If it wins its remaining games, Arizona St. makes the 2024 NCAA Football Playoffs 95% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs if those wins occur. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)
If it wins its remaining games, Arizona St. makes the playoffs 95% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Arizona St. making the playoffs.
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
| 1 | Arizona St. (74) | Big 12Big 12 | 102 | 13 | 0 | - | - | 100% |
| 2 | Boston College (89) | ACCACC | 97 | 13 | 0 | - | - | 100% |
| 3 | Missouri (119) | SECSEC | 93 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 4 | Washington (95) | Big 10Big 10 | 93 | 13 | 0 | - | - | 100% |
| 5 | Kennesaw St. (5) | Conference USAConf. USA | 91 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 6 | Colorado St. (55) | Mountain WestMntn West | 87 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 7 | Georgia (118) | SECSEC | 86 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 8 | Toledo (26) | MACMAC | 86 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 9 | UTSA (25) | American AthleticAm. Athletic | 84 | 10 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 10 | Charlotte (44) | American AthleticAm. Athletic | 82 | 10 | 3 | - | - | X |
If it wins its remaining games, Arizona St. misses the playoffs 5% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Arizona St. missing the playoffs.
(74)Arizona St. opponents lose (SOS related)
(74)Arizona St. does not plays in the Big 12 Championship Game
(77)West Virginia wins the Big 12 Championship
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
| 1 | Wisconsin (100) | Big 10Big 10 | 115 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 2 | Boston College (89) | ACCACC | 106 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 3 | Louisville (80) | ACCACC | 101 | 11 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 4 | NorthwesternN. Western (107) | Big 10Big 10 | 97 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 5 | Arizona St. (74) | Big 12Big 12 | 95 | 13 | 0 | - | - | X |
| 6 | Appalachian St.App. St. (27) | SunbeltSunbelt | 94 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 7 | Nebraska (120) | Big 10Big 10 | 93 | 10 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 8 | Virginia (78) | ACCACC | 87 | 9 | 3 | - | - | X |
| 9 | California (87) | ACCACC | 87 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 10 | West Virginia (77) | Big 12Big 12 | 86 | 11 | 1 | - | - | X |