If it loses one of its remaining games, Alabama will make the 2024 NCAA Football Playoffs 45% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs if that loss occurs. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)
If it loses one of its remaining games, Alabama makes the playoffs 45% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Alabama making the playoffs.
(126)Alabama opponents win (SOS related)
(126)Alabama plays in the SEC Championship Game
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
| 1 | Baylor (7) | Big 12Big 12 | 104 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 2 | Middle Tenn. St. (9) | Conference USAConf. USA | 103 | 13 | 0 | - | - | 100% |
| 3 | Clemson (93) | ACCACC | 95 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 4 | Alabama (126) | SECSEC | 94 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 5 | Utah (53) | Big 12Big 12 | 93 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 6 | Vanderbilt (96) | SECSEC | 92 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 7 | Old Dominion (51) | SunbeltSunbelt | 88 | 11 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 8 | Ole Miss (110) | SECSEC | 87 | 10 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 9 | Eastern Michigan (45) | MACMAC | 85 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 10 | Ga. Southern (8) | SunbeltSunbelt | 85 | 10 | 3 | - | - | X |
If it loses one of its remaining games, Alabama misses the playoffs 55% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Alabama missing the playoffs.
(126)Alabama opponents lose (SOS related)
(126)Alabama does not plays in the SEC Championship Game
(133)Texas wins the SEC Championship
(110)Ole Miss wins the SEC Championship
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
| 1 | Charlotte (44) | American AthleticAm. Athletic | 99 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 2 | Oregon (124) | Big 10Big 10 | 98 | 11 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 3 | Florida Intl. (34) | Conference USAConf. USA | 95 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 4 | Oregon St. (85) | NCAA IndependentsInd. | 91 | 10 | 2 | - | - | 100% |
| 5 | Alabama (126) | SECSEC | 90 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 6 | Georgia Tech (91) | ACCACC | 90 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 7 | Black Knights (86) | American AthleticAm. Athletic | 88 | 10 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 8 | Kent State (15) | MACMAC | 87 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 9 | Texas (133) | SECSEC | 86 | 10 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 10 | Virginia Tech (98) | ACCACC | 85 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |