PlayoffStatus.com

Sat Aug 17 2:00 pm

NCAA Football - Week 1 of 14

UNLV Most Likely Playoff Participation Outcomes - Winout

If it wins its remaining games, UNLV makes the 2024 NCAA Football Playoffs 92% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs if those wins occur. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)

If it wins its remaining games, UNLV makes the playoffs 92% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to UNLV making the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • None Found
UNLV Most Likely Outcome - Winout - Making the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 Charlotte (44) American AthleticAm. Athletic 112 13 0 - - 100%
2 UNLV (56) Mountain WestMntn West 110 13 0 - - 100%
3 Akron (23) MACMAC 103 12 1 - - 100%
4 Toledo (26) MACMAC 103 12 1 - - 100%
 
5 Utah (53) Big 12Big 12 101 12 1 - - X
6 Memphis (47) American AthleticAm. Athletic 95 11 2 - - X
7 Kent State (15) MACMAC 91 10 2 - - X
8 Georgia St. (66) SunbeltSunbelt 89 12 1 - - X
9 Florida Intl. (34) Conference USAConf. USA 87 12 1 - - X
10 Kennesaw St. (5) Conference USAConf. USA 86 12 1 - - X




If it wins its remaining games, UNLV misses the playoffs 8% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to UNLV missing the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • (56)UNLV opponents lose (SOS related)
  • (53)Utah wins 13 or more games
UNLV Most Likely Outcome - Winout - Missing the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 Clemson (93) ACCACC 98 11 2 - - 100%
2 Tulane (33) American AthleticAm. Athletic 97 12 1 - - 100%
3 Boston College (89) ACCACC 97 11 1 - - 100%
4 Liberty (2) Conference USAConf. USA 97 11 2 - - 100%
 
5 UNLV (56) Mountain WestMntn West 95 13 0 - - X
6 Vanderbilt (96) SECSEC 92 11 2 - - X
7 Charlotte (44) American AthleticAm. Athletic 92 11 2 - - X
8 Notre Dame (130) NCAA IndependentsInd. 91 10 2 - - X
9 Sam Houston (36) Conference USAConf. USA 90 11 2 - - X
10 Kennesaw St. (5) Conference USAConf. USA 89 10 2 - - X
  • Notes
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot