PlayoffStatus.com

Sat Aug 17 2:00 pm

NCAA Football - Week 1 of 14

Arizona St. Most Likely Playoff Participation Outcomes - Lose 1

If it loses one of its remaining games, Arizona St. will make the 2024 NCAA Football Playoffs 65% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs if that loss occurs. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)

If it loses one of its remaining games, Arizona St. makes the playoffs 65% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Arizona St. making the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • (74)Arizona St. opponents win (SOS related)
Arizona St. Most Likely Outcome - Lose 1 - Making the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 Houston (75) Big 12Big 12 102 12 1 - - 100%
2 Boston College (89) ACCACC 97 12 1 - - 100%
3 Ohio (21) MACMAC 97 11 2 - - 100%
4 Arizona St. (74) Big 12Big 12 96 12 1 - - 100%
 
5 Coastal Carolina (10) SunbeltSunbelt 96 10 2 - - X
6 Rice (19) American AthleticAm. Athletic 91 11 2 - - X
7 James Madison (59) SunbeltSunbelt 90 11 2 - - X
8 Florida Intl. (34) Conference USAConf. USA 88 11 2 - - X
9 South Alabama (37) SunbeltSunbelt 86 11 2 - - X
10 Georgia St. (66) SunbeltSunbelt 85 10 2 - - X




If it loses one of its remaining games, Arizona St. misses the playoffs 35% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Arizona St. missing the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • (74)Arizona St. opponents lose (SOS related)
  • (74)Arizona St. does not plays in the Big 12 Championship Game
  • (7)Baylor wins 12 or more games
  • (75)Houston wins 12 or more games
Arizona St. Most Likely Outcome - Lose 1 - Missing the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 Oregon St. (85) NCAA IndependentsInd. 100 12 0 - - 100%
2 Boston College (89) ACCACC 97 12 1 - - 100%
3 Clemson (93) ACCACC 96 12 1 - - 100%
4 Missouri (119) SECSEC 94 12 1 - - 100%
 
5 Utah St. (65) Mountain WestMntn West 93 12 1 - - X
6 North Carolina (92) ACCACC 89 10 2 - - X
7 Ohio (21) MACMAC 89 12 1 - - X
8 Arizona St. (74) Big 12Big 12 88 12 1 - - X
9 Tennessee (115) SECSEC 86 11 2 - - X
10 Indiana (131) Big 10Big 10 85 11 2 - - X
  • Notes
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot