If it loses one of its remaining games, New Mexico will make the 2024 NCAA Football Playoffs 56% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs if that loss occurs. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)
If it loses one of its remaining games, New Mexico makes the playoffs 56% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to New Mexico making the playoffs.
(40)New Mexico opponents win (SOS related)
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
| 1 | Florida St. (97) | ACCACC | 95 | 13 | 0 | - | - | 100% |
| 2 | New Mexico (40) | Mountain WestMntn West | 92 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 3 | Oklahoma St. (39) | Big 12Big 12 | 86 | 11 | 2 | - | - | 100% |
| 4 | N.C. State (106) | ACCACC | 86 | 10 | 2 | - | - | 100% |
| 5 | Ohio St. (129) | Big 10Big 10 | 85 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 6 | Sam Houston (36) | Conference USAConf. USA | 84 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 7 | Kentucky (111) | SECSEC | 84 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 8 | Wake Forest (112) | ACCACC | 83 | 11 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 9 | Fresno State (31) | Mountain WestMntn West | 83 | 10 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 10 | Marshall (50) | SunbeltSunbelt | 82 | 9 | 3 | - | - | X |
If it loses one of its remaining games, New Mexico misses the playoffs 44% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to New Mexico missing the playoffs.
(40)New Mexico opponents lose (SOS related)
(40)New Mexico does not plays in the Mntn West Championship Game
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
| 1 | Wisconsin (100) | Big 10Big 10 | 98 | 13 | 0 | - | - | 100% |
| 2 | Clemson (93) | ACCACC | 91 | 11 | 2 | - | - | 100% |
| 3 | Black Knights (86) | American AthleticAm. Athletic | 86 | 10 | 2 | - | - | 100% |
| 4 | Boston College (89) | ACCACC | 85 | 11 | 2 | - | - | 100% |
| 5 | Nebraska (120) | Big 10Big 10 | 85 | 10 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 6 | New Mexico (40) | Mountain WestMntn West | 85 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 7 | Ohio St. (129) | Big 10Big 10 | 84 | 10 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 8 | Duke (64) | ACCACC | 84 | 10 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 9 | North Texas (54) | American AthleticAm. Athletic | 84 | 10 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 10 | Notre Dame (130) | NCAA IndependentsInd. | 84 | 10 | 2 | - | - | X |