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Tue Apr 3 2:00 am

NCAA Basketball - Regular Season Complete

NCAA Basketball Tournament Participation Probabilities

Will your team receive an invitation to the college basketball tournament? The NCAA Basketball Tournament Participation Probabilities table presents the probability that your college team receives a tournament invite depended upon three ways of playing its remaining games. These play methods include winning all remaining games (minus its conference tournament final), current winning probabilites, and losing all remaining games. All other future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Note the cutline between ranked teams 45 and 46. Teams above this line should receive a NCAA Tournament invitaiton based upon thier rank. Teams below this line will receive a tournament invitation ONLY if they obtain an automatic bid by winning their conference tournament.

Last 6 teams in - Oklahoma, St. Bonaventure, UCLA, Missouri, USC, Creighton
First 6 teams out - Marquette, Oklahoma St., Virginia Tech, Nebraska, N.C. State, Mississippi St.

Note that this list will not be updated after the individual conference tournaments

NCAA Basketball Tournament Participation Probabilities
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record NCAA Tournament Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Minus CF Current Lose Out
1 Villanova Big East Big East 119 36 4 - 100% -
2 Virginia ACC ACC 116 31 3 - 100% -
3 Kansas Big 12 Big 12 111 31 8 - 100% -
4 Xavier Big East Big East 106 29 6 - 100% -
5 Cincinnati American Athletic Am. Athletic 103 31 5 - 100% -
6 Michigan Big 10 Big 10 103 33 8 - 100% -
7 Duke ACC ACC 103 29 8 - 100% -
8 TennesseeTenn. SEC SEC 101 26 9 - 100% -
9 Purdue Big 10 Big 10 101 30 7 - 100% -
10 Texas Tech Big 12 Big 12 101 27 10 - 100% -
11 Michigan St. Big 10 Big 10 101 30 5 - 100% -
12 North Carolina ACC ACC 100 26 11 - 100% -
13 West Virginia Big 12 Big 12 98 26 11 - 100% -
14 Auburn SEC SEC 97 26 8 - 100% -
15 Kentucky SEC SEC 96 26 11 - 100% -
16 Clemson ACC ACC 96 25 10 - 100% -
17 Gonzaga West Coast West Coast 95 32 5 - 100% -
18 Arizona PAC 12 PAC 12 94 27 8 - 100% -
19 Loyola-Chicago Missouri Valley Missouri Valley 94 32 6 - 100% -
20 Wichita St. American Athletic Am. Athletic 93 25 8 - 100% -
21 Kansas St. Big 12 Big 12 92 25 12 - 100% -
22 Houston American Athletic Am. Athletic 91 27 8 - 100% -
23 Nevada Mountain West Mntn West 91 29 8 - 100% -
24 Ohio St. Big 10 Big 10 91 25 9 - 100% -
25 Texas A&M SEC SEC 91 22 13 - 100% -
26 Arkansas SEC SEC 89 23 12 - 100% -
27 TCU Big 12 Big 12 88 21 12 - 100% -
28 Florida SEC SEC 88 21 13 - 100% -
29 Rhode Island Atlantic 10 Atl. 10 88 26 8 - 100% -
30 Florida St. ACC ACC 87 23 12 - X -
31 Miami ACC ACC 86 22 10 - 100% -
32 Seton Hall Big East Big East 86 22 12 - 100% -
33 Butler Big East Big East 84 21 14 - 100% -
34 St. Mary's West Coast West Coast 84 28 5 - 100% -
35 Texas Big 12 Big 12 84 19 15 - 100% -
36 ProvidenceProvid. Big East Big East 84 21 14 - 100% -
37 Syracuse ACC ACC 84 22 14 - X -
38 Alabama SEC SEC 83 20 16 - 100% -
39 Louisville ACC ACC 83 20 13 - 100% -
40 Oklahoma Big 12 Big 12 83 18 14 - 100% -
41 St. BonaventureSt. Bonavent. Atlantic 10 Atl. 10 83 25 8 - 100% -
42 UCLA PAC 12 PAC 12 82 21 11 - 100% -
43 Missouri SEC SEC 82 20 13 - 100% -
44 USC PAC 12 PAC 12 82 23 11 - 100% -
45 Creighton Big East Big East 82 21 12 - 100% -
Cutline - Click Here to View 0 Line Movers
46 Marquette Big East Big East 82 19 13 - 100% -
47 Oklahoma St. Big 12 Big 12 82 19 14 - X -
48 Virginia Tech ACC ACC 82 21 12 - 100% -
49 Nebraska Big 10 Big 10 80 22 10 - X -
50 N.C. State ACC ACC 80 21 12 - X -
51 Mississippi St.Miss. St. SEC SEC 80 22 11 - X -
52 Buffalo MAC MAC 80 27 9 - 100% -
53 Arizona St. PAC 12 PAC 12 79 20 11 - X -
54 Middle Tenn. Conference USA Conf. USA 79 24 7 - X -
55 Baylor Big 12 Big 12 79 18 14 - X -
56 New Mexico St. WAC WAC 79 28 6 - 100% -
57 Georgia SEC SEC 78 18 15 - X -
58 Notre Dame ACC ACC 78 20 14 - X -
59 South Dakota St. Summit Summit 77 28 7 - 100% -
60 Oregon PAC 12 PAC 12 77 22 12 - X -
61 Boise St. Mountain West Mntn West 77 23 8 - X -
62 Utah PAC 12 PAC 12 76 19 11 - X -
63 WashingtonWash. PAC 12 PAC 12 76 20 12 - X -
64 LSU SEC SEC 74 17 14 - X -
65 Murray St. Ohio Valley Ohio Valley 74 26 6 - 100% -
66 Penn State Big 10 Big 10 74 21 13 - X -
67 Western Kentucky Conference USA Conf. USA 74 24 10 - X -
68 Temple American Athletic Am. Athletic 73 17 15 - X -
69 South Carolina SEC SEC 73 17 16 - X -
70 Old Dominion Conference USA Conf. USA 73 25 7 - X -
71 San Diego St. Mountain West Mntn West 73 22 11 - 100% -
72 LA Lafayette Sunbelt Sunbelt 73 27 6 - X -
73 Maryland Big 10 Big 10 72 19 13 - X -
74 BYU West Coast West Coast 72 24 10 - X -
75 Vermont America East America East 72 27 7 - X -
76 N.C. GreensboroN.C. Greens-boro Southern Southern 72 27 8 - 100% -
77 UCF American Athletic Am. Athletic 72 19 13 - X -
78 Boston College ACC ACC 72 19 15 - X -
79 Davidson Atlantic 10 Atl. 10 71 21 12 - 100% -
80 Stanford PAC 12 PAC 12 71 18 15 - X -
81 Charleston Colonial Athletic Colonial Athl. 71 26 8 - 100% -
82 St. John's Big East Big East 71 16 17 - X -
83 Tulsa American Athletic Am. Athletic 70 19 12 - X -
84 Montana Big Sky Big Sky 70 26 8 - 100% -
85 Colorado PAC 12 PAC 12 70 17 15 - X -
86 Belmont Ohio Valley Ohio Valley 69 24 9 - X -
87 NortheasternN. Eastern Colonial Athletic Colonial Athl. 69 23 10 - X -
88 E. Tennessee St.E. Tenn. St. Southern Southern 68 25 9 - X -
89 Memphis American Athletic Am. Athletic 68 21 13 - X -
90 South Dakota Summit Summit 67 26 8 - X -
91 Marshall Conference USA Conf. USA 67 25 11 - 100% -
92 Toledo MAC MAC 67 23 11 - X -
93 Furman Southern Southern 66 23 10 - X -
94 Illinois St. Missouri Valley Missouri Valley 66 18 15 - X -
95 Wyoming Mountain West Mntn West 65 20 13 - X -
96 Iowa St. Big 12 Big 12 65 13 18 - X -
97 Fresno St. Mountain West Mntn West 65 21 11 - X -
98 Indiana Big 10 Big 10 64 16 15 - X -
99 Rider Metro Atlantic Metro Atlantic 64 22 9 - X -
100 Southern Illinois Missouri Valley Missouri Valley 64 20 13 - X -
101 Stephen F. Austin Southland South-land 64 28 7 - 100% -
102 PennsylvaniaPenn. Ivy League Ivy League 64 24 9 - 100% -
103 Vanderbilt SEC SEC 63 12 20 - X -
104 Bradley Missouri Valley Missouri Valley 63 20 13 - X -
105 Wisconsin Big 10 Big 10 63 15 18 - X -
106 Southern Methodist American Athletic Am. Athletic 63 17 16 - X -
107 Bucknell Patriot League Patriot League 63 25 10 - 100% -
108 UNLV Mountain West Mntn West 63 20 13 - X -
109 Utah Valley WAC WAC 62 22 10 - X -
110 Lipscomb Atlantic Sun Atlantic Sun 62 23 10 - 100% -
111 UCSB Big West Big West 62 23 9 - X -
112 Wright St. Horizon Horizon 62 25 10 - 100% -
113 UC Davis Big West Big West 62 22 10 - X -
114 GeorgetownGeorge-town Big East Big East 61 15 15 - X -
115 Oregon St. PAC 12 PAC 12 61 16 16 - X -
116 New Mexico Mountain West Mntn West 61 19 15 - X -
117 Ole Miss SEC SEC 60 12 20 - X -
118 VCU Atlantic 10 Atl. 10 60 18 15 - X -
119 ConnecticutConnect. American Athletic Am. Athletic 60 14 18 - X -
120 William & Mary Colonial Athletic Colonial Athl. 59 19 12 - X -
121 Idaho Big Sky Big Sky 59 22 9 - X -
122 Wofford Southern Southern 59 21 12 - X -
123 Northern Iowa Missouri Valley Missouri Valley 59 16 16 - X -
124 UMBC America East America East 59 25 11 - 100% -
125 Minnesota Big 10 Big 10 59 15 17 - X -
126 Georgia Tech ACC ACC 58 13 19 - X -
127 Georgia St. Sunbelt Sunbelt 58 24 11 - 100% -
128 Northern Kentucky Horizon Horizon 58 22 9 - X -
129 Hofstra Colonial Athletic Colonial Athl. 58 19 12 - X -
130 NorthwesternN. Western Big 10 Big 10 58 15 17 - X -
131 CSU Fullerton Big West Big West 58 20 12 - 100% -
132 Northern Colorado Big Sky Big Sky 57 22 12 - X -
133 Missouri St. Missouri Valley Missouri Valley 57 18 15 - X -
134 Ball State MAC MAC 57 19 13 - X -
135 Eastern Michigan MAC MAC 56 21 12 - X -
136 San Francisco West Coast West Coast 56 18 15 - X -
137 Iowa Big 10 Big 10 56 14 19 - X -
138 Texas Arlington Sunbelt Sunbelt 56 21 13 - X -
139 Saint Louis Atlantic 10 Atl. 10 55 17 16 - X -
140 San Diego West Coast West Coast 55 18 13 - X -
141 N.C. Asheville Big South Big South 55 21 12 - X -
142 Grand Canyon WAC WAC 55 22 11 - X -
143 Fla Gulf Coast Atlantic Sun Atlantic Sun 55 23 11 - X -
144 Radford Big South Big South 55 22 14 - 100% -
145 Evansville Missouri Valley Missouri Valley 55 17 15 - X -
146 St. Joseph's Atlantic 10 Atl. 10 55 16 16 - X -
147 Canisius Metro Atlantic Metro Atlantic 54 21 11 - X -
148 Jacksonville St.Jack.ville St. Ohio Valley Ohio Valley 54 21 12 - X -
149 Wake Forest ACC ACC 54 11 20 - X -
150 Drake Missouri Valley Missouri Valley 54 16 16 - X -
151 Iona Metro Atlantic Metro Atlantic 54 20 14 - 100% -
152 UAB Conference USA Conf. USA 54 20 13 - X -
153 Albany America East America East 54 22 10 - X -
154 Illinois Big 10 Big 10 54 14 18 - X -
155 Wagner Northeast North East 54 23 9 - X -
156 Utah St. Mountain West Mntn West 53 17 17 - X -
157 Eastern WashingtonEastern Wash. Big Sky Big Sky 53 20 14 - X -
158 Portland St. Big Sky Big Sky 53 20 13 - X -
159 Georgia Southern Sunbelt Sunbelt 53 21 12 - X -
160 Tulane American Athletic Am. Athletic 53 14 17 - X -
161 DePaul Big East Big East 53 11 20 - X -
162 Dayton Atlantic 10 Atl. 10 52 14 17 - X -
163 Rutgers Big 10 Big 10 52 15 19 - X -
164 Washington St.Wash. St. PAC 12 PAC 12 51 12 19 - X -
165 Harvard Ivy League Ivy League 51 18 13 - X -
166 UC Irvine Big West Big West 51 18 17 - X -
167 Weber St. Big Sky Big Sky 51 20 11 - X -
168 Seattle WAC WAC 51 20 13 - X -
169 Mercer Southern Southern 51 18 14 - X -
170 SE Louisiana Southland South-land 50 22 11 - X -
171 Central Michigan MAC MAC 50 19 14 - X -
172 Kent State MAC MAC 50 17 17 - X -
173 Tennessee TechTenn. Tech Ohio Valley Ohio Valley 50 19 14 - X -
174 Austin Peay Ohio Valley Ohio Valley 50 18 14 - X -
175 Nicholls St. Southland South-land 50 21 11 - X -
176 Geo. WashingtonGeo. Wash. Atlantic 10 Atl. 10 49 15 18 - X -
177 Towson Colonial Athletic Colonial Athl. 49 18 14 - X -
178 Oakland Horizon Horizon 49 19 14 - X -
179 Western Michigan MAC MAC 49 17 15 - X -
180 Niagara Metro Atlantic Metro Atlantic 49 19 13 - X -
181 Valparaiso Missouri Valley Missouri Valley 49 15 17 - X -
182 Winthrop Big South Big South 48 19 12 - X -
183 George Mason Atlantic 10 Atl. 10 48 16 17 - X -
184 Miami OH MAC MAC 47 16 17 - X -
185 Texas-San Antonio Conference USA Conf. USA 47 19 14 - X -
186 Hawaii Big West Big West 47 17 13 - X -
187 Indiana St. Missouri Valley Missouri Valley 47 13 18 - X -
188 Long Beach St. Big West Big West 45 15 18 - X -
189 Pacific West Coast West Coast 45 14 18 - X -
190 Louisiana Tech Conference USA Conf. USA 45 17 16 - X -
191 La Salle Atlantic 10 Atl. 10 45 13 19 - X -
192 Richmond Atlantic 10 Atl. 10 45 12 20 - X -
193 Hartford America East America East 44 19 13 - X -
194 Tennessee St.Tenn. St. Ohio Valley Ohio Valley 44 15 15 - X -
195 Navy Patriot League Patriot League 43 20 12 - X -
196 Pittsburgh ACC ACC 43 8 24 - X -
197 Fairfield Metro Atlantic Metro Atlantic 43 17 16 - X -
198 IPFW Summit Summit 43 18 14 - X -
199 Bowling Green MAC MAC 43 16 16 - X -
200 Ohio MAC MAC 43 14 17 - X -
201 St. Francis (PA) Northeast North East 43 18 12 - X -
202 Yale Ivy League Ivy League 43 16 15 - X -
203 Liberty Big South Big South 43 20 14 - X -
204 Colgate Patriot League Patriot League 43 19 13 - X -
205 Duquesne Atlantic 10 Atl. 10 42 16 16 - X -
206 MassachusettsMass. Atlantic 10 Atl. 10 41 13 20 - X -
207 Denver Summit Summit 41 15 15 - X -
208 Sam Houston St. Southland South-land 41 19 14 - X -
209 Akron MAC MAC 40 14 18 - X -
210 North Dakota St. Summit Summit 40 15 17 - X -
211 Southern Miss Conference USA Conf. USA 40 16 18 - X -
212 CaliforniaCalif. PAC 12 PAC 12 40 8 23 - X -
213 Troy Sunbelt Sunbelt 40 16 17 - X -
214 Colorado St. Mountain West Mntn West 40 11 21 - X -
215 Elon Colonial Athletic Colonial Athl. 39 14 18 - X -
216 Savannah St. Mideastern Mid-Eastern 39 15 17 - X -
217 UT-Rio Grande Valley WAC WAC 39 15 17 - X -
218 Ill. Chicago Horizon Horizon 39 17 15 - X -
219 Lamar Southland South-land 39 19 13 - X -
220 North Texas Conference USA Conf. USA 39 15 17 - X -
221 Central Arkansas Southland South-land 38 17 16 - X -
222 Western Carolina Southern Southern 38 13 19 - X -
223 LA Monroe Sunbelt Sunbelt 38 16 15 - X -
224 North Florida Atlantic Sun Atlantic Sun 38 14 19 - X -
225 Lehigh Patriot League Patriot League 38 16 14 - X -
226 Princeton Ivy League Ivy League 37 13 16 - X -
227 N.C. A&T Mideastern Mid-Eastern 37 20 14 - X -
228 Mount St. Mary's Northeast North East 37 18 14 - X -
229 Delaware Colonial Athletic Colonial Athl. 37 14 19 - X -
230 Texas Southern Southwestern SWAC 37 15 19 - 100% -
231 Northern Illinois MAC MAC 37 13 19 - X -
232 Hampton Mideastern Mid-Eastern 36 19 15 - X -
233 Manhattan Metro Atlantic Metro Atlantic 36 14 17 - X -
234 Air Force Mountain West Mntn West 36 12 19 - X -
235 Robert Morris Northeast North East 36 16 17 - X -
236 Cal St. Bakersfield WAC WAC 36 12 18 - X -
237 Wis. Milwaukee Horizon Horizon 36 16 17 - X -
238 Monmouth Metro Atlantic Metro Atlantic 35 11 20 - X -
239 Drexel Colonial Athletic Colonial Athl. 35 13 20 - X -
240 Loyola MarymountLoyola Marymnt West Coast West Coast 35 11 20 - X -
241 E. Carolina American Athletic Am. Athletic 35 10 20 - X -
242 Grambling Southwestern SWAC 35 17 14 - X -
243 Southern Utah Big Sky Big Sky 34 13 19 - X -
244 North Dakota Big Sky Big Sky 34 12 20 - X -
245 Stony Brook America East America East 34 13 19 - X -
246 Gardner-Webb Big South Big South 34 14 18 - X -
247 Appalachian St.App. St. Sunbelt Sunbelt 34 15 18 - X -
248 Idaho St. Big Sky Big Sky 34 14 16 - X -
249 Campbell Big South Big South 34 16 15 - X -
250 LIU-Brooklyn Northeast North East 34 18 16 - 100% -
251 SE Missouri St. Ohio Valley Ohio Valley 34 14 17 - X -
252 New Jersey Tech Atlantic Sun Atlantic Sun 34 14 16 - X -
253 Charleston Southern Big South Big South 34 15 16 - X -
254 Prairie View A&M Southwestern SWAC 34 16 18 - X -
255 Boston U. Patriot League Patriot League 33 15 16 - X -
256 New Orleans Southland South-land 33 15 16 - X -
257 N.C. WilmingtonN.C. Wilming. Colonial Athletic Colonial Athl. 33 11 21 - X -
258 Texas St. (SM) Sunbelt Sunbelt 33 15 18 - X -
259 Abilene Christian Southland South-land 33 16 15 - X -
260 Cornell Ivy League Ivy League 33 12 16 - X -
261 South Florida American Athletic Am. Athletic 33 10 22 - X -
262 St. Peter's Metro Atlantic Metro Atlantic 32 14 18 - X -
263 South Alabama Sunbelt Sunbelt 32 14 18 - X -
264 Coastal CarolinaCoast. Car. Sunbelt Sunbelt 32 14 18 - X -
265 High Point Big South Big South 32 14 16 - X -
266 Eastern Illinois Ohio Valley Ohio Valley 31 12 19 - X -
267 Bethune-Cookman Mideastern Mid-Eastern 31 18 14 - X -
268 Oral Roberts Summit Summit 31 11 21 - X -
269 Santa Clara West Coast West Coast 30 11 20 - X -
270 FIU Conference USA Conf. USA 30 14 18 - X -
271 N.C. Central Mideastern Mid-Eastern 30 19 15 - 100% -
272 JacksonvilleJack.ville Atlantic Sun Atlantic Sun 30 15 18 - X -
273 Western Illinois Summit Summit 30 12 16 - X -
274 Fordham Atlantic 10 Atl. 10 30 9 22 - X -
275 Portland West Coast West Coast 29 10 22 - X -
276 Montana St. Big Sky Big Sky 29 13 19 - X -
277 Nebraska Omaha Summit Summit 29 9 22 - X -
278 UTEP Conference USA Conf. USA 29 11 20 - X -
279 Florida Atlantic Conference USA Conf. USA 28 12 19 - X -
280 Central Conn. St. Northeast North East 28 14 18 - X -
281 UMKC WAC WAC 28 10 22 - X -
282 James Madison Colonial Athletic Colonial Athl. 28 10 22 - X -
283 Citadel Southern Southern 27 11 21 - X -
284 Samford Southern Southern 27 10 22 - X -
285 Fair. Dickinson Northeast North East 27 13 18 - X -
286 Eastern Kentucky Ohio Valley Ohio Valley 27 11 20 - X -
287 Brown Ivy League Ivy League 26 11 16 - X -
288 IUPUI Horizon Horizon 26 11 19 - X -
289 Kennesaw St. Atlantic Sun Atlantic Sun 25 10 20 - X -
290 Green Bay Horizon Horizon 25 13 20 - X -
291 Cleveland St. Horizon Horizon 25 12 23 - X -
292 SIU EdwardsvilleSIU Ed.ville Ohio Valley Ohio Valley 25 9 21 - X -
293 QuinnipiacQuinnip. Metro Atlantic Metro Atlantic 25 12 21 - X -
294 Southern Southwestern SWAC 25 15 18 - X -
295 UMass-Lowell America East America East 24 12 18 - X -
296 Holy Cross Patriot League Patriot League 24 12 19 - X -
297 UC Riverside Big West Big West 24 9 22 - X -
298 Army Patriot League Patriot League 24 13 17 - X -
299 Morehead St. Ohio Valley Ohio Valley 24 8 21 - X -
300 McNeese St. Southland South-land 24 12 17 - X -
301 St. Francis (NY) Northeast North East 23 13 18 - X -
302 ChattanoogaChattan. Southern Southern 23 10 23 - X -
303 Norfolk St. Mideastern Mid-Eastern 23 14 19 - X -
304 Arkansas St. Sunbelt Sunbelt 23 11 21 - X -
305 Cal Poly Big West Big West 23 9 22 - X -
306 AR Pine Bluff Southwestern SWAC 22 14 21 - X -
307 VMI Southern Southern 22 9 21 - X -
308 Tenn-Martin Ohio Valley Ohio Valley 21 10 21 - X -
309 PresbyterianPresbyter. Big South Big South 21 11 21 - X -
310 PepperdinePepperd. West Coast West Coast 21 6 26 - X -
311 Texas A&M C.C. Southland South-land 20 11 18 - X -
312 Columbia Ivy League Ivy League 20 8 19 - X -
313 Stetson Atlantic Sun Atlantic Sun 20 12 20 - X -
314 Siena Metro Atlantic Metro Atlantic 19 8 24 - X -
315 New Hampshire America East America East 19 10 21 - X -
316 San Jose St. Mountain West Mntn West 18 4 26 - X -
317 BinghamtonBingham. America East America East 18 11 20 - X -
318 Morgan St. Mideastern Mid-Eastern 18 13 19 - X -
319 Sacramento St.Sacram. St. Big Sky Big Sky 18 7 25 - X -
320 Detroit Horizon Horizon 17 8 24 - X -
321 Lafayette Patriot League Patriot League 17 10 21 - X -
322 Jackson St. Southwestern SWAC 17 12 20 - X -
323 Charlotte Conference USA Conf. USA 16 6 23 - X -
324 Rice Conference USA Conf. USA 15 7 24 - X -
325 S. Carolina St. Mideastern Mid-Eastern 15 10 22 - X -
326 Youngstown St.Youngstwn St. Horizon Horizon 15 8 24 - X -
327 Sacred Heart Northeast North East 15 10 21 - X -
328 Loyola-MD Patriot League Patriot League 15 9 22 - X -
329 UALR Sunbelt Sunbelt 13 7 25 - X -
330 Alcorn St. Southwestern SWAC 13 11 21 - X -
331 Dartmouth Ivy League Ivy League 13 7 20 - X -
332 Florida A&M Mideastern Mid-Eastern 12 9 25 - X -
333 Northern Arizona Big Sky Big Sky 12 5 27 - X -
334 Howard Mideastern Mid-Eastern 11 10 23 - X -
335 Marist Metro Atlantic Metro Atlantic 11 6 25 - X -
336 Chicago St. WAC WAC 11 3 29 - X -
337 Alabama St. Southwestern SWAC 11 8 23 - X -
338 S. Carolina Upstate Atlantic Sun Atlantic Sun 10 7 25 - X -
339 CSU Northridge Big West Big West 10 6 24 - X -
340 Longwood Big South Big South 9 7 26 - X -
341 Incarnate Word Southland South-land 8 7 21 - X -
342 Maine America East America East 8 6 26 - X -
343 Houston Baptist Southland South-land 7 6 25 - X -
344 American Patriot League Patriot League 7 6 24 - X -
345 MD Eastern Shore Mideastern Mid-Eastern 7 7 25 - X -
346 Coppin St. Mideastern Mid-Eastern 6 5 27 - X -
347 Miss. Valley St. Southwestern SWAC 0 4 28 - X -
348 Northwestern St.N. Western St. Southland South-land 0 4 25 - X -
349 Bryant Northeast North East 0 3 28 - X -
350 Alabama A&M Southwestern SWAC -3 3 28 - X -
351 Delaware St. Mideastern Mid-Eastern -5 4 28 - X -
  • Notes
  • X means the team cannot win this spot - ties of future unplayed games are not considered
  • 50% - probability the team will receive a tournament invitation - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will receive a tournament invitation - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot