PlayoffStatus.com

Sat Aug 17 2:00 pm

NCAA Football - Week 1 of 14

Northern Illinois Most Likely Playoff Participation Outcomes - Lose 1

If it loses one of its remaining games, Northern Illinois will make the 2024 NCAA Football Playoffs 55% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs if that loss occurs. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)

If it loses one of its remaining games, Northern Illinois makes the playoffs 55% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Northern Illinois making the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • (32)Northern Illinois opponents win (SOS related)
Northern Illinois Most Likely Outcome - Lose 1 - Making the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 California (87) ACCACC 97 12 1 - - 100%
2 Old Dominion (51) SunbeltSunbelt 95 12 1 - - 100%
3 Northern Illinois (32) MACMAC 94 12 1 - - 100%
4 Air Force (46) Mountain WestMntn West 90 11 2 - - 100%
 
5 UConn (125) NCAA IndependentsInd. 87 11 1 - - X
6 Rice (19) American AthleticAm. Athletic 86 10 3 - - X
7 San Diego State (49) Mountain WestMntn West 86 9 3 - - X
8 Michigan (134) Big 10Big 10 86 12 1 - - X
9 New Mexico St. (13) Conference USAConf. USA 85 12 1 - - X
10 Washington St. (83) NCAA IndependentsInd. 83 10 2 - - X




If it loses one of its remaining games, Northern Illinois misses the playoffs 45% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Northern Illinois missing the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • (32)Northern Illinois opponents lose (SOS related)
  • (32)Northern Illinois does not plays in the MAC Championship Game
Northern Illinois Most Likely Outcome - Lose 1 - Missing the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 West Virginia (77) Big 12Big 12 108 13 0 - - 100%
2 North Carolina (92) ACCACC 105 12 1 - - 100%
3 Boston College (89) ACCACC 99 10 2 - - 100%
4 Clemson (93) ACCACC 92 11 2 - - 100%
 
5 Northern Illinois (32) MACMAC 91 12 1 - - X
6 UL Lafayette (60) SunbeltSunbelt 90 11 2 - - X
7 Charlotte (44) American AthleticAm. Athletic 88 11 2 - - X
8 SMU (94) ACCACC 84 10 2 - - X
9 Florida (84) SECSEC 84 11 2 - - X
10 USC (108) Big 10Big 10 84 11 2 - - X
  • Notes
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot