PlayoffStatus.com

Sat Aug 17 2:00 pm

NCAA Football - Week 1 of 14

Cincinnati Most Likely Playoff Participation Outcomes - Winout

If it wins its remaining games, Cincinnati makes the 2024 NCAA Football Playoffs 91% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs if those wins occur. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)

If it wins its remaining games, Cincinnati makes the playoffs 91% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Cincinnati making the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • None Found
Cincinnati Most Likely Outcome - Winout - Making the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 Cincinnati (72) Big 12Big 12 118 13 0 - - 100%
2 Marshall (50) SunbeltSunbelt 100 12 1 - - 100%
3 Sam Houston (36) Conference USAConf. USA 97 11 2 - - 100%
4 North Texas (54) American AthleticAm. Athletic 96 12 1 - - 100%
 
5 Minnesota (109) Big 10Big 10 92 12 1 - - X
6 Purdue (117) Big 10Big 10 91 11 2 - - X
7 Texas St. (42) SunbeltSunbelt 89 11 2 - - X
8 Middle Tenn. St. (9) Conference USAConf. USA 87 10 3 - - X
9 Pittsburgh (79) ACCACC 87 11 2 - - X
10 Missouri (119) SECSEC 86 12 1 - - X




If it wins its remaining games, Cincinnati misses the playoffs 9% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Cincinnati missing the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • (72)Cincinnati opponents lose (SOS related)
  • (72)Cincinnati does not plays in the Big 12 Championship Game
  • (39)Oklahoma St. wins the Big 12 Championship
  • (39)Oklahoma St. wins out
  • (7)Baylor wins the Big 12 Championship
Cincinnati Most Likely Outcome - Winout - Missing the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 Maryland (105) Big 10Big 10 103 12 1 - - 100%
2 Navy (82) American AthleticAm. Athletic 101 12 0 - - 100%
3 Boston College (89) ACCACC 100 13 0 - - 100%
4 N.C. State (106) ACCACC 99 12 1 - - 100%
 
5 Cincinnati (72) Big 12Big 12 94 13 0 - - X
6 Duke (64) ACCACC 93 11 1 - - X
7 UAB (35) American AthleticAm. Athletic 93 11 2 - - X
8 New Mexico (40) Mountain WestMntn West 91 11 2 - - X
9 Coastal Carolina (10) SunbeltSunbelt 91 11 1 - - X
10 Ga. Southern (8) SunbeltSunbelt 91 12 1 - - X
  • Notes
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot