If it wins its remaining games, Alabama makes the 2024 NCAA Football Playoffs 90% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs if those wins occur. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)
If it wins its remaining games, Alabama makes the playoffs 90% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Alabama making the playoffs.
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
| 1 | Houston (75) | Big 12Big 12 | 110 | 13 | 0 | - | - | 100% |
| 2 | Alabama (126) | SECSEC | 102 | 13 | 0 | - | - | 100% |
| 3 | BYU (73) | Big 12Big 12 | 96 | 10 | 3 | - | - | 100% |
| 4 | Wyoming (14) | Mountain WestMntn West | 94 | 11 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 5 | Jacksonville St.Jacksnvlle St. (52) | Conference USAConf. USA | 93 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 6 | Kent State (15) | MACMAC | 88 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 7 | Michigan (134) | Big 10Big 10 | 87 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 8 | Kansas St. (38) | Big 12Big 12 | 86 | 9 | 3 | - | - | X |
| 9 | Toledo (26) | MACMAC | 84 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 10 | Ball State (3) | MACMAC | 83 | 10 | 2 | - | - | X |
If it wins its remaining games, Alabama misses the playoffs 10% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Alabama missing the playoffs.
(126)Alabama opponents lose (SOS related)
(126)Alabama does not plays in the SEC Championship Game
(3)Ball State wins out
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
| 1 | Northern Illinois (32) | MACMAC | 104 | 13 | 0 | - | - | 100% |
| 2 | Minnesota (109) | Big 10Big 10 | 97 | 13 | 0 | - | - | 100% |
| 3 | Louisville (80) | ACCACC | 97 | 11 | 2 | - | - | 100% |
| 4 | Boston College (89) | ACCACC | 96 | 11 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 5 | Alabama (126) | SECSEC | 95 | 13 | 0 | - | - | X |
| 6 | Washington St. (83) | NCAA IndependentsInd. | 93 | 11 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 7 | Coastal Carolina (10) | SunbeltSunbelt | 92 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 8 | Louisiana Tech (4) | Conference USAConf. USA | 91 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 9 | Fresno State (31) | Mountain WestMntn West | 87 | 10 | 3 | - | - | X |
| 10 | Georgia Tech (91) | ACCACC | 86 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |