If it wins its remaining games, New Mexico makes the 2024 NCAA Football Playoffs 93% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs if those wins occur. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)
If it wins its remaining games, New Mexico makes the playoffs 93% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to New Mexico making the playoffs.
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
| 1 | New Mexico (40) | Mountain WestMntn West | 100 | 13 | 0 | - | - | 100% |
| 2 | Alabama (126) | SECSEC | 93 | 11 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 3 | Clemson (93) | ACCACC | 91 | 11 | 2 | - | - | 100% |
| 4 | Kennesaw St. (5) | Conference USAConf. USA | 91 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 5 | Oklahoma (132) | SECSEC | 88 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 6 | Boston College (89) | ACCACC | 88 | 11 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 7 | Stanford (103) | ACCACC | 87 | 10 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 8 | Baylor (7) | Big 12Big 12 | 86 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 9 | Kansas St. (38) | Big 12Big 12 | 82 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 10 | Florida Atlantic (63) | American AthleticAm. Athletic | 82 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
If it wins its remaining games, New Mexico misses the playoffs 7% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to New Mexico missing the playoffs.
(40)New Mexico opponents lose (SOS related)
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
| 1 | Akron (23) | MACMAC | 104 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 2 | Syracuse (90) | ACCACC | 101 | 13 | 0 | - | - | 100% |
| 3 | Indiana (131) | Big 10Big 10 | 100 | 11 | 2 | - | - | 100% |
| 4 | Middle Tenn. St. (9) | Conference USAConf. USA | 99 | 11 | 2 | - | - | 100% |
| 5 | Washington (95) | Big 10Big 10 | 96 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 6 | Houston (75) | Big 12Big 12 | 94 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 7 | New Mexico (40) | Mountain WestMntn West | 93 | 13 | 0 | - | - | X |
| 8 | Mississippi St.Miss. St. (114) | SECSEC | 90 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 9 | Sam Houston (36) | Conference USAConf. USA | 90 | 10 | 3 | - | - | X |
| 10 | Ohio St. (129) | Big 10Big 10 | 90 | 10 | 2 | - | - | X |