If it wins its remaining games, Fresno State makes the 2024 NCAA Football Playoffs 92% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs if those wins occur. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)
If it wins its remaining games, Fresno State makes the playoffs 92% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Fresno State making the playoffs.
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
| 1 | Fresno State (31) | Mountain WestMntn West | 117 | 13 | 0 | - | - | 100% |
| 2 | North Texas (54) | American AthleticAm. Athletic | 94 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 3 | Utah (53) | Big 12Big 12 | 93 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 4 | Wyoming (14) | Mountain WestMntn West | 93 | 11 | 2 | - | - | 100% |
| 5 | Louisville (80) | ACCACC | 92 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 6 | Sam Houston (36) | Conference USAConf. USA | 90 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 7 | Colorado St. (55) | Mountain WestMntn West | 90 | 10 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 8 | SMU (94) | ACCACC | 89 | 11 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 9 | Rutgers (102) | Big 10Big 10 | 89 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 10 | NorthwesternN. Western (107) | Big 10Big 10 | 88 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
If it wins its remaining games, Fresno State misses the playoffs 8% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Fresno State missing the playoffs.
(31)Fresno State opponents lose (SOS related)
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
| 1 | Kent State (15) | MACMAC | 97 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 2 | Boston College (89) | ACCACC | 93 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 3 | Florida St. (97) | ACCACC | 92 | 10 | 2 | - | - | 100% |
| 4 | LA Monroe (88) | SunbeltSunbelt | 91 | 10 | 2 | - | - | 100% |
| 5 | Texas (133) | SECSEC | 91 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 6 | Liberty (2) | Conference USAConf. USA | 91 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 7 | Fresno State (31) | Mountain WestMntn West | 91 | 13 | 0 | - | - | X |
| 8 | California (87) | ACCACC | 90 | 10 | 3 | - | - | X |
| 9 | East Carolina (29) | American AthleticAm. Athletic | 90 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 10 | Arizona St. (74) | Big 12Big 12 | 88 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |