PlayoffStatus.com

Sat Aug 17 2:00 pm

NCAA Football - Week 1 of 14

Oklahoma Most Likely Playoff Participation Outcomes - Lose 1

If it loses one of its remaining games, Oklahoma will make the 2024 NCAA Football Playoffs 42% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs if that loss occurs. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)

If it loses one of its remaining games, Oklahoma makes the playoffs 42% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Oklahoma making the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • (132)Oklahoma opponents win (SOS related)
  • (132)Oklahoma plays in the SEC Championship Game
Oklahoma Most Likely Outcome - Lose 1 - Making the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 UCLA (101) Big 10Big 10 109 13 0 - - 100%
2 Eastern Michigan (45) MACMAC 96 12 1 - - 100%
3 Oklahoma (132) SECSEC 90 12 1 - - 100%
4 Georgia Tech (91) ACCACC 88 12 1 - - 100%
 
5 Michigan (134) Big 10Big 10 87 10 2 - - X
6 LA Monroe (88) SunbeltSunbelt 87 11 2 - - X
7 Colorado (58) Big 12Big 12 86 12 1 - - X
8 Illinois (99) Big 10Big 10 86 11 1 - - X
9 Marshall (50) SunbeltSunbelt 86 11 2 - - X
10 UAB (35) American AthleticAm. Athletic 85 11 2 - - X




If it loses one of its remaining games, Oklahoma misses the playoffs 58% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Oklahoma missing the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • (132)Oklahoma opponents lose (SOS related)
  • (132)Oklahoma does not plays in the SEC Championship Game
Oklahoma Most Likely Outcome - Lose 1 - Missing the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 Colorado St. (55) Mountain WestMntn West 112 13 0 - - 100%
2 UTEP (11) Conference USAConf. USA 106 12 1 - - 100%
3 Boston College (89) ACCACC 97 12 1 - - 100%
4 Clemson (93) ACCACC 96 11 2 - - 100%
 
5 Utah (53) Big 12Big 12 95 11 2 - - X
6 West Virginia (77) Big 12Big 12 90 11 2 - - X
7 Nevada (43) Mountain WestMntn West 89 11 2 - - X
8 Oklahoma (132) SECSEC 87 12 1 - - X
9 New Mexico St. (13) Conference USAConf. USA 84 10 3 - - X
10 Virginia Tech (98) ACCACC 82 9 3 - - X
  • Notes
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot