If it wins its remaining games, Michigan St. makes the 2024 NCAA Football Playoffs 90% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs if those wins occur. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)
If it wins its remaining games, Michigan St. makes the playoffs 90% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Michigan St. making the playoffs.
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
| 1 | South Florida (70) | American AthleticAm. Athletic | 107 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 2 | Michigan St. (116) | Big 10Big 10 | 103 | 13 | 0 | - | - | 100% |
| 3 | Middle Tenn. St. (9) | Conference USAConf. USA | 98 | 11 | 2 | - | - | 100% |
| 4 | Ole Miss (110) | SECSEC | 98 | 11 | 2 | - | - | 100% |
| 5 | Arkansas St. (6) | SunbeltSunbelt | 97 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 6 | Tulane (33) | American AthleticAm. Athletic | 97 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 7 | Wake Forest (112) | ACCACC | 95 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 8 | Navy (82) | American AthleticAm. Athletic | 91 | 9 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 9 | Liberty (2) | Conference USAConf. USA | 89 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 10 | Arizona St. (74) | Big 12Big 12 | 86 | 10 | 3 | - | - | X |
If it wins its remaining games, Michigan St. misses the playoffs 10% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Michigan St. missing the playoffs.
(116)Michigan St. opponents lose (SOS related)
(116)Michigan St. does not plays in the Big 10 Championship Game
(74)Arizona St. wins 13 or more games
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
| 1 | North Texas (54) | American AthleticAm. Athletic | 104 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 2 | Georgia Tech (91) | ACCACC | 101 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 3 | Marshall (50) | SunbeltSunbelt | 99 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 4 | Boston College (89) | ACCACC | 97 | 10 | 3 | - | - | 100% |
| 5 | UTSA (25) | American AthleticAm. Athletic | 96 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 6 | Michigan St. (116) | Big 10Big 10 | 95 | 13 | 0 | - | - | X |
| 7 | Kent State (15) | MACMAC | 92 | 13 | 0 | - | - | X |
| 8 | Fresno State (31) | Mountain WestMntn West | 92 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 9 | Vanderbilt (96) | SECSEC | 92 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 10 | Louisville (80) | ACCACC | 91 | 10 | 2 | - | - | X |