PlayoffStatus.com

Sat Aug 17 2:00 pm

NCAA Football - Week 1 of 14

Kentucky Most Likely Playoff Participation Outcomes - Lose 1

If it loses one of its remaining games, Kentucky will make the 2024 NCAA Football Playoffs 42% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs if that loss occurs. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)

If it loses one of its remaining games, Kentucky makes the playoffs 42% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Kentucky making the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • (111)Kentucky opponents win (SOS related)
  • (111)Kentucky plays in the SEC Championship Game
Kentucky Most Likely Outcome - Lose 1 - Making the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 Louisville (80) ACCACC 101 12 1 - - 100%
2 Louisiana Tech (4) Conference USAConf. USA 93 12 1 - - 100%
3 Black Knights (86) American AthleticAm. Athletic 92 11 1 - - 100%
4 Kentucky (111) SECSEC 92 12 1 - - 100%
 
5 UConn (125) NCAA IndependentsInd. 87 12 0 - - X
6 James Madison (59) SunbeltSunbelt 85 10 2 - - X
7 North Texas (54) American AthleticAm. Athletic 85 10 2 - - X
8 San Diego State (49) Mountain WestMntn West 85 11 2 - - X
9 Marshall (50) SunbeltSunbelt 84 10 3 - - X
10 Bowling Green (24) MACMAC 82 10 3 - - X




If it loses one of its remaining games, Kentucky misses the playoffs 58% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Kentucky missing the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • (111)Kentucky opponents lose (SOS related)
  • (111)Kentucky does not plays in the SEC Championship Game
Kentucky Most Likely Outcome - Lose 1 - Missing the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 Florida Intl. (34) Conference USAConf. USA 91 11 2 - - 100%
2 New Mexico St. (13) Conference USAConf. USA 90 11 2 - - 100%
3 Florida Atlantic (63) American AthleticAm. Athletic 89 11 2 - - 100%
4 Pittsburgh (79) ACCACC 89 12 1 - - 100%
 
5 BYU (73) Big 12Big 12 88 11 2 - - X
6 South Alabama (37) SunbeltSunbelt 87 12 1 - - X
7 Buffalo (48) MACMAC 87 12 1 - - X
8 Nevada (43) Mountain WestMntn West 87 11 2 - - X
9 Rutgers (102) Big 10Big 10 87 12 1 - - X
10 Kentucky (111) SECSEC 86 12 1 - - X
  • Notes
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot