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Thu Feb 22 4:30 am

NCAA Basketball - Week 16 of 17

NCAA Basketball Tournament Participation Probabilities

Will your team receive an invitation to the college basketball tournament? The NCAA Basketball Tournament Participation Probabilities table presents the probability that your college team receives a tournament invite depended upon three ways of playing its remaining games. These play methods include winning all remaining games (minus its conference tournament final), current winning probabilites, and losing all remaining games. All other future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Note the cutline between ranked teams 46 and 47. Teams above this line should receive a NCAA Tournament invitaiton based upon thier rank. Teams below this line will receive a tournament invitation ONLY if they obtain an automatic bid by winning their conference tournament.

Last 6 teams in - Providence, N.C. State, Loyola-Chicago, Florida, St. Bonaventure, Louisville
First 6 teams out - USC, Syracuse, Mississippi St., Marquette, Texas, Boise St.

NCAA Basketball Tournament Participation Probabilities
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record NCAA Tournament Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Minus CF Current Lose Out
1 Virginia ACC ACC 113 25 2 100% 100% 100%
2 Villanova Big East Big East 111 25 3 100% 100% 100%
3 Xavier Big East Big East 109 25 4 100% 100% 100%
4 Auburn SEC SEC 104 24 4 100% 100% 100%
5 Kansas Big 12 Big 12 104 22 6 100% 100% 100%
6 Duke ACC ACC 102 23 5 100% 100% 100%
7 Michigan St. Big 10 Big 10 101 27 3 100% 100% 100%
8 North Carolina ACC ACC 101 22 7 100% 100% 100%
9 Purdue Big 10 Big 10 99 24 5 100% >99% >99%
10 TennesseeTenn. SEC SEC 99 20 7 100% 100% 100%
11 Texas Tech Big 12 Big 12 97 22 6 100% >99% >99%
12 Cincinnati American Athletic Am. Athletic 96 23 4 100% >99% 99%
13 Wichita St. American Athletic Am. Athletic 96 22 5 100% >99% >99%
14 Clemson ACC ACC 94 20 7 100% >99% >99%
15 Arizona PAC 12 PAC 12 93 21 6 100% >99% 69%
16 Rhode Island Atlantic 10 Atl. 10 93 22 4 100% >99% 38%
17 Nevada Mountain West Mntn West 92 24 5 >99% >99% 88%
18 Kentucky SEC SEC 92 19 9 100% >99% >99%
19 Ohio St. Big 10 Big 10 91 23 7 100% >99% >99%
20 West Virginia Big 12 Big 12 91 20 8 100% >99% 99%
21 Houston American Athletic Am. Athletic 89 21 5 100% 98% <1%
22 TCU Big 12 Big 12 89 19 9 100% 99% 77%
23 Michigan Big 10 Big 10 89 23 7 100% >99% 99%
24 Arizona St. PAC 12 PAC 12 88 19 7 100% 96% <1%
25 Arkansas SEC SEC 88 19 9 100% 97% 65%
26 Kansas St. Big 12 Big 12 88 20 8 100% 97% 46%
27 Gonzaga West Coast West Coast 87 25 4 >99% 96% 2%
28 Virginia Tech ACC ACC 86 20 8 100% 92% 3%
29 Texas A&M SEC SEC 86 17 11 100% 93% 1%
30 St. Mary's West Coast West Coast 86 25 4 >99% 97% <1%
31 Butler Big East Big East 86 19 10 100% 92% 33%
32 Middle Tenn. Conference USA Conf. USA 85 22 5 >99% 83% <1%
33 Alabama SEC SEC 85 17 11 100% 84% <1%
34 Seton Hall Big East Big East 84 18 9 100% 79% <1%
35 Missouri SEC SEC 84 18 10 100% 78% <1%
36 Florida St. ACC ACC 84 19 8 100% 74% <1%
37 Oklahoma Big 12 Big 12 84 16 11 >99% 76% <1%
38 Miami ACC ACC 84 19 8 100% 74% <1%
39 Creighton Big East Big East 83 19 9 100% 74% <1%
40 UCLA PAC 12 PAC 12 83 19 8 >99% 68% <1%
41 ProvidenceProvid. Big East Big East 82 17 10 100% 60% <1%
42 N.C. State ACC ACC 82 19 9 >99% 59% <1%
43 Loyola-Chicago Missouri Valley Missouri Valley 82 24 5 >99% 57% <1%
44 Florida SEC SEC 82 17 11 100% 57% <1%
45 St. BonaventureSt. Bonavent. Atlantic 10 Atl. 10 82 21 6 >99% 61% <1%
46 Louisville ACC ACC 82 18 10 >99% 54% <1%
Cutline - Click Here to View 100 Line Movers
47 USC PAC 12 PAC 12 82 20 9 >99% 54% <1%
48 Syracuse ACC ACC 81 18 10 >99% 51% <1%
49 Mississippi St.Miss. St. SEC SEC 81 20 8 >99% 43% <1%
50 Marquette Big East Big East 81 16 11 >99% 45% <1%
51 Texas Big 12 Big 12 81 16 12 >99% 42% <1%
52 Boise St. Mountain West Mntn West 80 22 6 99% 42% <1%
53 Nebraska Big 10 Big 10 80 21 9 97% 27% <1%
54 Baylor Big 12 Big 12 80 17 11 >99% 32% <1%
55 WashingtonWash. PAC 12 PAC 12 79 19 9 >99% 30% <1%
56 Utah PAC 12 PAC 12 78 17 9 >99% 23% <1%
57 LSU SEC SEC 77 16 11 >99% 14% <1%
58 LA Lafayette Sunbelt Sunbelt 76 23 4 <1% 47% X
59 Oklahoma St. Big 12 Big 12 76 16 12 >99% 11% <1%
60 Georgia SEC SEC 76 15 12 >99% 10% <1%
61 Temple American Athletic Am. Athletic 75 15 12 56% 7% <1%
62 Maryland Big 10 Big 10 75 19 11 39% 4% <1%
63 Western Kentucky Conference USA Conf. USA 74 20 7 10% 21% X
64 New Mexico St. WAC WAC 74 22 5 <1% 50% X
65 UCF American Athletic Am. Athletic 74 17 10 40% 7% <1%
66 Notre Dame ACC ACC 74 16 12 >99% 3% X
67 Old Dominion Conference USA Conf. USA 74 21 5 1% 22% X
68 South Carolina SEC SEC 73 15 13 99% 3% <1%
69 Buffalo MAC MAC 73 20 8 <1% 30% X
70 Penn State Big 10 Big 10 73 19 11 1% 3% <1%
71 Oregon PAC 12 PAC 12 72 17 10 71% 5% X
72 South Dakota St. Summit Summit 72 23 6 <1% 39% X
73 E. Tennessee St.E. Tenn. St. Southern Southern 72 23 6 <1% 32% <1%
74 Vermont America East America East 72 23 6 <1% 50% X
75 Belmont Ohio Valley Ohio Valley 71 22 7 <1% 38% X
76 Murray St. Ohio Valley Ohio Valley 71 22 5 <1% 38% X
77 BYU West Coast West Coast 71 21 8 <1% 13% X
78 Tulsa American Athletic Am. Athletic 71 17 10 <1% 6% X
79 Fresno St. Mountain West Mntn West 70 20 8 <1% 11% X
80 St. John's Big East Big East 70 14 14 36% 1% X
81 Charleston Colonial Athletic Colonial Athl. 70 22 6 <1% 29% X
82 Boston College ACC ACC 69 16 12 85% 1% X
83 South Dakota Summit Summit 69 24 6 <1% 35% <1%
84 Rider Metro Atlantic Metro Atlantic 69 21 7 <1% 38% X
85 N.C. GreensboroN.C. Greens-boro Southern Southern 68 22 7 <1% 27% X
86 Iowa St. Big 12 Big 12 68 13 14 12% 1% <1%
87 Colorado PAC 12 PAC 12 68 15 13 <1% 3% X
88 Stanford PAC 12 PAC 12 68 14 13 <1% 4% X
89 UCSB Big West Big West 67 20 6 <1% 37% X
90 UNLV Mountain West Mntn West 67 19 9 <1% 8% X
91 Indiana Big 10 Big 10 67 16 13 <1% 2% <1%
92 NortheasternN. Eastern Colonial Athletic Colonial Athl. 67 19 9 <1% 26% X
93 Southern Methodist American Athletic Am. Athletic 66 16 12 <1% 2% X
94 Southern Illinois Missouri Valley Missouri Valley 66 19 11 <1% 16% X
95 GeorgetownGeorge-town Big East Big East 66 15 11 3% 1% X
96 Toledo MAC MAC 66 19 9 <1% 20% X
97 Vanderbilt SEC SEC 65 11 17 <1% <1% X
98 Ole Miss SEC SEC 65 12 16 <1% <1% X
99 Ball State MAC MAC 65 19 9 <1% 18% X
100 Wyoming Mountain West Mntn West 65 17 11 <1% 6% X
101 Memphis American Athletic Am. Athletic 65 16 11 <1% 3% X
102 Davidson Atlantic 10 Atl. 10 65 16 10 <1% 9% X
103 Bradley Missouri Valley Missouri Valley 64 19 11 <1% 12% X
104 San Diego St. Mountain West Mntn West 64 16 10 <1% 6% X
105 Montana Big Sky Big Sky 64 20 7 <1% 27% X
106 Illinois St. Missouri Valley Missouri Valley 64 16 13 X 11% X
107 Furman Southern Southern 64 20 9 <1% 18% X
108 Utah Valley WAC WAC 63 19 8 <1% 24% X
109 Marshall Conference USA Conf. USA 63 19 8 <1% 11% X
110 ConnecticutConnect. American Athletic Am. Athletic 63 13 14 <1% 2% X
111 Idaho Big Sky Big Sky 63 19 7 X 26% X
112 VCU Atlantic 10 Atl. 10 62 16 12 X 6% X
113 Bucknell Patriot League Patriot League 62 21 9 X 48% X
114 NorthwesternN. Western Big 10 Big 10 61 15 14 <1% 1% X
115 Minnesota Big 10 Big 10 61 15 15 <1% <1% X
116 Wright St. Horizon Horizon 61 21 8 X 32% X
117 UC Davis Big West Big West 61 18 9 X 23% X
118 PennsylvaniaPenn. Ivy League Ivy League 61 19 7 X 46% X
119 Stephen F. Austin Southland South-land 60 23 5 X 32% X
120 Wisconsin Big 10 Big 10 60 13 16 <1% 1% X
121 Lipscomb Atlantic Sun Atlantic Sun 59 19 9 X 39% X
122 Hofstra Colonial Athletic Colonial Athl. 59 17 11 X 15% X
123 Wofford Southern Southern 59 19 10 X 12% X
124 Northern Kentucky Horizon Horizon 59 20 8 X 30% X
125 Missouri St. Missouri Valley Missouri Valley 58 17 13 X 9% X
126 Oregon St. PAC 12 PAC 12 58 13 13 <1% 1% X
127 Saint Louis Atlantic 10 Atl. 10 58 15 13 X 4% X
128 Canisius Metro Atlantic Metro Atlantic 58 20 10 X 23% X
129 N.C. Asheville Big South Big South 57 19 10 X 29% X
130 Weber St. Big Sky Big Sky 57 19 7 X 19% X
131 William & Mary Colonial Athletic Colonial Athl. 57 16 11 X 12% X
132 Wake Forest ACC ACC 57 11 17 <1% <1% X
133 Seattle WAC WAC 57 19 9 X 17% X
134 Drake Missouri Valley Missouri Valley 57 16 14 X 8% X
135 Georgia Tech ACC ACC 56 11 17 <1% <1% X
136 Wagner Northeast North East 56 20 7 X 43% X
137 Georgia St. Sunbelt Sunbelt 56 19 8 X 17% X
138 Dayton Atlantic 10 Atl. 10 56 13 14 X 2% X
139 Northern Iowa Missouri Valley Missouri Valley 56 14 15 X 3% X
140 Northern Colorado Big Sky Big Sky 55 18 10 X X X
141 Tulane American Athletic Am. Athletic 55 13 14 X 1% X
142 Fla Gulf Coast Atlantic Sun Atlantic Sun 55 20 10 X 39% X
143 San Francisco West Coast West Coast 55 16 13 X 4% X
144 San Diego West Coast West Coast 55 17 11 X 4% X
145 Albany America East America East 55 20 9 X 17% X
146 Utah St. Mountain West Mntn West 55 14 14 X 2% X
147 Evansville Missouri Valley Missouri Valley 55 16 14 X 3% X
148 New Mexico Mountain West Mntn West 54 14 14 X 3% X
149 Illinois Big 10 Big 10 54 13 16 X <1% X
150 Portland St. Big Sky Big Sky 54 16 11 X 11% X
151 Towson Colonial Athletic Colonial Athl. 53 18 11 X 9% X
152 CSU Fullerton Big West Big West 53 15 10 X 13% X
153 Iowa Big 10 Big 10 53 12 18 X <1% X
154 Winthrop Big South Big South 53 18 9 X 24% X
155 DePaul Big East Big East 53 10 17 X <1% X
156 Western Michigan MAC MAC 52 16 12 X 7% X
157 Georgia Southern Sunbelt Sunbelt 52 17 10 X 12% X
158 Eastern Michigan MAC MAC 52 17 11 X 7% X
159 Nicholls St. Southland South-land 52 19 9 X 25% X
160 Oakland Horizon Horizon 52 17 12 X 17% X
161 Geo. WashingtonGeo. Wash. Atlantic 10 Atl. 10 52 13 15 X 1% X
162 Tennessee TechTenn. Tech Ohio Valley Ohio Valley 51 17 12 X 6% X
163 Iona Metro Atlantic Metro Atlantic 51 16 12 X 13% X
164 Louisiana Tech Conference USA Conf. USA 51 16 12 X 3% X
165 Washington St.Wash. St. PAC 12 PAC 12 51 10 16 X <1% X
166 Radford Big South Big South 50 17 12 X 18% X
167 UAB Conference USA Conf. USA 50 17 11 X 2% X
168 Pacific West Coast West Coast 50 14 15 X 3% X
169 Jacksonville St.Jack.ville St. Ohio Valley Ohio Valley 50 18 11 X 5% X
170 Rutgers Big 10 Big 10 50 13 17 X <1% X
171 Niagara Metro Atlantic Metro Atlantic 50 18 12 X 13% X
172 Texas Arlington Sunbelt Sunbelt 50 16 12 X 8% X
173 Austin Peay Ohio Valley Ohio Valley 50 16 12 X 6% X
174 Harvard Ivy League Ivy League 50 14 11 X 28% X
175 Mercer Southern Southern 49 16 13 X 6% X
176 UMBC America East America East 49 19 10 X 16% X
177 Miami OH MAC MAC 49 14 14 X 4% X
178 Bowling Green MAC MAC 49 16 12 X 4% X
179 Tennessee St.Tenn. St. Ohio Valley Ohio Valley 49 15 12 X 5% X
180 Grand Canyon WAC WAC 48 17 10 X X X
181 St. Joseph's Atlantic 10 Atl. 10 48 12 15 X 1% X
182 Hawaii Big West Big West 48 15 10 X 9% X
183 Valparaiso Missouri Valley Missouri Valley 48 14 16 X 3% X
184 UC Irvine Big West Big West 48 14 15 X 9% X
185 SE Louisiana Southland South-land 47 18 10 X 18% X
186 IPFW Summit Summit 47 18 12 X 10% X
187 Eastern WashingtonEastern Wash. Big Sky Big Sky 47 14 13 X 9% X
188 Central Michigan MAC MAC 47 16 12 X 3% X
189 George Mason Atlantic 10 Atl. 10 47 13 15 X 1% X
190 Texas-San Antonio Conference USA Conf. USA 46 15 12 X 2% X
191 Indiana St. Missouri Valley Missouri Valley 46 12 17 X 2% X
192 Kent State MAC MAC 46 13 15 X 3% X
193 Duquesne Atlantic 10 Atl. 10 46 15 13 X 1% X
194 Navy Patriot League Patriot League 46 19 11 X 17% X
195 La Salle Atlantic 10 Atl. 10 45 11 17 X 1% X
196 Long Beach St. Big West Big West 45 13 15 X 6% X
197 Sam Houston St. Southland South-land 45 18 11 X 12% X
198 North Texas Conference USA Conf. USA 45 14 13 X 2% X
199 Hartford America East America East 45 17 11 X 12% X
200 Elon Colonial Athletic Colonial Athl. 45 14 14 X 4% X
201 Pittsburgh ACC ACC 44 8 21 X <1% X
202 CaliforniaCalif. PAC 12 PAC 12 44 8 18 X <1% X
203 St. Francis (PA) Northeast North East 43 16 11 X 18% X
204 Colorado St. Mountain West Mntn West 43 11 18 X <1% X
205 MassachusettsMass. Atlantic 10 Atl. 10 43 11 17 X <1% X
206 UT-Rio Grande Valley WAC WAC 43 14 14 X 5% X
207 Richmond Atlantic 10 Atl. 10 42 9 18 X 1% X
208 Ill. Chicago Horizon Horizon 42 17 12 X 11% X
209 Liberty Big South Big South 42 17 12 X 10% X
210 Colgate Patriot League Patriot League 41 16 12 X 16% X
211 Ohio MAC MAC 41 12 15 X 2% X
212 N.C. A&T Mideastern Mid-Eastern 41 17 11 X 30% X
213 Lamar Southland South-land 41 18 11 X 5% X
214 Fairfield Metro Atlantic Metro Atlantic 40 13 15 X 4% X
215 Savannah St. Mideastern Mid-Eastern 40 13 15 X X X
216 LA Monroe Sunbelt Sunbelt 40 13 12 X 5% X
217 Akron MAC MAC 40 12 15 X 1% X
218 Denver Summit Summit 39 13 14 X 5% X
219 North Dakota St. Summit Summit 39 13 15 X 5% X
220 Western Carolina Southern Southern 39 12 17 X 2% X
221 Robert Morris Northeast North East 39 15 14 X 11% X
222 Lehigh Patriot League Patriot League 39 15 13 X 9% X
223 Grambling Southwestern SWAC 39 15 12 X 31% X
224 North Florida Atlantic Sun Atlantic Sun 39 13 17 X 8% X
225 Manhattan Metro Atlantic Metro Atlantic 39 13 15 X 4% X
226 Southern Miss Conference USA Conf. USA 38 13 15 X 1% X
227 Princeton Ivy League Ivy League 38 11 14 X 3% X
228 SE Missouri St. Ohio Valley Ohio Valley 38 14 15 X 1% X
229 Troy Sunbelt Sunbelt 38 13 14 X 3% X
230 Yale Ivy League Ivy League 38 12 14 X 10% X
231 South Alabama Sunbelt Sunbelt 38 14 13 X 3% X
232 Northern Illinois MAC MAC 37 12 16 X 1% X
233 Cal St. Bakersfield WAC WAC 37 11 15 X 3% X
234 E. Carolina American Athletic Am. Athletic 37 10 16 X <1% X
235 Abilene Christian Southland South-land 37 15 12 X X X
236 Campbell Big South Big South 37 15 13 X 7% X
237 Air Force Mountain West Mntn West 37 10 16 X <1% X
238 New Orleans Southland South-land 37 14 13 X 4% X
239 Texas St. (SM) Sunbelt Sunbelt 37 14 14 X 3% X
240 Monmouth Metro Atlantic Metro Atlantic 36 10 18 X 2% X
241 Drexel Colonial Athletic Colonial Athl. 36 11 18 X 2% X
242 Delaware Colonial Athletic Colonial Athl. 36 12 17 X 1% X
243 Mount St. Mary's Northeast North East 36 16 13 X 11% X
244 High Point Big South Big South 35 13 14 X 6% X
245 Montana St. Big Sky Big Sky 35 13 15 X 2% X
246 Wis. Milwaukee Horizon Horizon 35 14 15 X 5% X
247 Idaho St. Big Sky Big Sky 35 12 13 X 3% X
248 Santa Clara West Coast West Coast 35 11 17 X <1% X
249 Hampton Mideastern Mid-Eastern 34 15 14 X 20% X
250 Cornell Ivy League Ivy League 34 10 13 X 6% X
251 Central Arkansas Southland South-land 34 13 15 X 2% X
252 Fordham Atlantic 10 Atl. 10 34 9 18 X <1% X
253 North Dakota Big Sky Big Sky 34 10 17 X 2% X
254 New Jersey Tech Atlantic Sun Atlantic Sun 34 13 15 X 6% X
255 Portland West Coast West Coast 34 10 19 X <1% X
256 Nebraska Omaha Summit Summit 33 9 19 X 3% X
257 Appalachian St.App. St. Sunbelt Sunbelt 33 12 16 X 2% X
258 Southern Utah Big Sky Big Sky 33 10 15 X 1% X
259 Stony Brook America East America East 33 12 17 X 3% X
260 Brown Ivy League Ivy League 33 11 12 X 5% X
261 Florida Atlantic Conference USA Conf. USA 33 11 15 X <1% X
262 Coastal CarolinaCoast. Car. Sunbelt Sunbelt 33 12 16 X 1% X
263 Bethune-Cookman Mideastern Mid-Eastern 33 16 12 X 19% X
264 Gardner-Webb Big South Big South 32 12 17 X 3% X
265 Boston U. Patriot League Patriot League 31 13 15 X 4% X
266 Western Illinois Summit Summit 31 11 14 X 2% X
267 Southern Southwestern SWAC 30 14 14 X 18% X
268 Oral Roberts Summit Summit 30 10 20 X 2% X
269 Charleston Southern Big South Big South 30 12 15 X 2% X
270 N.C. WilmingtonN.C. Wilming. Colonial Athletic Colonial Athl. 30 9 19 X 1% X
271 South Florida American Athletic Am. Athletic 30 8 20 X <1% X
272 Prairie View A&M Southwestern SWAC 30 11 17 X 15% X
273 Eastern Illinois Ohio Valley Ohio Valley 30 10 17 X <1% X
274 SIU EdwardsvilleSIU Ed.ville Ohio Valley Ohio Valley 30 9 18 X <1% X
275 Citadel Southern Southern 29 10 18 X 1% X
276 Central Conn. St. Northeast North East 29 13 16 X 3% X
277 James Madison Colonial Athletic Colonial Athl. 29 9 19 X 1% X
278 Loyola MarymountLoyola Marymnt West Coast West Coast 29 8 20 X <1% X
279 FIU Conference USA Conf. USA 29 11 16 X <1% X
280 St. Francis (NY) Northeast North East 29 13 15 X 6% X
281 UMKC WAC WAC 28 9 19 X 1% X
282 Texas Southern Southwestern SWAC 28 8 19 X 12% X
283 Army Patriot League Patriot League 28 13 15 X 2% X
284 Kennesaw St. Atlantic Sun Atlantic Sun 28 10 18 X 3% X
285 LIU-Brooklyn Northeast North East 27 13 16 X 4% X
286 JacksonvilleJack.ville Atlantic Sun Atlantic Sun 27 13 17 X 3% X
287 St. Peter's Metro Atlantic Metro Atlantic 27 10 17 X 1% X
288 Samford Southern Southern 27 9 20 X <1% X
289 Fair. Dickinson Northeast North East 27 11 16 X 4% X
290 Eastern Kentucky Ohio Valley Ohio Valley 26 10 19 X X X
291 QuinnipiacQuinnip. Metro Atlantic Metro Atlantic 26 10 18 X 1% X
292 N.C. Central Mideastern Mid-Eastern 26 14 13 X 9% X
293 PresbyterianPresbyter. Big South Big South 25 11 18 X 1% X
294 IUPUI Horizon Horizon 25 10 17 X 2% X
295 UTEP Conference USA Conf. USA 25 8 18 X <1% X
296 Cal Poly Big West Big West 25 8 19 X 1% X
297 Holy Cross Patriot League Patriot League 24 11 17 X 2% X
298 VMI Southern Southern 24 8 19 X <1% X
299 UMass-Lowell America East America East 24 11 16 X X X
300 UC Riverside Big West Big West 24 8 19 X 1% X
301 ChattanoogaChattan. Southern Southern 23 9 20 X <1% X
302 Columbia Ivy League Ivy League 23 7 16 X 2% X
303 Arkansas St. Sunbelt Sunbelt 22 9 18 X <1% X
304 Siena Metro Atlantic Metro Atlantic 22 8 22 X <1% X
305 McNeese St. Southland South-land 22 10 16 X <1% X
306 Norfolk St. Mideastern Mid-Eastern 22 11 17 X 9% X
307 Detroit Horizon Horizon 22 8 21 X 1% X
308 Stetson Atlantic Sun Atlantic Sun 22 12 18 X 1% X
309 New Hampshire America East America East 21 10 19 X 1% X
310 Morehead St. Ohio Valley Ohio Valley 21 6 21 X X X
311 Green Bay Horizon Horizon 21 10 19 X 1% X
312 Tenn-Martin Ohio Valley Ohio Valley 20 9 20 X <1% X
313 Jackson St. Southwestern SWAC 20 10 17 X 7% X
314 Sacramento St.Sacram. St. Big Sky Big Sky 20 6 21 X <1% X
315 Texas A&M C.C. Southland South-land 20 8 16 X <1% X
316 AR Pine Bluff Southwestern SWAC 20 10 19 X 9% X
317 BinghamtonBingham. America East America East 19 11 18 X 1% X
318 Youngstown St.Youngstwn St. Horizon Horizon 19 8 22 X 1% X
319 Cleveland St. Horizon Horizon 18 8 22 X <1% X
320 S. Carolina St. Mideastern Mid-Eastern 18 9 19 X 3% X
321 San Jose St. Mountain West Mntn West 18 3 23 X <1% X
322 Morgan St. Mideastern Mid-Eastern 18 10 16 X 4% X
323 Lafayette Patriot League Patriot League 17 9 19 X 1% X
324 PepperdinePepperd. West Coast West Coast 17 4 24 X <1% X
325 Charlotte Conference USA Conf. USA 16 5 20 X <1% X
326 Sacred Heart Northeast North East 15 9 20 X <1% X
327 Alcorn St. Southwestern SWAC 15 10 18 X 4% X
328 UALR Sunbelt Sunbelt 14 6 21 X <1% X
329 Dartmouth Ivy League Ivy League 14 6 17 X <1% X
330 Loyola-MD Patriot League Patriot League 14 8 20 X <1% X
331 Rice Conference USA Conf. USA 13 5 22 X <1% X
332 Marist Metro Atlantic Metro Atlantic 13 6 22 X <1% X
333 Alabama St. Southwestern SWAC 13 7 19 X 4% X
334 Northern Arizona Big Sky Big Sky 12 4 23 X <1% X
335 Houston Baptist Southland South-land 12 6 22 X X X
336 CSU Northridge Big West Big West 12 6 21 X <1% X
337 S. Carolina Upstate Atlantic Sun Atlantic Sun 12 7 23 X <1% X
338 Howard Mideastern Mid-Eastern 11 8 21 X 2% X
339 MD Eastern Shore Mideastern Mid-Eastern 10 6 23 X 1% X
340 Chicago St. WAC WAC 9 2 26 X <1% X
341 American Patriot League Patriot League 9 6 22 X <1% X
342 Florida A&M Mideastern Mid-Eastern 9 6 23 X 1% X
343 Coppin St. Mideastern Mid-Eastern 8 5 24 X 1% X
344 Longwood Big South Big South 8 6 23 X <1% X
345 Maine America East America East 8 6 23 X <1% X
346 Incarnate Word Southland South-land 4 5 20 X X X
347 Bryant Northeast North East 2 3 26 X <1% X
348 Northwestern St.N. Western St. Southland South-land 1 4 22 X X X
349 Miss. Valley St. Southwestern SWAC 0 3 25 X X X
350 Alabama A&M Southwestern SWAC -4 2 25 X X X
351 Delaware St. Mideastern Mid-Eastern -4 3 25 X <1% X
  • Notes
  • X means the team cannot win this spot - ties of future unplayed games are not considered
  • 50% - probability the team will receive a tournament invitation - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will receive a tournament invitation - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot