PlayoffStatus.com

Sat Aug 17 2:00 pm

NCAA Football - Week 1 of 14

Fresno State Most Likely Playoff Participation Outcomes - Current

Based upon current play, Fresno State makes the 2024 NCAA Football Playoffs 3% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)

Based upon current play, Fresno State makes the playoffs 3% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Fresno State making the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • (31)Fresno State wins 12 or more games
  • (31)Fresno State plays in the Mntn West Championship Game
  • (31)Fresno State opponents win (SOS related)
Fresno State Most Likely Outcome - Current - Making the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 Arizona (12) Big 12Big 12 105 13 0 - - 100%
2 Fresno State (31) Mountain WestMntn West 100 12 1 - - 100%
3 Duke (64) ACCACC 100 12 1 - - 100%
4 Boston College (89) ACCACC 98 12 1 - - 100%
 
5 Oregon (124) Big 10Big 10 90 10 2 - - X
6 Kansas St. (38) Big 12Big 12 89 10 2 - - X
7 Cincinnati (72) Big 12Big 12 88 11 2 - - X
8 Wisconsin (100) Big 10Big 10 88 11 2 - - X
9 South Florida (70) American AthleticAm. Athletic 86 11 2 - - X
10 Kent State (15) MACMAC 85 12 1 - - X




Based upon current play, Fresno State misses the playoffs 97% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Fresno State missing the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • None Found
Fresno State Most Likely Outcome - Current - Missing the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 Boston College (89) ACCACC 102 13 0 - - 100%
2 LA Monroe (88) SunbeltSunbelt 93 12 1 - - 100%
3 Oklahoma St. (39) Big 12Big 12 91 11 2 - - 100%
4 Utah St. (65) Mountain WestMntn West 88 12 1 - - 100%
 
5 Texas Tech (61) Big 12Big 12 87 10 3 - - X
6 UTEP (11) Conference USAConf. USA 86 10 3 - - X
7 W. Kentucky (1) Conference USAConf. USA 84 10 3 - - X
8 East Carolina (29) American AthleticAm. Athletic 84 11 2 - - X
9 Virginia Tech (98) ACCACC 84 11 2 - - X
10 Tennessee (115) SECSEC 82 10 3 - - X
  • Notes
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot