If it wins its remaining games, Cincinnati makes the 2024 NCAA Football Playoffs 91% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs if those wins occur. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)
If it wins its remaining games, Cincinnati makes the playoffs 91% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Cincinnati making the playoffs.
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
| 1 | Cincinnati (72) | Big 12Big 12 | 118 | 13 | 0 | - | - | 100% |
| 2 | Marshall (50) | SunbeltSunbelt | 100 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 3 | Sam Houston (36) | Conference USAConf. USA | 97 | 11 | 2 | - | - | 100% |
| 4 | North Texas (54) | American AthleticAm. Athletic | 96 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 5 | Minnesota (109) | Big 10Big 10 | 92 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 6 | Purdue (117) | Big 10Big 10 | 91 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 7 | Texas St. (42) | SunbeltSunbelt | 89 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 8 | Middle Tenn. St. (9) | Conference USAConf. USA | 87 | 10 | 3 | - | - | X |
| 9 | Pittsburgh (79) | ACCACC | 87 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 10 | Missouri (119) | SECSEC | 86 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
If it wins its remaining games, Cincinnati misses the playoffs 9% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Cincinnati missing the playoffs.
(72)Cincinnati opponents lose (SOS related)
(72)Cincinnati does not plays in the Big 12 Championship Game
(39)Oklahoma St. wins the Big 12 Championship
(39)Oklahoma St. wins out
(7)Baylor wins the Big 12 Championship
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
| 1 | Maryland (105) | Big 10Big 10 | 103 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 2 | Navy (82) | American AthleticAm. Athletic | 101 | 12 | 0 | - | - | 100% |
| 3 | Boston College (89) | ACCACC | 100 | 13 | 0 | - | - | 100% |
| 4 | N.C. State (106) | ACCACC | 99 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 5 | Cincinnati (72) | Big 12Big 12 | 94 | 13 | 0 | - | - | X |
| 6 | Duke (64) | ACCACC | 93 | 11 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 7 | UAB (35) | American AthleticAm. Athletic | 93 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 8 | New Mexico (40) | Mountain WestMntn West | 91 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 9 | Coastal Carolina (10) | SunbeltSunbelt | 91 | 11 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 10 | Ga. Southern (8) | SunbeltSunbelt | 91 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |