Based upon current play, Michigan makes the 2024 NCAA Football Playoffs 3% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)
Based upon current play, Michigan makes the playoffs 3% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Michigan making the playoffs.
(134)Michigan wins 12 or more games
(134)Michigan plays in the Big 10 Championship Game
(134)Michigan opponents win (SOS related)
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
| 1 | Texas Tech (61) | Big 12Big 12 | 98 | 13 | 0 | - | - | 100% |
| 2 | Michigan (134) | Big 10Big 10 | 96 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 3 | James Madison (59) | SunbeltSunbelt | 95 | 13 | 0 | - | - | 100% |
| 4 | San José State (68) | Mountain WestMntn West | 95 | 11 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 5 | Ball State (3) | MACMAC | 92 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 6 | Fresno State (31) | Mountain WestMntn West | 88 | 10 | 3 | - | - | X |
| 7 | Hawaii (20) | Mountain WestMntn West | 88 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 8 | Liberty (2) | Conference USAConf. USA | 86 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 9 | Kennesaw St. (5) | Conference USAConf. USA | 84 | 9 | 4 | - | - | X |
| 10 | Nebraska (120) | Big 10Big 10 | 84 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
Based upon current play, Michigan misses the playoffs 97% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Michigan missing the playoffs.
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
| 1 | Boston College (89) | ACCACC | 102 | 13 | 0 | - | - | 100% |
| 2 | LA Monroe (88) | SunbeltSunbelt | 93 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 3 | Oklahoma St. (39) | Big 12Big 12 | 91 | 11 | 2 | - | - | 100% |
| 4 | Utah St. (65) | Mountain WestMntn West | 88 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 5 | Texas Tech (61) | Big 12Big 12 | 87 | 10 | 3 | - | - | X |
| 6 | UTEP (11) | Conference USAConf. USA | 86 | 10 | 3 | - | - | X |
| 7 | W. Kentucky (1) | Conference USAConf. USA | 84 | 10 | 3 | - | - | X |
| 8 | East Carolina (29) | American AthleticAm. Athletic | 84 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 9 | Virginia Tech (98) | ACCACC | 84 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 10 | Tennessee (115) | SECSEC | 82 | 10 | 3 | - | - | X |