Based upon current play, New Mexico makes the 2024 NCAA Football Playoffs 3% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)
Based upon current play, New Mexico makes the playoffs 3% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to New Mexico making the playoffs.
(40)New Mexico wins 12 or more games
(40)New Mexico plays in the Mntn West Championship Game
(40)New Mexico opponents win (SOS related)
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
| 1 | Virginia Tech (98) | ACCACC | 110 | 13 | 0 | - | - | 100% |
| 2 | San Diego State (49) | Mountain WestMntn West | 97 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 3 | New Mexico (40) | Mountain WestMntn West | 96 | 11 | 2 | - | - | 100% |
| 4 | TCU (22) | Big 12Big 12 | 92 | 11 | 2 | - | - | 100% |
| 5 | Arkansas (113) | SECSEC | 91 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 6 | Louisville (80) | ACCACC | 91 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 7 | Kansas (57) | Big 12Big 12 | 89 | 10 | 3 | - | - | X |
| 8 | North Carolina (92) | ACCACC | 89 | 11 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 9 | Marshall (50) | SunbeltSunbelt | 88 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 10 | Rutgers (102) | Big 10Big 10 | 86 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
Based upon current play, New Mexico misses the playoffs 97% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to New Mexico missing the playoffs.
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
| 1 | Boston College (89) | ACCACC | 102 | 13 | 0 | - | - | 100% |
| 2 | LA Monroe (88) | SunbeltSunbelt | 93 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 3 | Oklahoma St. (39) | Big 12Big 12 | 91 | 11 | 2 | - | - | 100% |
| 4 | Utah St. (65) | Mountain WestMntn West | 88 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 5 | Texas Tech (61) | Big 12Big 12 | 87 | 10 | 3 | - | - | X |
| 6 | UTEP (11) | Conference USAConf. USA | 86 | 10 | 3 | - | - | X |
| 7 | W. Kentucky (1) | Conference USAConf. USA | 84 | 10 | 3 | - | - | X |
| 8 | East Carolina (29) | American AthleticAm. Athletic | 84 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 9 | Virginia Tech (98) | ACCACC | 84 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 10 | Tennessee (115) | SECSEC | 82 | 10 | 3 | - | - | X |