If it loses one of its remaining games, Fresno State will make the 2024 NCAA Football Playoffs 53% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs if that loss occurs. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)
If it loses one of its remaining games, Fresno State makes the playoffs 53% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Fresno State making the playoffs.
(31)Fresno State opponents win (SOS related)
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
| 1 | Florida St. (97) | ACCACC | 109 | 13 | 0 | - | - | 100% |
| 2 | Charlotte (44) | American AthleticAm. Athletic | 104 | 13 | 0 | - | - | 100% |
| 3 | Fresno State (31) | Mountain WestMntn West | 98 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 4 | Bowling Green (24) | MACMAC | 97 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 5 | Boston College (89) | ACCACC | 93 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 6 | NorthwesternN. Western (107) | Big 10Big 10 | 89 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 7 | Middle Tenn. St. (9) | Conference USAConf. USA | 89 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 8 | Utah (53) | Big 12Big 12 | 88 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 9 | Illinois (99) | Big 10Big 10 | 87 | 11 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 10 | North Carolina (92) | ACCACC | 83 | 8 | 4 | - | - | X |
If it loses one of its remaining games, Fresno State misses the playoffs 47% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Fresno State missing the playoffs.
(31)Fresno State opponents lose (SOS related)
(31)Fresno State does not plays in the Mntn West Championship Game
(65)Utah St. wins the Mntn West Championship
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
| 1 | Boston College (89) | ACCACC | 113 | 13 | 0 | - | - | 100% |
| 2 | W. Kentucky (1) | Conference USAConf. USA | 99 | 11 | 2 | - | - | 100% |
| 3 | Florida Atlantic (63) | American AthleticAm. Athletic | 94 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 4 | Clemson (93) | ACCACC | 92 | 11 | 2 | - | - | 100% |
| 5 | Georgia (118) | SECSEC | 90 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 6 | Arizona St. (74) | Big 12Big 12 | 89 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 7 | Fresno State (31) | Mountain WestMntn West | 88 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 8 | Oklahoma (132) | SECSEC | 88 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 9 | Minnesota (109) | Big 10Big 10 | 84 | 10 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 10 | Iowa St. (76) | Big 12Big 12 | 84 | 11 | 1 | - | - | X |