If it wins its remaining games, Michigan makes the 2024 NCAA Football Playoffs 93% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs if those wins occur. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)
If it wins its remaining games, Michigan makes the playoffs 93% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Michigan making the playoffs.
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
| 1 | Charlotte (44) | American AthleticAm. Athletic | 118 | 13 | 0 | - | - | 100% |
| 2 | South Alabama (37) | SunbeltSunbelt | 110 | 13 | 0 | - | - | 100% |
| 3 | Michigan (134) | Big 10Big 10 | 108 | 13 | 0 | - | - | 100% |
| 4 | North Carolina (92) | ACCACC | 100 | 11 | 2 | - | - | 100% |
| 5 | South Florida (70) | American AthleticAm. Athletic | 93 | 10 | 3 | - | - | X |
| 6 | Ole Miss (110) | SECSEC | 92 | 13 | 0 | - | - | X |
| 7 | Miami (81) | ACCACC | 89 | 11 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 8 | Auburn (128) | SECSEC | 87 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 9 | Fresno State (31) | Mountain WestMntn West | 85 | 10 | 3 | - | - | X |
| 10 | Pittsburgh (79) | ACCACC | 85 | 11 | 1 | - | - | X |
If it wins its remaining games, Michigan misses the playoffs 7% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Michigan missing the playoffs.
(134)Michigan opponents lose (SOS related)
(134)Michigan does not plays in the Big 10 Championship Game
(122)Iowa wins the Big 10 Championship
(122)Iowa wins out
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
| 1 | Kentucky (111) | SECSEC | 106 | 13 | 0 | - | - | 100% |
| 2 | Florida St. (97) | ACCACC | 105 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 3 | Boston College (89) | ACCACC | 100 | 10 | 2 | - | - | 100% |
| 4 | San Diego State (49) | Mountain WestMntn West | 94 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 5 | Georgia (118) | SECSEC | 93 | 11 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 6 | Texas A&M (127) | SECSEC | 93 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 7 | Iowa (122) | Big 10Big 10 | 90 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 8 | Central Michigan (18) | MACMAC | 89 | 10 | 3 | - | - | X |
| 9 | Syracuse (90) | ACCACC | 89 | 10 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 10 | Rutgers (102) | Big 10Big 10 | 89 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |