PlayoffStatus.com

Sat Aug 17 2:00 pm

NCAA Football - Week 1 of 14

South Carolina Most Likely Playoff Participation Outcomes - Lose 1

If it loses one of its remaining games, South Carolina will make the 2024 NCAA Football Playoffs 44% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs if that loss occurs. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)

If it loses one of its remaining games, South Carolina makes the playoffs 44% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to South Carolina making the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • (104)South Carolina opponents win (SOS related)
  • (104)South Carolina plays in the SEC Championship Game
South Carolina Most Likely Outcome - Lose 1 - Making the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 Duke (64) ACCACC 96 11 2 - - 100%
2 South Carolina (104) SECSEC 93 11 1 - - 100%
3 SMU (94) ACCACC 93 11 2 - - 100%
4 Central Michigan (18) MACMAC 91 11 2 - - 100%
 
5 Alabama (126) SECSEC 90 11 2 - - X
6 Washington (95) Big 10Big 10 88 11 2 - - X
7 Michigan (134) Big 10Big 10 86 10 2 - - X
8 Mississippi St.Miss. St. (114) SECSEC 85 12 1 - - X
9 North Carolina (92) ACCACC 84 10 2 - - X
10 UTSA (25) American AthleticAm. Athletic 83 11 2 - - X




If it loses one of its remaining games, South Carolina misses the playoffs 56% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to South Carolina missing the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • (104)South Carolina opponents lose (SOS related)
  • (104)South Carolina does not plays in the SEC Championship Game
  • (114)Mississippi St. wins the SEC Championship
  • (115)Tennessee wins 12 or more games
South Carolina Most Likely Outcome - Lose 1 - Missing the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 Akron (23) MACMAC 105 12 1 - - 100%
2 Ga. Southern (8) SunbeltSunbelt 101 12 1 - - 100%
3 Michigan (134) Big 10Big 10 100 13 0 - - 100%
4 Hawaii (20) Mountain WestMntn West 97 13 0 - - 100%
 
5 Tulsa (30) American AthleticAm. Athletic 95 12 1 - - X
6 Tulane (33) American AthleticAm. Athletic 95 11 1 - - X
7 Clemson (93) ACCACC 92 11 2 - - X
8 Buffalo (48) MACMAC 91 10 2 - - X
9 UL Lafayette (60) SunbeltSunbelt 91 11 2 - - X
10 Memphis (47) American AthleticAm. Athletic 91 11 2 - - X
  • Notes
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot