PlayoffStatus.com

Sat Aug 17 2:00 pm

NCAA Football - Week 1 of 14

Tennessee Most Likely Playoff Participation Outcomes - Winout

If it wins its remaining games, Tennessee makes the 2024 NCAA Football Playoffs 90% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs if those wins occur. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)

If it wins its remaining games, Tennessee makes the playoffs 90% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Tennessee making the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • None Found
Tennessee Most Likely Outcome - Winout - Making the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 South Florida (70) American AthleticAm. Athletic 96 13 0 - - 100%
2 Wisconsin (100) Big 10Big 10 93 12 1 - - 100%
3 Middle Tenn. St. (9) Conference USAConf. USA 92 12 1 - - 100%
4 Tennessee (115) SECSEC 90 13 0 - - 100%
 
5 Indiana (131) Big 10Big 10 89 12 1 - - X
6 Stanford (103) ACCACC 87 11 2 - - X
7 Iowa St. (76) Big 12Big 12 86 9 3 - - X
8 Ga. Southern (8) SunbeltSunbelt 86 11 2 - - X
9 Troy (41) SunbeltSunbelt 85 10 3 - - X
10 Auburn (128) SECSEC 84 11 2 - - X




If it wins its remaining games, Tennessee misses the playoffs 10% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Tennessee missing the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • (115)Tennessee opponents lose (SOS related)
  • (115)Tennessee does not plays in the SEC Championship Game
  • (128)Auburn wins the SEC Championship
  • (110)Ole Miss wins the SEC Championship
  • (1)W. Kentucky wins out
Tennessee Most Likely Outcome - Winout - Missing the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 Boston College (89) ACCACC 103 13 0 - - 100%
2 Toledo (26) MACMAC 102 13 0 - - 100%
3 Florida Intl. (34) Conference USAConf. USA 98 13 0 - - 100%
4 Clemson (93) ACCACC 98 11 1 - - 100%
 
5 Tennessee (115) SECSEC 95 13 0 - - X
6 Indiana (131) Big 10Big 10 92 12 1 - - X
7 Fresno State (31) Mountain WestMntn West 90 12 1 - - X
8 Ole Miss (110) SECSEC 90 12 1 - - X
9 Troy (41) SunbeltSunbelt 88 11 2 - - X
10 Rutgers (102) Big 10Big 10 86 10 3 - - X
  • Notes
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot