If it loses one of its remaining games, New Mexico St. will make the 2024 NCAA Football Playoffs 56% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs if that loss occurs. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)
If it loses one of its remaining games, New Mexico St. makes the playoffs 56% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to New Mexico St. making the playoffs.
(13)New Mexico St. opponents win (SOS related)
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
| 1 | BYU (73) | Big 12Big 12 | 94 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 2 | LSU (123) | SECSEC | 93 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 3 | Georgia Tech (91) | ACCACC | 93 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 4 | New Mexico St. (13) | Conference USAConf. USA | 93 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 5 | Auburn (128) | SECSEC | 90 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 6 | Old Dominion (51) | SunbeltSunbelt | 90 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 7 | Fresno State (31) | Mountain WestMntn West | 89 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 8 | Bowling Green (24) | MACMAC | 89 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 9 | Kansas St. (38) | Big 12Big 12 | 88 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 10 | UAB (35) | American AthleticAm. Athletic | 83 | 10 | 3 | - | - | X |
If it loses one of its remaining games, New Mexico St. misses the playoffs 44% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to New Mexico St. missing the playoffs.
(13)New Mexico St. opponents lose (SOS related)
(5)Kennesaw St. plays in the Conf. USA Championship Game
(13)New Mexico St. does not plays in the Conf. USA Championship Game
(5)Kennesaw St. wins out
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
| 1 | Boston College (89) | ACCACC | 99 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 2 | Louisville (80) | ACCACC | 97 | 11 | 2 | - | - | 100% |
| 3 | Georgia (118) | SECSEC | 93 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 4 | Kansas St. (38) | Big 12Big 12 | 92 | 13 | 0 | - | - | 100% |
| 5 | Oregon (124) | Big 10Big 10 | 92 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 6 | Tulsa (30) | American AthleticAm. Athletic | 91 | 13 | 0 | - | - | X |
| 7 | Buffalo (48) | MACMAC | 90 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 8 | New Mexico St. (13) | Conference USAConf. USA | 88 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 9 | Wisconsin (100) | Big 10Big 10 | 86 | 10 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 10 | Troy (41) | SunbeltSunbelt | 86 | 11 | 1 | - | - | X |