Based upon current play, Oregon makes the 2024 NCAA Football Playoffs 3% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)
Based upon current play, Oregon makes the playoffs 3% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Oregon making the playoffs.
(124)Oregon wins 12 or more games
(124)Oregon plays in the Big 10 Championship Game
(124)Oregon opponents win (SOS related)
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
| 1 | Illinois (99) | Big 10Big 10 | 97 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 2 | East Carolina (29) | American AthleticAm. Athletic | 93 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 3 | Oregon (124) | Big 10Big 10 | 91 | 11 | 2 | - | - | 100% |
| 4 | Baylor (7) | Big 12Big 12 | 91 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 5 | Mississippi St.Miss. St. (114) | SECSEC | 88 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 6 | Pittsburgh (79) | ACCACC | 87 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 7 | Kennesaw St. (5) | Conference USAConf. USA | 87 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 8 | W. Kentucky (1) | Conference USAConf. USA | 85 | 10 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 9 | Black Knights (86) | American AthleticAm. Athletic | 84 | 9 | 3 | - | - | X |
| 10 | Northern Illinois (32) | MACMAC | 84 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
Based upon current play, Oregon misses the playoffs 97% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Oregon missing the playoffs.
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
| 1 | Boston College (89) | ACCACC | 102 | 13 | 0 | - | - | 100% |
| 2 | LA Monroe (88) | SunbeltSunbelt | 93 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 3 | Oklahoma St. (39) | Big 12Big 12 | 91 | 11 | 2 | - | - | 100% |
| 4 | Utah St. (65) | Mountain WestMntn West | 88 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 5 | Texas Tech (61) | Big 12Big 12 | 87 | 10 | 3 | - | - | X |
| 6 | UTEP (11) | Conference USAConf. USA | 86 | 10 | 3 | - | - | X |
| 7 | W. Kentucky (1) | Conference USAConf. USA | 84 | 10 | 3 | - | - | X |
| 8 | East Carolina (29) | American AthleticAm. Athletic | 84 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 9 | Virginia Tech (98) | ACCACC | 84 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 10 | Tennessee (115) | SECSEC | 82 | 10 | 3 | - | - | X |