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NCAA Basketball - Week 3 of 18

NCAA Basketball Tournament Participation Probabilities

Will your team receive an invitation to the NCAA tournament? The NCAA Basketball Tournament Participation Probabilities table presents the probability that a team receives a tournament invite depended upon three ways of playing its remaining games. These play methods include winning all remaining games (minus its conference tournament final), current winning probabilites, and losing all remaining games. All other future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Note the cutline between ranked teams 55 and 56. Teams above this line should receive a NCAA Tournament invitaiton based upon thier rank. Teams below this line will receive a tournament invitation ONLY if they obtain an automatic bid by winning their conference tournament.

Last 6 teams in - Charlotte, Butler, Notre Dame, VCU, Texas A&M, Florida
First 6 teams out - Iona, Northern Illinois, DePaul, Oklahoma St., UNLV, Wofford


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NCAA Basketball Tournament Participation Probabilities

Rank Team Conference MWP Record  NCAA Tournament Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Minus CF Current Lose Out
1 Miami ACC 92 6 0 > 99% 92% X
2 Duke ACC 86 5 0 > 99% 73% X
3 Kentucky SEC 86 6 0 > 99% 73% X
4 Seton Hall Big East 84 4 0 > 99% 67% X
5 Wisconsin Big 10 83 4 0 > 99% 67% X
6 Texas Big 12 82 5 0 > 99% 65% X
7 West Virginia Big 12 82 5 0 > 99% 65% X
8 Villanova Big East 82 5 0 > 99% 63% X
9 Virginia ACC 81 5 0 > 99% 62% X
10 Providence Big East 81 5 0 > 99% 61% X
11 Arkansas SEC 81 4 0 > 99% 61% X
12 Louisville ACC 80 4 0 > 99% 59% X
13 Northwestern Big 10 80 5 0 > 99% 59% X
14 Arizona PAC 12 80 5 0 > 99% 60% X
15 San Diego St. Mountain West 79 5 0 > 99% 60% X
16 Maryland Big 10 78 5 0 > 99% 56% X
17 Ohio St. Big 10 78 3 0 > 99% 55% X
18 Dayton Atlantic 10 78 3 0 > 99% 56% X
19 N.C. State ACC 78 4 0 > 99% 53% X
20 Georgia Tech ACC 78 3 0 > 99% 54% X
21 Alabama SEC 76 4 1 > 99% 51% X
22 Northeastern Colonial Athletic 75 4 0 > 99% 53% X
23 Boise St. Mountain West 75 4 1 > 99% 50% X
24 Xavier Big East 75 4 0 > 99% 48% X
25 Bowling Green MAC 74 3 0 > 99% 50% X
26 Baylor Big 12 74 4 0 > 99% 48% X
27 Northern Iowa Missouri Valley 73 5 0 > 99% 50% X
28 North Carolina ACC 73 3 0 > 99% 46% X
29 La Salle Atlantic 10 73 4 0 > 99% 46% X
30 Old Dominion Conference USA 73 4 1 > 99% 48% X
31 Colorado St. Mountain West 73 3 0 > 99% 47% X
32 Creighton Big East 73 5 0 > 99% 44% X
33 Georgetown Big East 72 3 0 > 99% 45% X
34 Gonzaga West Coast 72 4 0 > 99% 47% X
35 UCLA PAC 12 72 4 0 > 99% 44% X
36 Buffalo MAC 72 3 1 > 99% 44% X
37 Illinois Big 10 71 4 0 > 99% 43% X
38 Stanford PAC 12 71 4 1 > 99% 43% X
39 St. Mary's West Coast 71 4 0 > 99% 45% X
40 Rhode Island Atlantic 10 71 3 0 > 99% 43% X
41 Penn State Big 10 71 5 1 > 99% 41% X
42 Washington PAC 12 71 3 0 > 99% 43% X
43 Fla Gulf Coast Atlantic Sun 70 5 0 > 99% 55% X
44 Massachusetts Atlantic 10 70 4 1 > 99% 41% X
45 Michigan St. Big 10 70 3 1 > 99% 41% X
46 Mississippi St. SEC 70 4 0 > 99% 42% X
47 TCU Big 12 70 4 0 > 99% 42% X
48 Cincinnati American Athletic 70 4 0 > 99% 43% X
49 Iowa St. Big 12 70 3 1 > 99% 40% X
50 Charlotte Conference USA 69 3 2 > 99% 40% X
51 Butler Big East 69 3 0 > 99% 40% X
52 Notre Dame ACC 69 4 1 > 99% 39% X
53 VCU Atlantic 10 69 4 1 > 99% 39% X
54 Texas A&M SEC 69 3 1 > 99% 39% X
55 Florida SEC 69 2 1 > 99% 39% X
Cutline - Click Here to View 118 Line Movers
56 Iona Metro Atlantic 69 3 1 > 99% 44% X
57 Northern Illinois MAC 68 2 0 > 99% 39% X
58 DePaul Big East 68 2 0 > 99% 38% X
59 Oklahoma St. Big 12 68 5 0 > 99% 37% X
60 UNLV Mountain West 68 3 1 > 99% 37% X
61 Wofford Southern 67 5 1 > 99% 43% X
62 Michigan Big 10 67 4 1 > 99% 35% X
63 Wichita St. Missouri Valley 67 3 0 > 99% 39% X
64 Purdue Big 10 67 4 1 > 99% 34% X
65 UTEP Conference USA 66 2 0 > 99% 36% X
66 Syracuse ACC 66 4 1 > 99% 33% X
67 Holy Cross Patriot League 66 2 0 > 99% 40% X
68 Utah St. Mountain West 66 3 1 > 99% 33% X
69 Vanderbilt SEC 66 4 0 > 99% 33% X
70 Army Patriot League 66 4 0 > 99% 36% X
71 Richmond Atlantic 10 65 2 1 > 99% 33% X
72 Wyoming Mountain West 65 4 0 > 99% 32% X
73 South Florida American Athletic 64 4 1 > 99% 32% X
74 Colorado PAC 12 64 3 1 > 99% 32% X
75 Eastern Michigan MAC 64 5 0 > 99% 31% X
76 Towson Colonial Athletic 64 4 1 > 99% 32% X
77 Georgia SEC 64 3 1 > 99% 31% X
78 Kansas Big 12 64 2 1 > 99% 32% X
79 Nebraska Big 10 64 3 1 > 99% 30% X
80 Connecticut American Athletic 63 2 1 > 99% 32% X
81 Wright St. Horizon 63 3 1 > 99% 35% X
82 Texas Tech Big 12 63 3 1 > 99% 29% X
83 California PAC 12 63 3 1 > 99% 29% X
84 Louisiana Tech Conference USA 63 4 1 > 99% 29% X
85 Yale Ivy League 63 3 1 > 99% 42% X
86 BYU West Coast 63 3 1 > 99% 31% X
87 UCF American Athletic 62 3 0 > 99% 31% X
88 Hartford America East 62 4 1 > 99% 37% X
89 St. John's Big East 62 3 0 > 99% 29% X
90 San Diego West Coast 62 3 1 > 99% 29% X
91 Indiana Big 10 62 4 1 > 99% 27% X
92 Wake Forest ACC 62 3 2 > 99% 26% X
93 UC Davis Big West 62 3 0 > 99% 36% X
94 Geo. Washington Atlantic 10 62 2 1 > 99% 28% X
95 LSU SEC 62 3 2 > 99% 26% X
96 James Madison Colonial Athletic 62 3 1 > 99% 29% X
97 Portland St. Big Sky 61 3 0 > 99% 33% X
98 Green Bay Horizon 61 3 1 > 99% 31% X
99 William & Mary Colonial Athletic 61 3 1 > 99% 27% X
100 Temple American Athletic 61 3 2 > 99% 27% X
101 Saint Louis Atlantic 10 61 3 1 > 99% 26% X
102 N.C. Wilmington Colonial Athletic 60 2 1 > 99% 27% X
103 Utah PAC 12 60 2 1 > 99% 27% X
104 Kent State MAC 60 4 1 > 99% 25% X
105 Portland West Coast 60 3 0 > 99% 28% X
106 Lafayette Patriot League 60 3 1 > 99% 28% X
107 Iowa Big 10 60 3 2 > 99% 23% X
108 Texas Arlington Sunbelt 60 3 2 > 99% 28% X
109 San Francisco West Coast 60 3 1 > 99% 26% X
110 High Point Big South 60 4 1 > 99% 30% X
111 Marshall Conference USA 59 3 1 > 99% 24% X
112 Duquesne Atlantic 10 59 2 0 > 99% 26% X
113 Central Michigan MAC 59 3 0 > 99% 22% X
114 Ohio MAC 59 2 1 > 99% 24% X
115 St. Bonaventure Atlantic 10 59 3 1 > 99% 22% X
116 Eastern Washington Big Sky 59 4 1 > 99% 28% X
117 Kansas St. Big 12 58 3 2 > 99% 21% X
118 Belmont Ohio Valley 58 4 1 > 99% 27% X
119 Indiana St. Missouri Valley 58 3 1 > 99% 24% X
120 Illinois St. Missouri Valley 58 2 2 > 99% 24% X
121 Tulsa American Athletic 58 3 1 > 99% 23% X
122 UMass-Lowell America East 57 4 2 X X X
123 Arizona St. PAC 12 57 3 2 > 99% 19% X
124 Oklahoma Big 12 56 2 1 > 99% 19% X
125 Ole Miss SEC 56 3 1 > 99% 19% X
126 Oregon St. PAC 12 56 3 1 > 99% 20% X
127 Houston American Athletic 56 2 1 > 99% 21% X
128 Minnesota Big 10 56 3 1 > 99% 19% X
129 Pittsburgh ACC 56 3 2 > 99% 17% X
130 Hofstra Colonial Athletic 56 3 2 > 99% 19% X
131 Eastern Kentucky Ohio Valley 56 3 0 > 99% 24% X
132 Clemson ACC 56 3 2 > 99% 16% X
133 TX Pan American WAC 56 3 0 > 99% 31% X
134 Western Michigan MAC 56 3 1 > 99% 18% X
135 Oregon PAC 12 55 3 2 > 99% 17% X
136 E. Tennessee St. Southern 55 3 1 > 99% 24% X
137 Harvard Ivy League 55 3 1 > 99% 26% X
138 Valparaiso Horizon 55 4 1 > 99% 22% X
139 North Texas Conference USA 55 3 1 > 99% 17% X
140 Columbia Ivy League 55 3 1 > 99% 24% X
141 Southern Miss Conference USA 54 3 1 > 99% 17% X
142 Akron MAC 54 2 2 > 99% 16% X
143 UALR Sunbelt 54 3 1 > 99% 21% X
144 St. Joseph's Atlantic 10 54 3 2 > 99% 14% X
145 American Patriot League 54 3 2 > 99% 18% X
146 Charleston Southern Big South 53 3 1 > 99% 21% X
147 Canisius Metro Atlantic 53 2 1 > 99% 21% X
148 Marquette Big East 53 2 2 > 99% 13% X
149 Quinnipiac Metro Atlantic 53 2 2 > 99% 19% X
150 IPFW Summit 53 3 1 > 99% 25% X
151 Detroit Horizon 53 4 2 > 99% 18% X
152 Loyola-Chicago Missouri Valley 53 3 1 > 99% 16% X
153 Gardner-Webb Big South 52 2 3 > 99% 18% X
154 South Carolina SEC 52 2 2 > 99% 12% X
155 USC PAC 12 52 3 3 > 99% 11% X
156 Evansville Missouri Valley 52 3 1 > 99% 16% X
157 Hawaii Big West 52 5 2 > 99% 17% X
158 Incarnate Word Southland 52 4 0 X X X
159 Georgia St. Sunbelt 52 3 2 > 99% 17% X
160 Davidson Atlantic 10 51 2 1 > 99% 13% X
161 Southern Methodist American Athletic 51 2 3 > 99% 12% X
162 Denver Summit 51 2 1 > 99% 23% X
163 Pepperdine West Coast 51 3 1 > 99% 13% X
164 Tulane American Athletic 51 3 1 > 99% 13% X
165 Florida St. ACC 50 2 3 > 99% 9% X
166 Tennessee SEC 50 1 1 > 99% 12% X
167 LA Monroe Sunbelt 50 2 1 > 99% 15% X
168 Georgia Southern Sunbelt 50 3 1 > 99% 15% X
169 Elon Colonial Athletic 50 2 2 > 99% 11% X
170 Texas St. (SM) Sunbelt 50 2 1 > 99% 15% X
171 S. Carolina Upstate Atlantic Sun 50 3 1 > 99% 20% X
172 Tenn-Martin Ohio Valley 50 3 1 > 99% 16% X
173 Sacramento St. Big Sky 50 3 1 > 99% 16% X
174 Utah Valley WAC 50 2 1 > 99% 22% X
175 New Mexico Mountain West 49 3 2 > 99% 8% X
176 Stony Brook America East 49 3 2 > 99% 17% X
177 Auburn SEC 49 2 2 > 99% 9% X
178 UC Irvine Big West 49 2 2 > 99% 16% X
179 Boston College ACC 49 2 3 > 99% 8% X
180 Missouri St. Missouri Valley 49 2 1 > 99% 12% X
181 Tennessee Tech Ohio Valley 49 3 1 > 99% 14% X
182 Sam Houston St. Southland 48 3 2 > 99% 16% X
183 Bryant Northeast 48 1 1 > 99% 22% X
184 FIU Conference USA 48 3 1 > 99% 10% X
185 Montana Big Sky 48 1 2 50% 14% X
186 CSU Northridge Big West 48 2 3 > 99% 15% X
187 Mercer Southern 48 2 2 > 99% 14% X
188 Middle Tenn. Conference USA 48 3 1 > 99% 9% X
189 Missouri SEC 47 2 3 > 99% 5% X
190 Virginia Tech ACC 47 2 2 > 99% 5% X
191 Santa Clara West Coast 47 2 2 > 99% 8% X
192 Sacred Heart Northeast 47 1 2 > 99% 20% X
193 Savannah St. Mideastern 47 2 3 50% 19% X
194 Long Beach St. Big West 47 2 3 > 99% 13% X
195 Air Force Mountain West 47 3 2 > 99% 6% X
196 Loyola Marymount West Coast 47 2 2 > 99% 8% X
197 Memphis American Athletic 46 1 1 > 99% 10% X
198 Appalachian St. Sunbelt 46 2 2 X X X
199 Washington St. PAC 12 46 1 2 > 99% 7% X
200 Southern Illinois Missouri Valley 46 2 3 > 99% 8% X
201 Monmouth Metro Atlantic 46 2 2 > 99% 11% X
202 New Mexico St. WAC 46 2 3 > 99% 17% X
203 Charleston Colonial Athletic 46 2 3 > 99% 6% X
204 Idaho Big Sky 45 2 2 > 99% 12% X
205 Miami OH MAC 45 2 2 > 99% 5% X
206 Texas A&M C.C. Southland 45 2 2 > 99% 14% X
207 Rutgers Big 10 45 2 2 > 99% 4% X
208 North Dakota St. Summit 45 3 3 > 99% 15% X
209 Pacific West Coast 45 2 2 > 99% 6% X
210 Murray St. Ohio Valley 45 2 2 > 99% 12% X
211 VMI Southern 45 2 1 > 99% 11% X
212 Cleveland St. Horizon 45 2 2 > 99% 10% X
213 Northern Kentucky Atlantic Sun 45 2 2 X X X
214 Radford Big South 44 2 2 > 99% 10% X
215 Nebraska Omaha Summit 44 2 2 X X X
216 Bradley Missouri Valley 44 2 2 > 99% 6% X
217 Coastal Carolina Big South 44 3 1 > 99% 10% X
218 Siena Metro Atlantic 44 1 2 > 99% 9% X
219 N.C. Asheville Big South 44 2 2 > 99% 9% X
220 Youngstown St. Horizon 43 3 3 50% 9% X
221 Delaware St. Mideastern 43 2 2 > 99% 15% X
222 Alabama St. Southwestern 43 1 1 X X X
223 Vermont America East 43 2 2 > 99% 11% X
224 McNeese St. Southland 43 2 1 > 99% 11% X
225 Winthrop Big South 43 2 2 > 99% 9% X
226 Fair. Dickinson Northeast 43 2 2 > 99% 14% X
227 Boston U. Patriot League 43 1 3 > 99% 7% X
228 Grand Canyon WAC 42 2 3 X X X
229 Western Carolina Southern 42 2 3 > 99% 9% X
230 Loyola-MD Patriot League 42 2 3 > 99% 6% X
231 South Dakota St. Summit 42 2 2 > 99% 12% X
232 Toledo MAC 42 2 3 > 99% 3% X
233 Texas-San Antonio Conference USA 42 2 2 > 99% 4% X
234 Samford Southern 42 2 3 > 99% 9% X
235 Drake Missouri Valley 42 1 3 > 99% 4% X
236 North Florida Atlantic Sun 42 2 3 > 99% 10% X
237 IUPUI Summit 41 2 3 > 99% 11% X
238 Robert Morris Northeast 41 1 3 > 99% 12% X
239 Cal Poly Big West 41 2 1 > 99% 8% X
240 New Orleans Southland 41 1 1 > 99% 10% X
241 Ball State MAC 41 2 2 > 99% 2% X
242 Niagara Metro Atlantic 41 1 2 > 99% 7% X
243 Albany America East 41 1 2 > 99% 9% X
244 UAB Conference USA 41 2 2 > 99% 3% X
245 Fairfield Metro Atlantic 40 2 3 > 99% 6% X
246 Howard Mideastern 40 3 3 > 99% 13% X
247 St. Francis (PA) Northeast 40 2 3 > 99% 12% X
248 Jacksonville St. Ohio Valley 40 2 3 > 99% 7% X
249 New Hampshire America East 40 2 2 > 99% 9% X
250 E. Carolina American Athletic 40 3 2 > 99% 3% X
251 Rider Metro Atlantic 39 2 2 > 99% 6% X
252 UCSB Big West 39 1 2 > 99% 7% X
253 Furman Southern 39 1 2 > 99% 6% X
254 Rice Conference USA 39 1 2 > 99% 2% X
255 Nevada Mountain West 39 2 3 > 99% 1% X
256 Mount St. Mary's Northeast 39 1 2 > 99% 10% X
257 Fordham Atlantic 10 39 1 3 > 99% 1% X
258 SE Missouri St. Ohio Valley 39 2 3 > 99% 6% X
259 Drexel Colonial Athletic 39 1 4 > 99% 2% X
260 Morehead St. Ohio Valley 38 2 4 > 99% 6% X
261 Houston Baptist Southland 38 1 2 X X X
262 Manhattan Metro Atlantic 38 1 3 > 99% 5% X
263 Navy Patriot League 38 1 4 > 99% 4% X
264 Brown Ivy League 38 1 4 > 99% 6% X
265 Weber St. Big Sky 37 2 3 > 99% 5% X
266 UMKC WAC 37 2 3 > 99% 9% X
267 S. Carolina St. Mideastern 37 1 3 > 99% 10% X
268 Colgate Patriot League 37 1 3 > 99% 3% X
269 Stephen F. Austin Southland 36 1 3 > 99% 6% X
270 Northern Colorado Big Sky 36 2 2 > 99% 5% X
271 Norfolk St. Mideastern 36 2 3 > 99% 9% X
272 Longwood Big South 36 2 3 > 99% 5% X
273 UC Riverside Big West 36 2 2 > 99% 5% X
274 Chattanooga Southern 36 1 3 > 99% 5% X
275 Ill. Chicago Horizon 36 2 4 > 99% 3% X
276 Wis. Milwaukee Horizon 35 2 3 X X X
277 North Dakota Big Sky 35 1 2 > 99% 4% X
278 Bucknell Patriot League 35 2 4 > 99% 2% X
279 Lamar Southland 35 2 3 X X X
280 Tennessee St. Ohio Valley 35 2 3 > 99% 3% X
281 Abilene Christian Southland 35 2 2 X X X
282 N.C. Central Mideastern 35 0 3 > 99% 8% X
283 Lipscomb Atlantic Sun 34 2 3 > 99% 5% X
284 Western Kentucky Conference USA 34 1 3 > 99% 1% X
285 South Alabama Sunbelt 34 1 2 > 99% 3% X
286 Dartmouth Ivy League 34 0 2 > 99% 4% X
287 Oral Roberts Summit 33 1 3 > 99% 6% X
288 Seattle WAC 33 1 3 > 99% 7% X
289 Jackson St. Southwestern 33 1 4 > 99% 13% X
290 Wagner Northeast 33 1 3 > 99% 7% X
291 LA Lafayette Sunbelt 33 2 3 > 99% 3% X
292 Cornell Ivy League 33 2 4 > 99% 3% X
293 Florida Atlantic Conference USA 33 1 3 > 99% 1% X
294 Alabama A&M Southwestern 33 1 3 > 99% 12% X
295 St. Peter's Metro Atlantic 33 1 4 > 99% 3% X
296 Northwestern St. Southland 32 1 3 > 99% 4% X
297 Oakland Horizon 32 1 4 > 99% 2% X
298 Presbyterian Big South 32 2 4 > 99% 3% X
299 AR Pine Bluff Southwestern 32 1 4 > 99% 11% X
300 CSU Fullerton Big West 32 1 3 > 99% 3% X
301 Kennesaw St. Atlantic Sun 31 1 4 > 99% 4% X
302 Princeton Ivy League 31 1 3 > 99% 3% X
303 George Mason Atlantic 10 31 1 4 > 99% < 1% X
304 Eastern Illinois Ohio Valley 31 1 4 > 99% 3% X
305 SIU Edwardsville Ohio Valley 31 1 3 > 99% 3% X
306 Nicholls St. Southland 31 0 3 > 99% 4% X
307 Stetson Atlantic Sun 31 2 3 50% 3% X
308 Grambling Southwestern 30 1 3 > 99% 10% X
309 LIU-Brooklyn Northeast 30 0 2 > 99% 4% X
310 Troy Sunbelt 30 1 3 > 99% 2% X
311 Liberty Big South 30 2 3 > 99% 2% X
312 Montana St. Big Sky 29 0 4 > 99% 2% X
313 Cal St. Bakersfield WAC 29 1 4 > 99% 4% X
314 Bethune-Cookman Mideastern 29 2 4 > 99% 5% X
315 Miss. Valley St. Southwestern 29 0 4 > 99% 8% X
316 Hampton Mideastern 29 1 4 > 99% 5% X
317 Citadel Southern 29 2 3 > 99% 2% X
318 Coppin St. Mideastern 29 0 4 > 99% 4% X
319 Chicago St. WAC 29 2 4 > 99% 4% X
320 Campbell Big South 29 1 2 > 99% 2% X
321 Binghamton America East 28 1 5 > 99% 2% X
322 Northern Arizona Big Sky 28 1 4 > 99% 2% X
323 New Jersey Tech Independent 28 1 4 > 99% < 1% X
324 San Jose St. Mountain West 28 1 3 X X X
325 MD Eastern Shore Mideastern 28 1 6 > 99% 4% X
326 Jacksonville Atlantic Sun 28 1 4 50% 2% X
327 Western Illinois Summit 27 1 3 > 99% 3% X
328 St. Francis (NY) Northeast 27 0 4 > 99% 3% X
329 Morgan St. Mideastern 26 0 5 > 99% 4% X
330 Southern Southwestern 26 1 4 X X X
331 Austin Peay Ohio Valley 25 1 4 > 99% 1% X
332 Lehigh Patriot League 25 0 4 > 99% < 1% X
333 N.C. Greensboro Southern 25 1 4 > 99% 1% X
334 Maine America East 24 0 4 > 99% 1% X
335 N.C. A&T Mideastern 24 1 4 > 99% 3% X
336 Prairie View A&M Southwestern 24 0 5 > 99% 6% X
337 Idaho St. Big Sky 23 0 3 > 99% 1% X
338 Marist Metro Atlantic 23 0 4 > 99% 1% X
339 Southern Utah Big Sky 23 0 3 > 99% 1% X
340 Texas Southern Southwestern 23 0 4 > 99% 4% X
341 South Dakota Summit 23 0 5 > 99% 2% X
342 Arkansas St. Sunbelt 22 0 2 > 99% < 1% X
343 Florida A&M Mideastern 22 0 5 X X X
344 Delaware Colonial Athletic 22 0 4 > 99% < 1% X
345 SE Louisiana Southland 21 0 4 > 99% 1% X
346 Alcorn St. Southwestern 21 0 4 50% 4% X
347 Fresno St. Mountain West 21 0 4 > 99% < 1% X
348 Central Arkansas Southland 20 0 5 X X X
349 Pennsylvania Ivy League 19 0 4 > 99% < 1% X
350 UMBC America East 19 0 4 > 99% 1% X
351 Central Conn. St. Northeast 18 0 5 > 99% 1% X
  • Notes
  • X means the team cannot win this spot - ties of future unplayed games are not considered
  • 50% - probability the team will receive a tournament invitation - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will receive a tournament invitation - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot