Based upon current play, Fresno State makes the 2024 NCAA Football Playoffs 3% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)
Based upon current play, Fresno State makes the playoffs 3% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Fresno State making the playoffs.
(31)Fresno State wins 12 or more games
(31)Fresno State plays in the Mntn West Championship Game
(31)Fresno State opponents win (SOS related)
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
| 1 | Arizona (12) | Big 12Big 12 | 105 | 13 | 0 | - | - | 100% |
| 2 | Fresno State (31) | Mountain WestMntn West | 100 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 3 | Duke (64) | ACCACC | 100 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 4 | Boston College (89) | ACCACC | 98 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 5 | Oregon (124) | Big 10Big 10 | 90 | 10 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 6 | Kansas St. (38) | Big 12Big 12 | 89 | 10 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 7 | Cincinnati (72) | Big 12Big 12 | 88 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 8 | Wisconsin (100) | Big 10Big 10 | 88 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 9 | South Florida (70) | American AthleticAm. Athletic | 86 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 10 | Kent State (15) | MACMAC | 85 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
Based upon current play, Fresno State misses the playoffs 97% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Fresno State missing the playoffs.
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
| 1 | Boston College (89) | ACCACC | 102 | 13 | 0 | - | - | 100% |
| 2 | LA Monroe (88) | SunbeltSunbelt | 93 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 3 | Oklahoma St. (39) | Big 12Big 12 | 91 | 11 | 2 | - | - | 100% |
| 4 | Utah St. (65) | Mountain WestMntn West | 88 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 5 | Texas Tech (61) | Big 12Big 12 | 87 | 10 | 3 | - | - | X |
| 6 | UTEP (11) | Conference USAConf. USA | 86 | 10 | 3 | - | - | X |
| 7 | W. Kentucky (1) | Conference USAConf. USA | 84 | 10 | 3 | - | - | X |
| 8 | East Carolina (29) | American AthleticAm. Athletic | 84 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 9 | Virginia Tech (98) | ACCACC | 84 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 10 | Tennessee (115) | SECSEC | 82 | 10 | 3 | - | - | X |