Based upon current play, Arizona St. makes the 2024 NCAA Football Playoffs 4% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)
Based upon current play, Arizona St. makes the playoffs 4% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Arizona St. making the playoffs.
(74)Arizona St. wins 12 or more games
(74)Arizona St. plays in the Big 12 Championship Game
(74)Arizona St. opponents win (SOS related)
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
| 1 | Penn St. (121) | Big 10Big 10 | 103 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 2 | Arizona St. (74) | Big 12Big 12 | 94 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 3 | Southern Miss (28) | SunbeltSunbelt | 94 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 4 | Ball State (3) | MACMAC | 93 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 5 | Temple (71) | American AthleticAm. Athletic | 93 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 6 | Appalachian St.App. St. (27) | SunbeltSunbelt | 89 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 7 | Georgia (118) | SECSEC | 87 | 13 | 0 | - | - | X |
| 8 | Virginia Tech (98) | ACCACC | 87 | 11 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 9 | North Texas (54) | American AthleticAm. Athletic | 86 | 11 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 10 | Fresno State (31) | Mountain WestMntn West | 86 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
Based upon current play, Arizona St. misses the playoffs 96% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Arizona St. missing the playoffs.
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
| 1 | Boston College (89) | ACCACC | 102 | 13 | 0 | - | - | 100% |
| 2 | LA Monroe (88) | SunbeltSunbelt | 93 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 3 | Oklahoma St. (39) | Big 12Big 12 | 91 | 11 | 2 | - | - | 100% |
| 4 | Utah St. (65) | Mountain WestMntn West | 88 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 5 | Texas Tech (61) | Big 12Big 12 | 87 | 10 | 3 | - | - | X |
| 6 | UTEP (11) | Conference USAConf. USA | 86 | 10 | 3 | - | - | X |
| 7 | W. Kentucky (1) | Conference USAConf. USA | 84 | 10 | 3 | - | - | X |
| 8 | East Carolina (29) | American AthleticAm. Athletic | 84 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 9 | Virginia Tech (98) | ACCACC | 84 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 10 | Tennessee (115) | SECSEC | 82 | 10 | 3 | - | - | X |