PlayoffStatus.com

Sat Aug 17 2:00 pm

NCAA Football - Week 1 of 14

Arizona St. Most Likely Playoff Participation Outcomes - Winout

If it wins its remaining games, Arizona St. makes the 2024 NCAA Football Playoffs 95% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs if those wins occur. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)

If it wins its remaining games, Arizona St. makes the playoffs 95% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Arizona St. making the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • None Found
Arizona St. Most Likely Outcome - Winout - Making the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 Arizona St. (74) Big 12Big 12 102 13 0 - - 100%
2 Boston College (89) ACCACC 97 13 0 - - 100%
3 Missouri (119) SECSEC 93 12 1 - - 100%
4 Washington (95) Big 10Big 10 93 13 0 - - 100%
 
5 Kennesaw St. (5) Conference USAConf. USA 91 12 1 - - X
6 Colorado St. (55) Mountain WestMntn West 87 12 1 - - X
7 Georgia (118) SECSEC 86 11 2 - - X
8 Toledo (26) MACMAC 86 12 1 - - X
9 UTSA (25) American AthleticAm. Athletic 84 10 2 - - X
10 Charlotte (44) American AthleticAm. Athletic 82 10 3 - - X




If it wins its remaining games, Arizona St. misses the playoffs 5% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Arizona St. missing the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • (74)Arizona St. opponents lose (SOS related)
  • (74)Arizona St. does not plays in the Big 12 Championship Game
  • (77)West Virginia wins the Big 12 Championship
Arizona St. Most Likely Outcome - Winout - Missing the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 Wisconsin (100) Big 10Big 10 115 12 1 - - 100%
2 Boston College (89) ACCACC 106 12 1 - - 100%
3 Louisville (80) ACCACC 101 11 1 - - 100%
4 NorthwesternN. Western (107) Big 10Big 10 97 12 1 - - 100%
 
5 Arizona St. (74) Big 12Big 12 95 13 0 - - X
6 Appalachian St.App. St. (27) SunbeltSunbelt 94 12 1 - - X
7 Nebraska (120) Big 10Big 10 93 10 2 - - X
8 Virginia (78) ACCACC 87 9 3 - - X
9 California (87) ACCACC 87 11 2 - - X
10 West Virginia (77) Big 12Big 12 86 11 1 - - X
  • Notes
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot