X -
162 Evansville Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 50 16 17 - X -
163 Wichita St. American AthleticAm. Athletic 50 15 19 - X -
164 LA Lafayette SunbeltSunbelt 50 19 14 - X -
165 Ohio MACMAC 50 20 13 - X -
166 Hawai'i Big WestBig West 49 20 14 - X -
167 Liberty Conference USAConf. USA 49 18 14 - X -
168 Michigan Big 10Big 10 49 8 24 - X -
169 Grambling SouthwesternSWAC 49 20 14 - 100% -
170 Longwood Big SouthBig South 49 21 13 - 100% -
171 E. Tennessee St. SouthernSouthern 49 19 16 - X -
172 Tulane American AthleticAm. Athletic 49 14 17 - X -
173 Cleveland St. HorizonHorizon 49 20 14 - X -
174 West Virginia Big 12Big 12 49 9 23 - X -
175 Stephen F. Austin WACWAC 49 18 14 - X -
176 Fort Wayne HorizonHorizon 49 21 12 - X -
177 Illinois St. Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 48 15 17 - X -
178 Delaware CoastalCoastal 48 19 14 - X -
179 Northern Colorado Big SkyBig Sky 48 19 13 - X -
180 La Salle Atlantic 10Atl. 10 48 16 17 - X -
181 Wofford SouthernSouthern 48 17 15 - X -
182 Central Michigan MACMAC 48 18 14 - X -
183 Tulsa American AthleticAm. Athletic 48 16 15 - X -
184 Harvard Ivy LeagueIvy League 47 14 13 - X -
185 Texas A&M C.C. SouthlandSouth-land 47 21 11 - X -
186 Utah Valley WACWAC 47 16 16 - X -
187 Temple American AthleticAm. Athletic 47 16 20 - X -
188 Wright St. HorizonHorizon 47 18 14 - X -
189 Nicholls St. SouthlandSouth-land 47 20 14 - X -
190 Geo. Washington Atlantic 10Atl. 10 47 15 17 - X -
191 Gardner-WebbGardnr-Wbb Big SouthBig South 47 17 16 - X -
192 Furman SouthernSouthern 47 17 16 - X -
193 Bowling Green MACMAC 47 20 13 - X -
194 Vanderbilt SECSEC 47 9 23 - X -
195 UALR Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 46 21 12 - X -
196 St. Peter's Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 46 19 13 - 100% -
197 New Hampshire America EastAmerica East 46 16 15 - X -
198 Western Illinois Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 46 21 12 - X -
199 E. Carolina American AthleticAm. Athletic 46 15 18 - X -
200 Wis. Milwaukee HorizonHorizon 46 20 15 - X -
201 Norfolk St. MideasternMid-Eastern 46 22 11 - X -
202 Southern SouthwesternSWAC 46 18 14 - X -
203 UTEP Conference USAConf. USA 46 18 16 - X -
204 Austin Peay Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 45 19 15 - X -
205 Green Bay HorizonHorizon 45 18 14 - X -
206 Fresno St. Mountain WestMntn West 45 12 21 - X -
207 Texas State SunbeltSunbelt 45 17 18 - X -
208 Rhode Island Atlantic 10Atl. 10 45 12 20 - X -
209 Merrimack NortheastNorth East 45 21 12 - X -
210 Northern Kentucky HorizonHorizon 45 18 15 - X -
211 Fordham Atlantic 10Atl. 10 44 13 20 - X -
212 Eastern Kentucky Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 43 17 14 - X -
213 CSU Northridge Big WestBig West 43 19 15 - X -
214 Winthrop Big SouthBig South 43 17 15 - X -
215 Abilene Christian WACWAC 43 15 17 - X -
216 St. Thomas SummitSummit 43 20 13 - X -
217 Missouri SECSEC 43 8 24 - X -
218 Texas Southern SouthwesternSWAC 42 16 16 - X -
219 Murray State Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 42 12 20 - X -
220 Southern Miss SunbeltSunbelt 42 16 16 - X -
221 UCSB Big WestBig West 42 16 15 - X -
222 Mercer SouthernSouthern 41 16 17 - X -
223 Georgetown Big EastBig East 41 9 23 - X -
224 Lamar SouthlandSouth-land 41 19 14 - X -
225 Brown Ivy LeagueIvy League 41 13 18 - X -
226 Kent State MACMAC 41 16 20 - X -
227 UC Riverside Big WestBig West 41 16 18 - X -
228 Marist Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 41 18 13 - X -
229 Central Conn. NortheastNorth East 41 20 11 - X -
230 California Baptist WACWAC 40 16 17 - X -
231 Portland St. Big SkyBig Sky 40 17 15 - X -
232 UIC Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 40 12 21 - X -
233 Radford Big SouthBig South 40 16 17 - X -
234 Tennessee St. Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 39 18 15 - X -
235 Louisville ACCACC 39 8 24 - X -
236 North Dakota SummitSummit 39 18 14 - X -
237 Maine America EastAmerica East 39 15 17 - X -
238 Loyola Marymount West CoastWest Coast 38 12 19 - X -
239 CSU Fullerton Big WestBig West 38 14 18 - X -
240 Jackson St. SouthwesternSWAC 38 15 17 - X -
241 Binghamton America EastAmerica East 38 15 15 - X -
242 Alcorn St. SouthwesternSWAC 38 14 18 - X -
243 Montana St. Big SkyBig Sky 38 17 17 - 100% -
244 Rider Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 38 15 17 - X -
245 Rice American AthleticAm. Athletic 38 11 21 - X -
246 PennsylvaniaPenn. Ivy LeagueIvy League 37 11 18 - X -
247 South Alabama SunbeltSunbelt 37 16 16 - X -
248 North Alabama Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 37 15 17 - X -
249 San José State Mountain WestMntn West 37 9 23 - X -
250 Middle Tenn. Conference USAConf. USA 37 14 19 - X -
251 North Florida Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 37 16 16 - X -
252 Miami OH MACMAC 37 15 17 - X -
253 Columbia Ivy LeagueIvy League 37 13 14 - X -
254 Georgia St. SunbeltSunbelt 37 14 17 - X -
255 Iona Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 36 16 17 - X -
256 UMKC SummitSummit 36 16 16 - X -
257 Bethune-CookmanBethn-Ckmn SouthwesternSWAC 36 17 16 - X -
258 Pepperdine West CoastWest Coast 36 12 20 - X -
259 Marshall SunbeltSunbelt 36 13 20 - X -
260 Queens U. Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 36 14 19 - X -
261 JacksonvilleJack.ville Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 36 16 17 - X -
262 Portland West CoastWest Coast 36 12 21 - X -
263 N.C. Central MideasternMid-Eastern 36 18 13 - X -
264 North Dakota St. SummitSummit 36 15 17 - X -
265 Air Force Mountain WestMntn West 35 9 22 - X -
266 Howard MideasternMid-Eastern 35 18 16 - 100% -
267 SIU EdwardsvilleSIU Ed.ville Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 35 17 16 - X -
268 New Mexico St. Conference USAConf. USA 35 13 19 - X -
269 Northern Arizona Big SkyBig Sky 35 14 19 - X -
270 NortheasternN. Eastern CoastalCoastal 35 12 20 - X -
271 Kennesaw St. Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 34 15 16 - X -
272 Canisius Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 34 14 18 - X -
273 SE Louisiana SouthlandSouth-land 34 15 17 - X -
274 Denver SummitSummit 34 17 17 - X -
275 Niagara Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 33 16 16 - X -
276 Fla Gulf Coast Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 33 14 18 - X -
277 Ball State MACMAC 33 15 16 - X -
278 Jacksonville StateJacksnvlle St. Conference USAConf. USA 33 14 18 - X -
279 Albany America EastAmerica East 32 13 19 - X -
280 Utah Tech WACWAC 32 11 20 - X -
281 Chicago State NCAA IndependentsInd. 32 12 18 - X -
282 CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild Big WestBig West 32 13 19 - X -
283 Texas-San Antonio American AthleticAm. Athletic 32 11 21 - X -
284 Northern Illinois MACMAC 31 11 20 - X -
285 S. Carolina St. MideasternMid-Eastern 30 14 18 - X -
286 Wagner NortheastNorth East 30 16 15 - 100% -
287 Alabama St. SouthwesternSWAC 30 13 19 - X -
288 Idaho St. Big SkyBig Sky 30 14 20 - X -
289 DePaul Big EastBig East 30 3 29 - X -
290 UL Monroe SunbeltSunbelt 29 11 19 - X -
291 Western Michigan MACMAC 29 12 20 - X -
292 Eastern Illinois Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 29 14 18 - X -
293 Nebraska Omaha SummitSummit 29 15 18 - X -
294 Campbell CoastalCoastal 29 14 18 - X -
295 PresbyterianPresbyter. Big SouthBig South 29 14 18 - X -
296 Eastern Michigan MACMAC 28 13 18 - X -
297 Charleston Southern Big SouthBig South 28 10 20 - X -
298 Oral Roberts SummitSummit 28 12 19 - X -
299 Elon CoastalCoastal 28 13 19 - X -
300 Southern Utah WACWAC 28 10 21 - X -
301 Delaware St. MideasternMid-Eastern 28 15 18 - X -
302 Sacred Heart NortheastNorth East 27 16 16 - X -
303 FIU Conference USAConf. USA 27 11 22 - X -
304 Valparaiso Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 27 7 25 - X -
305 Citadel SouthernSouthern 27 11 21 - X -
306 Texas A&M-CommerceTX A&M-Comm SouthlandSouth-land 27 13 20 - X -
307 AR Pine Bluff SouthwesternSWAC 26 13 18 - X -
308 Alabama A&M SouthwesternSWAC 26 11 22 - X -
309 Bucknell Patriot LeaguePatriot League 26 14 19 - X -
310 Boston U. Patriot LeaguePatriot League 26 16 17 - X -
311 American Patriot LeaguePatriot League 25 16 16 - X -
312 Fair. Dickinson NortheastNorth East 25 15 17 - X -
313 S. Carolina Upstate Big SouthBig South 25 10 20 - X -
314 Le Moyne NortheastNorth East 24 15 17 - X -
315 Mount St. Mary's Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 24 13 20 - X -
316 Lehigh Patriot LeaguePatriot League 24 14 18 - X -
317 Georgia Southern SunbeltSunbelt 22 9 24 - X -
318 Prairie View A&M SouthwesternSWAC 22 10 21 - X -
319 Idaho Big SkyBig Sky 22 11 21 - X -
320 UMBC America EastAmerica East 22 11 21 - X -
321 Sacramento St. Big SkyBig Sky 21 10 24 - X -
322 Robert Morris HorizonHorizon 21 10 22 - X -
323 South Dakota SummitSummit 21 12 20 - X -
324 Morgan St. MideasternMid-Eastern 20 11 20 - X -
325 Dartmouth Ivy LeagueIvy League 20 6 21 - X -
326 Tennessee Tech Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 19 10 21 - X -
327 Coastal Carolina SunbeltSunbelt 19 9 22 - X -
328 Bellarmine Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 19 8 23 - X -
329 Old Dominion SunbeltSunbelt 18 7 25 - X -
330 Lafayette Patriot LeaguePatriot League 17 11 21 - X -
331 N. Carolina A&T CoastalCoastal 17 7 25 - X -
332 NJIT America EastAmerica East 17 7 21 - X -
333 William & Mary CoastalCoastal 17 10 23 - X -
334 Florida A&M SouthwesternSWAC 17 6 23 - X -
335 Navy Patriot LeaguePatriot League 16 13 18 - X -
336 New Orleans SouthlandSouth-land 16 10 23 - X -
337 Central Arkansas Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 16 9 23 - X -
338 Northwestern St.NWestrn St SouthlandSouth-land 16 9 23 - X -
339 UT-Rio Grande Valley WACWAC 15 6 25 - X -
340 Pacific West CoastWest Coast 15 6 26 - X -
341 SE Missouri St. Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 14 9 22 - X -
342 Manhattan Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 14 7 23 - X -
343 Southern Indiana Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 13 8 24 - X -
344 Hampton CoastalCoastal 13 8 24 - X -
345 MD Eastern Shore MideasternMid-Eastern 13 9 20 - X -
346 Lindenwood Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 13 9 22 - X -
347 Houston Christian SouthlandSouth-land 11 6 23 - X -
348 Incarnate Word SouthlandSouth-land 9 8 23 - X -
349 Holy Cross Patriot LeaguePatriot League 9 10 23 - X -
350 Long Island U. NortheastNorth East 8 7 22 - X -
351 Buffalo MACMAC 7 4 27 - X -
352 Army Patriot LeaguePatriot League 7 10 22 - X -
353 Cal Poly Big WestBig West 7 4 28 - X -
354 VMI SouthernSouthern 6 4 28 - X -
355 St. Francis (PA) NortheastNorth East 6 8 22 - X -
356 IUPUI HorizonHorizon 5 6 26 - X -
357 Siena Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 4 4 28 - X -
358 Miss. Valley St. SouthwesternSWAC 2 1 30 - X -
359 Loyola-MD Patriot LeaguePatriot League 2 7 25 - X -
360 Detroit HorizonHorizon 1 1 31 - X -
361 Stonehill NortheastNorth East 1 4 27 - X -
362 Coppin St. MideasternMid-Eastern -4 2 27 - X -
363 Hartford NCAA IndependentsInd. -24 7 18 - X -
  • Notes
  • X means the team cannot win this spot - ties of future unplayed games are not considered
  • 50% - probability the team will receive a tournament invitation - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will receive a tournament invitation - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot