PlayoffStatus.com

Sat Aug 17 2:00 pm

NCAA Football - Week 1 of 14

Michigan St. Most Likely Playoff Participation Outcomes - Lose 1

If it loses one of its remaining games, Michigan St. will make the 2024 NCAA Football Playoffs 46% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs if that loss occurs. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)

If it loses one of its remaining games, Michigan St. makes the playoffs 46% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Michigan St. making the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • (116)Michigan St. opponents win (SOS related)
Michigan St. Most Likely Outcome - Lose 1 - Making the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 Michigan St. (116) Big 10Big 10 104 12 1 - - 100%
2 Boston College (89) ACCACC 95 12 1 - - 100%
3 Buffalo (48) MACMAC 94 10 2 - - 100%
4 Oregon St. (85) NCAA IndependentsInd. 93 11 1 - - 100%
 
5 Oklahoma (132) SECSEC 93 12 1 - - X
6 Alabama (126) SECSEC 92 11 2 - - X
7 Louisiana Tech (4) Conference USAConf. USA 92 11 2 - - X
8 Northern Illinois (32) MACMAC 92 11 2 - - X
9 Purdue (117) Big 10Big 10 91 10 2 - - X
10 Kennesaw St. (5) Conference USAConf. USA 91 10 2 - - X




If it loses one of its remaining games, Michigan St. misses the playoffs 54% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Michigan St. missing the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • (116)Michigan St. opponents lose (SOS related)
  • (116)Michigan St. does not plays in the Big 10 Championship Game
Michigan St. Most Likely Outcome - Lose 1 - Missing the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 Miami (81) ACCACC 96 10 2 - - 100%
2 Washington St. (83) NCAA IndependentsInd. 93 11 1 - - 100%
3 W. Kentucky (1) Conference USAConf. USA 93 12 1 - - 100%
4 Virginia Tech (98) ACCACC 92 10 3 - - 100%
 
5 Marshall (50) SunbeltSunbelt 90 11 2 - - X
6 Boise State (62) Mountain WestMntn West 88 11 2 - - X
7 Syracuse (90) ACCACC 88 10 2 - - X
8 Michigan St. (116) Big 10Big 10 88 12 1 - - X
9 Houston (75) Big 12Big 12 86 11 2 - - X
10 Duke (64) ACCACC 85 10 3 - - X
  • Notes
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot