PlayoffStatus.com

Sat Aug 17 2:00 pm

NCAA Football - Week 1 of 14

Oregon Most Likely Playoff Participation Outcomes - Winout

If it wins its remaining games, Oregon makes the 2024 NCAA Football Playoffs 89% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs if those wins occur. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)

If it wins its remaining games, Oregon makes the playoffs 89% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Oregon making the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • None Found
Oregon Most Likely Outcome - Winout - Making the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 Oregon (124) Big 10Big 10 107 13 0 - - 100%
2 California (87) ACCACC 94 12 1 - - 100%
3 Boston College (89) ACCACC 94 11 1 - - 100%
4 Ball State (3) MACMAC 93 12 1 - - 100%
 
5 Michigan St. (116) Big 10Big 10 89 10 3 - - X
6 Georgia Tech (91) ACCACC 89 11 2 - - X
7 West Virginia (77) Big 12Big 12 89 12 1 - - X
8 UTEP (11) Conference USAConf. USA 88 12 1 - - X
9 South Carolina (104) SECSEC 83 10 2 - - X
10 James Madison (59) SunbeltSunbelt 82 11 2 - - X




If it wins its remaining games, Oregon misses the playoffs 11% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Oregon missing the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • (124)Oregon opponents lose (SOS related)
  • (124)Oregon does not plays in the Big 10 Championship Game
Oregon Most Likely Outcome - Winout - Missing the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 Florida St. (97) ACCACC 101 12 1 - - 100%
2 Memphis (47) American AthleticAm. Athletic 101 11 2 - - 100%
3 Kennesaw St. (5) Conference USAConf. USA 100 12 1 - - 100%
4 Boston College (89) ACCACC 93 11 2 - - 100%
 
5 Navy (82) American AthleticAm. Athletic 92 10 2 - - X
6 Georgia St. (66) SunbeltSunbelt 91 10 2 - - X
7 Southern Miss (28) SunbeltSunbelt 90 11 2 - - X
8 Old Dominion (51) SunbeltSunbelt 90 11 2 - - X
9 Charlotte (44) American AthleticAm. Athletic 89 9 3 - - X
10 Oregon (124) Big 10Big 10 87 13 0 - - X
  • Notes
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot