PlayoffStatus.com

Sat Aug 17 2:00 pm

NCAA Football - Week 1 of 14

Oklahoma Most Likely Playoff Participation Outcomes - Winout

If it wins its remaining games, Oklahoma makes the 2024 NCAA Football Playoffs 88% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs if those wins occur. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)

If it wins its remaining games, Oklahoma makes the playoffs 88% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Oklahoma making the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • None Found
Oklahoma Most Likely Outcome - Winout - Making the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 Clemson (93) ACCACC 100 12 1 - - 100%
2 Oklahoma (132) SECSEC 96 13 0 - - 100%
3 Oregon St. (85) NCAA IndependentsInd. 94 11 1 - - 100%
4 Wake Forest (112) ACCACC 93 11 2 - - 100%
 
5 Washington St. (83) NCAA IndependentsInd. 91 11 1 - - X
6 Virginia (78) ACCACC 90 10 2 - - X
7 Oregon (124) Big 10Big 10 88 11 2 - - X
8 Eastern Michigan (45) MACMAC 87 12 1 - - X
9 Colorado (58) Big 12Big 12 86 11 2 - - X
10 New Mexico St. (13) Conference USAConf. USA 82 11 2 - - X




If it wins its remaining games, Oklahoma misses the playoffs 12% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Oklahoma missing the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • (132)Oklahoma opponents lose (SOS related)
  • (132)Oklahoma does not plays in the SEC Championship Game
Oklahoma Most Likely Outcome - Winout - Missing the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 Oklahoma St. (39) Big 12Big 12 104 13 0 - - 100%
2 North Carolina (92) ACCACC 102 13 0 - - 100%
3 UTEP (11) Conference USAConf. USA 97 11 2 - - 100%
4 Louisiana Tech (4) Conference USAConf. USA 95 11 2 - - 100%
 
5 Arizona (12) Big 12Big 12 94 12 1 - - X
6 Oklahoma (132) SECSEC 90 13 0 - - X
7 UCLA (101) Big 10Big 10 89 12 1 - - X
8 Illinois (99) Big 10Big 10 87 12 1 - - X
9 Bowling Green (24) MACMAC 86 11 2 - - X
10 UL Lafayette (60) SunbeltSunbelt 85 12 1 - - X
  • Notes
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot