PlayoffStatus.com

Sat Aug 17 2:00 pm

NCAA Football - Week 1 of 14

New Mexico Most Likely Playoff Participation Outcomes - Lose 1

If it loses one of its remaining games, New Mexico will make the 2024 NCAA Football Playoffs 56% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs if that loss occurs. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)

If it loses one of its remaining games, New Mexico makes the playoffs 56% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to New Mexico making the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • (40)New Mexico opponents win (SOS related)
New Mexico Most Likely Outcome - Lose 1 - Making the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 Florida St. (97) ACCACC 95 13 0 - - 100%
2 New Mexico (40) Mountain WestMntn West 92 12 1 - - 100%
3 Oklahoma St. (39) Big 12Big 12 86 11 2 - - 100%
4 N.C. State (106) ACCACC 86 10 2 - - 100%
 
5 Ohio St. (129) Big 10Big 10 85 11 2 - - X
6 Sam Houston (36) Conference USAConf. USA 84 11 2 - - X
7 Kentucky (111) SECSEC 84 11 2 - - X
8 Wake Forest (112) ACCACC 83 11 1 - - X
9 Fresno State (31) Mountain WestMntn West 83 10 2 - - X
10 Marshall (50) SunbeltSunbelt 82 9 3 - - X




If it loses one of its remaining games, New Mexico misses the playoffs 44% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to New Mexico missing the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • (40)New Mexico opponents lose (SOS related)
  • (40)New Mexico does not plays in the Mntn West Championship Game
New Mexico Most Likely Outcome - Lose 1 - Missing the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 Wisconsin (100) Big 10Big 10 98 13 0 - - 100%
2 Clemson (93) ACCACC 91 11 2 - - 100%
3 Black Knights (86) American AthleticAm. Athletic 86 10 2 - - 100%
4 Boston College (89) ACCACC 85 11 2 - - 100%
 
5 Nebraska (120) Big 10Big 10 85 10 2 - - X
6 New Mexico (40) Mountain WestMntn West 85 12 1 - - X
7 Ohio St. (129) Big 10Big 10 84 10 2 - - X
8 Duke (64) ACCACC 84 10 2 - - X
9 North Texas (54) American AthleticAm. Athletic 84 10 2 - - X
10 Notre Dame (130) NCAA IndependentsInd. 84 10 2 - - X
  • Notes
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot